The Clutch Collection ×9+The Overpass Collection ×1
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FT 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested
Inputs
Night Riot
3x $0.24
Urban Hazard
1x $0.29
Oxide Blaze
2x $0.30
Black Sand
1x $0.30
Flame Test
2x $0.32
VariCamo Blue
1x $16.47
↓
Possible Outputs
Road Rash
5.0% $80.19
Pink DDPAT
5.0% $59.98
Moonrise
18.0% $2.25
Arctic Wolf
18.0% $1.50
Wild Six
18.0% $1.48
Lionfish
18.0% $1.29
Max Win
$80.19 (+317.9%)
EV (ROI %)
$8.33 (-56.6%)
Win %
10.0%
Volatility
+108.6%
Cost
$19.19
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $19.19
Ask Price EV $8.33 (-56.6%)
Bid Price EV $7.11 (-62.9%)
Ask Profit $-10.86 (-56.6%)
Bid Profit $-12.08 (-62.9%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $1.22 (+6.4%)
Ask Slippage Buffer -$10.86
Bid Slippage Buffer -$12.08
Risk
Win Probability 10.0%
Loss Probability 90.0%
Best Case $80.19 (+317.9%)
Worst Case $0.83 (-95.7%)
Volatility +108.6%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 90.0%
Avg Win +$50.89
Avg Loss -$17.72
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.83 (-95.7%)
Std Dev $20.84
Avg Norm Float 0.1780
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 144h 9m
Oldest Output Price 144h 9m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Safe
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
PP-Bizon | Night Riot
—
Field-Tested
$0.24 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | Night Riot
—
Minimal Wear
$0.28 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | Night Riot
—
Minimal Wear
$0.29 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Urban Hazard
—
Minimal Wear
$0.29 Float: HIDDEN
XM1014 | Oxide Blaze
—
Minimal Wear
$0.30 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Black Sand
—
Minimal Wear
$0.30 Float: HIDDEN
Five-SeveN | Flame Test
—
Minimal Wear
$0.32 Float: HIDDEN
XM1014 | Oxide Blaze
—
Minimal Wear
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
Five-SeveN | Flame Test
—
Minimal Wear
$0.36 Float: HIDDEN
XM1014 | VariCamo Blue
—
Field-Tested
$16.47 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 40M 05S //TOTAL COST $19.19 //ASK PRICE EV $8.33 //BID PRICE EV $7.11 //ASK PROFIT $-10.86 (-56.6%) //BID PROFIT $-12.08 (-62.9%) //WIN PROBABILITY 10.0% //BEST CASE $80.19 //VOLATILITY +108.6% //
Possible Outputs · 7
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
5.0%
$80.19
+$61.00
+317.9%
$67.00
+$47.81
+249.1%
$13.19
16.4%
—
BIG WIN
5.0%
$59.98
+$40.79
+212.6%
$52.76
+$33.57
+174.9%
$7.22
12.0%
—
NUKE
18.0%
$2.25
-$16.94
-88.3%
$2.09
-$17.10
-89.1%
$0.16
7.0%
—
NUKE
18.0%
$1.50
-$17.69
-92.2%
$1.28
-$17.91
-93.3%
$0.22
14.7%
—
NUKE
18.0%
$1.48
-$17.71
-92.3%
$1.11
-$18.08
-94.2%
$0.37
24.8%
—
NUKE
18.0%
$1.29
-$17.90
-93.3%
$1.04
-$18.15
-94.6%
$0.25
19.2%
—
NUKE
18.0%
$0.83
-$18.36
-95.7%
$0.72
-$18.47
-96.2%
$0.11
13.3%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-19|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 9,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-overpass|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 1,
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.1156935,
"output_skin_id": "skin-52971a3886a2",
"realistic_value": 2.247,
"optimistic_value": 2.24,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Moonrise",
"conservative_value": 2.09,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Moonrise (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:43:45.069175Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-52971a3886a2.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.1637508,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f0063cb51e43",
"realistic_value": 0.83,
"optimistic_value": 0.83,
"output_full_name": "MAG-7 | SWAG-7",
"conservative_value": 0.72,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | SWAG-7 (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:49:54.095527Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f0063cb51e43.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.09789450000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-58651a482529",
"realistic_value": 1.287,
"optimistic_value": 1.28,
"output_full_name": "Negev | Lionfish",
"conservative_value": 1.04,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Negev | Lionfish (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T10:40:25.221598Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-58651a482529.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.14239200000000002,
"output_skin_id": "skin-85bee1ae1898",
"realistic_value": 1.4769999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 1.47,
"output_full_name": "Nova | Wild Six",
"conservative_value": 1.11,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Wild Six (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T04:19:30.791389Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-85bee1ae1898.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.14239200000000002,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a4ca18460f2c",
"realistic_value": 1.5,
"optimistic_value": 1.5,
"output_full_name": "UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf",
"conservative_value": 1.28,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:39:28.402008Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a4ca18460f2c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.05,
"output_float": 0.1917126,
"output_skin_id": "skin-665b5d16532c",
"realistic_value": 59.9785,
"optimistic_value": 59.94,
"output_full_name": "AWP | Pink DDPAT",
"conservative_value": 52.76,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Overpass Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AWP | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:39:21.897387Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-665b5d16532c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.05,
"output_float": 0.17799,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d7d145b204a5",
"realistic_value": 80.19149999999999,
"optimistic_value": 74.91,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Road Rash",
"conservative_value": 67,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Overpass Collection",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Road Rash (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T05:39:29.645920Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d7d145b204a5.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_d1d4e8044e2e79030272d0d9",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.24,
"skin_id": "skin-906fd7b3b38a",
"listing_id": "508487189340261854",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "PP-Bizon | Night Riot (Field-Tested)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | Night Riot",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-906fd7b3b38a.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:33:03.625301Z"
},
{
"price": 0.28,
"skin_id": "skin-906fd7b3b38a",
"listing_id": "518619491434524568",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "PP-Bizon | Night Riot (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | Night Riot",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-906fd7b3b38a.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:37:08.581521Z"
},
{
"price": 0.29,
"skin_id": "skin-906fd7b3b38a",
"listing_id": "503982792736258675",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "PP-Bizon | Night Riot (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | Night Riot",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-906fd7b3b38a.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:37:08.581521Z"
},
{
"price": 0.29,
"skin_id": "skin-87386812a8f9",
"listing_id": "509613036859202871",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Urban Hazard (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P2000 | Urban Hazard",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-87386812a8f9.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:34:38.878643Z"
},
{
"price": 0.3,
"skin_id": "skin-ae8080ca847c",
"listing_id": "505108692504375836",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "XM1014 | Oxide Blaze",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ae8080ca847c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:39:20.777475Z"
},
{
"price": 0.3,
"skin_id": "skin-cbffebebb7f3",
"listing_id": "502857689862544408",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Black Sand (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Black Sand",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-cbffebebb7f3.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:53:02.054370Z"
},
{
"price": 0.32,
"skin_id": "skin-42a677e4f00a",
"listing_id": "496102290328233347",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "Five-SeveN | Flame Test (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Five-SeveN | Flame Test",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-42a677e4f00a.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:32:37.873600Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-ae8080ca847c",
"listing_id": "494975593208146122",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "XM1014 | Oxide Blaze",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ae8080ca847c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:39:20.777475Z"
},
{
"price": 0.36,
"skin_id": "skin-42a677e4f00a",
"listing_id": "521997988015574898",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "Five-SeveN | Flame Test (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Five-SeveN | Flame Test",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-42a677e4f00a.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:32:37.873600Z"
},
{
"price": 16.47,
"skin_id": "skin-3a57219a9579",
"listing_id": "651475044035708298",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Field-Tested)",
"name": "XM1014 | VariCamo Blue",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3a57219a9579.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:43:41.506212Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|normal|10|collection-set-community-19:9+collection-set-overpass:1"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Clutch Collection ×9+The Overpass Collection ×1 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New | Road Rash 5.0% $701.51 Pink DDPAT 5.0% $135.49 SWAG-7 18.0% $10.64 Arctic Wolf 18.0% $9.69 Wild Six 18.0% $6.05 Moonrise 18.0% $5.41 | $701.51 +1837.3% | $48.25 +33.2% | 10.0% | +417.8% | $36.21 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Clutch Collection ×7+The Overpass Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New | Road Rash 15.0% $701.51 Pink DDPAT 15.0% $135.49 SWAG-7 14.0% $10.64 Arctic Wolf 14.0% $9.69 Wild Six 14.0% $6.05 Moonrise 14.0% $5.41 | $701.51 +619.4% | $130.52 +33.8% | 30.0% | +245.5% | $97.52 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×6+The Overpass Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New | Road Rash 20.0% $701.51 Pink DDPAT 20.0% $135.49 SWAG-7 12.0% $10.64 Arctic Wolf 12.0% $9.69 Wild Six 12.0% $6.05 Moonrise 12.0% $5.41 | $701.51 +403.3% | $171.66 +23.2% | 20.0% | +188.8% | $139.39 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×5+The Overpass Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New | Road Rash 25.0% $701.51 Pink DDPAT 25.0% $135.49 SWAG-7 10.0% $10.70 Arctic Wolf 10.0% $9.69 Wild Six 10.0% $6.05 Moonrise 10.0% $5.40 | $701.51 +252.5% | $212.81 +6.9% | 25.0% | +140.3% | $199.03 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Clutch Collection ×8+The Overpass Collection ×2 Restricted → Classified Factory New | Master Piece  20.0% $1,330.91 Cortex  26.7% $48.50 Mortis  26.7% $29.36 Stymphalian  26.7% $26.18 | $1,330.91 +457.4% | $293.93 +23.1% | 20.0% | +217.2% | $238.79 | — |