The Clutch Collection ×9+The Overpass Collection ×1
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted MW 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear
Inputs
Urban Hazard
1x $0.29
Oxide Blaze
2x $0.30
Black Sand
2x $0.30
Flame Test
2x $0.32
Grip
1x $0.39
Night Riot
1x $1.85
↓
Possible Outputs
Pink DDPAT
5.0% $135.49
Road Rash
5.0% $124.10
Lionfish
18.0% $3.74
Moonrise
18.0% $2.25
SWAG-7
18.0% $1.77
Arctic Wolf
18.0% $1.50
Max Win
$135.49 (+454.8%)
EV (ROI %)
$14.91 (-38.9%)
Win %
10.0%
Volatility
+157.0%
Cost
$24.42
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $24.42
Ask Price EV $14.91 (-38.9%)
Bid Price EV $13.01 (-46.7%)
Ask Profit $-9.51 (-38.9%)
Bid Profit $-11.41 (-46.7%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $1.90 (+7.8%)
Ask Slippage Buffer -$9.51
Bid Slippage Buffer -$11.41
Risk
Win Probability 10.0%
Loss Probability 90.0%
Best Case $135.49 (+454.8%)
Worst Case $1.48 (-94.0%)
Volatility +157.0%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 90.0%
Avg Win +$105.37
Avg Loss -$22.27
Bottom 5% Outcome $1.48 (-94.0%)
Std Dev $38.34
Avg Norm Float 0.1215
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 20m
Oldest Output Price 144h 9m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
P2000 | Urban Hazard
—
Minimal Wear
$0.29 Float: HIDDEN
XM1014 | Oxide Blaze
—
Minimal Wear
$0.30 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Black Sand
—
Minimal Wear
$0.30 Float: HIDDEN
Five-SeveN | Flame Test
—
Minimal Wear
$0.32 Float: HIDDEN
XM1014 | Oxide Blaze
—
Minimal Wear
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
Five-SeveN | Flame Test
—
Minimal Wear
$0.36 Float: HIDDEN
R8 Revolver | Grip
—
Minimal Wear
$0.39 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Black Sand
—
Minimal Wear
$0.88 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | Night Riot
—
Factory New
$1.85 Float: HIDDEN
XM1014 | VariCamo Blue
—
Minimal Wear
$19.39 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 40M 04S //TOTAL COST $24.42 //ASK PRICE EV $14.91 //BID PRICE EV $13.01 //ASK PROFIT $-9.51 (-38.9%) //BID PROFIT $-11.41 (-46.7%) //WIN PROBABILITY 10.0% //BEST CASE $135.49 //VOLATILITY +157.0% //
Possible Outputs · 7
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
5.0%
$135.49
+$111.07
+454.8%
$116.22
+$91.80
+375.9%
$19.27
14.2%
—
BIG WIN
5.0%
$124.10
+$99.68
+408.2%
$108.84
+$84.42
+345.7%
$15.25
12.3%
—
NUKE
18.0%
$3.74
-$20.68
-84.7%
$3.65
-$20.77
-85.1%
$0.09
2.5%
—
NUKE
18.0%
$2.25
-$22.17
-90.8%
$2.09
-$22.33
-91.4%
$0.16
7.0%
—
NUKE
18.0%
$1.77
-$22.65
-92.8%
$1.65
-$22.77
-93.2%
$0.12
6.8%
—
NUKE
18.0%
$1.50
-$22.92
-93.9%
$1.28
-$23.14
-94.8%
$0.22
14.7%
—
NUKE
18.0%
$1.48
-$22.94
-94.0%
$1.11
-$23.31
-95.5%
$0.37
24.8%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-19|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 9,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-overpass|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 1,
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.078975,
"output_skin_id": "skin-52971a3886a2",
"realistic_value": 2.247,
"optimistic_value": 2.24,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Moonrise",
"conservative_value": 2.09,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Moonrise (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:43:45.069175Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-52971a3886a2.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.11178,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f0063cb51e43",
"realistic_value": 1.77,
"optimistic_value": 1.77,
"output_full_name": "MAG-7 | SWAG-7",
"conservative_value": 1.65,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | SWAG-7 (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:45:04.290483Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f0063cb51e43.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.06682500000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-58651a482529",
"realistic_value": 3.742,
"optimistic_value": 3.7,
"output_full_name": "Negev | Lionfish",
"conservative_value": 3.65,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Negev | Lionfish (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:42:31.060468Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-58651a482529.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.09720000000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-85bee1ae1898",
"realistic_value": 1.4769999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 1.47,
"output_full_name": "Nova | Wild Six",
"conservative_value": 1.11,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Wild Six (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T04:19:30.791389Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-85bee1ae1898.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.09720000000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a4ca18460f2c",
"realistic_value": 1.5,
"optimistic_value": 1.5,
"output_full_name": "UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf",
"conservative_value": 1.28,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:39:28.402008Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a4ca18460f2c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.05,
"output_float": 0.14991,
"output_skin_id": "skin-665b5d16532c",
"realistic_value": 135.48850000000002,
"optimistic_value": 127.68,
"output_full_name": "AWP | Pink DDPAT",
"conservative_value": 116.22,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Overpass Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AWP | Pink DDPAT (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:39:19.544360Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-665b5d16532c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.05,
"output_float": 0.1215,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d7d145b204a5",
"realistic_value": 124.095,
"optimistic_value": 120,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Road Rash",
"conservative_value": 108.84,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Overpass Collection",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Road Rash (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T21:13:15.597816Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d7d145b204a5.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_d1d4e8044e2e79030272d0d9",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.29,
"skin_id": "skin-87386812a8f9",
"listing_id": "509613036859202871",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Urban Hazard (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P2000 | Urban Hazard",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-87386812a8f9.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:34:38.878643Z"
},
{
"price": 0.3,
"skin_id": "skin-ae8080ca847c",
"listing_id": "505108692504375836",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "XM1014 | Oxide Blaze",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ae8080ca847c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:39:20.777475Z"
},
{
"price": 0.3,
"skin_id": "skin-cbffebebb7f3",
"listing_id": "502857689862544408",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Black Sand (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Black Sand",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-cbffebebb7f3.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:53:02.054370Z"
},
{
"price": 0.32,
"skin_id": "skin-42a677e4f00a",
"listing_id": "496102290328233347",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "Five-SeveN | Flame Test (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Five-SeveN | Flame Test",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-42a677e4f00a.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:32:37.873600Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-ae8080ca847c",
"listing_id": "494975593208146122",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "XM1014 | Oxide Blaze",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ae8080ca847c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:39:20.777475Z"
},
{
"price": 0.36,
"skin_id": "skin-42a677e4f00a",
"listing_id": "521997988015574898",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "Five-SeveN | Flame Test (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Five-SeveN | Flame Test",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-42a677e4f00a.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:32:37.873600Z"
},
{
"price": 0.39,
"skin_id": "skin-a70d55eb979d",
"listing_id": "498354037510657507",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Grip (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Grip",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a70d55eb979d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:47:32.522110Z"
},
{
"price": 0.88,
"skin_id": "skin-cbffebebb7f3",
"listing_id": "524249735517716595",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Black Sand (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Black Sand",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-cbffebebb7f3.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:53:02.054370Z"
},
{
"price": 1.85,
"skin_id": "skin-906fd7b3b38a",
"listing_id": "493850324806003492",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "PP-Bizon | Night Riot (Factory New)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | Night Riot",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-906fd7b3b38a.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:39:29.595559Z"
},
{
"price": 19.39,
"skin_id": "skin-3a57219a9579",
"listing_id": "496101493258480463",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "XM1014 | VariCamo Blue",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3a57219a9579.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:34:41.929488Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|normal|10|collection-set-community-19:9+collection-set-overpass:1"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Clutch Collection ×9+The Overpass Collection ×1 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New | Road Rash 5.0% $701.51 Pink DDPAT 5.0% $135.49 SWAG-7 18.0% $10.64 Arctic Wolf 18.0% $9.69 Wild Six 18.0% $6.05 Moonrise 18.0% $5.41 | $701.51 +1837.3% | $48.25 +33.2% | 10.0% | +417.8% | $36.21 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Clutch Collection ×7+The Overpass Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New | Road Rash 15.0% $701.51 Pink DDPAT 15.0% $135.49 SWAG-7 14.0% $10.64 Arctic Wolf 14.0% $9.69 Wild Six 14.0% $6.05 Moonrise 14.0% $5.41 | $701.51 +619.4% | $130.52 +33.8% | 30.0% | +245.5% | $97.52 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×6+The Overpass Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New | Road Rash 20.0% $701.51 Pink DDPAT 20.0% $135.49 SWAG-7 12.0% $10.64 Arctic Wolf 12.0% $9.69 Wild Six 12.0% $6.05 Moonrise 12.0% $5.41 | $701.51 +403.3% | $171.66 +23.2% | 20.0% | +188.8% | $139.39 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×5+The Overpass Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New | Road Rash 25.0% $701.51 Pink DDPAT 25.0% $135.49 SWAG-7 10.0% $10.70 Arctic Wolf 10.0% $9.69 Wild Six 10.0% $6.05 Moonrise 10.0% $5.40 | $701.51 +252.5% | $212.81 +6.9% | 25.0% | +140.3% | $199.03 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Clutch Collection ×8+The Overpass Collection ×2 Restricted → Classified Factory New | Master Piece  20.0% $1,330.91 Cortex  26.7% $48.50 Mortis  26.7% $29.36 Stymphalian  26.7% $26.18 | $1,330.91 +457.4% | $293.93 +23.1% | 20.0% | +217.2% | $238.79 | — |