The Genesis Collection ×7+The Dead Hand Collection ×3
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FN ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New StatTrak™
Inputs
MAGnitude
2x $0.66
Caged
4x $0.86
Bullfrog
1x $2.18
Bock Blocks
2x $0.78
Fusion
1x $2.46
↓
Possible Outputs
Electrum
6.0% $51.27
Liquidation
14.0% $46.21
Firebreathing
6.0% $31.66
Amberline
6.0% $18.87
Galigator
6.0% $14.51
Urban Sovereign
6.0% $13.85
Max Win
$51.27 (+214.8%)
EV (ROI %)
$20.07 (+23.2%)
Win %
32.0%
Volatility
+90.9%
Cost
$16.29
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $16.29
Ask Price EV $20.07 (+23.2%)
Bid Price EV $17.11 (+5.0%)
Ask Profit $3.78 (+23.2%)
Bid Profit $0.82 (+5.0%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $2.96 (+18.2%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$3.78
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.82
Risk
Win Probability 32.0%
Loss Probability 68.0%
Best Case $51.27 (+214.8%)
Worst Case $10.11 (-37.9%)
Volatility +90.9%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 56.0%
Avg Win +$23.01
Avg Loss -$5.27
Bottom 5% Outcome $10.11 (-37.9%)
Std Dev $14.81
Avg Norm Float 0.0700
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 19m
Oldest Output Price 152h 50m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
MAG-7 | MAGnitude
—
Minimal Wear
$0.66 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Caged
—
Minimal Wear
$0.86 Float: HIDDEN
MAG-7 | MAGnitude
—
Minimal Wear
$1.26 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Caged
—
Factory New
$1.79 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Caged
—
Factory New
$1.80 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Caged
—
Factory New
$1.95 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Bullfrog
—
Factory New
$2.18 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Bock Blocks
—
Minimal Wear
$0.78 Float: HIDDEN
Sawed-Off | Fusion
—
Factory New
$2.46 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Bock Blocks
—
Factory New
$2.55 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 40M 32S //TOTAL COST $16.29 //ASK PRICE EV $20.07 //BID PRICE EV $17.11 //ASK PROFIT $3.78 (+23.2%) //BID PROFIT $0.82 (+5.0%) //WIN PROBABILITY 32.0% //BEST CASE $51.27 //VOLATILITY +90.9% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
6.0%
$51.27
+$34.98
+214.8%
$43.51
+$27.22
+167.1%
$7.76
15.1%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
14.0%
$46.21
+$29.92
+183.6%
$40.17
+$23.88
+146.6%
$6.03
13.1%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
6.0%
$31.66
+$15.37
+94.3%
$29.45
+$13.16
+80.8%
$2.21
7.0%
—
PAPER WIN THIN BID EDGE FLOAT
6.0%
$18.87
+$2.58
+15.8%
$12.97
-$3.32
-20.4%
$5.90
31.3%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
6.0%
$14.51
-$1.78
-10.9%
$13.05
-$3.24
-19.9%
$1.46
10.1%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
6.0%
$13.85
-$2.44
-15.0%
$11.82
-$4.47
-27.4%
$2.03
14.6%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
14.0%
$10.59
-$5.70
-35.0%
$9.06
-$7.23
-44.4%
$1.53
14.5%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
14.0%
$10.35
-$5.94
-36.5%
$8.24
-$8.05
-49.4%
$2.11
20.4%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
14.0%
$10.29
-$6.00
-36.8%
$8.34
-$7.95
-48.8%
$1.95
19.0%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
14.0%
$10.11
-$6.18
-37.9%
$8.90
-$7.39
-45.4%
$1.21
12.0%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-36|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 7,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 3,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.06998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-94f44ac08438",
"realistic_value": 10.1135,
"optimistic_value": 9.97,
"output_full_name": "Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes",
"conservative_value": 8.9,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:07:18.049386Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-94f44ac08438.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.06998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-41345355b55a",
"realistic_value": 46.205,
"optimistic_value": 46.03,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Liquidation",
"conservative_value": 40.17,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Liquidation (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:30:27.351229Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-41345355b55a.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.06998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0befed15aba5",
"realistic_value": 10.5945,
"optimistic_value": 10.5,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Cat Fight",
"conservative_value": 9.06,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Cat Fight (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:53:30.645048Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0befed15aba5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.06998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f58ac1d8b31c",
"realistic_value": 10.35,
"optimistic_value": 10.28,
"output_full_name": "Nova | Ocular",
"conservative_value": 8.24,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Ocular (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:10:19.805902Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f58ac1d8b31c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.06998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-822f252e3894",
"realistic_value": 10.294,
"optimistic_value": 10.28,
"output_full_name": "UMP-45 | Continuum",
"conservative_value": 8.34,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Genesis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Continuum (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:01:44.789488Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-822f252e3894.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.06998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2bcac1c42296",
"realistic_value": 31.657,
"optimistic_value": 31.02,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Firebreathing",
"conservative_value": 29.45,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Firebreathing (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:39.490012Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2bcac1c42296.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.06998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8571b4f29f98",
"realistic_value": 14.512,
"optimistic_value": 14.33,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Galigator",
"conservative_value": 13.05,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:43.833807Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8571b4f29f98.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.06998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-62ecfa87b86d",
"realistic_value": 51.274,
"optimistic_value": 50.91,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Electrum",
"conservative_value": 43.51,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Electrum (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:44.200704Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-62ecfa87b86d.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.06998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"realistic_value": 18.869,
"optimistic_value": 17.56,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"conservative_value": 12.97,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:36:10.284461Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.06998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"realistic_value": 13.847,
"optimistic_value": 13.84,
"output_full_name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"conservative_value": 11.82,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:56:46.761768Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_ebea8dd282780e84ca3103f3",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.66,
"skin_id": "skin-e8947585ba24",
"listing_id": "509613142168246287",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAG-7 | MAGnitude (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MAG-7 | MAGnitude",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e8947585ba24.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:01:42.742400Z"
},
{
"price": 0.86,
"skin_id": "skin-e8ce6f07d5e7",
"listing_id": "509612923503326559",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Caged (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Caged",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e8ce6f07d5e7.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:18:00.772559Z"
},
{
"price": 1.26,
"skin_id": "skin-e8947585ba24",
"listing_id": "516368488726592006",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAG-7 | MAGnitude (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MAG-7 | MAGnitude",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e8947585ba24.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:01:42.742400Z"
},
{
"price": 1.79,
"skin_id": "skin-e8ce6f07d5e7",
"listing_id": "526501422107673353",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Caged (Factory New)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Caged",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e8ce6f07d5e7.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:16:02.666848Z"
},
{
"price": 1.8,
"skin_id": "skin-e8ce6f07d5e7",
"listing_id": "523123888071680770",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Caged (Factory New)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Caged",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e8ce6f07d5e7.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:16:02.666848Z"
},
{
"price": 1.95,
"skin_id": "skin-e8ce6f07d5e7",
"listing_id": "518620288314673192",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Caged (Factory New)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Caged",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e8ce6f07d5e7.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:16:02.666848Z"
},
{
"price": 2.18,
"skin_id": "skin-8ec9dd302f30",
"listing_id": "523123091073111946",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-36",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Bullfrog (Factory New)",
"name": "P250 | Bullfrog",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8ec9dd302f30.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:16:04.866539Z"
},
{
"price": 0.78,
"skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
"listing_id": "502857742727234656",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:18:45.140407Z"
},
{
"price": 2.46,
"skin_id": "skin-39ceb900b437",
"listing_id": "506235389470490196",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Factory New)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Fusion",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-39ceb900b437.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:09:59.319737Z"
},
{
"price": 2.55,
"skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
"listing_id": "509613089304746343",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Factory New)",
"name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:18:31.664745Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-36:7+collection-set-community-37:3"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Genesis Collection ×7+The Dead Hand Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Liquidation 14.0% $21.44 Electrum 6.0% $16.94 Firebreathing 6.0% $10.78 Amberline 6.0% $6.11 Galigator 6.0% $5.30 Urban Sovereign 6.0% $4.90 | $21.44 +231.9% | $7.91 +22.5% | 26.0% | +87.8% | $6.46 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×7+The Dead Hand Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Liquidation 14.0% $11.18 Electrum 6.0% $10.69 Firebreathing 6.0% $6.12 Galigator 6.0% $3.49 Amberline 6.0% $2.88 Urban Sovereign 6.0% $2.85 | $11.18 +205.6% | $4.28 +17.0% | 26.0% | +84.7% | $3.66 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Genesis Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 18.0% $51.27 Liquidation 2.0% $46.21 Firebreathing 18.0% $31.66 Amberline 18.0% $18.87 Galigator 18.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 18.0% $13.85 | $51.27 +166.5% | $25.18 +30.9% | 38.0% | +71.6% | $19.24 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 12.0% $51.27 Liquidation 8.0% $46.21 Firebreathing 12.0% $31.66 Amberline 12.0% $18.87 Galigator 12.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 12.0% $13.85 | $51.27 +196.0% | $22.62 +30.6% | 44.0% | +75.6% | $17.32 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 14.0% $51.27 Liquidation 6.0% $46.21 Firebreathing 14.0% $31.66 Amberline 14.0% $18.87 Galigator 14.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 14.0% $13.85 | $51.27 +183.6% | $23.48 +29.8% | 48.0% | +73.3% | $18.08 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Liquidation 12.0% $11.18 Electrum 8.0% $10.69 Firebreathing 8.0% $6.12 Galigator 8.0% $3.49 Urban Sovereign 8.0% $2.90 Amberline 8.0% $2.88 | $11.18 +225.1% | $4.42 +28.4% | 36.0% | +88.7% | $3.44 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 10.0% $51.27 Liquidation 10.0% $46.21 Firebreathing 10.0% $31.66 Amberline 10.0% $18.87 Galigator 10.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 10.0% $13.85 | $51.27 +201.3% | $21.76 +27.8% | 40.0% | +76.4% | $17.02 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 16.0% $51.27 Liquidation 4.0% $46.21 Firebreathing 16.0% $31.66 Amberline 16.0% $18.87 Galigator 16.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 16.0% $13.85 | $51.27 +168.0% | $24.33 +27.2% | 36.0% | +70.5% | $19.13 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×8+The Dead Hand Collection ×2 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Liquidation 16.0% $11.18 Electrum 4.0% $10.69 Firebreathing 4.0% $6.12 Galigator 4.0% $3.49 Urban Sovereign 4.0% $2.90 Amberline 4.0% $2.88 | $11.18 +233.9% | $4.15 +23.9% | 28.0% | +94.1% | $3.35 | — |
The Genesis Collection ×9+The Dead Hand Collection ×1 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 2.0% $51.27 Liquidation 18.0% $46.21 Firebreathing 2.0% $31.66 Amberline 2.0% $18.87 Galigator 2.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 2.0% $13.85 | $51.27 +219.5% | $18.36 +14.4% | 24.0% | +80.1% | $16.05 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Genesis Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight  30.0% $290.04 Ice Coaled  3.3% $115.81 Smoking Kills  3.3% $98.16 Mirror Mosaic  3.3% $88.96 Kintsugi  30.0% $60.46 Deathgaze  30.0% $58.59 | $290.04 +190.2% | $132.82 +32.9% | 33.3% | +103.8% | $99.93 | — |