The Gallery Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9
Restricted → Classified WW ST 10 items
Contract
Restricted → Classified Well-Worn StatTrak™
Inputs
Randy Rush
1x $1.63
Amberline
8x $2.08
Urban Sovereign
1x $3.19
↓
Possible Outputs
Crane Flight
30.0% $45.29
The Outsiders
3.3% $30.45
Epicenter
3.3% $12.47
Neo-Noir
3.3% $11.05
Deathgaze
30.0% $10.22
Kintsugi
30.0% $7.96
Max Win
$45.29 (+91.9%)
EV (ROI %)
$20.84 (-11.7%)
Win %
33.3%
Volatility
+69.8%
Cost
$23.60
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $23.60
Ask Price EV $20.84 (-11.7%)
Bid Price EV $18.96 (-19.7%)
Ask Profit $-2.76 (-11.7%)
Bid Profit $-4.64 (-19.7%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $1.88 (+8.0%)
Ask Slippage Buffer -$2.76
Bid Slippage Buffer -$4.64
Risk
Win Probability 33.3%
Loss Probability 66.7%
Best Case $45.29 (+91.9%)
Worst Case $7.96 (-66.3%)
Volatility +69.8%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 66.7%
Avg Win +$20.20
Avg Loss -$14.25
Bottom 5% Outcome $7.96 (-66.3%)
Std Dev $16.48
Avg Norm Float 0.4302
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 20m
Oldest Output Price 141h 41m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Safe
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
P90 | Randy Rush
—
Battle-Scarred
$1.63 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Battle-Scarred
$2.08 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Battle-Scarred
$2.09 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Battle-Scarred
$2.15 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
$2.30 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
$2.31 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
$2.33 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
$2.34 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Field-Tested
$3.18 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Field-Tested
$3.19 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 44M 55S //TOTAL COST $23.60 //ASK PRICE EV $20.84 //BID PRICE EV $18.96 //ASK PROFIT $-2.76 (-11.7%) //BID PROFIT $-4.64 (-19.7%) //WIN PROBABILITY 33.3% //BEST CASE $45.29 //VOLATILITY +69.8% //
Possible Outputs · 6
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
30.0%
$45.29
+$21.68
+91.9%
$41.72
+$18.12
+76.8%
$3.56
7.9%
—
WIN
3.3%
$30.45
+$6.84
+29.0%
$27.80
+$4.20
+17.8%
$2.64
8.7%
—
NUKE
3.3%
$12.47
-$11.13
-47.2%
$11.28
-$12.32
-52.2%
$1.19
9.5%
—
NUKE
3.3%
$11.05
-$12.55
-53.2%
$10.90
-$12.70
-53.8%
$0.15
1.4%
—
NUKE
30.0%
$10.22
-$13.38
-56.7%
$8.25
-$15.35
-65.0%
$1.97
19.2%
—
NUKE
30.0%
$7.96
-$15.64
-66.3%
$7.67
-$15.93
-67.5%
$0.29
3.6%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-34|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 1,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-34"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 9,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.3,
"output_float": 0.43021,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f64cdaac0b90",
"realistic_value": 45.285,
"optimistic_value": 44.9,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Crane Flight",
"conservative_value": 41.72,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Well-Worn)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:39.425805Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f64cdaac0b90.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.3,
"output_float": 0.43021,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
"realistic_value": 7.96,
"optimistic_value": 7.89,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
"conservative_value": 7.67,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Well-Worn)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:47:04.383011Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.3,
"output_float": 0.43021,
"output_skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
"realistic_value": 10.2155,
"optimistic_value": 10.17,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
"conservative_value": 8.25,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Well-Worn)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:47:03.108572Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.03333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.387189,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ad56dc47a4c4",
"realistic_value": 30.445,
"optimistic_value": 29.5,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | The Outsiders",
"conservative_value": 27.8,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Outsiders (Well-Worn)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:15:55.850543Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ad56dc47a4c4.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.03333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.34416800000000003,
"output_skin_id": "skin-71be2ee4feeb",
"realistic_value": 12.4655,
"optimistic_value": 12.07,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Epicenter",
"conservative_value": 11.28,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-06T16:30:16.432966Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-71be2ee4feeb.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.03333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.43021,
"output_skin_id": "skin-52c02605493f",
"realistic_value": 11.05,
"optimistic_value": 10.98,
"output_full_name": "UMP-45 | Neo-Noir",
"conservative_value": 10.9,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Well-Worn)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:36:20.851777Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-52c02605493f.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_c3aba43e68457050a8c34015",
"input_rarity": "Restricted",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 1.63,
"skin_id": "skin-39f40ce9d13d",
"listing_id": "501731789730079925",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Randy Rush (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "P90 | Randy Rush",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-39f40ce9d13d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:36:24.261363Z"
},
{
"price": 2.08,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "507361289452694821",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:49:05.348438Z"
},
{
"price": 2.09,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "514116688949678190",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:49:05.348438Z"
},
{
"price": 2.15,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "490472738292168531",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:49:05.348438Z"
},
{
"price": 2.3,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "525375635593980187",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:57.275700Z"
},
{
"price": 2.31,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "505109489448722396",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:57.275700Z"
},
{
"price": 2.33,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "507361237008630373",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:57.275700Z"
},
{
"price": 2.34,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "492724538182385829",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:57.275700Z"
},
{
"price": 3.18,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "502857689861474128",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:48:59.510287Z"
},
{
"price": 3.19,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "493850490550002916",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:57.565913Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Classified",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Restricted|Classified|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-34:1+collection-set-community-37:9"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Gallery Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Crane Flight 30.0% $126.41 The Outsiders 3.3% $54.99 Neo-Noir 3.3% $35.51 Epicenter 3.3% $29.46 Kintsugi 30.0% $22.62 Deathgaze 30.0% $21.23 | $126.41 +163.2% | $55.08 +14.7% | 33.3% | +98.1% | $48.03 | — |
The Gallery Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Crane Flight 30.0% $63.86 The Outsiders 3.3% $30.72 Neo-Noir 3.3% $13.18 Kintsugi 30.0% $12.65 Epicenter 3.3% $12.47 Deathgaze 30.0% $10.67 | $63.86 +154.3% | $28.03 +11.6% | 33.3% | +94.4% | $25.11 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Gallery Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 26.7% $290.04 The Outsiders 6.7% $151.51 Neo-Noir 6.7% $88.41 Kintsugi 26.7% $65.51 Epicenter 6.7% $61.76 Deathgaze 26.7% $61.47 | $290.04 +192.2% | $131.32 +32.3% | 33.3% | +99.0% | $99.26 | — |
The Gallery Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 23.3% $290.04 The Outsiders 10.0% $151.51 Neo-Noir 10.0% $88.41 Kintsugi 23.3% $65.51 Epicenter 10.0% $61.48 Deathgaze 23.3% $61.47 | $290.04 +186.0% | $127.44 +25.7% | 33.3% | +92.1% | $101.41 | — |
The Gallery Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 20.0% $290.04 The Outsiders 13.3% $151.51 Neo-Noir 13.3% $88.41 Kintsugi 20.0% $65.51 Epicenter 13.3% $61.48 Deathgaze 20.0% $61.47 | $290.04 +182.8% | $123.59 +20.5% | 33.3% | +86.0% | $102.56 | — |
The Gallery Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 16.7% $290.04 The Outsiders 16.7% $151.51 Neo-Noir 16.7% $88.41 Kintsugi 16.7% $65.51 Epicenter 16.7% $61.48 Deathgaze 16.7% $61.47 | $290.04 +177.3% | $119.74 +14.5% | 33.3% | +78.8% | $104.60 | — |
The Gallery Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 13.3% $290.04 The Outsiders 20.0% $151.51 Neo-Noir 20.0% $88.41 Kintsugi 13.3% $65.51 Epicenter 20.0% $61.48 Deathgaze 13.3% $61.47 | $290.04 +171.6% | $115.88 +8.5% | 33.3% | +71.1% | $106.81 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Gallery Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Electrum  18.0% $10.69 Firebreathing  18.0% $6.12 Turbine  2.0% $5.05 Rapid Transit  2.0% $4.35 Saibā Oni  2.0% $3.99 Galigator  18.0% $3.26 | $10.69 +160.8% | $5.13 +25.1% | 40.0% | +61.8% | $4.10 | — |
The Gallery Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Classified → Covert Factory New ST | Queen's Gambit  45.0% $843.46 Vaporwave  5.0% $644.00 Fully Tuned  45.0% $484.90 Gold Toof  5.0% $341.19 | $843.46 +56.8% | $647.02 +20.3% | 50.0% | +34.2% | $537.94 | — |