The Chroma 2 Collection ×8+The Radiant Collection ×2
Restricted → Classified FT 10 items
Contract
Restricted → Classified Field-Tested
Inputs
Heat
5x $1.84
Grand Prix
3x $1.99
Bleeding Edge
2x $1.85
↓
Possible Outputs
Nouveau Rouge
20.0% $21.36
Eco
26.7% $18.75
Djinn
26.7% $18.07
Monkey Business
26.7% $17.00
Max Win
$21.36 (+4.5%)
EV (ROI %)
$18.62 (-8.9%)
Win %
20.0%
Volatility
+7.4%
Cost
$20.44
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $20.44
Ask Price EV $18.62 (-8.9%)
Bid Price EV $17.49 (-14.4%)
Ask Profit $-1.82 (-8.9%)
Bid Profit $-2.95 (-14.4%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $1.14 (+5.6%)
Ask Slippage Buffer -$1.82
Bid Slippage Buffer -$2.95
Risk
Win Probability 20.0%
Loss Probability 80.0%
Best Case $21.36 (+4.5%)
Worst Case $17.00 (-16.8%)
Volatility +7.4%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 0.00%
Avg Win +$0.92
Avg Loss -$2.50
Bottom 5% Outcome $17.00 (-16.8%)
Std Dev $1.51
Avg Norm Float 0.3691
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 18m
Oldest Output Price 138h 53m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Tight
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
MAG-7 | Heat
—
Well-Worn
$1.84 Float: HIDDEN
MAG-7 | Heat
—
Well-Worn
$1.85 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Grand Prix
—
Field-Tested
$1.99 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Grand Prix
—
Field-Tested
$2.00 Float: HIDDEN
MAG-7 | Heat
—
Field-Tested
$2.04 Float: HIDDEN
MAG-7 | Heat
—
Field-Tested
$2.13 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Grand Prix
—
Field-Tested
$2.32 Float: HIDDEN
MAG-7 | Heat
—
Field-Tested
$2.56 Float: HIDDEN
USP-S | Bleeding Edge
—
Battle-Scarred
$1.85 Float: HIDDEN
USP-S | Bleeding Edge
—
Battle-Scarred
$1.86 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 24M 26S //TOTAL COST $20.44 //ASK PRICE EV $18.62 //BID PRICE EV $17.49 //ASK PROFIT $-1.82 (-8.9%) //BID PROFIT $-2.95 (-14.4%) //WIN PROBABILITY 20.0% //BEST CASE $21.36 //VOLATILITY +7.4% //
Possible Outputs · 4
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
PAPER WIN
20.0%
$21.36
+$0.92
+4.5%
$19.51
-$0.93
-4.5%
$1.85
8.7%
—
LOSS
26.7%
$18.75
-$1.69
-8.2%
$17.17
-$3.27
-16.0%
$1.58
8.4%
—
LOSS
26.7%
$18.07
-$2.37
-11.6%
$17.29
-$3.15
-15.4%
$0.78
4.3%
—
LOSS
26.7%
$17.00
-$3.44
-16.8%
$16.49
-$3.95
-19.3%
$0.51
3.0%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-7|Restricted|normal",
"item_count": 8,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-7"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm|Restricted|normal",
"item_count": 2,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.36911,
"output_skin_id": "skin-4fa9c490db80",
"realistic_value": 18.067,
"optimistic_value": 17.78,
"output_full_name": "FAMAS | Djinn",
"conservative_value": 17.29,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-7",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Chroma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "FAMAS | Djinn (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:03:42.759793Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4fa9c490db80.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.395288,
"output_skin_id": "skin-b2a5203033ee",
"realistic_value": 17.0015,
"optimistic_value": 16.83,
"output_full_name": "Five-SeveN | Monkey Business",
"conservative_value": 16.49,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-7",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"collection_name": "The Chroma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Well-Worn)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:01:55.814829Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-b2a5203033ee.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.3768325,
"output_skin_id": "skin-5224ccf55371",
"realistic_value": 18.753999999999998,
"optimistic_value": 18.74,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Eco",
"conservative_value": 17.17,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-7",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Chroma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Eco (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T02:30:20.643944Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5224ccf55371.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.2,
"output_float": 0.36911,
"output_skin_id": "skin-181c7ea71c0b",
"realistic_value": 21.360500000000002,
"optimistic_value": 21.28,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Nouveau Rouge",
"conservative_value": 19.51,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Radiant Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AK-47 | Nouveau Rouge (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:14:58.369529Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-181c7ea71c0b.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_ce91a49ddc3fc62a4b5d58a6",
"input_rarity": "Restricted",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 1.84,
"skin_id": "skin-fadb57cf0d51",
"listing_id": "507361123691200441",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-7",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | Heat (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Heat",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fadb57cf0d51.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:06:13.615954Z"
},
{
"price": 1.85,
"skin_id": "skin-fadb57cf0d51",
"listing_id": "514116523133871942",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-7",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | Heat (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Heat",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fadb57cf0d51.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:06:13.615954Z"
},
{
"price": 1.99,
"skin_id": "skin-162f16955942",
"listing_id": "511864888984657773",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-7",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Grand Prix",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-162f16955942.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:53:29.496856Z"
},
{
"price": 2,
"skin_id": "skin-162f16955942",
"listing_id": "510738936595822510",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-7",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Grand Prix",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-162f16955942.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:53:29.496856Z"
},
{
"price": 2.04,
"skin_id": "skin-fadb57cf0d51",
"listing_id": "528753387757331289",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-7",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | Heat (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Heat",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fadb57cf0d51.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:07:02.201328Z"
},
{
"price": 2.13,
"skin_id": "skin-fadb57cf0d51",
"listing_id": "515242588553791333",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-7",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | Heat (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Heat",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fadb57cf0d51.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:07:02.201328Z"
},
{
"price": 2.32,
"skin_id": "skin-162f16955942",
"listing_id": "510738192177786214",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-7",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Grand Prix",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-162f16955942.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:53:29.496856Z"
},
{
"price": 2.56,
"skin_id": "skin-fadb57cf0d51",
"listing_id": "517493591329566754",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-7",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | Heat (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Heat",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fadb57cf0d51.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:07:02.201328Z"
},
{
"price": 1.85,
"skin_id": "skin-8e15b1a9e945",
"listing_id": "520872088106352516",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Bleeding Edge (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "USP-S | Bleeding Edge",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8e15b1a9e945.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:50:22.091816Z"
},
{
"price": 1.86,
"skin_id": "skin-8e15b1a9e945",
"listing_id": "498353293083130315",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Bleeding Edge (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "USP-S | Bleeding Edge",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8e15b1a9e945.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:50:22.091816Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Classified",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Restricted|Classified|normal|10|collection-set-community-7:8+collection-set-timed-drops-warm:2"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Chroma 2 Collection ×8+The Radiant Collection ×2 Restricted → Classified Factory New | Eco 26.7% $224.09 Nouveau Rouge 20.0% $178.22 Djinn 26.7% $166.29 Monkey Business 26.7% $116.77 | $224.09 +43.3% | $170.89 +9.3% | 73.3% | +25.2% | $156.40 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Chroma 2 Collection ×9+The Radiant Collection ×1 Restricted → Classified Factory New | Eco 30.0% $224.09 Nouveau Rouge 10.0% $178.22 Djinn 30.0% $166.29 Monkey Business 30.0% $116.77 | $224.09 +43.1% | $169.97 +8.5% | 70.0% | +26.6% | $156.63 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Chroma 2 Collection ×1+The Radiant Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Mulberry  30.0% $15.94 Glitched Paint  30.0% $7.14 Bleeding Edge 30.0% $5.49 Worm God  2.5% $4.27 Pole Position  2.5% $3.23 Heat 2.5% $2.16 | $15.94 +122.6% | $8.86 +23.8% | 30.0% | +65.2% | $7.16 | — |