← Results

The Dead Hand Collection ×9+The Chroma Collection ×1

Restricted → Classified MW ST 10 items
Factory New +30.3%Field-Tested +3.9%Minimal Wear +9.0%
Contract
Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear StatTrak™
Inputs
Amberline
MP7 | Amberline
3x $2.89
Urban Sovereign
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
4x $3.57
Galigator
Galil AR | Galigator
2x $5.66
Naga
Desert Eagle | Naga
1x $8.54
↓
Possible Outputs
Crane Flight
AK-47 | Crane Flight
30.0% $126.41
龍王
M4A4 | 龍王 (Dragon King)
3.3% $91.72
Cartel
AK-47 | Cartel
3.3% $90.03
Muertos
P250 | Muertos
3.3% $33.08
Kintsugi
P250 | Kintsugi
30.0% $21.81
Deathgaze
P90 | Deathgaze
30.0% $21.34
Max Win
$126.41 (+137.4%)
EV (ROI %)
$58.03 (+9.0%)
Win %
36.7%
Volatility
+89.9%
Cost
$53.25
Age —
Financials
ASK-ONLY EDGE
Total Cost $53.25
Ask Price EV $58.03 (+9.0%)
Bid Price EV $51.57 (-3.1%)
Ask Profit $4.78 (+9.0%)
Bid Profit $-1.68 (-3.1%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $6.45 (+12.1%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$4.78
Bid Slippage Buffer -$1.68
Risk
Win Probability 36.7%
Loss Probability 63.3%
Best Case $126.41 (+137.4%)
Worst Case $21.34 (-59.9%)
Volatility +89.9%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 63.3%
Avg Win +$66.70
Avg Loss -$31.07
Bottom 5% Outcome $21.34 (-59.9%)
Std Dev $47.88
Avg Norm Float 0.1490
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 18m
Oldest Output Price 149h 4m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Sign in to Validate
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
MP7 | Amberline
—
Field-Tested
StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Field-Tested)
$2.89 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Field-Tested
StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Field-Tested)
$3.52 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Field-Tested
StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested)
$3.57 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear
StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)
$4.72 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear
StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)
$4.77 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear
StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)
$5.38 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Galigator
—
Minimal Wear
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator (Minimal Wear)
$5.66 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Minimal Wear
StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Minimal Wear)
$6.41 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Galigator
—
Minimal Wear
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator (Minimal Wear)
$7.79 Float: HIDDEN
Desert Eagle | Naga
—
Field-Tested
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Naga (Field-Tested)
$8.54 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 40M 31S //TOTAL COST $53.25 //ASK PRICE EV $58.03 //BID PRICE EV $51.57 //ASK PROFIT $4.78 (+9.0%) //BID PROFIT $-1.68 (-3.1%) //WIN PROBABILITY 36.7% //BEST CASE $126.41 //VOLATILITY +89.9% //
Possible Outputs · 6
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Click Spin to start.
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative P&L.
Raw payload (JSON) 
{
  "parts": [
    {
      "bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Restricted|stattrak",
      "item_count": 9,
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
    },
    {
      "bucket_id": "collection-set-community-6|Restricted|stattrak",
      "item_count": 1,
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-6"
    }
  ],
  "outcomes": [
    {
      "probability": 0.3,
      "output_float": 0.14903,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-f64cdaac0b90",
      "realistic_value": 126.41149999999999,
      "optimistic_value": 124,
      "output_full_name": "AK-47 | Crane Flight",
      "conservative_value": 112.39,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Minimal Wear)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:44.452841Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f64cdaac0b90.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.3,
      "output_float": 0.14903,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
      "realistic_value": 21.8115,
      "optimistic_value": 21.22,
      "output_full_name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
      "conservative_value": 20.66,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Minimal Wear)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:02:40.483272Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.3,
      "output_float": 0.14903,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
      "realistic_value": 21.337,
      "optimistic_value": 20.56,
      "output_full_name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
      "conservative_value": 19.38,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Minimal Wear)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:02:54.374467Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.03333333333333333,
      "output_float": 0.1117725,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-2a8ebacc14e8",
      "realistic_value": 90.029,
      "optimistic_value": 87.88,
      "output_full_name": "AK-47 | Cartel",
      "conservative_value": 75.3,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-6",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "collection_name": "The Chroma Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Cartel (Minimal Wear)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:17:04.703668Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2a8ebacc14e8.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.03333333333333333,
      "output_float": 0.1117725,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-d6f2e7995a15",
      "realistic_value": 91.719,
      "optimistic_value": 90.48,
      "output_full_name": "M4A4 | 龍王 (Dragon King)",
      "conservative_value": 71.83,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-6",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "collection_name": "The Chroma Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A4 | 龍王 (Dragon King) (Minimal Wear)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:24:28.693053Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d6f2e7995a15.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.03333333333333333,
      "output_float": 0.089418,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-add7770f46d1",
      "realistic_value": 33.0835,
      "optimistic_value": 31.89,
      "output_full_name": "P250 | Muertos",
      "conservative_value": 28.24,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-6",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "collection_name": "The Chroma Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Muertos (Minimal Wear)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:25:22.827952Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-add7770f46d1.png"
    }
  ],
  "family_id": "fam_e15d6971657df183c01b2c31",
  "input_rarity": "Restricted",
  "chosen_inputs": [
    {
      "price": 2.89,
      "skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "listing_id": "492724590627303729",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Field-Tested)",
      "name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:02:55.493135Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 3.52,
      "skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "listing_id": "497228024527485521",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Field-Tested)",
      "name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:02:55.493135Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 3.57,
      "skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
      "listing_id": "496102290329909687",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested)",
      "name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:02:49.069479Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 4.72,
      "skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
      "listing_id": "493850490550388512",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:02:51.345906Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 4.77,
      "skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
      "listing_id": "517494388634454286",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:02:51.345906Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 5.38,
      "skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
      "listing_id": "500605837398261191",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:02:51.345906Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 5.66,
      "skin_id": "skin-8571b4f29f98",
      "listing_id": "493850490550910008",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "Galil AR | Galigator",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8571b4f29f98.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:02:47.438054Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 6.41,
      "skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "listing_id": "528753387757823085",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:08:38.399751Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 7.79,
      "skin_id": "skin-8571b4f29f98",
      "listing_id": "496102237883502647",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "Galil AR | Galigator",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8571b4f29f98.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:02:47.438054Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 8.54,
      "skin_id": "skin-75138a0c07b3",
      "listing_id": "642467210058499228",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-6",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Naga (Field-Tested)",
      "name": "Desert Eagle | Naga",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-75138a0c07b3.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:14:03.245280Z"
    }
  ],
  "contract_size": 10,
  "output_rarity": "Classified",
  "stattrak_mode": true,
  "composition_key": "Restricted|Classified|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-37:9+collection-set-community-6:1"
}
Related

Related contracts

Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
ContractOutputsMax WinEV (ROI)Win %VolatilityCostAge
The Dead Hand Collection ×9+The Chroma Collection ×1
Restricted → Classified Factory New ST
Crane Flight
AK-47 | Crane Flight
30.0% $290.04
龍王
M4A4 | 龍王 (Dragon King)
3.3% $172.38
Cartel
AK-47 | Cartel
3.3% $171.06
Kintsugi
P250 | Kintsugi
30.0% $61.35
Deathgaze
P90 | Deathgaze
30.0% $58.69
Muertos
P250 | Muertos
3.3% $55.21
$290.04
+177.3%
$136.31
+30.3%
36.7%+99.7%$104.61—
The Dead Hand Collection ×9+The Chroma Collection ×1
Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST
Cartel
AK-47 | Cartel
3.3% $69.42
Crane Flight
AK-47 | Crane Flight
30.0% $63.86
龍王
M4A4 | 龍王 (Dragon King)
3.3% $41.04
Muertos
P250 | Muertos
3.3% $26.31
Kintsugi
P250 | Kintsugi
30.0% $12.65
Deathgaze
P90 | Deathgaze
30.0% $11.23
$69.42
+133.7%
$30.88
+3.9%
36.7%+82.1%$29.71—
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
ContractOutputsMax WinEV (ROI)Win %VolatilityCostAge
The Dead Hand Collection ×8+The Chroma Collection ×2
Restricted → Classified Factory New ST
Crane Flight
AK-47 | Crane Flight
26.7% $290.04
龍王
M4A4 | 龍王 (Dragon King)
6.7% $172.38
Cartel
AK-47 | Cartel
6.7% $171.06
Kintsugi
P250 | Kintsugi
26.7% $61.35
Deathgaze
P90 | Deathgaze
26.7% $58.69
Muertos
P250 | Muertos
6.7% $55.21
$290.04
+168.7%
$135.93
+25.9%
40.0%+92.7%$107.93—
The Dead Hand Collection ×7+The Chroma Collection ×3
Restricted → Classified Factory New ST
Crane Flight
AK-47 | Crane Flight
23.3% $290.04
龍王
M4A4 | 龍王 (Dragon King)
10.0% $172.38
Cartel
AK-47 | Cartel
10.0% $171.06
Kintsugi
P250 | Kintsugi
23.3% $61.35
Deathgaze
P90 | Deathgaze
23.3% $58.69
Muertos
P250 | Muertos
10.0% $55.21
$290.04
+156.9%
$135.55
+20.1%
43.3%+84.7%$112.88—
The Dead Hand Collection ×6+The Chroma Collection ×4
Restricted → Classified Factory New ST
Crane Flight
AK-47 | Crane Flight
20.0% $290.04
龍王
M4A4 | 龍王 (Dragon King)
13.3% $172.38
Cartel
AK-47 | Cartel
13.3% $171.06
Kintsugi
P250 | Kintsugi
20.0% $61.35
Deathgaze
P90 | Deathgaze
20.0% $56.41
Muertos
P250 | Muertos
13.3% $55.21
$290.04
+142.1%
$134.71
+12.4%
46.7%+76.2%$119.80—
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
ContractOutputsMax WinEV (ROI)Win %VolatilityCostAge
The Dead Hand Collection ×9+The Chroma Collection ×1
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST
Electrum
M4A1-S | Electrum
18.0% $51.27
Naga
Desert Eagle | Naga
2.5% $41.56
Firebreathing
Desert Eagle | Firebreathing
18.0% $31.66
Amberline
MP7 | Amberline
18.0% $18.87
Malachite
MAC-10 | Malachite
2.5% $17.85
Galigator
Galil AR | Galigator
18.0% $14.51
$51.27
+154.0%
$25.52
+26.4%
38.5%+63.4%$20.19—
The Dead Hand Collection ×9+The Chroma Collection ×1
Classified → Covert Factory New ST
Queen's Gambit
AWP | Queen's Gambit
45.0% $843.46
Fully Tuned
Glock-18 | Fully Tuned
45.0% $484.90
Chatterbox
Galil AR | Chatterbox
5.0% $213.71
Man-o'-war
AWP | Man-o'-war
5.0% $188.20
$843.46
+59.9%
$617.86
+17.2%
45.0%+41.7%$527.35—
FS

TradeUps

Market intelligence and contract tracking for Counter-Strike 2.

TRADEUPS.ORG

support@tradeups.org

© 2026 TradeUps. All rights reserved.

TradeUps is not affiliated with Valve Corporation. We provide analytics and market data only, and do not sell, broker, custody, or transfer Counter-Strike 2 virtual items.