The Prisma 2 Collection ×6+The Revolution Collection ×4
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FT ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested StatTrak™
Inputs
Distressed
5x $0.26
Desert Strike
1x $0.27
Fragments
3x $0.15
Re.built
1x $0.18
↓
Possible Outputs
Fever Dream
12.0% $8.04
Emphorosaur-S
8.0% $4.12
Umbral Rabbit
8.0% $3.08
Sakkaku
8.0% $2.65
Acid Etched
12.0% $2.00
Apocalypto
12.0% $1.66
Max Win
$8.04 (+205.6%)
EV (ROI %)
$2.74 (+4.3%)
Win %
36.0%
Volatility
+80.7%
Cost
$2.63
Age —
Financials
ASK-ONLY EDGETotal Cost $2.63
Ask Price EV $2.74 (+4.3%)
Bid Price EV $2.45 (-6.7%)
Ask Profit $0.11 (+4.3%)
Bid Profit $-0.18 (-6.7%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.29 (+11.1%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.11
Bid Slippage Buffer -$0.18
Risk
Win Probability 36.0%
Loss Probability 64.0%
Best Case $8.04 (+205.6%)
Worst Case $0.83 (-68.6%)
Volatility +80.7%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 52.0%
Avg Win +$2.24
Avg Loss -$1.08
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.83 (-68.6%)
Std Dev $2.12
Avg Norm Float 0.1873
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 14m
Oldest Output Price 150h 9m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
CZ75-Auto | Distressed
—
Field-Tested
$0.26 Float: HIDDEN
MP5-SD | Desert Strike
—
Field-Tested
$0.27 Float: HIDDEN
CZ75-Auto | Distressed
—
Field-Tested
$0.28 Float: HIDDEN
CZ75-Auto | Distressed
—
Field-Tested
$0.30 Float: HIDDEN
CZ75-Auto | Distressed
—
Field-Tested
$0.31 Float: HIDDEN
CZ75-Auto | Distressed
—
Field-Tested
$0.32 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Fragments
—
Field-Tested
$0.15 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Re.built
—
Field-Tested
$0.18 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Fragments
—
Minimal Wear
$0.27 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Fragments
—
Minimal Wear
$0.29 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 40M 25S //TOTAL COST $2.63 //ASK PRICE EV $2.74 //BID PRICE EV $2.45 //ASK PROFIT $0.11 (+4.3%) //BID PROFIT $-0.18 (-6.7%) //WIN PROBABILITY 36.0% //BEST CASE $8.04 //VOLATILITY +80.7% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
12.0%
$8.04
+$5.41
+205.6%
$7.38
+$4.75
+180.6%
$0.66
8.2%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
8.0%
$4.12
+$1.49
+56.6%
$3.56
+$0.93
+35.4%
$0.56
13.5%
—
WIN
8.0%
$3.08
+$0.45
+17.1%
$2.72
+$0.09
+3.4%
$0.36
11.7%
—
PAPER WIN
8.0%
$2.65
+$0.02
+0.9%
$2.41
-$0.22
-8.4%
$0.24
9.2%
—
LOSS
12.0%
$2.00
-$0.63
-24.0%
$1.76
-$0.87
-33.1%
$0.24
11.9%
—
LOSS
12.0%
$1.66
-$0.97
-37.0%
$1.39
-$1.24
-47.1%
$0.27
16.1%
—
LOSS
12.0%
$1.64
-$0.99
-37.6%
$1.46
-$1.17
-44.5%
$0.18
11.1%
—
NUKE
12.0%
$1.48
-$1.15
-43.9%
$1.35
-$1.28
-48.7%
$0.13
8.5%
—
NUKE
8.0%
$1.41
-$1.22
-46.4%
$1.20
-$1.43
-54.4%
$0.21
14.9%
—
NUKE
8.0%
$0.83
-$1.80
-68.6%
$0.76
-$1.87
-71.1%
$0.07
8.1%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-25|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 6,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-32|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 4,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.18729,
"output_skin_id": "skin-dd7837484577",
"realistic_value": 1.9974999999999998,
"optimistic_value": 1.98,
"output_full_name": "P2000 | Acid Etched",
"conservative_value": 1.76,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P2000 | Acid Etched (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:18:11.961709Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-dd7837484577.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.18729,
"output_skin_id": "skin-803029f01b68",
"realistic_value": 1.476,
"optimistic_value": 1.42,
"output_full_name": "SCAR-20 | Enforcer",
"conservative_value": 1.35,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Enforcer (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:23:04.563451Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-803029f01b68.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.18729,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d00c49e52bd9",
"realistic_value": 1.6415,
"optimistic_value": 1.61,
"output_full_name": "SG 553 | Darkwing",
"conservative_value": 1.46,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SG 553 | Darkwing (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:26:09.256628Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d00c49e52bd9.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.1348488,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e5f08d307bdd",
"realistic_value": 8.0375,
"optimistic_value": 7.53,
"output_full_name": "SSG 08 | Fever Dream",
"conservative_value": 7.38,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Fever Dream (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:32:39.583432Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e5f08d307bdd.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.18729,
"output_skin_id": "skin-db4ae843fbd7",
"realistic_value": 1.6575,
"optimistic_value": 1.64,
"output_full_name": "Sawed-Off | Apocalypto",
"conservative_value": 1.39,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-04T13:01:11.935890Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-db4ae843fbd7.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.14046750000000002,
"output_skin_id": "skin-99526dbb85e6",
"realistic_value": 3.081,
"optimistic_value": 2.99,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit",
"conservative_value": 2.72,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-04T02:21:55.223530Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-99526dbb85e6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.14983200000000002,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e4cd5a266934",
"realistic_value": 4.1175,
"optimistic_value": 4.1,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S",
"conservative_value": 3.56,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:22:44.557721Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e4cd5a266934.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.31862820000000003,
"output_skin_id": "skin-7815c7fae965",
"realistic_value": 2.6535,
"optimistic_value": 2.65,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Sakkaku",
"conservative_value": 2.41,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T22:36:48.873772Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7815c7fae965.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.112374,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2e0afbc14204",
"realistic_value": 1.41,
"optimistic_value": 1.41,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Neoqueen",
"conservative_value": 1.2,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Neoqueen (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:10:20.488286Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2e0afbc14204.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.18729,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f1184959b60b",
"realistic_value": 0.827,
"optimistic_value": 0.82,
"output_full_name": "R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon",
"conservative_value": 0.76,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:21:08.812447Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f1184959b60b.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_de0ff271fc8b3d2f18cee5b1",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.26,
"skin_id": "skin-9a5ab653ba62",
"listing_id": "516368541588637910",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Field-Tested)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Distressed",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a5ab653ba62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:18:01.493259Z"
},
{
"price": 0.27,
"skin_id": "skin-d536309c3714",
"listing_id": "520872088107230916",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Desert Strike (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP5-SD | Desert Strike",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d536309c3714.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:20:46.239417Z"
},
{
"price": 0.28,
"skin_id": "skin-9a5ab653ba62",
"listing_id": "493850438107893880",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Field-Tested)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Distressed",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a5ab653ba62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:18:01.493259Z"
},
{
"price": 0.3,
"skin_id": "skin-9a5ab653ba62",
"listing_id": "496101493276070891",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Field-Tested)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Distressed",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a5ab653ba62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:18:01.493259Z"
},
{
"price": 0.31,
"skin_id": "skin-9a5ab653ba62",
"listing_id": "523123091047708294",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Field-Tested)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Distressed",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a5ab653ba62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:18:01.493259Z"
},
{
"price": 0.32,
"skin_id": "skin-9a5ab653ba62",
"listing_id": "501730992868715561",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Field-Tested)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Distressed",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a5ab653ba62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:18:01.493259Z"
},
{
"price": 0.15,
"skin_id": "skin-05d5c801f287",
"listing_id": "514116741796781610",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Fragments (Field-Tested)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Fragments",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05d5c801f287.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:29:02.830639Z"
},
{
"price": 0.18,
"skin_id": "skin-db200bb3a1ef",
"listing_id": "523123091064930586",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Re.built (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P250 | Re.built",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-db200bb3a1ef.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:18:42.666466Z"
},
{
"price": 0.27,
"skin_id": "skin-05d5c801f287",
"listing_id": "503983642532410795",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Fragments (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Fragments",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05d5c801f287.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:18:26.528205Z"
},
{
"price": 0.29,
"skin_id": "skin-05d5c801f287",
"listing_id": "514116741796781502",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Fragments (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Fragments",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05d5c801f287.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:18:26.528205Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-25:6+collection-set-community-32:4"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Prisma 2 Collection ×6+The Revolution Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Fever Dream 12.0% $8.04 Acid Etched 12.0% $5.54 Apocalypto 12.0% $4.36 Emphorosaur-S 8.0% $4.12 Darkwing 12.0% $3.78 Enforcer 12.0% $3.25 | $8.04 +145.8% | $4.04 +23.4% | 56.0% | +46.3% | $3.27 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×6+The Revolution Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Fever Dream 12.0% $18.94 Acid Etched 12.0% $17.96 Darkwing 12.0% $13.75 Emphorosaur-S 8.0% $11.80 Apocalypto 12.0% $11.36 Enforcer 12.0% $11.21 | $18.94 +83.0% | $11.43 +10.5% | 68.0% | +34.2% | $10.35 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Prisma 2 Collection ×7+The Revolution Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Fever Dream 14.0% $8.04 Acid Etched 14.0% $5.54 Apocalypto 14.0% $4.36 Emphorosaur-S 6.0% $4.12 Darkwing 14.0% $3.82 Enforcer 14.0% $3.25 | $8.04 +130.3% | $4.28 +22.6% | 62.0% | +44.2% | $3.49 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×5+The Revolution Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Fever Dream 10.0% $8.04 Acid Etched 10.0% $5.54 Apocalypto 10.0% $4.36 Emphorosaur-S 10.0% $4.12 Darkwing 10.0% $3.82 Enforcer 10.0% $3.25 | $8.04 +151.2% | $3.80 +18.7% | 60.0% | +46.0% | $3.20 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×4+The Revolution Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Fever Dream 8.0% $8.04 Acid Etched 8.0% $5.54 Apocalypto 8.0% $4.36 Emphorosaur-S 12.0% $4.12 Darkwing 8.0% $3.78 Enforcer 8.0% $3.26 | $8.04 +166.1% | $3.56 +17.8% | 64.0% | +47.1% | $3.02 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×2+The Revolution Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Fever Dream 4.0% $8.04 Emphorosaur-S 16.0% $4.12 Umbral Rabbit 16.0% $3.08 Sakkaku 16.0% $2.65 Acid Etched 4.0% $2.00 Apocalypto 4.0% $1.66 | $8.04 +273.8% | $2.53 +17.5% | 52.0% | +60.9% | $2.15 | — |