The Gallery Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9
Restricted → Classified MW ST 10 items
Contract
Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear StatTrak™
Inputs
Randy Rush
1x $3.84
Amberline
2x $3.18
Urban Sovereign
6x $3.19
Galigator
1x $7.29
↓
Possible Outputs
Crane Flight
30.0% $126.41
The Outsiders
3.3% $54.99
Neo-Noir
3.3% $35.51
Epicenter
3.3% $29.46
Kintsugi
30.0% $22.62
Deathgaze
30.0% $21.23
Max Win
$126.41 (+163.2%)
EV (ROI %)
$55.08 (+14.7%)
Win %
33.3%
Volatility
+98.1%
Cost
$48.03
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $48.03
Ask Price EV $55.08 (+14.7%)
Bid Price EV $49.03 (+2.1%)
Ask Profit $7.05 (+14.7%)
Bid Profit $1.00 (+2.1%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $6.05 (+12.6%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$7.05
Bid Slippage Buffer +$1.00
Risk
Win Probability 33.3%
Loss Probability 66.7%
Best Case $126.41 (+163.2%)
Worst Case $21.23 (-55.8%)
Volatility +98.1%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 66.7%
Avg Win +$71.24
Avg Loss -$25.05
Bottom 5% Outcome $21.23 (-55.8%)
Std Dev $47.13
Avg Norm Float 0.1464
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 12m
Oldest Output Price 7h 11m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Tight
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
P90 | Randy Rush
—
Minimal Wear
$3.84 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Field-Tested
$3.18 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Field-Tested
$3.19 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Field-Tested
$3.64 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear
$4.72 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear
$4.75 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear
$5.38 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear
$5.40 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Minimal Wear
$6.64 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Galigator
—
Minimal Wear
$7.29 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 44M 55S //TOTAL COST $48.03 //ASK PRICE EV $55.08 //BID PRICE EV $49.03 //ASK PROFIT $7.05 (+14.7%) //BID PROFIT $1.00 (+2.1%) //WIN PROBABILITY 33.3% //BEST CASE $126.41 //VOLATILITY +98.1% //
Possible Outputs · 6
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
30.0%
$126.41
+$78.38
+163.2%
$112.39
+$64.36
+134.0%
$14.02
11.1%
—
PAPER WIN
3.3%
$54.99
+$6.95
+14.5%
$45.66
-$2.37
-4.9%
$9.33
17.0%
—
LOSS
3.3%
$35.51
-$12.52
-26.1%
$28.49
-$19.54
-40.7%
$7.02
19.8%
—
LOSS
3.3%
$29.46
-$18.57
-38.7%
$24.77
-$23.26
-48.4%
$4.69
15.9%
—
NUKE
30.0%
$22.62
-$25.41
-52.9%
$20.66
-$27.37
-57.0%
$1.96
8.7%
—
NUKE
30.0%
$21.23
-$26.80
-55.8%
$19.38
-$28.65
-59.7%
$1.85
8.7%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-34|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 1,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-34"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 9,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.3,
"output_float": 0.14642,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f64cdaac0b90",
"realistic_value": 126.41149999999999,
"optimistic_value": 124,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Crane Flight",
"conservative_value": 112.39,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:44.452841Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f64cdaac0b90.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.3,
"output_float": 0.14642,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
"realistic_value": 22.619999999999997,
"optimistic_value": 22.2,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
"conservative_value": 20.66,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:59.086341Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.3,
"output_float": 0.14642,
"output_skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
"realistic_value": 21.23,
"optimistic_value": 20.6,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
"conservative_value": 19.38,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:59.001396Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.03333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.131778,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ad56dc47a4c4",
"realistic_value": 54.985,
"optimistic_value": 53.9,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | The Outsiders",
"conservative_value": 45.66,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Outsiders (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T22:36:30.737288Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ad56dc47a4c4.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.03333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.117136,
"output_skin_id": "skin-71be2ee4feeb",
"realistic_value": 29.457,
"optimistic_value": 29.17,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Epicenter",
"conservative_value": 24.77,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:53:59.087025Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-71be2ee4feeb.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.03333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.14642,
"output_skin_id": "skin-52c02605493f",
"realistic_value": 35.5055,
"optimistic_value": 34.97,
"output_full_name": "UMP-45 | Neo-Noir",
"conservative_value": 28.49,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:36:14.583005Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-52c02605493f.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_c3aba43e68457050a8c34015",
"input_rarity": "Restricted",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 3.84,
"skin_id": "skin-39f40ce9d13d",
"listing_id": "515242588554280141",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Randy Rush (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P90 | Randy Rush",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-39f40ce9d13d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:44:27.031942Z"
},
{
"price": 3.18,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "502857689861474128",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:48:59.510287Z"
},
{
"price": 3.19,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "493850490550002916",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:57.565913Z"
},
{
"price": 3.64,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "498354037510570279",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:57.565913Z"
},
{
"price": 4.72,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "500605889840023871",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:59.257802Z"
},
{
"price": 4.75,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "521997988014719718",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:59.257802Z"
},
{
"price": 5.38,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "500605837398261191",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:59.257802Z"
},
{
"price": 5.4,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "506235337025176368",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:59.257802Z"
},
{
"price": 6.64,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "492724538182346589",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:49:14.354664Z"
},
{
"price": 7.29,
"skin_id": "skin-8571b4f29f98",
"listing_id": "524249787960966687",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Galil AR | Galigator",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8571b4f29f98.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:56.622316Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Classified",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Restricted|Classified|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-34:1+collection-set-community-37:9"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Gallery Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Crane Flight 30.0% $63.86 The Outsiders 3.3% $30.72 Neo-Noir 3.3% $13.18 Kintsugi 30.0% $12.65 Epicenter 3.3% $12.47 Deathgaze 30.0% $10.67 | $63.86 +154.3% | $28.03 +11.6% | 33.3% | +94.4% | $25.11 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Gallery Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 26.7% $290.04 The Outsiders 6.7% $151.51 Neo-Noir 6.7% $88.41 Kintsugi 26.7% $65.51 Epicenter 6.7% $61.76 Deathgaze 26.7% $61.47 | $290.04 +192.2% | $131.32 +32.3% | 33.3% | +99.0% | $99.26 | — |
The Gallery Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 23.3% $290.04 The Outsiders 10.0% $151.51 Neo-Noir 10.0% $88.41 Kintsugi 23.3% $65.51 Epicenter 10.0% $61.48 Deathgaze 23.3% $61.47 | $290.04 +186.0% | $127.44 +25.7% | 33.3% | +92.1% | $101.41 | — |
The Gallery Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 20.0% $290.04 The Outsiders 13.3% $151.51 Neo-Noir 13.3% $88.41 Kintsugi 20.0% $65.51 Epicenter 13.3% $61.48 Deathgaze 20.0% $61.47 | $290.04 +182.8% | $123.59 +20.5% | 33.3% | +86.0% | $102.56 | — |
The Gallery Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 16.7% $290.04 The Outsiders 16.7% $151.51 Neo-Noir 16.7% $88.41 Kintsugi 16.7% $65.51 Epicenter 16.7% $61.48 Deathgaze 16.7% $61.47 | $290.04 +177.3% | $119.74 +14.5% | 33.3% | +78.8% | $104.60 | — |
The Gallery Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 13.3% $290.04 The Outsiders 20.0% $151.51 Neo-Noir 20.0% $88.41 Kintsugi 13.3% $65.51 Epicenter 20.0% $61.48 Deathgaze 13.3% $61.47 | $290.04 +171.6% | $115.88 +8.5% | 33.3% | +71.1% | $106.81 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Gallery Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Electrum  18.0% $10.69 Firebreathing  18.0% $6.12 Turbine  2.0% $5.05 Rapid Transit  2.0% $4.35 Saibā Oni  2.0% $3.99 Galigator 18.0% $3.26 | $10.69 +160.8% | $5.13 +25.1% | 40.0% | +61.8% | $4.10 | — |
The Gallery Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Classified → Covert Factory New ST | Queen's Gambit  45.0% $843.46 Vaporwave  5.0% $644.00 Fully Tuned  45.0% $484.90 Gold Toof  5.0% $341.19 | $843.46 +56.8% | $647.02 +20.3% | 50.0% | +34.2% | $537.94 | — |