The Revolver Case Collection ×5+The Revolution Collection ×5
Classified → Covert MW ST 10 items
Contract
Classified → Covert Minimal Wear StatTrak™
Inputs
Shapewood
4x $11.65
The Executioner
1x $14.11
Wicked Sick
3x $9.56
Wild Child
2x $10.30
↓
Possible Outputs
Fade
25.0% $318.51
Royal Paladin
25.0% $173.55
Temukau
25.0% $126.64
Head Shot
25.0% $70.95
Max Win
$318.51 (+141.5%)
EV (ROI %)
$172.41 (+30.7%)
Win %
50.0%
Volatility
+69.6%
Cost
$131.91
Age —
Financials
ASK-ONLY EDGETotal Cost $131.91
Ask Price EV $172.41 (+30.7%)
Bid Price EV $124.00 (-6.0%)
Ask Profit $40.50 (+30.7%)
Bid Profit $-7.91 (-6.0%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $48.42 (+36.7%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$40.50
Bid Slippage Buffer -$7.91
Risk
Win Probability 50.0%
Loss Probability 50.0%
Best Case $318.51 (+141.5%)
Worst Case $70.95 (-46.2%)
Volatility +69.6%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 25.0%
Avg Win +$114.12
Avg Loss -$33.11
Bottom 5% Outcome $70.95 (-46.2%)
Std Dev $91.84
Avg Norm Float 0.1494
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 23m
Oldest Output Price 151h 37m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
P90 | Shapewood
—
Field-Tested
$11.65 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Shapewood
—
Field-Tested
$12.33 Float: HIDDEN
G3SG1 | The Executioner
—
Field-Tested
$14.11 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Shapewood
—
Minimal Wear
$19.55 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Shapewood
—
Minimal Wear
$20.21 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Wicked Sick
—
Minimal Wear
$9.56 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Wild Child
—
Minimal Wear
$10.30 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Wild Child
—
Minimal Wear
$10.92 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Wicked Sick
—
Minimal Wear
$11.50 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Wicked Sick
—
Minimal Wear
$11.78 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 01H 05M 08S //TOTAL COST $131.91 //ASK PRICE EV $172.41 //BID PRICE EV $124.00 //ASK PROFIT $40.50 (+30.7%) //BID PROFIT $-7.91 (-6.0%) //WIN PROBABILITY 50.0% //BEST CASE $318.51 //VOLATILITY +69.6% //
Possible Outputs · 4
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN THIN BID
25.0%
$318.51
+$186.60
+141.5%
$177.41
+$45.50
+34.5%
$141.10
44.3%
—
WIN
25.0%
$173.55
+$41.64
+31.6%
$144.67
+$12.76
+9.7%
$28.88
16.6%
—
LOSS
25.0%
$126.64
-$5.27
-4.0%
$111.91
-$20.00
-15.2%
$14.73
11.6%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
25.0%
$70.95
-$60.96
-46.2%
$62.00
-$69.91
-53.0%
$8.95
12.6%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-10|Classified|stattrak",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-10"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-32|Classified|stattrak",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.25,
"output_float": 0.14935,
"output_skin_id": "skin-1f95db2031e4",
"realistic_value": 70.9495,
"optimistic_value": 69,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Head Shot",
"conservative_value": 62,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Head Shot (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:16:44.327515Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1f95db2031e4.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.25,
"output_float": 0.11948000000000002,
"output_skin_id": "skin-4c83a4940ef3",
"realistic_value": 173.547,
"optimistic_value": 165,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Royal Paladin",
"conservative_value": 144.67,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolver Case Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A4 | Royal Paladin (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T03:37:34.881770Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4c83a4940ef3.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.25,
"output_float": 0.11948000000000002,
"output_skin_id": "skin-1aba3ea9ecc5",
"realistic_value": 126.6415,
"optimistic_value": 125,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Temukau",
"conservative_value": 111.91,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A4 | Temukau (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:23:23.801392Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1aba3ea9ecc5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.25,
"output_float": 0.05974000000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-3d5660b8b090",
"realistic_value": 318.5125,
"optimistic_value": 254.81,
"output_full_name": "R8 Revolver | Fade",
"conservative_value": 177.41,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Revolver Case Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Fade (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:28:16.437303Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3d5660b8b090.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_e15ae34bd366b49249d717f9",
"input_rarity": "Classified",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 11.65,
"skin_id": "skin-d866f26d9587",
"listing_id": "529879235108153736",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Shapewood (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P90 | Shapewood",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d866f26d9587.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:51:44.475270Z"
},
{
"price": 12.33,
"skin_id": "skin-d866f26d9587",
"listing_id": "507361342333932685",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Shapewood (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P90 | Shapewood",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d866f26d9587.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:51:44.475270Z"
},
{
"price": 14.11,
"skin_id": "skin-b0c24d905a01",
"listing_id": "660480340358227224",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested)",
"name": "G3SG1 | The Executioner",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-b0c24d905a01.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:10:00.124267Z"
},
{
"price": 19.55,
"skin_id": "skin-d866f26d9587",
"listing_id": "528753335312491401",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Shapewood (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P90 | Shapewood",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d866f26d9587.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:51:35.434847Z"
},
{
"price": 20.21,
"skin_id": "skin-d866f26d9587",
"listing_id": "783200338039312163",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Shapewood (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P90 | Shapewood",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d866f26d9587.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:51:35.434847Z"
},
{
"price": 9.56,
"skin_id": "skin-c36fdc469906",
"listing_id": "493850438106798580",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P2000 | Wicked Sick",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c36fdc469906.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:56:34.437221Z"
},
{
"price": 10.3,
"skin_id": "skin-f04de3b20f62",
"listing_id": "502857637416539632",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Wild Child",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f04de3b20f62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:56:35.827211Z"
},
{
"price": 10.92,
"skin_id": "skin-f04de3b20f62",
"listing_id": "660480974360538876",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Wild Child",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f04de3b20f62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:56:35.827211Z"
},
{
"price": 11.5,
"skin_id": "skin-c36fdc469906",
"listing_id": "610942109780768635",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P2000 | Wicked Sick",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c36fdc469906.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:56:34.437221Z"
},
{
"price": 11.78,
"skin_id": "skin-c36fdc469906",
"listing_id": "523123091065567750",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P2000 | Wicked Sick",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c36fdc469906.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:56:34.437221Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Covert",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Classified|Covert|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-10:5+collection-set-community-32:5"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolver Case Collection ×5+The Revolution Collection ×5 Classified → Covert Well-Worn ST | Fade 25.0% $131.78 Royal Paladin 25.0% $117.34 Temukau 25.0% $52.74 Head Shot 25.0% $39.98 | $131.78 +60.4% | $85.46 +4.0% | 50.0% | +48.3% | $82.15 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolver Case Collection ×3+The Revolution Collection ×7 Classified → Covert Field-Tested ST | Fade 15.0% $318.51 Royal Paladin 15.0% $173.55 Temukau 35.0% $126.64 Head Shot 35.0% $46.53 | $318.51 +198.0% | $134.42 +25.8% | 65.0% | +83.9% | $106.88 | — |
The Revolver Case Collection ×2+The Revolution Collection ×8 Classified → Covert Field-Tested ST | Fade 10.0% $318.51 Royal Paladin 10.0% $173.55 Temukau 40.0% $126.64 Head Shot 40.0% $46.53 | $318.51 +213.2% | $118.48 +16.5% | 60.0% | +78.7% | $101.71 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolver Case Collection ×4+The Revolution Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Power Loader  6.7% $20.64 Avalanche  6.7% $17.49 Retrobution  6.7% $9.43 Teclu Burner  6.7% $8.17 Fuel Rod  6.7% $6.48 Tiger Moth  6.7% $5.82 | $20.64 +304.6% | $6.09 +19.5% | 40.0% | +95.7% | $5.10 | — |