The Gallery Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9
Restricted → Classified FN ST 10 items
Contract
Restricted → Classified Factory New StatTrak™
Inputs
Randy Rush
1x $9.20
Urban Sovereign
8x $4.72
Galigator
1x $7.29
↓
Possible Outputs
Crane Flight
30.0% $290.04
The Outsiders
3.3% $151.51
Neo-Noir
3.3% $88.41
Kintsugi
30.0% $65.51
Epicenter
3.3% $61.76
Deathgaze
30.0% $61.47
Max Win
$290.04 (+189.6%)
EV (ROI %)
$135.16 (+35.0%)
Win %
33.3%
Volatility
+102.5%
Cost
$100.15
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $100.15
Ask Price EV $135.16 (+35.0%)
Bid Price EV $110.58 (+10.4%)
Ask Profit $35.01 (+35.0%)
Bid Profit $10.43 (+10.4%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $24.58 (+24.5%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$35.01
Bid Slippage Buffer +$10.43
Risk
Win Probability 33.3%
Loss Probability 66.7%
Best Case $290.04 (+189.6%)
Worst Case $61.47 (-38.6%)
Volatility +102.5%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 63.3%
Avg Win +$176.04
Avg Loss -$35.50
Bottom 5% Outcome $61.47 (-38.6%)
Std Dev $102.68
Avg Norm Float 0.0700
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 23m
Oldest Output Price 140h 44m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
P90 | Randy Rush
—
Factory New
$9.20 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear
$4.72 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear
$4.75 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear
$5.38 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear
$5.40 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Galigator
—
Minimal Wear
$7.29 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Factory New
$14.95 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Factory New
$15.30 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Factory New
$15.50 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Factory New
$17.66 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 50M 05S //TOTAL COST $100.15 //ASK PRICE EV $135.16 //BID PRICE EV $110.58 //ASK PROFIT $35.01 (+35.0%) //BID PROFIT $10.43 (+10.4%) //WIN PROBABILITY 33.3% //BEST CASE $290.04 //VOLATILITY +102.5% //
Possible Outputs · 6
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
30.0%
$290.04
+$189.89
+189.6%
$229.11
+$128.96
+128.8%
$60.93
21.0%
—
BIG WIN
3.3%
$151.51
+$51.36
+51.3%
$136.13
+$35.98
+35.9%
$15.38
10.1%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
3.3%
$88.41
-$11.74
-11.7%
$71.58
-$28.57
-28.5%
$16.83
19.0%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
30.0%
$65.51
-$34.64
-34.6%
$55.11
-$45.04
-45.0%
$10.40
15.9%
—
LOSS
3.3%
$61.76
-$38.39
-38.3%
$53.19
-$46.96
-46.9%
$8.57
13.9%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
30.0%
$61.47
-$38.68
-38.6%
$55.38
-$44.77
-44.7%
$6.09
9.9%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-34|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 1,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-34"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 9,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.3,
"output_float": 0.06998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f64cdaac0b90",
"realistic_value": 290.0445,
"optimistic_value": 279.45,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Crane Flight",
"conservative_value": 229.11,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:40.031809Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f64cdaac0b90.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.3,
"output_float": 0.06998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
"realistic_value": 65.5065,
"optimistic_value": 64.74,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
"conservative_value": 55.11,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:35:45.715369Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.3,
"output_float": 0.06998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
"realistic_value": 61.465999999999994,
"optimistic_value": 59.66,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
"conservative_value": 55.38,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:35:58.530181Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.03333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.062982,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ad56dc47a4c4",
"realistic_value": 151.5075,
"optimistic_value": 145.47,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | The Outsiders",
"conservative_value": 136.13,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Outsiders (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:14:43.462893Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ad56dc47a4c4.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.03333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.055984000000000006,
"output_skin_id": "skin-71be2ee4feeb",
"realistic_value": 61.7615,
"optimistic_value": 61.24,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Epicenter",
"conservative_value": 53.19,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:52:39.445195Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-71be2ee4feeb.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.03333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.06998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-52c02605493f",
"realistic_value": 88.4145,
"optimistic_value": 84.75,
"output_full_name": "UMP-45 | Neo-Noir",
"conservative_value": 71.58,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:38:27.383993Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-52c02605493f.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_c3aba43e68457050a8c34015",
"input_rarity": "Restricted",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 9.2,
"skin_id": "skin-39f40ce9d13d",
"listing_id": "509613089303856027",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Randy Rush (Factory New)",
"name": "P90 | Randy Rush",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-39f40ce9d13d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:59:07.936079Z"
},
{
"price": 4.72,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "500605889840023871",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:35:46.257285Z"
},
{
"price": 4.75,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "521997988014719718",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:35:46.257285Z"
},
{
"price": 5.38,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "500605837398261191",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:35:46.257285Z"
},
{
"price": 5.4,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "506235337025176368",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:35:46.257285Z"
},
{
"price": 7.29,
"skin_id": "skin-8571b4f29f98",
"listing_id": "524249787960966687",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Galil AR | Galigator",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8571b4f29f98.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:35:45.158952Z"
},
{
"price": 14.95,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "499479193112727541",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:35:53.211943Z"
},
{
"price": 15.3,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "518619491430346084",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:35:53.211943Z"
},
{
"price": 15.5,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "496101493270757831",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:35:53.211943Z"
},
{
"price": 17.66,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "506234592361187964",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:35:53.211943Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Classified",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Restricted|Classified|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-34:1+collection-set-community-37:9"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Gallery Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Crane Flight 30.0% $126.41 The Outsiders 3.3% $54.99 Neo-Noir 3.3% $35.51 Epicenter 3.3% $29.46 Kintsugi 30.0% $22.62 Deathgaze 30.0% $20.41 | $126.41 +163.5% | $54.83 +14.3% | 33.3% | +98.6% | $47.97 | — |
The Gallery Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Crane Flight 30.0% $63.86 The Outsiders 3.3% $30.72 Neo-Noir 3.3% $13.26 Kintsugi 30.0% $12.65 Epicenter 3.3% $12.47 Deathgaze 30.0% $11.60 | $63.86 +154.4% | $28.31 +12.8% | 33.3% | +93.7% | $25.10 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Gallery Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 26.7% $290.04 The Outsiders 6.7% $151.51 Neo-Noir 6.7% $88.41 Kintsugi 26.7% $65.51 Epicenter 6.7% $61.76 Deathgaze 26.7% $61.47 | $290.04 +192.2% | $131.32 +32.3% | 33.3% | +99.0% | $99.26 | — |
The Gallery Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 23.3% $290.04 The Outsiders 10.0% $151.51 Neo-Noir 10.0% $88.41 Kintsugi 23.3% $65.51 Epicenter 10.0% $61.76 Deathgaze 23.3% $61.47 | $290.04 +186.0% | $127.47 +25.7% | 33.3% | +92.1% | $101.41 | — |
The Gallery Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 20.0% $290.04 The Outsiders 13.3% $151.51 Neo-Noir 13.3% $88.41 Kintsugi 20.0% $65.51 Epicenter 13.3% $61.76 Deathgaze 20.0% $61.47 | $290.04 +182.8% | $123.63 +20.5% | 33.3% | +85.9% | $102.56 | — |
The Gallery Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 16.7% $290.04 The Outsiders 16.7% $151.51 Neo-Noir 16.7% $88.41 Kintsugi 16.7% $65.51 Epicenter 16.7% $61.76 Deathgaze 16.7% $61.47 | $290.04 +177.3% | $119.78 +14.5% | 33.3% | +78.7% | $104.60 | — |
The Gallery Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 13.3% $290.04 The Outsiders 20.0% $151.51 Neo-Noir 20.0% $88.41 Kintsugi 13.3% $65.51 Epicenter 20.0% $61.76 Deathgaze 13.3% $61.47 | $290.04 +171.6% | $115.94 +8.5% | 33.3% | +71.1% | $106.81 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Gallery Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Electrum  18.0% $10.69 Firebreathing  18.0% $6.12 Turbine  2.0% $5.05 Rapid Transit  2.0% $4.35 Saibā Oni  2.0% $3.99 Galigator 18.0% $3.26 | $10.69 +160.2% | $5.13 +24.8% | 40.0% | +61.6% | $4.11 | — |
The Gallery Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Classified → Covert Factory New ST | Queen's Gambit  45.0% $843.46 Vaporwave  5.0% $644.00 Fully Tuned  45.0% $484.90 Gold Toof  5.0% $341.19 | $843.46 +56.8% | $647.02 +20.3% | 50.0% | +34.2% | $537.94 | — |