The Genesis Collection ×7+The Dead Hand Collection ×3
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FT ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested StatTrak™
Inputs
Bullfrog
3x $0.19
Red Wing
4x $0.23
RMX
2x $0.34
Fusion
1x $0.39
↓
Possible Outputs
Liquidation
14.0% $11.18
Electrum
6.0% $10.69
Firebreathing
6.0% $6.12
Galigator
6.0% $3.48
Urban Sovereign
6.0% $2.91
Amberline
6.0% $2.88
Max Win
$11.18 (+234.9%)
EV (ROI %)
$4.29 (+28.3%)
Win %
32.0%
Volatility
+105.3%
Cost
$3.34
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $3.34
Ask Price EV $4.29 (+28.3%)
Bid Price EV $3.66 (+9.6%)
Ask Profit $0.95 (+28.3%)
Bid Profit $0.32 (+9.6%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.62 (+18.7%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.95
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.32
Risk
Win Probability 32.0%
Loss Probability 68.0%
Best Case $11.18 (+234.9%)
Worst Case $1.85 (-44.5%)
Volatility +105.3%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 56.0%
Avg Win +$5.36
Avg Loss -$1.13
Bottom 5% Outcome $1.85 (-44.5%)
Std Dev $3.52
Avg Norm Float 0.3729
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 23m
Oldest Output Price 152h 19m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Safe
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
P250 | Bullfrog
—
Battle-Scarred
$0.19 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Red Wing
—
Battle-Scarred
$0.23 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Bullfrog
—
Well-Worn
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Bullfrog
—
Well-Worn
$0.35 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Red Wing
—
Field-Tested
$0.36 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Red Wing
—
Field-Tested
$0.37 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Red Wing
—
Field-Tested
$0.40 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | RMX
—
Well-Worn
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | RMX
—
Well-Worn
$0.37 Float: HIDDEN
Sawed-Off | Fusion
—
Field-Tested
$0.39 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 32M 47S //TOTAL COST $3.34 //ASK PRICE EV $4.29 //BID PRICE EV $3.66 //ASK PROFIT $0.95 (+28.3%) //BID PROFIT $0.32 (+9.6%) //WIN PROBABILITY 32.0% //BEST CASE $11.18 //VOLATILITY +105.3% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
14.0%
$11.18
+$7.84
+234.9%
$9.26
+$5.92
+177.2%
$1.92
17.2%
—
BIG WIN
6.0%
$10.69
+$7.35
+220.1%
$9.15
+$5.81
+174.0%
$1.54
14.4%
—
BIG WIN
6.0%
$6.12
+$2.78
+83.1%
$4.98
+$1.64
+49.1%
$1.14
18.6%
—
PAPER WIN
6.0%
$3.48
+$0.14
+4.1%
$2.67
-$0.67
-20.1%
$0.81
23.2%
—
LOSS
6.0%
$2.91
-$0.43
-12.9%
$2.61
-$0.73
-21.9%
$0.30
10.2%
—
LOSS
6.0%
$2.88
-$0.46
-13.7%
$2.61
-$0.73
-21.9%
$0.27
9.5%
—
LOSS
14.0%
$2.26
-$1.08
-32.2%
$1.96
-$1.38
-41.3%
$0.30
13.4%
—
LOSS
14.0%
$2.07
-$1.27
-38.0%
$1.85
-$1.49
-44.6%
$0.22
10.6%
—
LOSS
14.0%
$2.07
-$1.27
-38.1%
$1.81
-$1.53
-45.8%
$0.26
12.4%
—
NUKE
14.0%
$1.85
-$1.49
-44.5%
$1.84
-$1.50
-44.9%
$0.01
0.7%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-36|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 7,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 3,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.37291,
"output_skin_id": "skin-94f44ac08438",
"realistic_value": 2.07,
"optimistic_value": 2.07,
"output_full_name": "Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes",
"conservative_value": 1.85,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:57:59.897590Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-94f44ac08438.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.37291,
"output_skin_id": "skin-41345355b55a",
"realistic_value": 11.1845,
"optimistic_value": 11.09,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Liquidation",
"conservative_value": 9.26,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Liquidation (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:54:37.549162Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-41345355b55a.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.37291,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0befed15aba5",
"realistic_value": 2.2635,
"optimistic_value": 2.26,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Cat Fight",
"conservative_value": 1.96,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Cat Fight (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:47:25.936363Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0befed15aba5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.37291,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f58ac1d8b31c",
"realistic_value": 2.0665,
"optimistic_value": 2,
"output_full_name": "Nova | Ocular",
"conservative_value": 1.81,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Ocular (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T06:00:08.287380Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f58ac1d8b31c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.37291,
"output_skin_id": "skin-822f252e3894",
"realistic_value": 1.8535000000000001,
"optimistic_value": 1.85,
"output_full_name": "UMP-45 | Continuum",
"conservative_value": 1.84,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Continuum (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:48:06.397333Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-822f252e3894.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.37291,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2bcac1c42296",
"realistic_value": 6.117,
"optimistic_value": 6.11,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Firebreathing",
"conservative_value": 4.98,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Firebreathing (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:41.545500Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2bcac1c42296.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.37291,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8571b4f29f98",
"realistic_value": 3.478,
"optimistic_value": 3.45,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Galigator",
"conservative_value": 2.67,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:11:19.143553Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8571b4f29f98.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.37291,
"output_skin_id": "skin-62ecfa87b86d",
"realistic_value": 10.693000000000001,
"optimistic_value": 10.63,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Electrum",
"conservative_value": 9.15,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Electrum (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:48.376233Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-62ecfa87b86d.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.37291,
"output_skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"realistic_value": 2.8835,
"optimistic_value": 2.88,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"conservative_value": 2.61,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:07:18.553887Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.37291,
"output_skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"realistic_value": 2.908,
"optimistic_value": 2.88,
"output_full_name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"conservative_value": 2.61,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:06:55.625089Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_ebea8dd282780e84ca3103f3",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.19,
"skin_id": "skin-8ec9dd302f30",
"listing_id": "497228243055576089",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Bullfrog (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "P250 | Bullfrog",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8ec9dd302f30.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:55:19.976883Z"
},
{
"price": 0.23,
"skin_id": "skin-53b81168eea3",
"listing_id": "512990789044186079",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P2000 | Red Wing (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "P2000 | Red Wing",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-53b81168eea3.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:58:49.745908Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-8ec9dd302f30",
"listing_id": "511864836540685089",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Bullfrog (Well-Worn)",
"name": "P250 | Bullfrog",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8ec9dd302f30.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:13:08.961774Z"
},
{
"price": 0.35,
"skin_id": "skin-8ec9dd302f30",
"listing_id": "516368541588617426",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Bullfrog (Well-Worn)",
"name": "P250 | Bullfrog",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8ec9dd302f30.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:13:08.961774Z"
},
{
"price": 0.36,
"skin_id": "skin-53b81168eea3",
"listing_id": "493850543432300044",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P2000 | Red Wing (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P2000 | Red Wing",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-53b81168eea3.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:58:47.017347Z"
},
{
"price": 0.37,
"skin_id": "skin-53b81168eea3",
"listing_id": "512990841907882223",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P2000 | Red Wing (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P2000 | Red Wing",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-53b81168eea3.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:58:47.017347Z"
},
{
"price": 0.4,
"skin_id": "skin-53b81168eea3",
"listing_id": "496102290329494463",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P2000 | Red Wing (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P2000 | Red Wing",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-53b81168eea3.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:58:47.017347Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-fb5805d13a5e",
"listing_id": "510739041953589082",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | RMX (Well-Worn)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | RMX",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fb5805d13a5e.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:50:50.697696Z"
},
{
"price": 0.37,
"skin_id": "skin-fb5805d13a5e",
"listing_id": "526501587737943665",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | RMX (Well-Worn)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | RMX",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fb5805d13a5e.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:50:50.697696Z"
},
{
"price": 0.39,
"skin_id": "skin-39ceb900b437",
"listing_id": "497228243055673649",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Fusion",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-39ceb900b437.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:53:09.597411Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-36:7+collection-set-community-37:3"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Genesis Collection ×7+The Dead Hand Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 6.0% $51.27 Liquidation 14.0% $46.21 Firebreathing 6.0% $31.66 Amberline 6.0% $18.87 Galigator 6.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 6.0% $12.98 | $51.27 +212.8% | $20.03 +22.2% | 32.0% | +79.0% | $16.39 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×7+The Dead Hand Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Liquidation 14.0% $21.44 Electrum 6.0% $16.94 Firebreathing 6.0% $10.78 Amberline 6.0% $6.17 Galigator 6.0% $5.51 Urban Sovereign 6.0% $5.00 | $21.44 +224.8% | $7.94 +20.2% | 26.0% | +85.6% | $6.60 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×7+The Dead Hand Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Well-Worn ST | Liquidation 14.0% $7.73 Electrum 6.0% $7.45 Firebreathing 6.0% $3.97 Urban Sovereign 6.0% $2.69 Galigator 6.0% $2.39 Amberline 6.0% $2.24 | $7.73 +132.8% | $3.36 +1.3% | 26.0% | +59.1% | $3.32 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Genesis Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Liquidation 10.0% $11.18 Electrum 10.0% $10.69 Firebreathing 10.0% $6.12 Galigator 10.0% $3.57 Urban Sovereign 10.0% $2.91 Amberline 10.0% $2.88 | $11.18 +225.1% | $4.56 +32.6% | 40.0% | +87.4% | $3.44 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 14.0% $51.27 Liquidation 6.0% $46.21 Firebreathing 14.0% $31.66 Amberline 14.0% $18.87 Galigator 14.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 14.0% $13.85 | $51.27 +185.3% | $23.48 +30.7% | 48.0% | +73.8% | $17.97 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 16.0% $51.27 Liquidation 4.0% $46.21 Firebreathing 16.0% $31.66 Amberline 16.0% $18.87 Galigator 16.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 16.0% $13.85 | $51.27 +175.1% | $24.33 +30.5% | 52.0% | +72.3% | $18.64 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 18.0% $51.27 Liquidation 2.0% $46.21 Firebreathing 18.0% $31.66 Amberline 18.0% $18.87 Galigator 18.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 18.0% $13.85 | $51.27 +165.7% | $25.18 +30.5% | 38.0% | +71.4% | $19.30 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 12.0% $51.27 Liquidation 8.0% $46.21 Firebreathing 12.0% $31.66 Amberline 12.0% $18.87 Galigator 12.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 12.0% $13.85 | $51.27 +194.5% | $22.63 +30.0% | 44.0% | +75.2% | $17.41 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Liquidation 12.0% $11.18 Electrum 8.0% $10.69 Firebreathing 8.0% $6.12 Galigator 8.0% $3.48 Urban Sovereign 8.0% $2.90 Amberline 8.0% $2.88 | $11.18 +225.1% | $4.42 +28.4% | 36.0% | +88.7% | $3.44 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×9+The Dead Hand Collection ×1 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Liquidation 18.0% $11.18 Electrum 2.0% $10.69 Firebreathing 2.0% $6.12 Galigator 2.0% $3.47 Urban Sovereign 2.0% $2.90 Amberline 2.0% $2.88 | $11.18 +233.9% | $4.02 +20.0% | 24.0% | +95.7% | $3.35 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×8+The Dead Hand Collection ×2 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Liquidation 16.0% $21.44 Electrum 4.0% $16.94 Firebreathing 4.0% $10.78 Amberline 4.0% $6.17 Galigator 4.0% $5.51 Urban Sovereign 4.0% $5.00 | $21.44 +225.8% | $7.80 +18.6% | 24.0% | +88.7% | $6.58 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Genesis Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight  30.0% $290.04 Ice Coaled  3.3% $115.81 Smoking Kills  3.3% $98.16 Mirror Mosaic  3.3% $88.96 Kintsugi  30.0% $60.46 Deathgaze  30.0% $58.59 | $290.04 +186.2% | $132.82 +31.1% | 33.3% | +102.3% | $101.33 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Classified → Covert Factory New ST | The Oligarch  15.0% $961.24 Queen's Gambit  35.0% $843.46 Full Throttle  15.0% $708.03 Fully Tuned  35.0% $484.90 | $961.24 +61.6% | $715.32 +20.3% | 65.0% | +30.7% | $594.69 | — |