The Dust 2 Collection ×3+The 2018 Nuke Collection ×7
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade MW 10 items
Contract
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Minimal Wear
Inputs
Orange Peel
1x $0.08
VariCamo
2x $0.10
Cold Fusion
3x $0.07
Mainframe
4x $0.10
↓
Possible Outputs
Acheron
17.5% $2.61
Exchanger
17.5% $2.44
Co-Processor
17.5% $2.25
Facility Negative
17.5% $2.23
VariCamo
10.0% $0.70
Damascus Steel
10.0% $0.70
Max Win
$2.61 (+82.8%)
EV (ROI %)
$1.88 (+31.3%)
Win %
70.0%
Volatility
+54.9%
Cost
$1.43
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $1.43
Ask Price EV $1.88 (+31.3%)
Bid Price EV $1.73 (+20.7%)
Ask Profit $0.45 (+31.3%)
Bid Profit $0.30 (+20.7%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.15 (+10.6%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.45
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.30
Risk
Win Probability 70.0%
Loss Probability 30.0%
Best Case $2.61 (+82.8%)
Worst Case $0.69 (-51.5%)
Volatility +54.9%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 30.0%
Avg Win +$0.95
Avg Loss -$0.73
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.69 (-51.5%)
Std Dev $0.78
Avg Norm Float 0.1398
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 18m
Oldest Output Price 29h 14m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // High-EV Grinder · Premium Signal · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
Five-SeveN | Orange Peel
—
Field-Tested
$0.08 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | VariCamo
—
Minimal Wear
$0.10 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | VariCamo
—
Minimal Wear
$0.11 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Cold Fusion
—
Field-Tested
$0.07 Float: HIDDEN
M4A4 | Mainframe
—
Minimal Wear
$0.10 Float: HIDDEN
M4A4 | Mainframe
—
Minimal Wear
$0.11 Float: HIDDEN
M4A4 | Mainframe
—
Minimal Wear
$0.14 Float: HIDDEN
M4A4 | Mainframe
—
Minimal Wear
$0.20 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Cold Fusion
—
Minimal Wear
$0.25 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Cold Fusion
—
Minimal Wear
$0.27 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 31M 35S //TOTAL COST $1.43 //ASK PRICE EV $1.88 //BID PRICE EV $1.73 //ASK PROFIT $0.45 (+31.3%) //BID PROFIT $0.30 (+20.7%) //WIN PROBABILITY 70.0% //BEST CASE $2.61 //VOLATILITY +54.9% //
Possible Outputs · 7
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
17.5%
$2.61
+$1.18
+82.8%
$2.18
+$0.75
+52.4%
$0.43
16.6%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
17.5%
$2.44
+$1.01
+70.7%
$2.37
+$0.94
+65.7%
$0.07
2.9%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
17.5%
$2.25
+$0.82
+57.6%
$2.04
+$0.61
+42.7%
$0.21
9.5%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
17.5%
$2.23
+$0.80
+55.7%
$2.16
+$0.73
+51.0%
$0.07
3.0%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$0.70
-$0.73
-51.3%
$0.64
-$0.79
-55.2%
$0.06
8.2%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$0.70
-$0.73
-51.3%
$0.65
-$0.78
-54.5%
$0.05
6.7%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$0.69
-$0.74
-51.5%
$0.66
-$0.77
-53.8%
$0.03
4.8%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-dust-2|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 3,
"collection_id": "collection-set-dust-2"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-nuke-2|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 7,
"collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.175,
"output_float": 0.1160257,
"output_skin_id": "skin-9e9b9cd050d5",
"realistic_value": 2.6135,
"optimistic_value": 2.61,
"output_full_name": "AWP | Acheron",
"conservative_value": 2.18,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The 2018 Nuke Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AWP | Acheron (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:58:43.451115Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9e9b9cd050d5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.175,
"output_float": 0.069895,
"output_skin_id": "skin-1a3115020d99",
"realistic_value": 2.2535,
"optimistic_value": 2.25,
"output_full_name": "MP5-SD | Co-Processor",
"conservative_value": 2.04,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The 2018 Nuke Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:08:57.644268Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1a3115020d99.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.175,
"output_float": 0.069895,
"output_skin_id": "skin-4609f8421163",
"realistic_value": 2.4415,
"optimistic_value": 2.41,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Exchanger",
"conservative_value": 2.37,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The 2018 Nuke Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Exchanger (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:04:03.775421Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4609f8421163.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.175,
"output_float": 0.069895,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ddc69b0796bd",
"realistic_value": 2.2270000000000003,
"optimistic_value": 2.22,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Facility Negative",
"conservative_value": 2.16,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The 2018 Nuke Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:06:36.345890Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ddc69b0796bd.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.09999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.08387399999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2d90d1532701",
"realistic_value": 0.697,
"optimistic_value": 0.69,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | VariCamo",
"conservative_value": 0.64,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-dust-2",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dust 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | VariCamo (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-06T19:00:48.772116Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2d90d1532701.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.09999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.13979,
"output_skin_id": "skin-891034135d58",
"realistic_value": 0.6934999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 0.69,
"output_full_name": "PP-Bizon | Brass",
"conservative_value": 0.66,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-dust-2",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dust 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "PP-Bizon | Brass (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:06:27.733822Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-891034135d58.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.09999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.13979,
"output_skin_id": "skin-473110a625aa",
"realistic_value": 0.697,
"optimistic_value": 0.69,
"output_full_name": "SG 553 | Damascus Steel",
"conservative_value": 0.65,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-dust-2",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dust 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "SG 553 | Damascus Steel (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:09:03.871191Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-473110a625aa.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_c78441742f99c6f028a65bb8",
"input_rarity": "Industrial Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.08,
"skin_id": "skin-0464cbc467c0",
"listing_id": "523123835629108954",
"collection_id": "collection-set-dust-2",
"market_hash_name": "Five-SeveN | Orange Peel (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Five-SeveN | Orange Peel",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0464cbc467c0.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:11:54.869609Z"
},
{
"price": 0.1,
"skin_id": "skin-f0efb98b360e",
"listing_id": "519746188258297772",
"collection_id": "collection-set-dust-2",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | VariCamo (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Tec-9 | VariCamo",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f0efb98b360e.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:58:25.261609Z"
},
{
"price": 0.11,
"skin_id": "skin-f0efb98b360e",
"listing_id": "515242588553440297",
"collection_id": "collection-set-dust-2",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | VariCamo (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Tec-9 | VariCamo",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f0efb98b360e.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:58:25.261609Z"
},
{
"price": 0.07,
"skin_id": "skin-373e7e49f479",
"listing_id": "494976390476434362",
"collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Cold Fusion (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Galil AR | Cold Fusion",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-373e7e49f479.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:02:18.562303Z"
},
{
"price": 0.1,
"skin_id": "skin-810cb4b6d950",
"listing_id": "515242588554249181",
"collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Mainframe (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M4A4 | Mainframe",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-810cb4b6d950.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:04:39.863991Z"
},
{
"price": 0.11,
"skin_id": "skin-810cb4b6d950",
"listing_id": "510738936594594550",
"collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Mainframe (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M4A4 | Mainframe",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-810cb4b6d950.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:04:39.863991Z"
},
{
"price": 0.14,
"skin_id": "skin-810cb4b6d950",
"listing_id": "497227393161145157",
"collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Mainframe (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M4A4 | Mainframe",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-810cb4b6d950.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:04:39.863991Z"
},
{
"price": 0.2,
"skin_id": "skin-810cb4b6d950",
"listing_id": "739280031442951907",
"collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Mainframe (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M4A4 | Mainframe",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-810cb4b6d950.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:04:39.863991Z"
},
{
"price": 0.25,
"skin_id": "skin-373e7e49f479",
"listing_id": "500605889840729975",
"collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Cold Fusion (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Galil AR | Cold Fusion",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-373e7e49f479.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:56:51.789602Z"
},
{
"price": 0.27,
"skin_id": "skin-373e7e49f479",
"listing_id": "500605837398877331",
"collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Cold Fusion (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Galil AR | Cold Fusion",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-373e7e49f479.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:56:51.789602Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Industrial Grade|Mil-Spec Grade|normal|10|collection-set-dust-2:3+collection-set-nuke-2:7"
}Related
Related contracts
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Dust 2 Collection ×4+The 2018 Nuke Collection ×6 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Minimal Wear | Acheron 15.0% $2.61 Exchanger 15.0% $2.44 Co-Processor 15.0% $2.25 Facility Negative 15.0% $2.23 VariCamo 13.3% $0.70 Damascus Steel 13.3% $0.70 | $2.61 +99.5% | $1.71 +30.4% | 60.0% | +57.2% | $1.31 | — |
The Dust 2 Collection ×5+The 2018 Nuke Collection ×5 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Minimal Wear | Acheron 12.5% $2.57 Exchanger 12.5% $2.44 Co-Processor 12.5% $2.25 Facility Negative 12.5% $2.23 VariCamo 16.7% $0.70 Damascus Steel 16.7% $0.70 | $2.57 +109.0% | $1.53 +24.8% | 50.0% | +62.7% | $1.23 | — |