The Clutch Collection ×9+The Overpass Collection ×1
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FN 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New
Inputs
Grip
1x $0.39
Black Sand
1x $0.88
Flame Test
3x $1.62
Night Riot
4x $2.31
VariCamo Blue
1x $19.39
↓
Possible Outputs
Road Rash
5.0% $701.51
Pink DDPAT
5.0% $135.49
SWAG-7
18.0% $10.70
Arctic Wolf
18.0% $9.69
Wild Six
18.0% $6.05
Moonrise
18.0% $5.40
Max Win
$701.51 (+1824.1%)
EV (ROI %)
$48.25 (+32.3%)
Win %
10.0%
Volatility
+418.2%
Cost
$36.46
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $36.46
Ask Price EV $48.25 (+32.3%)
Bid Price EV $36.55 (+0.3%)
Ask Profit $11.79 (+32.3%)
Bid Profit $0.09 (+0.3%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $11.70 (+32.1%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$11.79
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.09
Risk
Win Probability 10.0%
Loss Probability 90.0%
Best Case $701.51 (+1824.1%)
Worst Case $3.74 (-89.7%)
Volatility +418.2%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 90.0%
Avg Win +$382.04
Avg Loss -$29.34
Bottom 5% Outcome $3.74 (-89.7%)
Std Dev $152.47
Avg Norm Float 0.0699
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 18m
Oldest Output Price 143h 13m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
R8 Revolver | Grip
—
Minimal Wear
$0.39 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Black Sand
—
Minimal Wear
$0.88 Float: HIDDEN
Five-SeveN | Flame Test
—
Factory New
$1.62 Float: HIDDEN
Five-SeveN | Flame Test
—
Factory New
$1.67 Float: HIDDEN
Five-SeveN | Flame Test
—
Factory New
$1.79 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | Night Riot
—
Factory New
$2.31 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | Night Riot
—
Factory New
$2.56 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | Night Riot
—
Factory New
$2.77 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | Night Riot
—
Factory New
$3.08 Float: HIDDEN
XM1014 | VariCamo Blue
—
Minimal Wear
$19.39 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 43M 41S //TOTAL COST $36.46 //ASK PRICE EV $48.25 //BID PRICE EV $36.55 //ASK PROFIT $11.79 (+32.3%) //BID PROFIT $0.09 (+0.3%) //WIN PROBABILITY 10.0% //BEST CASE $701.51 //VOLATILITY +418.2% //
Possible Outputs · 7
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN THIN BID EDGE FLOAT
5.0%
$701.51
+$665.05
+1824.1%
$490.79
+$454.33
+1246.1%
$210.72
30.0%
—
BIG WIN
5.0%
$135.49
+$99.03
+271.6%
$116.22
+$79.76
+218.8%
$19.27
14.2%
—
NUKE
18.0%
$10.70
-$25.76
-70.7%
$10.08
-$26.38
-72.4%
$0.62
5.8%
—
NUKE
18.0%
$9.69
-$26.77
-73.4%
$9.51
-$26.95
-73.9%
$0.18
1.8%
—
NUKE
18.0%
$6.05
-$30.41
-83.4%
$5.95
-$30.51
-83.7%
$0.10
1.6%
—
NUKE
18.0%
$5.40
-$31.06
-85.2%
$5.26
-$31.20
-85.6%
$0.14
2.6%
—
NUKE
18.0%
$3.74
-$32.72
-89.7%
$3.65
-$32.81
-90.0%
$0.09
2.5%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-19|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 9,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-overpass|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 1,
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.0454285,
"output_skin_id": "skin-52971a3886a2",
"realistic_value": 5.4,
"optimistic_value": 5.4,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Moonrise",
"conservative_value": 5.26,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Moonrise (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:42:30.538785Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-52971a3886a2.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.0642988,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f0063cb51e43",
"realistic_value": 10.698,
"optimistic_value": 10.6,
"output_full_name": "MAG-7 | SWAG-7",
"conservative_value": 10.08,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | SWAG-7 (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:39:35.305206Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f0063cb51e43.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.0384395,
"output_skin_id": "skin-58651a482529",
"realistic_value": 3.742,
"optimistic_value": 3.7,
"output_full_name": "Negev | Lionfish",
"conservative_value": 3.65,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Negev | Lionfish (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:05:57.513551Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-58651a482529.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.055911999999999996,
"output_skin_id": "skin-85bee1ae1898",
"realistic_value": 6.0485,
"optimistic_value": 6.01,
"output_full_name": "Nova | Wild Six",
"conservative_value": 5.95,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Wild Six (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:55:16.957192Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-85bee1ae1898.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.055911999999999996,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a4ca18460f2c",
"realistic_value": 9.6875,
"optimistic_value": 9.67,
"output_full_name": "UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf",
"conservative_value": 9.51,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:36:07.558554Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a4ca18460f2c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.05,
"output_float": 0.1117186,
"output_skin_id": "skin-665b5d16532c",
"realistic_value": 135.48850000000002,
"optimistic_value": 127.68,
"output_full_name": "AWP | Pink DDPAT",
"conservative_value": 116.22,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Overpass Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AWP | Pink DDPAT (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:49:34.283752Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-665b5d16532c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.05,
"output_float": 0.06989,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d7d145b204a5",
"realistic_value": 701.5105,
"optimistic_value": 657.4,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Road Rash",
"conservative_value": 490.79,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Overpass Collection",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Road Rash (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:44:32.262681Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d7d145b204a5.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_d1d4e8044e2e79030272d0d9",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.39,
"skin_id": "skin-a70d55eb979d",
"listing_id": "498354037510657507",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Grip (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Grip",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a70d55eb979d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:58:04.418909Z"
},
{
"price": 0.88,
"skin_id": "skin-cbffebebb7f3",
"listing_id": "524249735517716595",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Black Sand (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Black Sand",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-cbffebebb7f3.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:39:39.382418Z"
},
{
"price": 1.62,
"skin_id": "skin-42a677e4f00a",
"listing_id": "510738936594157402",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "Five-SeveN | Flame Test (Factory New)",
"name": "Five-SeveN | Flame Test",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-42a677e4f00a.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:42:07.338129Z"
},
{
"price": 1.67,
"skin_id": "skin-42a677e4f00a",
"listing_id": "669488905368847155",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "Five-SeveN | Flame Test (Factory New)",
"name": "Five-SeveN | Flame Test",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-42a677e4f00a.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:42:07.338129Z"
},
{
"price": 1.79,
"skin_id": "skin-42a677e4f00a",
"listing_id": "523123091077526374",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "Five-SeveN | Flame Test (Factory New)",
"name": "Five-SeveN | Flame Test",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-42a677e4f00a.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:42:07.338129Z"
},
{
"price": 2.31,
"skin_id": "skin-906fd7b3b38a",
"listing_id": "642467916665735537",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "PP-Bizon | Night Riot (Factory New)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | Night Riot",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-906fd7b3b38a.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:49:48.679307Z"
},
{
"price": 2.56,
"skin_id": "skin-906fd7b3b38a",
"listing_id": "514115891833693782",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "PP-Bizon | Night Riot (Factory New)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | Night Riot",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-906fd7b3b38a.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:49:48.679307Z"
},
{
"price": 2.77,
"skin_id": "skin-906fd7b3b38a",
"listing_id": "520872035663982948",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "PP-Bizon | Night Riot (Factory New)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | Night Riot",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-906fd7b3b38a.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:49:48.679307Z"
},
{
"price": 3.08,
"skin_id": "skin-906fd7b3b38a",
"listing_id": "502857524062905616",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "PP-Bizon | Night Riot (Factory New)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | Night Riot",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-906fd7b3b38a.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:49:48.679307Z"
},
{
"price": 19.39,
"skin_id": "skin-3a57219a9579",
"listing_id": "496101493258480463",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "XM1014 | VariCamo Blue",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3a57219a9579.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:44:17.618600Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|normal|10|collection-set-community-19:9+collection-set-overpass:1"
}Related
Related contracts
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Clutch Collection ×7+The Overpass Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New | Road Rash 15.0% $701.51 Pink DDPAT 15.0% $135.49 SWAG-7 14.0% $10.70 Arctic Wolf 14.0% $9.69 Wild Six 14.0% $6.05 Moonrise 14.0% $5.40 | $701.51 +619.4% | $130.53 +33.8% | 30.0% | +245.5% | $97.52 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×6+The Overpass Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New | Road Rash 20.0% $701.51 Pink DDPAT 20.0% $135.49 SWAG-7 12.0% $10.70 Arctic Wolf 12.0% $9.69 Wild Six 12.0% $6.05 Moonrise 12.0% $5.40 | $701.51 +403.3% | $171.67 +23.2% | 20.0% | +188.8% | $139.39 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×5+The Overpass Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New | Road Rash 25.0% $701.51 Pink DDPAT 25.0% $135.49 SWAG-7 10.0% $10.70 Arctic Wolf 10.0% $9.69 Wild Six 10.0% $6.05 Moonrise 10.0% $5.40 | $701.51 +252.5% | $212.81 +6.9% | 25.0% | +140.3% | $199.03 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Clutch Collection ×8+The Overpass Collection ×2 Restricted → Classified Factory New | Master Piece  20.0% $1,330.91 Cortex  26.7% $48.50 Mortis  26.7% $29.36 Stymphalian  26.7% $26.18 | $1,330.91 +457.4% | $293.93 +23.1% | 20.0% | +217.2% | $238.79 | — |