The Revolver Case Collection ×7+The Snakebite Collection ×3

Classified → Covert FT ST 10 items

Factory New -33.8%Field-Tested +34.4%Minimal Wear +27.2%

Contract

Classified → Covert Field-Tested StatTrak™

Inputs

The Executioner

2x $10.84

Shapewood

5x $11.65

XOXO

3x $12.50

↓

Possible Outputs

Fade

35.0% $318.51

Royal Paladin

35.0% $173.55

In Living Color

15.0% $87.00

The Traitor

15.0% $79.54

Max Win

$318.51 (+117.1%)

EV (ROI %)

$197.20 (+34.4%)

Win %

70.0%

Volatility

+65.5%

Cost

$146.73

Age —

Financials

ASK-ONLY EDGE

Total Cost $146.73

Ask Price EV $197.20 (+34.4%)

Bid Price EV $134.23 (-8.5%)

Ask Profit $50.47 (+34.4%)

Bid Profit $-12.50 (-8.5%)

Liquidity Gap $62.97 (+42.9%)

Ask Slippage Buffer +$50.47

Bid Slippage Buffer -$12.50

Risk

Win Probability 70.0%

Loss Probability 30.0%

Best Case $318.51 (+117.1%)

Worst Case $79.54 (-45.8%)

Volatility +65.5%

Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 30.0%

Avg Win +$99.30

Avg Loss -$63.46

Bottom 5% Outcome $79.54 (-45.8%)

Std Dev $96.15

Avg Norm Float 0.1747

P(output) Sum 1.0000

Execution ▸ ▾

Price Freshness Old

Oldest Input Price 21m

Oldest Output Price 141h 18m

Fill Confidence Low

Input Availability 10 / 10

Float Safety Edge

Price History

ROI & Win Rate

TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Big-Win Hunter · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended

SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...

Chosen Inputs · 10 items

G3SG1 | The Executioner

—

Field-Tested

$10.84 Float: HIDDEN

P90 | Shapewood

—

Field-Tested

$11.65 Float: HIDDEN

P90 | Shapewood

—

Field-Tested

$12.51 Float: HIDDEN

G3SG1 | The Executioner

—

Field-Tested

$14.11 Float: HIDDEN

P90 | Shapewood

—

Minimal Wear

$18.37 Float: HIDDEN

P90 | Shapewood

—

Minimal Wear

$19.55 Float: HIDDEN

P90 | Shapewood

—

Minimal Wear

$20.21 Float: HIDDEN

XM1014 | XOXO

—

Minimal Wear

$12.50 Float: HIDDEN

XM1014 | XOXO

—

Minimal Wear

$13.19 Float: HIDDEN

XM1014 | XOXO

—

Minimal Wear

$13.80 Float: HIDDEN

OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 16M 12S //TOTAL COST $146.73 //ASK PRICE EV $197.20 //BID PRICE EV $134.23 //ASK PROFIT $50.47 (+34.4%) //BID PROFIT $-12.50 (-8.5%) //WIN PROBABILITY 70.0% //BEST CASE $318.51 //VOLATILITY +65.5% //

Possible Outputs · 4

Skin

Latest Result

No spins recorded yet.

Cumulative P&L

Ask Bid

Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative P&L.

Raw payload (JSON)

{
  "parts": [
    {
      "bucket_id": "collection-set-community-10|Classified|stattrak",
      "item_count": 7,
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-10"
    },
    {
      "bucket_id": "collection-set-community-28|Classified|stattrak",
      "item_count": 3,
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-28"
    }
  ],
  "outcomes": [
    {
      "probability": 0.35,
      "output_float": 0.13972800000000002,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-4c83a4940ef3",
      "realistic_value": 173.547,
      "optimistic_value": 165,
      "output_full_name": "M4A4 | Royal Paladin",
      "conservative_value": 144.67,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "collection_name": "The Revolver Case Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A4 | Royal Paladin (Minimal Wear)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T03:37:34.881770Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4c83a4940ef3.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.35,
      "output_float": 0.06986400000000001,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-3d5660b8b090",
      "realistic_value": 318.5125,
      "optimistic_value": 254.81,
      "output_full_name": "R8 Revolver | Fade",
      "conservative_value": 177.41,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
      "wear_name": "Factory New",
      "collection_name": "The Revolver Case Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Fade (Factory New)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:28:16.437303Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3d5660b8b090.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.15,
      "output_float": 0.1379814,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-c62d08aa8da1",
      "realistic_value": 86.995,
      "optimistic_value": 85,
      "output_full_name": "M4A4 | In Living Color",
      "conservative_value": 74.71,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-28",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "collection_name": "The Snakebite Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A4 | In Living Color (Minimal Wear)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:22:37.609451Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c62d08aa8da1.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.15,
      "output_float": 0.17466,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-7dc4b0b65850",
      "realistic_value": 79.5405,
      "optimistic_value": 76.03,
      "output_full_name": "USP-S | The Traitor",
      "conservative_value": 68.67,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-28",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "collection_name": "The Snakebite Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ USP-S | The Traitor (Field-Tested)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:33:17.811583Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7dc4b0b65850.png"
    }
  ],
  "family_id": "fam_d89677ea047b97c8d507ce92",
  "input_rarity": "Classified",
  "chosen_inputs": [
    {
      "price": 10.84,
      "skin_id": "skin-b0c24d905a01",
      "listing_id": "525375522200399131",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested)",
      "name": "G3SG1 | The Executioner",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-b0c24d905a01.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:52:55.376789Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 11.65,
      "skin_id": "skin-d866f26d9587",
      "listing_id": "529879235108153736",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Shapewood (Field-Tested)",
      "name": "P90 | Shapewood",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d866f26d9587.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:37:22.905405Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 12.51,
      "skin_id": "skin-d866f26d9587",
      "listing_id": "523123835626698250",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Shapewood (Field-Tested)",
      "name": "P90 | Shapewood",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d866f26d9587.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:37:22.905405Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 14.11,
      "skin_id": "skin-b0c24d905a01",
      "listing_id": "660480340358227224",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested)",
      "name": "G3SG1 | The Executioner",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-b0c24d905a01.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:52:55.376789Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 18.37,
      "skin_id": "skin-d866f26d9587",
      "listing_id": "500605724251709363",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Shapewood (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "P90 | Shapewood",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d866f26d9587.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:35:20.610215Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 19.55,
      "skin_id": "skin-d866f26d9587",
      "listing_id": "528753335312491401",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Shapewood (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "P90 | Shapewood",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d866f26d9587.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:35:20.610215Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 20.21,
      "skin_id": "skin-d866f26d9587",
      "listing_id": "783200338039312163",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Shapewood (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "P90 | Shapewood",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d866f26d9587.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:35:20.610215Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 12.5,
      "skin_id": "skin-dad23c017c83",
      "listing_id": "492724590625791945",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-28",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "XM1014 | XOXO",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-dad23c017c83.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:34:44.870951Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 13.19,
      "skin_id": "skin-dad23c017c83",
      "listing_id": "510738989040194902",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-28",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "XM1014 | XOXO",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-dad23c017c83.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:34:44.870951Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 13.8,
      "skin_id": "skin-dad23c017c83",
      "listing_id": "502856892580259872",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-28",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "XM1014 | XOXO",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-dad23c017c83.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:34:44.870951Z"
    }
  ],
  "contract_size": 10,
  "output_rarity": "Covert",
  "stattrak_mode": true,
  "composition_key": "Classified|Covert|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-10:7+collection-set-community-28:3"
}

Related contracts

Positive EV only

Different wear buckets

Same contract family, other output wear ratings.

Contract	Outputs	Max Win	EV (ROI)	Win %	Volatility	Cost	Age
The Revolver Case Collection ×7+The Snakebite Collection ×3 Classified → Covert Minimal Wear ST	Fade 35.0% $318.51 Royal Paladin 35.0% $173.55 The Traitor 15.0% $138.78 In Living Color 15.0% $87.00	$318.51 +96.6%	$206.09 +27.2%	70.0%	+53.8%	$162.04	—

Different splits

Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.

Contract	Outputs	Max Win	EV (ROI)	Win %	Volatility	Cost	Age
The Revolver Case Collection ×6+The Snakebite Collection ×4 Classified → Covert Field-Tested ST	Fade 30.0% $318.51 Royal Paladin 30.0% $173.55 In Living Color 20.0% $87.00 The Traitor 20.0% $79.54	$318.51 +127.9%	$180.92 +29.5%	60.0%	+69.8%	$139.73	—
The Revolver Case Collection ×5+The Snakebite Collection ×5 Classified → Covert Field-Tested ST	Fade 25.0% $318.51 Royal Paladin 25.0% $173.55 In Living Color 25.0% $87.00 The Traitor 25.0% $79.54	$318.51 +137.4%	$164.65 +22.7%	50.0%	+71.7%	$134.14	—

Same combination, different rarity

Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.

Contract	Outputs	Max Win	EV (ROI)	Win %	Volatility	Cost	Age
The Revolver Case Collection ×4+The Snakebite Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST	Slate 12.0% $35.89 Power Loader 6.7% $20.64 Avalanche 6.7% $17.49 Retrobution 6.7% $9.43 Teclu Burner 6.7% $8.17 Trigger Discipline 12.0% $7.72	$35.89 +272.3%	$10.58 +9.8%	25.3%	+97.4%	$9.64	—