The Prisma 2 Collection ×6+The Revolution Collection ×4
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FN ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New StatTrak™
Inputs
Distressed
4x $0.51
Tom Cat
2x $1.10
Cyberforce
2x $0.35
Fragments
1x $0.95
Rebel
1x $1.88
↓
Possible Outputs
Fever Dream
12.0% $18.94
Acid Etched
12.0% $17.96
Darkwing
12.0% $13.75
Emphorosaur-S
8.0% $11.80
Apocalypto
12.0% $11.36
Enforcer
12.0% $11.21
Max Win
$18.94 (+83.0%)
EV (ROI %)
$11.43 (+10.5%)
Win %
68.0%
Volatility
+49.6%
Cost
$10.35
Age —
Financials
ASK-ONLY EDGETotal Cost $10.35
Ask Price EV $11.43 (+10.5%)
Bid Price EV $9.30 (-10.1%)
Ask Profit $1.08 (+10.5%)
Bid Profit $-1.05 (-10.1%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $2.13 (+20.6%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$1.08
Bid Slippage Buffer -$1.05
Risk
Win Probability 68.0%
Loss Probability 32.0%
Best Case $18.94 (+83.0%)
Worst Case $2.65 (-74.4%)
Volatility +49.6%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 24.0%
Avg Win +$3.96
Avg Loss -$5.02
Bottom 5% Outcome $2.65 (-74.4%)
Std Dev $5.13
Avg Norm Float 0.0698
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 19m
Oldest Output Price 150h 37m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Big-Win Hunter · Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
CZ75-Auto | Distressed
—
Minimal Wear
$0.51 Float: HIDDEN
CZ75-Auto | Distressed
—
Minimal Wear
$0.52 Float: HIDDEN
CZ75-Auto | Distressed
—
Minimal Wear
$0.55 Float: HIDDEN
CZ75-Auto | Distressed
—
Minimal Wear
$0.63 Float: HIDDEN
AUG | Tom Cat
—
Minimal Wear
$1.10 Float: HIDDEN
AUG | Tom Cat
—
Factory New
$2.44 Float: HIDDEN
SG 553 | Cyberforce
—
Minimal Wear
$0.35 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Fragments
—
Factory New
$0.95 Float: HIDDEN
SG 553 | Cyberforce
—
Factory New
$1.42 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Rebel
—
Factory New
$1.88 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 40M 26S //TOTAL COST $10.35 //ASK PRICE EV $11.43 //BID PRICE EV $9.30 //ASK PROFIT $1.08 (+10.5%) //BID PROFIT $-1.05 (-10.1%) //WIN PROBABILITY 68.0% //BEST CASE $18.94 //VOLATILITY +49.6% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
12.0%
$18.94
+$8.59
+83.0%
$15.04
+$4.69
+45.3%
$3.90
20.6%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
12.0%
$17.96
+$7.61
+73.5%
$14.21
+$3.86
+37.3%
$3.75
20.9%
—
WIN EDGE FLOAT
12.0%
$13.75
+$3.40
+32.8%
$11.40
+$1.05
+10.1%
$2.35
17.1%
—
PAPER WIN
8.0%
$11.80
+$1.45
+14.1%
$10.16
-$0.19
-1.8%
$1.64
13.9%
—
PAPER WIN EDGE FLOAT
12.0%
$11.36
+$1.01
+9.7%
$8.88
-$1.47
-14.2%
$2.48
21.8%
—
PAPER WIN EDGE FLOAT
12.0%
$11.21
+$0.86
+8.3%
$8.97
-$1.38
-13.3%
$2.24
20.0%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
8.0%
$8.11
-$2.24
-21.6%
$6.70
-$3.65
-35.3%
$1.41
17.4%
—
LOSS
8.0%
$7.37
-$2.98
-28.8%
$6.18
-$4.17
-40.3%
$1.19
16.1%
—
NUKE
8.0%
$3.17
-$7.18
-69.3%
$3.08
-$7.27
-70.2%
$0.09
2.9%
—
NUKE
8.0%
$2.65
-$7.70
-74.4%
$2.41
-$7.94
-76.7%
$0.24
9.2%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-25|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 6,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-32|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 4,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.06976,
"output_skin_id": "skin-dd7837484577",
"realistic_value": 17.957,
"optimistic_value": 17.04,
"output_full_name": "P2000 | Acid Etched",
"conservative_value": 14.21,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P2000 | Acid Etched (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:25:44.737410Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-dd7837484577.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.06976,
"output_skin_id": "skin-803029f01b68",
"realistic_value": 11.2055,
"optimistic_value": 11.09,
"output_full_name": "SCAR-20 | Enforcer",
"conservative_value": 8.97,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Enforcer (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:28:42.205832Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-803029f01b68.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.06976,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d00c49e52bd9",
"realistic_value": 13.746,
"optimistic_value": 13.34,
"output_full_name": "SG 553 | Darkwing",
"conservative_value": 11.4,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SG 553 | Darkwing (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T12:00:17.131456Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d00c49e52bd9.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.0502272,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e5f08d307bdd",
"realistic_value": 18.937,
"optimistic_value": 18.44,
"output_full_name": "SSG 08 | Fever Dream",
"conservative_value": 15.04,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Fever Dream (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:30:39.589633Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e5f08d307bdd.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.06976,
"output_skin_id": "skin-db4ae843fbd7",
"realistic_value": 11.3575,
"optimistic_value": 10.5,
"output_full_name": "Sawed-Off | Apocalypto",
"conservative_value": 8.88,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:25:53.172383Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-db4ae843fbd7.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.052320000000000005,
"output_skin_id": "skin-99526dbb85e6",
"realistic_value": 7.365,
"optimistic_value": 7.33,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit",
"conservative_value": 6.18,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:12:27.926241Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-99526dbb85e6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.055808,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e4cd5a266934",
"realistic_value": 11.804499999999999,
"optimistic_value": 11.5,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S",
"conservative_value": 10.16,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:54:46.328444Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e4cd5a266934.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.2504608,
"output_skin_id": "skin-7815c7fae965",
"realistic_value": 2.6535,
"optimistic_value": 2.65,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Sakkaku",
"conservative_value": 2.41,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T22:36:48.873772Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7815c7fae965.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.041856,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2e0afbc14204",
"realistic_value": 3.1735,
"optimistic_value": 3.1,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Neoqueen",
"conservative_value": 3.08,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Neoqueen (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:23:15.249567Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2e0afbc14204.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.06976,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f1184959b60b",
"realistic_value": 8.1115,
"optimistic_value": 8.01,
"output_full_name": "R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon",
"conservative_value": 6.7,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:05:35.927582Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f1184959b60b.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_de0ff271fc8b3d2f18cee5b1",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.51,
"skin_id": "skin-9a5ab653ba62",
"listing_id": "518620122757916680",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Distressed",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a5ab653ba62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:18:04.640665Z"
},
{
"price": 0.52,
"skin_id": "skin-9a5ab653ba62",
"listing_id": "490472625092404815",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Distressed",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a5ab653ba62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:18:04.640665Z"
},
{
"price": 0.55,
"skin_id": "skin-9a5ab653ba62",
"listing_id": "507360492284530429",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Distressed",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a5ab653ba62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:18:04.640665Z"
},
{
"price": 0.63,
"skin_id": "skin-9a5ab653ba62",
"listing_id": "510738192173824270",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Distressed",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a5ab653ba62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:18:04.640665Z"
},
{
"price": 1.1,
"skin_id": "skin-42cc631beb8c",
"listing_id": "648097416170940020",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AUG | Tom Cat (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "AUG | Tom Cat",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-42cc631beb8c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:15:18.311294Z"
},
{
"price": 2.44,
"skin_id": "skin-42cc631beb8c",
"listing_id": "510738192176872066",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AUG | Tom Cat (Factory New)",
"name": "AUG | Tom Cat",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-42cc631beb8c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:31:06.699910Z"
},
{
"price": 0.35,
"skin_id": "skin-79472cd37595",
"listing_id": "502857742726764928",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyberforce (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SG 553 | Cyberforce",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-79472cd37595.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:28:47.330922Z"
},
{
"price": 0.95,
"skin_id": "skin-05d5c801f287",
"listing_id": "521997988016650110",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Fragments",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05d5c801f287.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:20:53.674626Z"
},
{
"price": 1.42,
"skin_id": "skin-79472cd37595",
"listing_id": "518620341243160948",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyberforce (Factory New)",
"name": "SG 553 | Cyberforce",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-79472cd37595.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:18:01.852882Z"
},
{
"price": 1.88,
"skin_id": "skin-e5141cf036fa",
"listing_id": "496102237882665215",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Rebel (Factory New)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Rebel",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e5141cf036fa.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:12:56.478834Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-25:6+collection-set-community-32:4"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Prisma 2 Collection ×6+The Revolution Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Fever Dream 12.0% $8.04 Acid Etched 12.0% $5.54 Apocalypto 12.0% $4.36 Emphorosaur-S 8.0% $4.12 Darkwing 12.0% $3.78 Enforcer 12.0% $3.25 | $8.04 +145.8% | $4.04 +23.4% | 56.0% | +46.3% | $3.27 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×6+The Revolution Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Fever Dream 12.0% $8.04 Emphorosaur-S 8.0% $4.12 Umbral Rabbit 8.0% $3.08 Sakkaku 8.0% $2.65 Acid Etched 12.0% $2.00 Apocalypto 12.0% $1.66 | $8.04 +205.6% | $2.74 +4.3% | 36.0% | +73.4% | $2.63 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Prisma 2 Collection ×7+The Revolution Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Fever Dream 14.0% $8.04 Acid Etched 14.0% $5.54 Apocalypto 14.0% $4.36 Emphorosaur-S 6.0% $4.12 Darkwing 14.0% $3.82 Enforcer 14.0% $3.25 | $8.04 +130.3% | $4.28 +22.6% | 62.0% | +44.2% | $3.49 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×5+The Revolution Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Fever Dream 10.0% $8.04 Acid Etched 10.0% $5.54 Apocalypto 10.0% $4.36 Emphorosaur-S 10.0% $4.12 Darkwing 10.0% $3.82 Enforcer 10.0% $3.25 | $8.04 +151.2% | $3.80 +18.7% | 60.0% | +46.0% | $3.20 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×4+The Revolution Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Fever Dream 8.0% $8.04 Acid Etched 8.0% $5.54 Apocalypto 8.0% $4.36 Emphorosaur-S 12.0% $4.12 Darkwing 8.0% $3.78 Enforcer 8.0% $3.26 | $8.04 +166.1% | $3.56 +17.8% | 64.0% | +47.1% | $3.02 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×2+The Revolution Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Fever Dream 4.0% $8.04 Emphorosaur-S 16.0% $4.12 Umbral Rabbit 16.0% $3.08 Sakkaku 16.0% $2.65 Acid Etched 4.0% $2.00 Apocalypto 4.0% $1.66 | $8.04 +273.8% | $2.53 +17.5% | 52.0% | +60.9% | $2.15 | — |