The Prisma 2 Collection ×6+The Revolution Collection ×4
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted MW ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear StatTrak™
Inputs
Distressed
5x $0.26
Desert Strike
1x $0.27
Cyberforce
2x $0.20
Fragments
2x $0.29
↓
Possible Outputs
Fever Dream
12.0% $8.04
Acid Etched
12.0% $5.54
Apocalypto
12.0% $4.36
Emphorosaur-S
8.0% $4.12
Darkwing
12.0% $3.78
Enforcer
12.0% $3.26
Max Win
$8.04 (+141.4%)
EV (ROI %)
$4.04 (+21.2%)
Win %
56.0%
Volatility
+56.1%
Cost
$3.33
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $3.33
Ask Price EV $4.04 (+21.2%)
Bid Price EV $3.45 (+3.7%)
Ask Profit $0.71 (+21.2%)
Bid Profit $0.12 (+3.7%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.58 (+17.5%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.71
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.12
Risk
Win Probability 56.0%
Loss Probability 44.0%
Best Case $8.04 (+141.4%)
Worst Case $1.41 (-57.7%)
Volatility +56.1%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 16.0%
Avg Win +$1.91
Avg Loss -$0.83
Bottom 5% Outcome $1.41 (-57.7%)
Std Dev $1.87
Avg Norm Float 0.1499
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 21m
Oldest Output Price 149h 13m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Big-Win Hunter · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
CZ75-Auto | Distressed
—
Field-Tested
$0.26 Float: HIDDEN
MP5-SD | Desert Strike
—
Field-Tested
$0.27 Float: HIDDEN
CZ75-Auto | Distressed
—
Field-Tested
$0.28 Float: HIDDEN
CZ75-Auto | Distressed
—
Field-Tested
$0.32 Float: HIDDEN
CZ75-Auto | Distressed
—
Minimal Wear
$0.51 Float: HIDDEN
CZ75-Auto | Distressed
—
Minimal Wear
$0.52 Float: HIDDEN
SG 553 | Cyberforce
—
Field-Tested
$0.20 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Fragments
—
Minimal Wear
$0.29 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Fragments
—
Minimal Wear
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
SG 553 | Cyberforce
—
Minimal Wear
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 51M 29S //TOTAL COST $3.33 //ASK PRICE EV $4.04 //BID PRICE EV $3.45 //ASK PROFIT $0.71 (+21.2%) //BID PROFIT $0.12 (+3.7%) //WIN PROBABILITY 56.0% //BEST CASE $8.04 //VOLATILITY +56.1% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
12.0%
$8.04
+$4.71
+141.4%
$7.38
+$4.05
+121.6%
$0.66
8.2%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
12.0%
$5.54
+$2.21
+66.4%
$4.68
+$1.35
+40.5%
$0.86
15.5%
—
WIN EDGE FLOAT
12.0%
$4.36
+$1.03
+30.8%
$3.34
+$0.01
+0.3%
$1.02
23.3%
—
WIN
8.0%
$4.12
+$0.79
+23.6%
$3.56
+$0.23
+6.9%
$0.56
13.5%
—
PAPER WIN EDGE FLOAT
12.0%
$3.78
+$0.45
+13.6%
$3.19
-$0.14
-4.2%
$0.59
15.7%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
12.0%
$3.26
-$0.07
-2.0%
$2.62
-$0.71
-21.3%
$0.64
19.7%
—
LOSS
8.0%
$3.08
-$0.25
-7.5%
$2.72
-$0.61
-18.3%
$0.36
11.7%
—
LOSS
8.0%
$2.65
-$0.68
-20.3%
$2.41
-$0.92
-27.6%
$0.24
9.2%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
8.0%
$1.73
-$1.60
-48.1%
$1.46
-$1.87
-56.2%
$0.27
15.5%
—
NUKE
8.0%
$1.41
-$1.92
-57.7%
$1.20
-$2.13
-64.0%
$0.21
14.9%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-25|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 6,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-32|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 4,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.14991,
"output_skin_id": "skin-dd7837484577",
"realistic_value": 5.541,
"optimistic_value": 5.45,
"output_full_name": "P2000 | Acid Etched",
"conservative_value": 4.68,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P2000 | Acid Etched (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T20:21:10.414344Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-dd7837484577.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.14991,
"output_skin_id": "skin-803029f01b68",
"realistic_value": 3.2635,
"optimistic_value": 3.26,
"output_full_name": "SCAR-20 | Enforcer",
"conservative_value": 2.62,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Enforcer (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:25:41.770353Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-803029f01b68.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.14991,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d00c49e52bd9",
"realistic_value": 3.784,
"optimistic_value": 3.77,
"output_full_name": "SG 553 | Darkwing",
"conservative_value": 3.19,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SG 553 | Darkwing (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:32:26.949833Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d00c49e52bd9.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.10793519999999998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e5f08d307bdd",
"realistic_value": 8.0375,
"optimistic_value": 7.53,
"output_full_name": "SSG 08 | Fever Dream",
"conservative_value": 7.38,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Fever Dream (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:32:39.583432Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e5f08d307bdd.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.14991,
"output_skin_id": "skin-db4ae843fbd7",
"realistic_value": 4.357,
"optimistic_value": 3.79,
"output_full_name": "Sawed-Off | Apocalypto",
"conservative_value": 3.34,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T19:14:02.736841Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-db4ae843fbd7.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.11243249999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-99526dbb85e6",
"realistic_value": 3.081,
"optimistic_value": 2.99,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit",
"conservative_value": 2.72,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-04T02:21:55.223530Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-99526dbb85e6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.11992799999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e4cd5a266934",
"realistic_value": 4.1175,
"optimistic_value": 4.1,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S",
"conservative_value": 3.56,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:22:44.557721Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e4cd5a266934.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.2969478,
"output_skin_id": "skin-7815c7fae965",
"realistic_value": 2.6535,
"optimistic_value": 2.65,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Sakkaku",
"conservative_value": 2.41,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T22:36:48.873772Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7815c7fae965.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.08994599999999998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2e0afbc14204",
"realistic_value": 1.41,
"optimistic_value": 1.41,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Neoqueen",
"conservative_value": 1.2,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Neoqueen (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:19:40.321086Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2e0afbc14204.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.14991,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f1184959b60b",
"realistic_value": 1.7269999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 1.72,
"output_full_name": "R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon",
"conservative_value": 1.46,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:44:50.454749Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f1184959b60b.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_de0ff271fc8b3d2f18cee5b1",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.26,
"skin_id": "skin-9a5ab653ba62",
"listing_id": "516368541588637910",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Field-Tested)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Distressed",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a5ab653ba62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:27:40.868544Z"
},
{
"price": 0.27,
"skin_id": "skin-d536309c3714",
"listing_id": "520872088107230916",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Desert Strike (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP5-SD | Desert Strike",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d536309c3714.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:30:12.143903Z"
},
{
"price": 0.28,
"skin_id": "skin-9a5ab653ba62",
"listing_id": "493850438107893880",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Field-Tested)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Distressed",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a5ab653ba62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:27:40.868544Z"
},
{
"price": 0.32,
"skin_id": "skin-9a5ab653ba62",
"listing_id": "501730992868715561",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Field-Tested)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Distressed",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a5ab653ba62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:27:40.868544Z"
},
{
"price": 0.51,
"skin_id": "skin-9a5ab653ba62",
"listing_id": "518620122757916680",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Distressed",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a5ab653ba62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:27:41.966903Z"
},
{
"price": 0.52,
"skin_id": "skin-9a5ab653ba62",
"listing_id": "490472625092404815",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Distressed",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a5ab653ba62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:27:41.966903Z"
},
{
"price": 0.2,
"skin_id": "skin-79472cd37595",
"listing_id": "650349216076116573",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyberforce (Field-Tested)",
"name": "SG 553 | Cyberforce",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-79472cd37595.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:25:22.178253Z"
},
{
"price": 0.29,
"skin_id": "skin-05d5c801f287",
"listing_id": "514116741796781502",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Fragments (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Fragments",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05d5c801f287.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:28:04.375081Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-05d5c801f287",
"listing_id": "517494441497397490",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Fragments (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Fragments",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05d5c801f287.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:28:04.375081Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-79472cd37595",
"listing_id": "519746241188332448",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyberforce (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SG 553 | Cyberforce",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-79472cd37595.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:14:39.708369Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-25:6+collection-set-community-32:4"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Prisma 2 Collection ×6+The Revolution Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Fever Dream 12.0% $18.94 Acid Etched 12.0% $17.96 Darkwing 12.0% $13.75 Emphorosaur-S 8.0% $11.80 Apocalypto 12.0% $11.36 Enforcer 12.0% $11.21 | $18.94 +78.1% | $11.40 +7.3% | 68.0% | +33.5% | $10.63 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×6+The Revolution Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Fever Dream 12.0% $8.04 Emphorosaur-S 8.0% $4.12 Umbral Rabbit 8.0% $3.08 Sakkaku 8.0% $2.65 Acid Etched 12.0% $2.00 Darkwing 12.0% $1.69 | $8.04 +206.8% | $2.76 +5.3% | 36.0% | +73.5% | $2.62 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Prisma 2 Collection ×7+The Revolution Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Fever Dream 14.0% $8.04 Acid Etched 14.0% $5.54 Apocalypto 14.0% $4.36 Emphorosaur-S 6.0% $4.12 Darkwing 14.0% $3.78 Enforcer 14.0% $3.26 | $8.04 +131.0% | $4.28 +22.9% | 62.0% | +44.4% | $3.48 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×5+The Revolution Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Fever Dream 10.0% $8.04 Acid Etched 10.0% $5.54 Apocalypto 10.0% $4.36 Emphorosaur-S 10.0% $4.12 Darkwing 10.0% $3.78 Enforcer 10.0% $3.26 | $8.04 +157.6% | $3.80 +21.7% | 60.0% | +47.2% | $3.12 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×4+The Revolution Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Fever Dream 8.0% $8.04 Acid Etched 8.0% $5.54 Apocalypto 8.0% $4.36 Emphorosaur-S 12.0% $4.12 Darkwing 8.0% $3.78 Enforcer 8.0% $3.26 | $8.04 +167.0% | $3.56 +18.2% | 64.0% | +47.2% | $3.01 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×2+The Revolution Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Fever Dream 4.0% $8.04 Emphorosaur-S 16.0% $4.12 Umbral Rabbit 16.0% $3.08 Sakkaku 16.0% $2.65 Acid Etched 4.0% $2.00 Darkwing 4.0% $1.69 | $8.04 +270.4% | $2.54 +16.9% | 52.0% | +60.1% | $2.17 | — |