The 2018 Nuke Collection ×2+The Boreal Collection ×8
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade MW 10 items
Contract
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Minimal Wear
Inputs
Mainframe
1x $0.14
Cold Fusion
1x $0.27
Tiger Tear
2x $0.15
Acid Dart
2x $0.16
Leafhopper
2x $0.16
Garter-9
1x $0.20
↓
Possible Outputs
Wintergreen
16.0% $4.61
Tropical Breeze
16.0% $3.67
Acheron
5.0% $2.55
Exchanger
5.0% $2.42
Co-Processor
5.0% $2.23
Facility Negative
5.0% $2.23
Max Win
$4.61 (+143.9%)
EV (ROI %)
$2.34 (+24.0%)
Win %
52.0%
Volatility
+73.3%
Cost
$1.89
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $1.89
Ask Price EV $2.34 (+24.0%)
Bid Price EV $2.14 (+13.2%)
Ask Profit $0.45 (+24.0%)
Bid Profit $0.25 (+13.2%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.20 (+10.8%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.45
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.25
Risk
Win Probability 52.0%
Loss Probability 48.0%
Best Case $4.61 (+143.9%)
Worst Case $0.44 (-76.7%)
Volatility +73.3%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 16.0%
Avg Win +$1.56
Avg Loss -$0.75
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.44 (-76.7%)
Std Dev $1.39
Avg Norm Float 0.1164
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 15m
Oldest Output Price 120h 24m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
M4A4 | Mainframe
—
Minimal Wear
$0.14 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Cold Fusion
—
Minimal Wear
$0.27 Float: HIDDEN
SSG 08 | Tiger Tear
—
Minimal Wear
$0.15 Float: HIDDEN
SSG 08 | Tiger Tear
—
Minimal Wear
$0.16 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Acid Dart
—
Minimal Wear
$0.16 Float: HIDDEN
R8 Revolver | Leafhopper
—
Minimal Wear
$0.16 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Acid Dart
—
Minimal Wear
$0.17 Float: HIDDEN
R8 Revolver | Leafhopper
—
Minimal Wear
$0.18 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Garter-9
—
Minimal Wear
$0.20 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | Polished Malachite
—
Minimal Wear
$0.30 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 53M 10S //TOTAL COST $1.89 //ASK PRICE EV $2.34 //BID PRICE EV $2.14 //ASK PROFIT $0.45 (+24.0%) //BID PROFIT $0.25 (+13.2%) //WIN PROBABILITY 52.0% //BEST CASE $4.61 //VOLATILITY +73.3% //
Possible Outputs · 9
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
16.0%
$4.61
+$2.72
+143.9%
$3.81
+$1.92
+101.6%
$0.80
17.4%
—
BIG WIN
16.0%
$3.67
+$1.78
+94.2%
$3.64
+$1.75
+92.6%
$0.03
0.8%
—
WIN
5.0%
$2.55
+$0.66
+35.1%
$2.19
+$0.30
+15.9%
$0.36
14.2%
—
WIN
5.0%
$2.42
+$0.53
+27.8%
$2.36
+$0.47
+24.9%
$0.06
2.3%
—
WIN
5.0%
$2.23
+$0.34
+18.2%
$2.07
+$0.18
+9.5%
$0.16
7.3%
—
WIN
5.0%
$2.23
+$0.34
+17.8%
$2.16
+$0.27
+14.3%
$0.07
3.0%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
16.0%
$1.55
-$0.34
-17.9%
$1.49
-$0.40
-21.2%
$0.06
4.0%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
16.0%
$1.43
-$0.46
-24.4%
$1.28
-$0.61
-32.3%
$0.15
10.5%
—
NUKE
16.0%
$0.44
-$1.45
-76.7%
$0.41
-$1.48
-78.3%
$0.03
6.9%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-nuke-2|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 2,
"collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 8,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.0873375,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e027a11f0d46",
"realistic_value": 4.61,
"optimistic_value": 4.61,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Wintergreen",
"conservative_value": 3.81,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AK-47 | Wintergreen (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T06:59:23.769730Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e027a11f0d46.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.079186,
"output_skin_id": "skin-efe243521c5e",
"realistic_value": 0.4405,
"optimistic_value": 0.43,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Poplar Thicket",
"conservative_value": 0.41,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Poplar Thicket (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:07:46.495656Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-efe243521c5e.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.06987,
"output_skin_id": "skin-279e913dd981",
"realistic_value": 1.552,
"optimistic_value": 1.51,
"output_full_name": "MP5-SD | Gold Leaf",
"conservative_value": 1.49,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:02:29.665676Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-279e913dd981.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.06404750000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ea3238e578e7",
"realistic_value": 3.671,
"optimistic_value": 3.65,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Tropical Breeze",
"conservative_value": 3.64,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Tropical Breeze (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T06:59:13.367595Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ea3238e578e7.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.06987,
"output_skin_id": "skin-17ba4cfaa721",
"realistic_value": 1.4295,
"optimistic_value": 1.3,
"output_full_name": "XM1014 | Copperflage",
"conservative_value": 1.28,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Copperflage (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:05:06.916143Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-17ba4cfaa721.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.05,
"output_float": 0.09665349999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-9e9b9cd050d5",
"realistic_value": 2.5524999999999998,
"optimistic_value": 2.5,
"output_full_name": "AWP | Acheron",
"conservative_value": 2.19,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The 2018 Nuke Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AWP | Acheron (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:10:05.940756Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9e9b9cd050d5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.05,
"output_float": 0.058225,
"output_skin_id": "skin-1a3115020d99",
"realistic_value": 2.234,
"optimistic_value": 2.22,
"output_full_name": "MP5-SD | Co-Processor",
"conservative_value": 2.07,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The 2018 Nuke Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:14:48.233133Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1a3115020d99.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.05,
"output_float": 0.058225,
"output_skin_id": "skin-4609f8421163",
"realistic_value": 2.4155,
"optimistic_value": 2.37,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Exchanger",
"conservative_value": 2.36,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The 2018 Nuke Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Exchanger (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:09:57.126532Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4609f8421163.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.05,
"output_float": 0.058225,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ddc69b0796bd",
"realistic_value": 2.2270000000000003,
"optimistic_value": 2.22,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Facility Negative",
"conservative_value": 2.16,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The 2018 Nuke Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:12:24.239399Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ddc69b0796bd.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_cecefb79b8af091ba88b643e",
"input_rarity": "Industrial Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.14,
"skin_id": "skin-810cb4b6d950",
"listing_id": "497227393161145157",
"collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Mainframe (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M4A4 | Mainframe",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-810cb4b6d950.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:18:13.088978Z"
},
{
"price": 0.27,
"skin_id": "skin-373e7e49f479",
"listing_id": "500605837398877331",
"collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Cold Fusion (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Galil AR | Cold Fusion",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-373e7e49f479.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:07:52.393915Z"
},
{
"price": 0.15,
"skin_id": "skin-f57cd46a7078",
"listing_id": "512990623225420919",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Tiger Tear (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SSG 08 | Tiger Tear",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f57cd46a7078.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:08:28.872750Z"
},
{
"price": 0.16,
"skin_id": "skin-f57cd46a7078",
"listing_id": "527627322006725396",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Tiger Tear (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SSG 08 | Tiger Tear",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f57cd46a7078.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:08:28.872750Z"
},
{
"price": 0.16,
"skin_id": "skin-1caaee847d10",
"listing_id": "512990789044843799",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Acid Dart (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Galil AR | Acid Dart",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1caaee847d10.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:09:10.696605Z"
},
{
"price": 0.16,
"skin_id": "skin-cf53e2922c14",
"listing_id": "512990623227020543",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Leafhopper (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Leafhopper",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-cf53e2922c14.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:23:01.261547Z"
},
{
"price": 0.17,
"skin_id": "skin-1caaee847d10",
"listing_id": "515242423037531833",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Acid Dart (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Galil AR | Acid Dart",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1caaee847d10.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:09:10.696605Z"
},
{
"price": 0.18,
"skin_id": "skin-cf53e2922c14",
"listing_id": "521997988015820706",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Leafhopper (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Leafhopper",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-cf53e2922c14.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:23:01.261547Z"
},
{
"price": 0.2,
"skin_id": "skin-a493194726cd",
"listing_id": "518620288314601480",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Garter-9 (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Garter-9",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a493194726cd.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:17:47.937954Z"
},
{
"price": 0.3,
"skin_id": "skin-6467891391e9",
"listing_id": "520872088106929236",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Polished Malachite (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | Polished Malachite",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6467891391e9.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:09:07.766980Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Industrial Grade|Mil-Spec Grade|normal|10|collection-set-nuke-2:2+collection-set-timed-drops-neutral:8"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The 2018 Nuke Collection ×2+The Boreal Collection ×8 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested | Wintergreen 16.0% $4.61 Tropical Breeze 16.0% $1.82 Acheron 5.0% $1.03 Facility Negative 5.0% $0.48 Poplar Thicket 16.0% $0.44 Co-Processor 5.0% $0.42 | $4.61 +343.3% | $1.35 +29.4% | 32.0% | +134.5% | $1.04 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The 2018 Nuke Collection ×1+The Boreal Collection ×9 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested | Wintergreen 18.0% $4.61 Tropical Breeze 18.0% $1.82 Acheron 2.5% $1.03 Facility Negative 2.5% $0.48 Poplar Thicket 18.0% $0.44 Co-Processor 2.5% $0.42 | $4.61 +326.9% | $1.44 +33.4% | 36.0% | +133.1% | $1.08 | — |
The 2018 Nuke Collection ×5+The Boreal Collection ×5 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Minimal Wear | Wintergreen 10.0% $4.61 Acheron 12.5% $2.54 Exchanger 12.5% $2.42 Co-Processor 12.5% $2.23 Facility Negative 12.5% $2.23 Tropical Breeze 10.0% $1.82 | $4.61 +213.6% | $1.94 +32.3% | 70.0% | +61.0% | $1.47 | — |
The 2018 Nuke Collection ×4+The Boreal Collection ×6 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Minimal Wear | Wintergreen 12.0% $4.61 Acheron 10.0% $2.53 Exchanger 10.0% $2.42 Co-Processor 10.0% $2.23 Facility Negative 10.0% $2.23 Tropical Breeze 12.0% $1.82 | $4.61 +227.0% | $1.86 +32.1% | 64.0% | +71.2% | $1.41 | — |
The 2018 Nuke Collection ×3+The Boreal Collection ×7 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested | Wintergreen 14.0% $4.61 Tropical Breeze 14.0% $1.82 Acheron 7.5% $1.03 Facility Negative 7.5% $0.48 Poplar Thicket 14.0% $0.44 Co-Processor 7.5% $0.42 | $4.61 +361.0% | $1.25 +25.1% | 35.5% | +134.8% | $1.00 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The 2018 Nuke Collection ×2+The Boreal Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Nuclear Garden  6.7% $8.25 Sheet Lightning  40.0% $5.26 Random Access  6.7% $4.35 Glockingbird  40.0% $3.86 Core Breach  6.7% $1.48 | $8.25 +102.3% | $4.59 +12.5% | 53.3% | +34.1% | $4.08 | — |
The 2018 Nuke Collection ×6+The Boreal Collection ×4 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested | Control Panel  30.0% $26.29 Green Energy  40.0% $17.77 Remote Control  30.0% $4.11 | $26.29 +83.7% | $16.23 +13.4% | 70.0% | +60.7% | $14.31 | — |