The Chroma 2 Collection ×8+The Radiant Collection ×2
Restricted → Classified FN 10 items
Contract
Restricted → Classified Factory New
Inputs
Pole Position
5x $3.53
Grand Prix
1x $6.96
Worm God
2x $10.95
Glitched Paint
2x $28.54
↓
Possible Outputs
Eco
26.7% $224.09
Nouveau Rouge
20.0% $178.22
Djinn
26.7% $166.29
Monkey Business
26.7% $116.77
Max Win
$224.09 (+43.3%)
EV (ROI %)
$170.89 (+9.3%)
Win %
73.3%
Volatility
+25.2%
Cost
$156.40
Age —
Financials
ASK-ONLY EDGETotal Cost $156.40
Ask Price EV $170.89 (+9.3%)
Bid Price EV $153.73 (-1.7%)
Ask Profit $14.49 (+9.3%)
Bid Profit $-2.67 (-1.7%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $17.16 (+11.0%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$14.49
Bid Slippage Buffer -$2.67
Risk
Win Probability 73.3%
Loss Probability 26.7%
Best Case $224.09 (+43.3%)
Worst Case $116.77 (-25.3%)
Volatility +25.2%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 26.7%
Avg Win +$34.16
Avg Loss -$39.63
Bottom 5% Outcome $116.77 (-25.3%)
Std Dev $39.40
Avg Norm Float 0.0625
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 23m
Oldest Output Price 138h 25m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Ask-Side Flip · Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
CZ75-Auto | Pole Position
—
Minimal Wear
$3.53 Float: HIDDEN
CZ75-Auto | Pole Position
—
Minimal Wear
$4.40 Float: HIDDEN
CZ75-Auto | Pole Position
—
Minimal Wear
$6.70 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Grand Prix
—
Field-Tested
$6.96 Float: HIDDEN
AWP | Worm God
—
Factory New
$10.95 Float: HIDDEN
CZ75-Auto | Pole Position
—
Factory New
$17.22 Float: HIDDEN
CZ75-Auto | Pole Position
—
Factory New
$21.85 Float: HIDDEN
AWP | Worm God
—
Factory New
$26.84 Float: HIDDEN
M4A1-S | Glitched Paint
—
Factory New
$28.54 Float: HIDDEN
M4A1-S | Glitched Paint
—
Factory New
$29.41 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 25M 30S //TOTAL COST $156.40 //ASK PRICE EV $170.89 //BID PRICE EV $153.73 //ASK PROFIT $14.49 (+9.3%) //BID PROFIT $-2.67 (-1.7%) //WIN PROBABILITY 73.3% //BEST CASE $224.09 //VOLATILITY +25.2% //
Possible Outputs · 4
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
WIN
26.7%
$224.09
+$67.69
+43.3%
$207.58
+$51.18
+32.7%
$16.51
7.4%
—
SMALL WIN
20.0%
$178.22
+$21.82
+14.0%
$175.46
+$19.06
+12.2%
$2.76
1.5%
—
PAPER WIN
26.7%
$166.29
+$9.89
+6.3%
$125.44
-$30.96
-19.8%
$40.85
24.6%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
26.7%
$116.77
-$39.63
-25.3%
$111.86
-$44.54
-28.5%
$4.91
4.2%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-7|Restricted|normal",
"item_count": 8,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-7"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm|Restricted|normal",
"item_count": 2,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.06246,
"output_skin_id": "skin-4fa9c490db80",
"realistic_value": 166.2925,
"optimistic_value": 164.14,
"output_full_name": "FAMAS | Djinn",
"conservative_value": 125.44,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-7",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Chroma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "FAMAS | Djinn (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:46:33.615944Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4fa9c490db80.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.14996800000000002,
"output_skin_id": "skin-b2a5203033ee",
"realistic_value": 116.7745,
"optimistic_value": 115,
"output_full_name": "Five-SeveN | Monkey Business",
"conservative_value": 111.86,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-7",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Chroma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T22:56:42.825271Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-b2a5203033ee.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.146845,
"output_skin_id": "skin-5224ccf55371",
"realistic_value": 224.093,
"optimistic_value": 218.22,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Eco",
"conservative_value": 207.58,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-7",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Chroma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Eco (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:48:41.683044Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5224ccf55371.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.2,
"output_float": 0.06246,
"output_skin_id": "skin-181c7ea71c0b",
"realistic_value": 178.2215,
"optimistic_value": 175.95,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Nouveau Rouge",
"conservative_value": 175.46,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Radiant Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AK-47 | Nouveau Rouge (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:35:05.778954Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-181c7ea71c0b.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_ce91a49ddc3fc62a4b5d58a6",
"input_rarity": "Restricted",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 3.53,
"skin_id": "skin-e2e874d00715",
"listing_id": "493850438105617960",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-7",
"market_hash_name": "CZ75-Auto | Pole Position (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Pole Position",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e2e874d00715.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:10:25.570897Z"
},
{
"price": 4.4,
"skin_id": "skin-e2e874d00715",
"listing_id": "652600309212115064",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-7",
"market_hash_name": "CZ75-Auto | Pole Position (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Pole Position",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e2e874d00715.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:10:25.570897Z"
},
{
"price": 6.7,
"skin_id": "skin-e2e874d00715",
"listing_id": "507360492279540541",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-7",
"market_hash_name": "CZ75-Auto | Pole Position (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Pole Position",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e2e874d00715.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:10:25.570897Z"
},
{
"price": 6.96,
"skin_id": "skin-162f16955942",
"listing_id": "635712517303133731",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-7",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Grand Prix",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-162f16955942.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:02:41.688581Z"
},
{
"price": 10.95,
"skin_id": "skin-c97e27944006",
"listing_id": "722406200559308258",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-7",
"market_hash_name": "AWP | Worm God (Factory New)",
"name": "AWP | Worm God",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c97e27944006.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T22:57:49.161195Z"
},
{
"price": 17.22,
"skin_id": "skin-e2e874d00715",
"listing_id": "633460717437591325",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-7",
"market_hash_name": "CZ75-Auto | Pole Position (Factory New)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Pole Position",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e2e874d00715.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:08:11.781879Z"
},
{
"price": 21.85,
"skin_id": "skin-e2e874d00715",
"listing_id": "698762301643572576",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-7",
"market_hash_name": "CZ75-Auto | Pole Position (Factory New)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Pole Position",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e2e874d00715.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:08:11.781879Z"
},
{
"price": 26.84,
"skin_id": "skin-c97e27944006",
"listing_id": "525375522201436327",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-7",
"market_hash_name": "AWP | Worm God (Factory New)",
"name": "AWP | Worm God",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c97e27944006.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T22:57:49.161195Z"
},
{
"price": 28.54,
"skin_id": "skin-75c237bdd4fc",
"listing_id": "521997822478349142",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New)",
"name": "M4A1-S | Glitched Paint",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-75c237bdd4fc.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T22:48:43.968227Z"
},
{
"price": 29.41,
"skin_id": "skin-75c237bdd4fc",
"listing_id": "510738192174432742",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New)",
"name": "M4A1-S | Glitched Paint",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-75c237bdd4fc.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T22:48:43.968227Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Classified",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Restricted|Classified|normal|10|collection-set-community-7:8+collection-set-timed-drops-warm:2"
}Related
Related contracts
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Chroma 2 Collection ×9+The Radiant Collection ×1 Restricted → Classified Factory New | Eco 30.0% $224.09 Nouveau Rouge 10.0% $178.22 Djinn 30.0% $166.29 Monkey Business 30.0% $116.77 | $224.09 +43.1% | $169.97 +8.5% | 70.0% | +26.6% | $156.63 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Chroma 2 Collection ×1+The Radiant Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Mulberry  30.0% $15.94 Glitched Paint 30.0% $7.19 Bleeding Edge  30.0% $5.34 Worm God 2.5% $4.27 Pole Position 2.5% $3.19 Heat  2.5% $2.05 | $15.94 +120.8% | $8.83 +22.3% | 30.0% | +65.1% | $7.22 | — |