The Chroma 2 Collection ×8+The Radiant Collection ×2
Restricted → Classified MW 10 items
Contract
Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear
Inputs
Heat
2x $2.13
Grand Prix
2x $2.32
Pole Position
4x $3.39
Glitched Paint
1x $3.53
Bleeding Edge
1x $6.48
↓
Possible Outputs
Nouveau Rouge
20.0% $52.14
Djinn
26.7% $24.58
Eco
26.7% $18.75
Monkey Business
26.7% $17.82
Max Win
$52.14 (+49.7%)
EV (ROI %)
$26.74 (-23.2%)
Win %
20.0%
Volatility
+37.3%
Cost
$34.83
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $34.83
Ask Price EV $26.74 (-23.2%)
Bid Price EV $25.71 (-26.2%)
Ask Profit $-8.09 (-23.2%)
Bid Profit $-9.12 (-26.2%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $1.03 (+3.0%)
Ask Slippage Buffer -$8.09
Bid Slippage Buffer -$9.12
Risk
Win Probability 20.0%
Loss Probability 80.0%
Best Case $52.14 (+49.7%)
Worst Case $17.82 (-48.8%)
Volatility +37.3%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 80.0%
Avg Win +$17.31
Avg Loss -$14.45
Bottom 5% Outcome $17.82 (-48.8%)
Std Dev $12.98
Avg Norm Float 0.1497
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 22m
Oldest Output Price 139h 1m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
MAG-7 | Heat
—
Field-Tested
$2.13 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Grand Prix
—
Field-Tested
$2.32 Float: HIDDEN
MAG-7 | Heat
—
Field-Tested
$2.56 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Grand Prix
—
Field-Tested
$3.38 Float: HIDDEN
CZ75-Auto | Pole Position
—
Minimal Wear
$3.39 Float: HIDDEN
CZ75-Auto | Pole Position
—
Minimal Wear
$3.45 Float: HIDDEN
CZ75-Auto | Pole Position
—
Minimal Wear
$3.53 Float: HIDDEN
CZ75-Auto | Pole Position
—
Minimal Wear
$4.06 Float: HIDDEN
M4A1-S | Glitched Paint
—
Field-Tested
$3.53 Float: HIDDEN
USP-S | Bleeding Edge
—
Minimal Wear
$6.48 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 24M 24S //TOTAL COST $34.83 //ASK PRICE EV $26.74 //BID PRICE EV $25.71 //ASK PROFIT $-8.09 (-23.2%) //BID PROFIT $-9.12 (-26.2%) //WIN PROBABILITY 20.0% //BEST CASE $52.14 //VOLATILITY +37.3% //
Possible Outputs · 4
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
WIN EDGE FLOAT
20.0%
$52.14
+$17.31
+49.7%
$50.74
+$15.91
+45.7%
$1.40
2.7%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
26.7%
$24.58
-$10.25
-29.4%
$23.84
-$10.99
-31.6%
$0.74
3.0%
—
NUKE
26.7%
$18.75
-$16.08
-46.2%
$17.17
-$17.66
-50.7%
$1.58
8.4%
—
NUKE
26.7%
$17.82
-$17.01
-48.8%
$17.33
-$17.50
-50.2%
$0.49
2.7%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-7|Restricted|normal",
"item_count": 8,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-7"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm|Restricted|normal",
"item_count": 2,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.14967,
"output_skin_id": "skin-4fa9c490db80",
"realistic_value": 24.581,
"optimistic_value": 24.49,
"output_full_name": "FAMAS | Djinn",
"conservative_value": 23.84,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-7",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Chroma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "FAMAS | Djinn (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T17:20:42.951586Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4fa9c490db80.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.21973600000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-b2a5203033ee",
"realistic_value": 17.8185,
"optimistic_value": 17.71,
"output_full_name": "Five-SeveN | Monkey Business",
"conservative_value": 17.33,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-7",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Chroma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:59:05.106533Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-b2a5203033ee.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.2122525,
"output_skin_id": "skin-5224ccf55371",
"realistic_value": 18.753999999999998,
"optimistic_value": 18.74,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Eco",
"conservative_value": 17.17,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-7",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Chroma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Eco (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T02:30:20.643944Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5224ccf55371.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.2,
"output_float": 0.14967,
"output_skin_id": "skin-181c7ea71c0b",
"realistic_value": 52.143499999999996,
"optimistic_value": 52,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Nouveau Rouge",
"conservative_value": 50.74,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Radiant Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AK-47 | Nouveau Rouge (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:06:39.000208Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-181c7ea71c0b.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_ce91a49ddc3fc62a4b5d58a6",
"input_rarity": "Restricted",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 2.13,
"skin_id": "skin-fadb57cf0d51",
"listing_id": "515242588553791333",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-7",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | Heat (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Heat",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fadb57cf0d51.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:07:02.201328Z"
},
{
"price": 2.32,
"skin_id": "skin-162f16955942",
"listing_id": "510738192177786214",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-7",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Grand Prix",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-162f16955942.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:53:29.496856Z"
},
{
"price": 2.56,
"skin_id": "skin-fadb57cf0d51",
"listing_id": "517493591329566754",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-7",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | Heat (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Heat",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fadb57cf0d51.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:07:02.201328Z"
},
{
"price": 3.38,
"skin_id": "skin-162f16955942",
"listing_id": "643593206208932672",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-7",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Grand Prix",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-162f16955942.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:53:29.496856Z"
},
{
"price": 3.39,
"skin_id": "skin-e2e874d00715",
"listing_id": "526500790835528069",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-7",
"market_hash_name": "CZ75-Auto | Pole Position (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Pole Position",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e2e874d00715.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:01:14.172318Z"
},
{
"price": 3.45,
"skin_id": "skin-e2e874d00715",
"listing_id": "521997988014567546",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-7",
"market_hash_name": "CZ75-Auto | Pole Position (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Pole Position",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e2e874d00715.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:01:14.172318Z"
},
{
"price": 3.53,
"skin_id": "skin-e2e874d00715",
"listing_id": "493850438105617960",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-7",
"market_hash_name": "CZ75-Auto | Pole Position (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Pole Position",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e2e874d00715.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:01:14.172318Z"
},
{
"price": 4.06,
"skin_id": "skin-e2e874d00715",
"listing_id": "518620122757967512",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-7",
"market_hash_name": "CZ75-Auto | Pole Position (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Pole Position",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e2e874d00715.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:01:14.172318Z"
},
{
"price": 3.53,
"skin_id": "skin-75c237bdd4fc",
"listing_id": "698762301663170868",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Field-Tested)",
"name": "M4A1-S | Glitched Paint",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-75c237bdd4fc.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:45:56.507687Z"
},
{
"price": 6.48,
"skin_id": "skin-8e15b1a9e945",
"listing_id": "511864723321542789",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Bleeding Edge (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "USP-S | Bleeding Edge",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8e15b1a9e945.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:04:06.459968Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Classified",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Restricted|Classified|normal|10|collection-set-community-7:8+collection-set-timed-drops-warm:2"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Chroma 2 Collection ×8+The Radiant Collection ×2 Restricted → Classified Factory New | Eco 26.7% $224.09 Nouveau Rouge 20.0% $178.22 Djinn 26.7% $166.29 Monkey Business 26.7% $116.77 | $224.09 +43.3% | $170.89 +9.3% | 73.3% | +25.2% | $156.40 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Chroma 2 Collection ×9+The Radiant Collection ×1 Restricted → Classified Factory New | Eco 30.0% $224.09 Nouveau Rouge 10.0% $178.22 Djinn 30.0% $166.29 Monkey Business 30.0% $116.77 | $224.09 +43.1% | $169.97 +8.5% | 70.0% | +26.6% | $156.63 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Chroma 2 Collection ×1+The Radiant Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Mulberry  30.0% $15.94 Glitched Paint 30.0% $7.14 Bleeding Edge 30.0% $5.49 Worm God  2.5% $4.27 Pole Position 2.5% $3.23 Heat 2.5% $2.16 | $15.94 +122.6% | $8.86 +23.8% | 30.0% | +65.2% | $7.16 | — |