The Gamma Collection ×3+The Kilowatt Collection ×7
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted MW ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear StatTrak™
Inputs
Aerial
1x $0.43
Iron Clad
1x $0.47
Carnivore
1x $0.57
Dark Sigil
3x $0.31
Hideout
1x $0.34
Motorized
2x $0.34
↓
Possible Outputs
Phobos
6.0% $13.56
Reboot
6.0% $8.39
Aristocrat
6.0% $6.48
Chopper
6.0% $4.89
Etch Lord
14.0% $4.43
Block-18
14.0% $4.19
Max Win
$13.56 (+250.3%)
EV (ROI %)
$4.56 (+17.9%)
Win %
58.0%
Volatility
+71.7%
Cost
$3.87
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $3.87
Ask Price EV $4.56 (+17.9%)
Bid Price EV $4.11 (+6.1%)
Ask Profit $0.69 (+17.9%)
Bid Profit $0.24 (+6.1%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.46 (+11.8%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.69
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.24
Risk
Win Probability 58.0%
Loss Probability 42.0%
Best Case $13.56 (+250.3%)
Worst Case $1.90 (-50.8%)
Volatility +71.7%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 28.0%
Avg Win +$2.09
Avg Loss -$1.24
Bottom 5% Outcome $1.90 (-50.8%)
Std Dev $2.78
Avg Norm Float 0.1478
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 23m
Oldest Output Price 154h 28m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Tight
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Big-Win Hunter · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
SG 553 | Aerial
—
Field-Tested
$0.43 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Iron Clad
—
Field-Tested
$0.47 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Carnivore
—
Field-Tested
$0.57 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Dark Sigil
—
Minimal Wear
$0.31 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Dark Sigil
—
Minimal Wear
$0.32 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | Hideout
—
Minimal Wear
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Motorized
—
Minimal Wear
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Motorized
—
Minimal Wear
$0.35 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Dark Sigil
—
Minimal Wear
$0.36 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Slag
—
Minimal Wear
$0.38 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 45M 28S //TOTAL COST $3.87 //ASK PRICE EV $4.56 //BID PRICE EV $4.11 //ASK PROFIT $0.69 (+17.9%) //BID PROFIT $0.24 (+6.1%) //WIN PROBABILITY 58.0% //BEST CASE $13.56 //VOLATILITY +71.7% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
6.0%
$13.56
+$9.69
+250.3%
$13.45
+$9.58
+247.5%
$0.11
0.8%
—
BIG WIN
6.0%
$8.39
+$4.52
+116.8%
$6.90
+$3.03
+78.3%
$1.49
17.7%
—
BIG WIN
6.0%
$6.48
+$2.61
+67.5%
$5.17
+$1.30
+33.6%
$1.31
20.3%
—
WIN
6.0%
$4.89
+$1.02
+26.3%
$4.00
+$0.13
+3.4%
$0.89
18.2%
—
PAPER WIN
14.0%
$4.43
+$0.56
+14.6%
$3.77
-$0.10
-2.6%
$0.66
15.0%
—
SMALL WIN
14.0%
$4.19
+$0.32
+8.3%
$3.88
+$0.01
+0.3%
$0.31
7.4%
—
SMALL WIN
6.0%
$4.16
+$0.29
+7.6%
$4.03
+$0.16
+4.1%
$0.13
3.2%
—
LOSS
14.0%
$3.34
-$0.53
-13.8%
$2.85
-$1.02
-26.4%
$0.49
14.6%
—
LOSS
14.0%
$2.65
-$1.22
-31.5%
$2.60
-$1.27
-32.8%
$0.05
1.9%
—
NUKE
14.0%
$1.90
-$1.97
-50.8%
$1.85
-$2.02
-52.2%
$0.05
2.9%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-13|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 3,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-13"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-33|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 7,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.14778,
"output_skin_id": "skin-204c9ef36369",
"realistic_value": 2.65,
"optimistic_value": 2.65,
"output_full_name": "Five-SeveN | Hybrid",
"conservative_value": 2.6,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:23:23.045771Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-204c9ef36369.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.0992896875,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2c04c0201892",
"realistic_value": 4.1905,
"optimistic_value": 4.11,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Block-18",
"conservative_value": 3.88,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Block-18 (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:50.971922Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2c04c0201892.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.14778,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0e160542d6d4",
"realistic_value": 4.434,
"optimistic_value": 4.42,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Etch Lord",
"conservative_value": 3.77,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A4 | Etch Lord (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:20:41.101680Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0e160542d6d4.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.14778,
"output_skin_id": "skin-48f9126df040",
"realistic_value": 3.337,
"optimistic_value": 3.33,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Just Smile",
"conservative_value": 2.85,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Just Smile (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:20:08.866053Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-48f9126df040.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.09145513079999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d0653c0aaf2f",
"realistic_value": 1.9044999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 1.88,
"output_full_name": "Sawed-Off | Analog Input",
"conservative_value": 1.85,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:20:34.770098Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d0653c0aaf2f.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.0975348,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d88fbf7ef8e1",
"realistic_value": 6.483,
"optimistic_value": 6.35,
"output_full_name": "AUG | Aristocrat",
"conservative_value": 5.17,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-13",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Gamma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AUG | Aristocrat (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:12:40.020455Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d88fbf7ef8e1.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.059112,
"output_skin_id": "skin-78882aeeb9a7",
"realistic_value": 13.556,
"optimistic_value": 13.5,
"output_full_name": "AWP | Phobos",
"conservative_value": 13.45,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-13",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Gamma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AWP | Phobos (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-06T14:37:58.702451Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-78882aeeb9a7.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.088668,
"output_skin_id": "skin-31a18fdabe59",
"realistic_value": 4.889,
"optimistic_value": 4.84,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Chopper",
"conservative_value": 4,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-13",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Gamma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Chopper (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T20:17:32.133949Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-31a18fdabe59.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.14778,
"output_skin_id": "skin-1b8d8987488f",
"realistic_value": 8.389,
"optimistic_value": 8.2,
"output_full_name": "R8 Revolver | Reboot",
"conservative_value": 6.9,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-13",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Gamma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Reboot (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:30:25.050808Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1b8d8987488f.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.14778,
"output_skin_id": "skin-33872c48a8e5",
"realistic_value": 4.1625000000000005,
"optimistic_value": 4.11,
"output_full_name": "Sawed-Off | Limelight",
"conservative_value": 4.03,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-13",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Gamma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Limelight (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:23:20.482152Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-33872c48a8e5.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_c5c11703d2f1e0da2241c25f",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.43,
"skin_id": "skin-f7201f00d647",
"listing_id": "503983537176298891",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-13",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SG 553 | Aerial (Field-Tested)",
"name": "SG 553 | Aerial",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f7201f00d647.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:36:23.778750Z"
},
{
"price": 0.47,
"skin_id": "skin-6736df07aec5",
"listing_id": "516368488725525650",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-13",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Iron Clad (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P250 | Iron Clad",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6736df07aec5.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:36:31.275919Z"
},
{
"price": 0.57,
"skin_id": "skin-5c202c8939b2",
"listing_id": "490471993872905031",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-13",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Carnivore (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Carnivore",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5c202c8939b2.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:29:04.192062Z"
},
{
"price": 0.31,
"skin_id": "skin-baa1adba3189",
"listing_id": "509613142168773471",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Dark Sigil (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Nova | Dark Sigil",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-baa1adba3189.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:28:41.601363Z"
},
{
"price": 0.32,
"skin_id": "skin-baa1adba3189",
"listing_id": "525375522204066055",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Dark Sigil (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Nova | Dark Sigil",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-baa1adba3189.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:28:41.601363Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-8d6879f0a2bc",
"listing_id": "520872088106698692",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | Hideout",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d6879f0a2bc.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:34:04.823090Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-806137e84f73",
"listing_id": "527627540538064388",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Motorized (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Motorized",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-806137e84f73.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:17:43.162031Z"
},
{
"price": 0.35,
"skin_id": "skin-806137e84f73",
"listing_id": "528753335314258353",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Motorized (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Motorized",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-806137e84f73.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:17:43.162031Z"
},
{
"price": 0.36,
"skin_id": "skin-baa1adba3189",
"listing_id": "505108692508590428",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Dark Sigil (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Nova | Dark Sigil",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-baa1adba3189.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:28:41.601363Z"
},
{
"price": 0.38,
"skin_id": "skin-80f2ee4e940f",
"listing_id": "508486392212133206",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Slag (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Slag",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-80f2ee4e940f.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:23:36.370297Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-13:3+collection-set-community-33:7"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Gamma Collection ×3+The Kilowatt Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Phobos 6.0% $9.84 Aristocrat 6.0% $6.48 Chopper 6.0% $4.89 Block-18 14.0% $4.19 Reboot 6.0% $3.51 Limelight 6.0% $2.60 | $9.84 +250.1% | $3.25 +15.7% | 38.0% | +67.0% | $2.81 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Gamma Collection ×1+The Kilowatt Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Phobos 2.0% $13.56 Reboot 2.0% $8.39 Aristocrat 2.0% $6.48 Chopper 2.0% $4.89 Etch Lord 18.0% $4.43 Block-18 18.0% $4.19 | $13.56 +351.9% | $3.72 +24.1% | 64.0% | +54.6% | $3.00 | — |
The Gamma Collection ×2+The Kilowatt Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Phobos 4.0% $13.56 Reboot 4.0% $8.39 Aristocrat 4.0% $6.48 Chopper 4.0% $4.89 Etch Lord 16.0% $4.43 Block-18 16.0% $4.19 | $13.56 +305.9% | $4.14 +24.0% | 52.0% | +63.7% | $3.34 | — |
The Gamma Collection ×4+The Kilowatt Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Phobos 8.0% $13.56 Reboot 8.0% $8.39 Aristocrat 8.0% $6.48 Chopper 8.0% $4.89 Etch Lord 12.0% $4.43 Block-18 12.0% $4.19 | $13.56 +221.2% | $4.98 +18.0% | 44.0% | +63.2% | $4.22 | — |
The Gamma Collection ×5+The Kilowatt Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Phobos 10.0% $13.56 Reboot 10.0% $8.39 Aristocrat 10.0% $6.48 Chopper 10.0% $4.89 Etch Lord 10.0% $4.43 Block-18 10.0% $4.19 | $13.56 +186.6% | $5.40 +14.1% | 40.0% | +59.5% | $4.73 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Gamma Collection ×2+The Kilowatt Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Desolate Space  6.7% $46.08 Black Lotus  26.7% $37.06 Imperial Dragon  6.7% $29.78 Bloodsport  6.7% $17.47 Jawbreaker  26.7% $14.90 Olympus  26.7% $13.83 | $46.08 +117.0% | $23.77 +11.9% | 40.0% | +54.2% | $21.24 | — |