The Gamma Collection ×3+The Kilowatt Collection ×7
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FT ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested StatTrak™
Inputs
Iron Clad
2x $0.42
Aerial
1x $0.43
Dark Sigil
1x $0.17
Hideout
3x $0.19
Slag
1x $0.19
Light Box
2x $0.21
↓
Possible Outputs
Phobos
6.0% $9.84
Aristocrat
6.0% $6.48
Chopper
6.0% $4.89
Block-18
14.0% $4.19
Reboot
6.0% $3.51
Limelight
6.0% $2.60
Max Win
$9.84 (+251.3%)
EV (ROI %)
$3.25 (+15.9%)
Win %
38.0%
Volatility
+77.9%
Cost
$2.80
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $2.80
Ask Price EV $3.25 (+15.9%)
Bid Price EV $2.85 (+1.9%)
Ask Profit $0.45 (+15.9%)
Bid Profit $0.05 (+1.9%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.39 (+14.0%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.45
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.05
Risk
Win Probability 38.0%
Loss Probability 62.0%
Best Case $9.84 (+251.3%)
Worst Case $1.47 (-47.5%)
Volatility +77.9%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 42.0%
Avg Win +$2.65
Avg Loss -$0.90
Bottom 5% Outcome $1.47 (-47.5%)
Std Dev $2.18
Avg Norm Float 0.2218
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 23m
Oldest Output Price 155h 32m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Tight
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
P250 | Iron Clad
—
Field-Tested
$0.42 Float: HIDDEN
SG 553 | Aerial
—
Field-Tested
$0.43 Float: HIDDEN
P250 | Iron Clad
—
Field-Tested
$0.47 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Dark Sigil
—
Field-Tested
$0.17 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | Hideout
—
Field-Tested
$0.19 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Slag
—
Field-Tested
$0.19 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | Hideout
—
Field-Tested
$0.20 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Light Box
—
Field-Tested
$0.21 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Light Box
—
Field-Tested
$0.23 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | Hideout
—
Minimal Wear
$0.29 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 54M 31S //TOTAL COST $2.80 //ASK PRICE EV $3.25 //BID PRICE EV $2.85 //ASK PROFIT $0.45 (+15.9%) //BID PROFIT $0.05 (+1.9%) //WIN PROBABILITY 38.0% //BEST CASE $9.84 //VOLATILITY +77.9% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
6.0%
$9.84
+$7.04
+251.3%
$8.14
+$5.34
+190.7%
$1.70
17.3%
—
BIG WIN
6.0%
$6.48
+$3.68
+131.5%
$5.17
+$2.37
+84.6%
$1.31
20.3%
—
BIG WIN
6.0%
$4.89
+$2.09
+74.6%
$4.00
+$1.20
+42.9%
$0.89
18.2%
—
WIN
14.0%
$4.19
+$1.39
+49.7%
$3.88
+$1.08
+38.6%
$0.31
7.4%
—
WIN
6.0%
$3.51
+$0.71
+25.4%
$2.95
+$0.15
+5.4%
$0.56
16.0%
—
LOSS
6.0%
$2.60
-$0.20
-7.2%
$2.50
-$0.30
-10.7%
$0.10
3.8%
—
LOSS
14.0%
$2.35
-$0.45
-16.2%
$2.07
-$0.73
-26.1%
$0.28
11.8%
—
LOSS
14.0%
$1.90
-$0.90
-32.0%
$1.85
-$0.95
-33.9%
$0.05
2.9%
—
NUKE
14.0%
$1.56
-$1.24
-44.3%
$1.43
-$1.37
-48.9%
$0.13
8.3%
—
NUKE
14.0%
$1.47
-$1.33
-47.5%
$1.39
-$1.41
-50.4%
$0.08
5.4%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-13|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 3,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-13"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-33|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 7,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.22175,
"output_skin_id": "skin-204c9ef36369",
"realistic_value": 1.47,
"optimistic_value": 1.47,
"output_full_name": "Five-SeveN | Hybrid",
"conservative_value": 1.39,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:21:24.938683Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-204c9ef36369.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.14898828125,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2c04c0201892",
"realistic_value": 4.1905,
"optimistic_value": 4.11,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Block-18",
"conservative_value": 3.88,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Block-18 (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:50.971922Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2c04c0201892.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.22175,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0e160542d6d4",
"realistic_value": 2.347,
"optimistic_value": 2.27,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Etch Lord",
"conservative_value": 2.07,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A4 | Etch Lord (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:18:34.876512Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0e160542d6d4.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.22175,
"output_skin_id": "skin-48f9126df040",
"realistic_value": 1.56,
"optimistic_value": 1.56,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Just Smile",
"conservative_value": 1.43,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Just Smile (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:04:39.434678Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-48f9126df040.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.137232205,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d0653c0aaf2f",
"realistic_value": 1.9044999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 1.88,
"output_full_name": "Sawed-Off | Analog Input",
"conservative_value": 1.85,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:34:48.600665Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d0653c0aaf2f.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.146355,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d88fbf7ef8e1",
"realistic_value": 6.483,
"optimistic_value": 6.35,
"output_full_name": "AUG | Aristocrat",
"conservative_value": 5.17,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-13",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Gamma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AUG | Aristocrat (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:12:40.020455Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d88fbf7ef8e1.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.0887,
"output_skin_id": "skin-78882aeeb9a7",
"realistic_value": 9.8375,
"optimistic_value": 9.75,
"output_full_name": "AWP | Phobos",
"conservative_value": 8.14,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-13",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Gamma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AWP | Phobos (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:29:05.700822Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-78882aeeb9a7.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.13305,
"output_skin_id": "skin-31a18fdabe59",
"realistic_value": 4.889,
"optimistic_value": 4.84,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Chopper",
"conservative_value": 4,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-13",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Gamma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Chopper (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T20:17:32.133949Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-31a18fdabe59.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.22175,
"output_skin_id": "skin-1b8d8987488f",
"realistic_value": 3.51,
"optimistic_value": 3.51,
"output_full_name": "R8 Revolver | Reboot",
"conservative_value": 2.95,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-13",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Gamma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Reboot (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:29:24.518819Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1b8d8987488f.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.22175,
"output_skin_id": "skin-33872c48a8e5",
"realistic_value": 2.598,
"optimistic_value": 2.57,
"output_full_name": "Sawed-Off | Limelight",
"conservative_value": 2.5,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-13",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Gamma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Limelight (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:37:10.682601Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-33872c48a8e5.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_c5c11703d2f1e0da2241c25f",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.42,
"skin_id": "skin-6736df07aec5",
"listing_id": "519746241189177512",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-13",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Iron Clad (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P250 | Iron Clad",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6736df07aec5.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:26:26.379554Z"
},
{
"price": 0.43,
"skin_id": "skin-f7201f00d647",
"listing_id": "503983537176298891",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-13",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SG 553 | Aerial (Field-Tested)",
"name": "SG 553 | Aerial",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f7201f00d647.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:26:18.910019Z"
},
{
"price": 0.47,
"skin_id": "skin-6736df07aec5",
"listing_id": "516368488725525650",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-13",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Iron Clad (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P250 | Iron Clad",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6736df07aec5.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:26:26.379554Z"
},
{
"price": 0.17,
"skin_id": "skin-baa1adba3189",
"listing_id": "519746241189696524",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Dark Sigil (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Nova | Dark Sigil",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-baa1adba3189.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:20:56.655675Z"
},
{
"price": 0.19,
"skin_id": "skin-8d6879f0a2bc",
"listing_id": "507360492276906205",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | Hideout",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d6879f0a2bc.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:35:07.421849Z"
},
{
"price": 0.19,
"skin_id": "skin-80f2ee4e940f",
"listing_id": "496101493247435159",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Slag (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Slag",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-80f2ee4e940f.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:35:02.484418Z"
},
{
"price": 0.2,
"skin_id": "skin-8d6879f0a2bc",
"listing_id": "514116523129581066",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | Hideout",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d6879f0a2bc.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:35:07.421849Z"
},
{
"price": 0.21,
"skin_id": "skin-543d85d8ca60",
"listing_id": "514116741798137334",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Light Box (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Light Box",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-543d85d8ca60.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:29:59.300666Z"
},
{
"price": 0.23,
"skin_id": "skin-543d85d8ca60",
"listing_id": "527626690807043180",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Light Box (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Light Box",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-543d85d8ca60.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:29:59.300666Z"
},
{
"price": 0.29,
"skin_id": "skin-8d6879f0a2bc",
"listing_id": "499480042829003797",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | Hideout",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d6879f0a2bc.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:23:25.545663Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-13:3+collection-set-community-33:7"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Gamma Collection ×3+The Kilowatt Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Phobos 6.0% $13.56 Reboot 6.0% $8.39 Aristocrat 6.0% $6.48 Chopper 6.0% $4.89 Etch Lord 14.0% $4.43 Block-18 14.0% $4.19 | $13.56 +261.5% | $4.56 +21.6% | 58.0% | +65.3% | $3.75 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Gamma Collection ×2+The Kilowatt Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Phobos 4.0% $13.56 Reboot 4.0% $8.39 Aristocrat 4.0% $6.48 Chopper 4.0% $4.89 Etch Lord 16.0% $4.43 Block-18 16.0% $4.19 | $13.56 +304.7% | $4.14 +23.5% | 52.0% | +63.5% | $3.35 | — |
The Gamma Collection ×1+The Kilowatt Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Phobos 2.0% $13.56 Reboot 2.0% $8.39 Aristocrat 2.0% $6.48 Chopper 2.0% $4.89 Etch Lord 18.0% $4.45 Block-18 18.0% $4.19 | $13.56 +341.6% | $3.73 +21.4% | 64.0% | +53.3% | $3.07 | — |
The Gamma Collection ×4+The Kilowatt Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Phobos 8.0% $13.56 Reboot 8.0% $8.39 Aristocrat 8.0% $6.48 Chopper 8.0% $4.89 Etch Lord 12.0% $4.45 Block-18 12.0% $4.19 | $13.56 +218.2% | $4.98 +17.0% | 44.0% | +62.5% | $4.26 | — |
The Gamma Collection ×5+The Kilowatt Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Phobos 10.0% $13.56 Reboot 10.0% $8.39 Aristocrat 10.0% $6.48 Chopper 10.0% $4.89 Etch Lord 10.0% $4.45 Block-18 10.0% $4.19 | $13.56 +187.2% | $5.40 +14.5% | 40.0% | +59.6% | $4.72 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Gamma Collection ×4+The Kilowatt Collection ×6 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Desolate Space  13.3% $71.39 Bloodsport  13.3% $53.46 Black Lotus  20.0% $37.06 Imperial Dragon  13.3% $29.78 Jawbreaker  20.0% $26.33 Olympus  20.0% $13.83 | $71.39 +126.1% | $36.06 +14.2% | 46.7% | +57.5% | $31.57 | — |