← Results

The Dead Hand Collection ×9+The Chroma Collection ×1

Restricted → Classified FT ST 10 items
Factory New +30.3%Field-Tested +3.9%Minimal Wear +9.0%
Contract
Restricted → Classified Field-Tested StatTrak™
Inputs
Amberline
MP7 | Amberline
6x $1.90
Urban Sovereign
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
3x $2.60
Serenity
Sawed-Off | Serenity
1x $5.64
↓
Possible Outputs
Cartel
AK-47 | Cartel
3.3% $69.42
Crane Flight
AK-47 | Crane Flight
30.0% $63.86
龍王
M4A4 | 龍王 (Dragon King)
3.3% $41.04
Muertos
P250 | Muertos
3.3% $26.31
Kintsugi
P250 | Kintsugi
30.0% $12.65
Deathgaze
P90 | Deathgaze
30.0% $11.23
Max Win
$69.42 (+133.7%)
EV (ROI %)
$30.88 (+3.9%)
Win %
36.7%
Volatility
+82.1%
Cost
$29.71
Age —
Financials
ASK-ONLY EDGE
Total Cost $29.71
Ask Price EV $30.88 (+3.9%)
Bid Price EV $28.03 (-5.7%)
Ask Profit $1.17 (+3.9%)
Bid Profit $-1.68 (-5.7%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $2.85 (+9.6%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$1.17
Bid Slippage Buffer -$1.68
Risk
Win Probability 36.7%
Loss Probability 63.3%
Best Case $69.42 (+133.7%)
Worst Case $11.23 (-62.2%)
Volatility +82.1%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 60.0%
Avg Win +$32.58
Avg Loss -$17.01
Bottom 5% Outcome $11.23 (-62.2%)
Std Dev $24.40
Avg Norm Float 0.3521
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 18m
Oldest Output Price 148h 7m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Safe
Sign in to Validate
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
MP7 | Amberline
—
Battle-Scarred
StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)
$1.90 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)
$2.31 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)
$2.33 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)
$2.34 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Field-Tested
StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested)
$2.60 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Field-Tested
StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested)
$2.61 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Field-Tested
StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Field-Tested)
$2.89 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Field-Tested
StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Field-Tested)
$3.52 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Field-Tested
StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested)
$3.57 Float: HIDDEN
Sawed-Off | Serenity
—
Field-Tested
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Serenity (Field-Tested)
$5.64 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 40M 23S //TOTAL COST $29.71 //ASK PRICE EV $30.88 //BID PRICE EV $28.03 //ASK PROFIT $1.17 (+3.9%) //BID PROFIT $-1.68 (-5.7%) //WIN PROBABILITY 36.7% //BEST CASE $69.42 //VOLATILITY +82.1% //
Possible Outputs · 6
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Click Spin to start.
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative P&L.
Raw payload (JSON) 
{
  "parts": [
    {
      "bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Restricted|stattrak",
      "item_count": 9,
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
    },
    {
      "bucket_id": "collection-set-community-6|Restricted|stattrak",
      "item_count": 1,
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-6"
    }
  ],
  "outcomes": [
    {
      "probability": 0.3,
      "output_float": 0.35214,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-f64cdaac0b90",
      "realistic_value": 63.8595,
      "optimistic_value": 63.52,
      "output_full_name": "AK-47 | Crane Flight",
      "conservative_value": 60.32,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Field-Tested)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:44.600521Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f64cdaac0b90.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.3,
      "output_float": 0.35214,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
      "realistic_value": 12.650500000000001,
      "optimistic_value": 12.57,
      "output_full_name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
      "conservative_value": 9.57,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Field-Tested)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:11:01.279472Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.3,
      "output_float": 0.35214,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
      "realistic_value": 11.227,
      "optimistic_value": 10.94,
      "output_full_name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
      "conservative_value": 9.52,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:02:49.247068Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.03333333333333333,
      "output_float": 0.26410500000000003,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-2a8ebacc14e8",
      "realistic_value": 69.42,
      "optimistic_value": 69,
      "output_full_name": "AK-47 | Cartel",
      "conservative_value": 63.55,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-6",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "collection_name": "The Chroma Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Cartel (Field-Tested)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:14:07.026752Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2a8ebacc14e8.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.03333333333333333,
      "output_float": 0.26410500000000003,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-d6f2e7995a15",
      "realistic_value": 41.0355,
      "optimistic_value": 39.87,
      "output_full_name": "M4A4 | 龍王 (Dragon King)",
      "conservative_value": 38.25,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-6",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "collection_name": "The Chroma Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A4 | 龍王 (Dragon King) (Field-Tested)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:24:41.271863Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d6f2e7995a15.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.03333333333333333,
      "output_float": 0.211284,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-add7770f46d1",
      "realistic_value": 26.314999999999998,
      "optimistic_value": 25.65,
      "output_full_name": "P250 | Muertos",
      "conservative_value": 24.35,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-6",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "collection_name": "The Chroma Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Muertos (Field-Tested)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:32:39.425248Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-add7770f46d1.png"
    }
  ],
  "family_id": "fam_e15d6971657df183c01b2c31",
  "input_rarity": "Restricted",
  "chosen_inputs": [
    {
      "price": 1.9,
      "skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "listing_id": "507361289454067249",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
      "name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:05:45.590708Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 2.31,
      "skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "listing_id": "505109489448722396",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
      "name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:02:49.676190Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 2.33,
      "skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "listing_id": "507361237008630373",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
      "name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:02:49.676190Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 2.34,
      "skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "listing_id": "492724538182385829",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
      "name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:02:49.676190Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 2.6,
      "skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
      "listing_id": "502857742726211284",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested)",
      "name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:02:49.069479Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 2.61,
      "skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
      "listing_id": "501731842661050601",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested)",
      "name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:02:49.069479Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 2.89,
      "skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "listing_id": "492724590627303729",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Field-Tested)",
      "name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:02:55.493135Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 3.52,
      "skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "listing_id": "497228024527485521",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Field-Tested)",
      "name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:02:55.493135Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 3.57,
      "skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
      "listing_id": "496102290329909687",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested)",
      "name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:02:49.069479Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 5.64,
      "skin_id": "skin-43a9e7d8242e",
      "listing_id": "525374890944848803",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-6",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Serenity (Field-Tested)",
      "name": "Sawed-Off | Serenity",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-43a9e7d8242e.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:05:56.805977Z"
    }
  ],
  "contract_size": 10,
  "output_rarity": "Classified",
  "stattrak_mode": true,
  "composition_key": "Restricted|Classified|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-37:9+collection-set-community-6:1"
}
Related

Related contracts

Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
ContractOutputsMax WinEV (ROI)Win %VolatilityCostAge
The Dead Hand Collection ×9+The Chroma Collection ×1
Restricted → Classified Factory New ST
Crane Flight
AK-47 | Crane Flight
30.0% $290.04
龍王
M4A4 | 龍王 (Dragon King)
3.3% $172.38
Cartel
AK-47 | Cartel
3.3% $171.06
Kintsugi
P250 | Kintsugi
30.0% $61.35
Deathgaze
P90 | Deathgaze
30.0% $58.69
Muertos
P250 | Muertos
3.3% $55.21
$290.04
+177.3%
$136.31
+30.3%
36.7%+99.7%$104.61—
The Dead Hand Collection ×9+The Chroma Collection ×1
Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST
Crane Flight
AK-47 | Crane Flight
30.0% $126.41
龍王
M4A4 | 龍王 (Dragon King)
3.3% $91.72
Cartel
AK-47 | Cartel
3.3% $90.03
Muertos
P250 | Muertos
3.3% $33.08
Kintsugi
P250 | Kintsugi
30.0% $21.81
Deathgaze
P90 | Deathgaze
30.0% $21.34
$126.41
+137.4%
$58.03
+9.0%
36.7%+89.9%$53.25—
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
ContractOutputsMax WinEV (ROI)Win %VolatilityCostAge
The Dead Hand Collection ×8+The Chroma Collection ×2
Restricted → Classified Factory New ST
Crane Flight
AK-47 | Crane Flight
26.7% $290.04
龍王
M4A4 | 龍王 (Dragon King)
6.7% $172.38
Cartel
AK-47 | Cartel
6.7% $171.06
Kintsugi
P250 | Kintsugi
26.7% $61.35
Deathgaze
P90 | Deathgaze
26.7% $58.69
Muertos
P250 | Muertos
6.7% $55.21
$290.04
+168.7%
$135.93
+25.9%
40.0%+92.7%$107.93—
The Dead Hand Collection ×7+The Chroma Collection ×3
Restricted → Classified Factory New ST
Crane Flight
AK-47 | Crane Flight
23.3% $290.04
龍王
M4A4 | 龍王 (Dragon King)
10.0% $172.38
Cartel
AK-47 | Cartel
10.0% $171.06
Kintsugi
P250 | Kintsugi
23.3% $61.35
Deathgaze
P90 | Deathgaze
23.3% $58.69
Muertos
P250 | Muertos
10.0% $55.21
$290.04
+156.9%
$135.55
+20.1%
43.3%+84.7%$112.88—
The Dead Hand Collection ×6+The Chroma Collection ×4
Restricted → Classified Factory New ST
Crane Flight
AK-47 | Crane Flight
20.0% $290.04
龍王
M4A4 | 龍王 (Dragon King)
13.3% $172.38
Cartel
AK-47 | Cartel
13.3% $171.06
Kintsugi
P250 | Kintsugi
20.0% $61.35
Deathgaze
P90 | Deathgaze
20.0% $56.41
Muertos
P250 | Muertos
13.3% $55.21
$290.04
+142.1%
$134.71
+12.4%
46.7%+76.2%$119.80—
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
ContractOutputsMax WinEV (ROI)Win %VolatilityCostAge
The Dead Hand Collection ×9+The Chroma Collection ×1
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST
Electrum
M4A1-S | Electrum
18.0% $51.27
Naga
Desert Eagle | Naga
2.5% $41.56
Firebreathing
Desert Eagle | Firebreathing
18.0% $31.66
Amberline
MP7 | Amberline
18.0% $18.87
Malachite
MAC-10 | Malachite
2.5% $17.85
Galigator
Galil AR | Galigator
18.0% $14.51
$51.27
+154.0%
$25.52
+26.4%
38.5%+63.4%$20.19—
The Dead Hand Collection ×9+The Chroma Collection ×1
Classified → Covert Factory New ST
Queen's Gambit
AWP | Queen's Gambit
45.0% $843.46
Fully Tuned
Glock-18 | Fully Tuned
45.0% $484.90
Chatterbox
Galil AR | Chatterbox
5.0% $213.71
Man-o'-war
AWP | Man-o'-war
5.0% $188.20
$843.46
+59.9%
$617.86
+17.2%
45.0%+41.7%$527.35—
FS

TradeUps

Market intelligence and contract tracking for Counter-Strike 2.

TRADEUPS.ORG

support@tradeups.org

© 2026 TradeUps. All rights reserved.

TradeUps is not affiliated with Valve Corporation. We provide analytics and market data only, and do not sell, broker, custody, or transfer Counter-Strike 2 virtual items.