The Revolver Case Collection ×7+The Snakebite Collection ×3

Classified → Covert MW ST 10 items

Factory New -30.0%Field-Tested +34.4%Minimal Wear +27.2%

Contract

Classified → Covert Minimal Wear StatTrak™

Inputs

Shapewood

6x $11.65

The Executioner

1x $14.11

Chromatic Aberration

1x $10.00

XOXO

2x $13.19

↓

Possible Outputs

Fade

35.0% $318.51

Royal Paladin

35.0% $173.55

The Traitor

15.0% $138.78

In Living Color

15.0% $87.00

Max Win

$318.51 (+96.6%)

EV (ROI %)

$206.09 (+27.2%)

Win %

70.0%

Volatility

+53.8%

Cost

$162.04

Age —

Financials

ASK-ONLY EDGE

Total Cost $162.04

Ask Price EV $206.09 (+27.2%)

Bid Price EV $140.60 (-13.2%)

Ask Profit $44.05 (+27.2%)

Bid Profit $-21.44 (-13.2%)

Liquidity Gap $65.49 (+40.4%)

Ask Slippage Buffer +$44.05

Bid Slippage Buffer -$21.44

Risk

Win Probability 70.0%

Loss Probability 30.0%

Best Case $318.51 (+96.6%)

Worst Case $87.00 (-46.3%)

Volatility +53.8%

Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 15.0%

Avg Win +$83.99

Avg Loss -$49.15

Bottom 5% Outcome $87.00 (-46.3%)

Std Dev $87.19

Avg Norm Float 0.1487

P(output) Sum 1.0000

Execution ▸ ▾

Price Freshness Old

Oldest Input Price 20m

Oldest Output Price 142h 21m

Fill Confidence Low

Input Availability 10 / 10

Float Safety Tight

Price History

ROI & Win Rate

TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Big-Win Hunter · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended

SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...

Chosen Inputs · 10 items

P90 | Shapewood

—

Field-Tested

$11.65 Float: HIDDEN

G3SG1 | The Executioner

—

Field-Tested

$14.11 Float: HIDDEN

P90 | Shapewood

—

Minimal Wear

$18.37 Float: HIDDEN

P90 | Shapewood

—

Minimal Wear

$19.55 Float: HIDDEN

P90 | Shapewood

—

Minimal Wear

$19.98 Float: HIDDEN

P90 | Shapewood

—

Minimal Wear

$20.21 Float: HIDDEN

P90 | Shapewood

—

Minimal Wear

$21.18 Float: HIDDEN

Galil AR | Chromatic Aberration

—

Field-Tested

$10.00 Float: HIDDEN

XM1014 | XOXO

—

Minimal Wear

$13.19 Float: HIDDEN

XM1014 | XOXO

—

Minimal Wear

$13.80 Float: HIDDEN

OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 14M 25S //TOTAL COST $162.04 //ASK PRICE EV $206.09 //BID PRICE EV $140.60 //ASK PROFIT $44.05 (+27.2%) //BID PROFIT $-21.44 (-13.2%) //WIN PROBABILITY 70.0% //BEST CASE $318.51 //VOLATILITY +53.8% //

Possible Outputs · 4

Skin

Latest Result

No spins recorded yet.

Cumulative P&L

Ask Bid

Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative P&L.

Raw payload (JSON)

{
  "parts": [
    {
      "bucket_id": "collection-set-community-10|Classified|stattrak",
      "item_count": 7,
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-10"
    },
    {
      "bucket_id": "collection-set-community-28|Classified|stattrak",
      "item_count": 3,
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-28"
    }
  ],
  "outcomes": [
    {
      "probability": 0.35,
      "output_float": 0.11894400000000001,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-4c83a4940ef3",
      "realistic_value": 173.547,
      "optimistic_value": 165,
      "output_full_name": "M4A4 | Royal Paladin",
      "conservative_value": 144.67,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "collection_name": "The Revolver Case Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A4 | Royal Paladin (Minimal Wear)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T03:37:34.881770Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4c83a4940ef3.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.35,
      "output_float": 0.059472000000000004,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-3d5660b8b090",
      "realistic_value": 318.5125,
      "optimistic_value": 254.81,
      "output_full_name": "R8 Revolver | Fade",
      "conservative_value": 177.41,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
      "wear_name": "Factory New",
      "collection_name": "The Revolver Case Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Fade (Factory New)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:28:16.437303Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3d5660b8b090.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.15,
      "output_float": 0.11745720000000001,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-c62d08aa8da1",
      "realistic_value": 86.995,
      "optimistic_value": 85,
      "output_full_name": "M4A4 | In Living Color",
      "conservative_value": 74.71,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-28",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "collection_name": "The Snakebite Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A4 | In Living Color (Minimal Wear)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:22:37.609451Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c62d08aa8da1.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.15,
      "output_float": 0.14868,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-7dc4b0b65850",
      "realistic_value": 138.777,
      "optimistic_value": 137.23,
      "output_full_name": "USP-S | The Traitor",
      "conservative_value": 111.11,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-28",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "collection_name": "The Snakebite Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ USP-S | The Traitor (Minimal Wear)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:31:20.736673Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7dc4b0b65850.png"
    }
  ],
  "family_id": "fam_d89677ea047b97c8d507ce92",
  "input_rarity": "Classified",
  "chosen_inputs": [
    {
      "price": 11.65,
      "skin_id": "skin-d866f26d9587",
      "listing_id": "529879235108153736",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Shapewood (Field-Tested)",
      "name": "P90 | Shapewood",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d866f26d9587.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:47:46.533307Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 14.11,
      "skin_id": "skin-b0c24d905a01",
      "listing_id": "660480340358227224",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested)",
      "name": "G3SG1 | The Executioner",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-b0c24d905a01.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:38:18.844331Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 18.37,
      "skin_id": "skin-d866f26d9587",
      "listing_id": "500605724251709363",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Shapewood (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "P90 | Shapewood",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d866f26d9587.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:45:42.810215Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 19.55,
      "skin_id": "skin-d866f26d9587",
      "listing_id": "528753335312491401",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Shapewood (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "P90 | Shapewood",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d866f26d9587.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:45:42.810215Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 19.98,
      "skin_id": "skin-d866f26d9587",
      "listing_id": "628952610182151850",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Shapewood (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "P90 | Shapewood",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d866f26d9587.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:45:42.810215Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 20.21,
      "skin_id": "skin-d866f26d9587",
      "listing_id": "783200338039312163",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Shapewood (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "P90 | Shapewood",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d866f26d9587.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:45:42.810215Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 21.18,
      "skin_id": "skin-d866f26d9587",
      "listing_id": "636836442316788129",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Shapewood (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "P90 | Shapewood",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d866f26d9587.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:45:42.810215Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 10,
      "skin_id": "skin-69f2e17b78f2",
      "listing_id": "517494388633015510",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-28",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Galil AR | Chromatic Aberration (Field-Tested)",
      "name": "Galil AR | Chromatic Aberration",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-69f2e17b78f2.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:56:53.326968Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 13.19,
      "skin_id": "skin-dad23c017c83",
      "listing_id": "510738989040194902",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-28",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "XM1014 | XOXO",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-dad23c017c83.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:45:16.265619Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 13.8,
      "skin_id": "skin-dad23c017c83",
      "listing_id": "502856892580259872",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-28",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "XM1014 | XOXO",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-dad23c017c83.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:45:16.265619Z"
    }
  ],
  "contract_size": 10,
  "output_rarity": "Covert",
  "stattrak_mode": true,
  "composition_key": "Classified|Covert|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-10:7+collection-set-community-28:3"
}

Related contracts

Positive EV only

Different wear buckets

Same contract family, other output wear ratings.

Contract	Outputs	Max Win	EV (ROI)	Win %	Volatility	Cost	Age
The Revolver Case Collection ×7+The Snakebite Collection ×3 Classified → Covert Field-Tested ST	Fade 35.0% $318.51 Royal Paladin 35.0% $173.55 In Living Color 15.0% $87.00 The Traitor 15.0% $79.54	$318.51 +117.1%	$197.20 +34.4%	70.0%	+65.5%	$146.73	—

Different splits

Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.

Contract	Outputs	Max Win	EV (ROI)	Win %	Volatility	Cost	Age
The Revolver Case Collection ×6+The Snakebite Collection ×4 Classified → Covert Field-Tested ST	Fade 30.0% $318.51 Royal Paladin 30.0% $173.55 In Living Color 20.0% $87.00 The Traitor 20.0% $79.54	$318.51 +127.9%	$180.92 +29.5%	60.0%	+69.8%	$139.73	—
The Revolver Case Collection ×5+The Snakebite Collection ×5 Classified → Covert Field-Tested ST	Fade 25.0% $318.51 Royal Paladin 25.0% $173.55 In Living Color 25.0% $87.00 The Traitor 25.0% $79.54	$318.51 +137.4%	$164.65 +22.7%	50.0%	+71.7%	$134.14	—

Same combination, different rarity

Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.

Contract	Outputs	Max Win	EV (ROI)	Win %	Volatility	Cost	Age
The Revolver Case Collection ×3+The Snakebite Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST	Slate 14.0% $35.89 Power Loader 5.0% $20.64 Avalanche 5.0% $17.49 Retrobution 5.0% $9.43 Teclu Burner 5.0% $8.17 Trigger Discipline 14.0% $7.72	$35.89 +278.9%	$10.46 +10.4%	24.0%	+105.4%	$9.47	—