The Recoil Collection ×4+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×6
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FT 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested
Inputs
Destroyer
1x $0.28
Winterized
2x $0.28
Poly Mag
1x $0.29
Pipsqueak
2x $0.42
Metallic Squeezer
2x $0.52
Teal Graf
2x $0.69
↓
Possible Outputs
Eye of Zapems
20.0% $10.72
Sweet Little Angels
20.0% $10.46
Monster Melt
20.0% $8.69
Dragon Tech
8.0% $1.21
Vent Rush
8.0% $1.21
Downtown
8.0% $1.11
Max Win
$10.72 (+116.2%)
EV (ROI %)
$6.38 (+28.6%)
Win %
60.0%
Volatility
+89.6%
Cost
$4.96
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $4.96
Ask Price EV $6.38 (+28.6%)
Bid Price EV $6.18 (+24.7%)
Ask Profit $1.42 (+28.6%)
Bid Profit $1.22 (+24.7%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.19 (+3.9%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$1.42
Bid Slippage Buffer +$1.22
Risk
Win Probability 60.0%
Loss Probability 40.0%
Best Case $10.72 (+116.2%)
Worst Case $0.72 (-85.5%)
Volatility +89.6%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 40.0%
Avg Win +$5.00
Avg Loss -$3.96
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.72 (-85.5%)
Std Dev $4.44
Avg Norm Float 0.1764
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 20m
Oldest Output Price 2h 36m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // High-EV Grinder · Premium Signal · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
Galil AR | Destroyer
—
Minimal Wear
$0.28 Float: HIDDEN
Glock-18 | Winterized
—
Minimal Wear
$0.28 Float: HIDDEN
M4A4 | Poly Mag
—
Minimal Wear
$0.29 Float: HIDDEN
Glock-18 | Winterized
—
Minimal Wear
$0.30 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Pipsqueak
—
Field-Tested
$0.42 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer
—
Field-Tested
$0.52 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Pipsqueak
—
Field-Tested
$0.60 Float: HIDDEN
Glock-18 | Teal Graf
—
Minimal Wear
$0.69 Float: HIDDEN
Glock-18 | Teal Graf
—
Minimal Wear
$0.74 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer
—
Minimal Wear
$0.84 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 44M 49S //TOTAL COST $4.96 //ASK PRICE EV $6.38 //BID PRICE EV $6.18 //ASK PROFIT $1.42 (+28.6%) //BID PROFIT $1.22 (+24.7%) //WIN PROBABILITY 60.0% //BEST CASE $10.72 //VOLATILITY +89.6% //
Possible Outputs · 8
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
20.0%
$10.72
+$5.76
+116.2%
$10.49
+$5.53
+111.5%
$0.23
2.2%
—
Restricted
Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels Minimal Wear | ƒ 0.1446726
The Overpass 2024 Collection
BIG WIN
20.0%
$10.46
+$5.50
+111.0%
$10.35
+$5.39
+108.7%
$0.11
1.1%
—
BIG WIN
20.0%
$8.69
+$3.73
+75.2%
$8.23
+$3.27
+65.9%
$0.46
5.3%
—
NUKE
8.0%
$1.21
-$3.75
-75.5%
$1.12
-$3.84
-77.4%
$0.09
7.7%
—
NUKE
8.0%
$1.21
-$3.75
-75.7%
$1.08
-$3.88
-78.2%
$0.13
10.4%
—
NUKE
8.0%
$1.11
-$3.85
-77.6%
$1.03
-$3.93
-79.2%
$0.08
7.2%
—
NUKE
8.0%
$0.77
-$4.19
-84.4%
$0.69
-$4.27
-86.1%
$0.08
10.8%
—
NUKE
8.0%
$0.72
-$4.24
-85.5%
$0.70
-$4.26
-85.9%
$0.02
2.4%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-31|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 4,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-31"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 6,
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.19999999999999998,
"output_float": 0.1499655,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0e56be318449",
"realistic_value": 10.724499999999999,
"optimistic_value": 10.7,
"output_full_name": "AUG | Eye of Zapems",
"conservative_value": 10.49,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Overpass 2024 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AUG | Eye of Zapems (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:02:43.966722Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0e56be318449.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.19999999999999998,
"output_float": 0.14467259999999998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-6e1eac6f1a57",
"realistic_value": 10.463500000000002,
"optimistic_value": 10.46,
"output_full_name": "Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels",
"conservative_value": 10.35,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Overpass 2024 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:02:42.642272Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6e1eac6f1a57.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.19999999999999998,
"output_float": 0.1323225,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0ac8d26ea3c5",
"realistic_value": 8.687999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 8.52,
"output_full_name": "XM1014 | Monster Melt",
"conservative_value": 8.23,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Overpass 2024 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Monster Melt (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:05:15.741963Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0ac8d26ea3c5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.17643,
"output_skin_id": "skin-459ac0342b48",
"realistic_value": 0.7735,
"optimistic_value": 0.77,
"output_full_name": "Dual Berettas | Flora Carnivora",
"conservative_value": 0.69,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-31",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Recoil Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Flora Carnivora (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:43:49.594942Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-459ac0342b48.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.1146795,
"output_skin_id": "skin-302f05527562",
"realistic_value": 1.11,
"optimistic_value": 1.11,
"output_full_name": "M249 | Downtown",
"conservative_value": 1.03,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-31",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Recoil Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M249 | Downtown (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:32:46.705623Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-302f05527562.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.123501,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e2b145a9faa7",
"realistic_value": 1.206,
"optimistic_value": 1.15,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Vent Rush",
"conservative_value": 1.08,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-31",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Recoil Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Vent Rush (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:05:25.696638Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e2b145a9faa7.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.17643,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ab0f49fac59d",
"realistic_value": 0.717,
"optimistic_value": 0.71,
"output_full_name": "R8 Revolver | Crazy 8",
"conservative_value": 0.7,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-31",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Recoil Collection",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Crazy 8 (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:32:51.880369Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ab0f49fac59d.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.123501,
"output_skin_id": "skin-9acc418fe0ad",
"realistic_value": 1.213,
"optimistic_value": 1.15,
"output_full_name": "SG 553 | Dragon Tech",
"conservative_value": 1.12,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-31",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Recoil Collection",
"market_hash_name": "SG 553 | Dragon Tech (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:41:42.516846Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9acc418fe0ad.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_ed4bc27e6752b1c7ded75bed",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.28,
"skin_id": "skin-8300d759e7a9",
"listing_id": "494975593207278522",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-31",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Destroyer (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Galil AR | Destroyer",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8300d759e7a9.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:58:24.588889Z"
},
{
"price": 0.28,
"skin_id": "skin-2a4119de0db9",
"listing_id": "499479989895563665",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-31",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Winterized (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Glock-18 | Winterized",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2a4119de0db9.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:58:46.732378Z"
},
{
"price": 0.29,
"skin_id": "skin-35998e06d00e",
"listing_id": "509613036860158635",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-31",
"market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Poly Mag (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M4A4 | Poly Mag",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-35998e06d00e.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:00:33.921442Z"
},
{
"price": 0.3,
"skin_id": "skin-2a4119de0db9",
"listing_id": "519745391327502260",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-31",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Winterized (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Glock-18 | Winterized",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2a4119de0db9.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:58:46.732378Z"
},
{
"price": 0.42,
"skin_id": "skin-4d819a5e4be2",
"listing_id": "517494388633440706",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Pipsqueak (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Pipsqueak",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4d819a5e4be2.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:59:49.774039Z"
},
{
"price": 0.52,
"skin_id": "skin-0df7ea666c3d",
"listing_id": "648097416147785180",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0df7ea666c3d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:12:31.351342Z"
},
{
"price": 0.6,
"skin_id": "skin-4d819a5e4be2",
"listing_id": "509613089303435079",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Pipsqueak (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Pipsqueak",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4d819a5e4be2.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:59:49.774039Z"
},
{
"price": 0.69,
"skin_id": "skin-45d74b83b2a0",
"listing_id": "498354089953419979",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Glock-18 | Teal Graf",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-45d74b83b2a0.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:18:12.014311Z"
},
{
"price": 0.74,
"skin_id": "skin-45d74b83b2a0",
"listing_id": "523123835627757262",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Glock-18 | Teal Graf",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-45d74b83b2a0.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:18:12.014311Z"
},
{
"price": 0.84,
"skin_id": "skin-0df7ea666c3d",
"listing_id": "502857524063952856",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0df7ea666c3d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:08:37.068579Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|normal|10|collection-set-community-31:4+collection-set-overpass-2024:6"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Recoil Collection ×4+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear | Eye of Zapems 20.0% $10.72 Sweet Little Angels 20.0% $10.46 Monster Melt 20.0% $8.69 Flora Carnivora 8.0% $1.74 Crazy 8 8.0% $1.67 Dragon Tech 8.0% $1.21 | $10.72 +77.6% | $6.53 +8.1% | 60.0% | +60.9% | $6.04 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Recoil Collection ×5+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Eye of Zapems 16.7% $10.72 Sweet Little Angels 16.7% $10.46 Monster Melt 16.7% $8.69 Dragon Tech 10.0% $1.21 Vent Rush 10.0% $1.21 Downtown 10.0% $1.11 | $10.72 +156.0% | $5.48 +30.9% | 50.0% | +95.4% | $4.19 | — |
The Recoil Collection ×3+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Eye of Zapems 23.3% $10.77 Sweet Little Angels 23.3% $10.30 Monster Melt 23.3% $8.69 Dragon Tech 6.0% $1.21 Vent Rush 6.0% $1.21 Downtown 6.0% $1.11 | $10.77 +93.0% | $7.24 +29.8% | 70.0% | +62.6% | $5.58 | — |
The Recoil Collection ×6+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Eye of Zapems 13.3% $10.77 Sweet Little Angels 13.3% $10.30 Monster Melt 13.3% $8.69 Dragon Tech 12.0% $1.21 Vent Rush 12.0% $1.21 Downtown 12.0% $1.11 | $10.77 +203.4% | $4.57 +28.7% | 40.0% | +112.4% | $3.55 | — |
The Recoil Collection ×7+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Eye of Zapems 10.0% $10.77 Sweet Little Angels 10.0% $10.30 Monster Melt 10.0% $8.69 Dragon Tech 14.0% $1.21 Vent Rush 14.0% $1.21 Downtown 14.0% $1.11 | $10.77 +256.6% | $3.68 +21.8% | 30.0% | +126.3% | $3.02 | — |
The Recoil Collection ×8+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×2 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Eye of Zapems 6.7% $10.72 Sweet Little Angels 6.7% $10.46 Monster Melt 6.7% $8.69 Dragon Tech 16.0% $1.21 Vent Rush 16.0% $1.21 Downtown 16.0% $1.11 | $10.72 +314.1% | $2.79 +7.9% | 20.0% | +132.0% | $2.59 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Recoil Collection ×7+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×3 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested | Crakow!  15.0% $47.63 Dragon Snore  15.0% $33.55 Ice Coaled  23.3% $6.83 Kiss♥Love  23.3% $5.47 Visions  23.3% $5.43 | $47.63 +238.5% | $16.31 +16.0% | 30.0% | +116.3% | $14.07 | — |
The Recoil Collection ×3+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×7 Classified → Covert Minimal Wear | B the Monster  70.0% $1,312.69 Chromatic Aberration  15.0% $137.37 Printstream  15.0% $94.97 | $1,312.69 +62.9% | $953.73 +18.4% | 70.0% | +68.1% | $805.62 | — |