The Inferno Collection ×2+The Radiant Collection ×8
Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade MW 10 items
Contract
Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade Minimal Wear
Inputs
Sand Dune
1x $2.92
Walnut
1x $4.00
Short Ochre
1x $0.04
BorDeux
2x $0.04
Marsh Grass
1x $0.07
Multi-Terrain
1x $0.07
↓
Possible Outputs
Tornado
10.0% $92.65
Gunsmoke
10.0% $7.46
O-Ranger
13.3% $0.14
Steel Work
13.3% $0.12
Citric Acid
13.3% $0.12
Sedimentary
13.3% $0.11
Max Win
$92.65 (+1127.1%)
EV (ROI %)
$10.10 (+33.8%)
Win %
10.0%
Volatility
+365.6%
Cost
$7.55
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $7.55
Ask Price EV $10.10 (+33.8%)
Bid Price EV $8.43 (+11.7%)
Ask Profit $2.55 (+33.8%)
Bid Profit $0.88 (+11.7%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $1.67 (+22.1%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$2.55
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.88
Risk
Win Probability 10.0%
Loss Probability 90.0%
Best Case $92.65 (+1127.1%)
Worst Case $0.10 (-98.7%)
Volatility +365.6%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 80.0%
Avg Win +$85.10
Avg Loss -$6.62
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.10 (-98.7%)
Std Dev $27.60
Avg Norm Float 0.1215
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 22m
Oldest Output Price 140h 58m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
MAG-7 | Sand Dune
—
Well-Worn
$2.92 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Walnut
—
Field-Tested
$4.00 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Short Ochre
—
Minimal Wear
$0.04 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | BorDeux
—
Minimal Wear
$0.04 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | BorDeux
—
Minimal Wear
$0.05 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Marsh Grass
—
Factory New
$0.07 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Multi-Terrain
—
Factory New
$0.07 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Desert Halftone
—
Factory New
$0.09 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Short Ochre
—
Factory New
$0.09 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Bronzer
—
Factory New
$0.18 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 45M 20S //TOTAL COST $7.55 //ASK PRICE EV $10.10 //BID PRICE EV $8.43 //ASK PROFIT $2.55 (+33.8%) //BID PROFIT $0.88 (+11.7%) //WIN PROBABILITY 10.0% //BEST CASE $92.65 //VOLATILITY +365.6% //
Possible Outputs · 8
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
10.0%
$92.65
+$85.10
+1127.1%
$76.76
+$69.21
+916.7%
$15.89
17.1%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
10.0%
$7.46
-$0.09
-1.2%
$6.78
-$0.77
-10.2%
$0.68
9.1%
—
NUKE
13.3%
$0.14
-$7.41
-98.1%
$0.12
-$7.43
-98.4%
$0.02
16.4%
—
NUKE
13.3%
$0.12
-$7.43
-98.4%
$0.10
-$7.45
-98.7%
$0.02
16.7%
—
NUKE
13.3%
$0.12
-$7.43
-98.4%
$0.10
-$7.45
-98.7%
$0.02
16.7%
—
NUKE
13.3%
$0.11
-$7.44
-98.5%
$0.09
-$7.46
-98.8%
$0.02
18.2%
—
NUKE
13.3%
$0.10
-$7.45
-98.6%
$0.09
-$7.46
-98.8%
$0.01
13.0%
—
NUKE
13.3%
$0.10
-$7.45
-98.7%
$0.08
-$7.47
-98.9%
$0.02
17.5%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-inferno|Consumer Grade|normal",
"item_count": 2,
"collection_id": "collection-set-inferno"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm|Consumer Grade|normal",
"item_count": 8,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.13333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.07744961064,
"output_skin_id": "skin-1a08f20b0116",
"realistic_value": 0.10350000000000001,
"optimistic_value": 0.1,
"output_full_name": "FAMAS | Grey Ghost",
"conservative_value": 0.09,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Radiant Collection",
"market_hash_name": "FAMAS | Grey Ghost (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:51:16.413603Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1a08f20b0116.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.09114749999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-41452c191f44",
"realistic_value": 0.14350000000000002,
"optimistic_value": 0.14,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | O-Ranger",
"conservative_value": 0.12,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Radiant Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | O-Ranger (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-04T18:38:19.777621Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-41452c191f44.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.085071,
"output_skin_id": "skin-07d3aad223e4",
"realistic_value": 0.12,
"optimistic_value": 0.12,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Steel Work",
"conservative_value": 0.1,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Radiant Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Steel Work (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:24:09.376456Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-07d3aad223e4.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.0826404,
"output_skin_id": "skin-7efe4d3e7779",
"realistic_value": 0.11,
"optimistic_value": 0.11,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Sedimentary",
"conservative_value": 0.09,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Radiant Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Sedimentary (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T15:20:49.883639Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7efe4d3e7779.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.072918,
"output_skin_id": "skin-cee47ac22903",
"realistic_value": 0.097,
"optimistic_value": 0.09,
"output_full_name": "SG 553 | Basket Halftone",
"conservative_value": 0.08,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Radiant Collection",
"market_hash_name": "SG 553 | Basket Halftone (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:39:05.824238Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-cee47ac22903.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.072918,
"output_skin_id": "skin-91e671371a10",
"realistic_value": 0.12,
"optimistic_value": 0.12,
"output_full_name": "Tec-9 | Citric Acid",
"conservative_value": 0.1,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Radiant Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Citric Acid (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T16:59:38.246897Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-91e671371a10.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.14993220000000002,
"output_skin_id": "skin-7f6fd04e5efe",
"realistic_value": 92.646,
"optimistic_value": 90,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Tornado",
"conservative_value": 76.76,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-inferno",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Inferno Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Tornado (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:00:56.764908Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7f6fd04e5efe.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.14993220000000002,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8d4e3d97f75d",
"realistic_value": 7.461,
"optimistic_value": 7.37,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Gunsmoke",
"conservative_value": 6.78,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-inferno",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Inferno Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Gunsmoke (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:12:49.260296Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d4e3d97f75d.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_c317a07491804cf834469b05",
"input_rarity": "Consumer Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 2.92,
"skin_id": "skin-02ab67711447",
"listing_id": "517493591335111942",
"collection_id": "collection-set-inferno",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Sand Dune",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-02ab67711447.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:56:21.861846Z"
},
{
"price": 4,
"skin_id": "skin-bfce85fc2e15",
"listing_id": "529879235107811232",
"collection_id": "collection-set-inferno",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Walnut (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Nova | Walnut",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-bfce85fc2e15.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:43:03.415756Z"
},
{
"price": 0.04,
"skin_id": "skin-f64e51a70f37",
"listing_id": "507361123691491249",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "MP7 | Short Ochre (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP7 | Short Ochre",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f64e51a70f37.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:38:48.470205Z"
},
{
"price": 0.04,
"skin_id": "skin-9abf6c56653a",
"listing_id": "508487189339143586",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | BorDeux (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | BorDeux",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9abf6c56653a.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:55:16.819125Z"
},
{
"price": 0.05,
"skin_id": "skin-9abf6c56653a",
"listing_id": "497228137697265665",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | BorDeux (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | BorDeux",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9abf6c56653a.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:55:16.819125Z"
},
{
"price": 0.07,
"skin_id": "skin-80643791f393",
"listing_id": "498354089952352183",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Marsh Grass (Factory New)",
"name": "Nova | Marsh Grass",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-80643791f393.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:38:43.917229Z"
},
{
"price": 0.07,
"skin_id": "skin-8d8dc6609ae2",
"listing_id": "509613089304484443",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Multi-Terrain (Factory New)",
"name": "MP9 | Multi-Terrain",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d8dc6609ae2.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:51:52.132738Z"
},
{
"price": 0.09,
"skin_id": "skin-948dbf5d933b",
"listing_id": "517494388633198462",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Desert Halftone (Factory New)",
"name": "P90 | Desert Halftone",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-948dbf5d933b.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:46:11.630460Z"
},
{
"price": 0.09,
"skin_id": "skin-2da4350cc477",
"listing_id": "519746188257916064",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "SCAR-20 | Short Ochre (Factory New)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Short Ochre",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2da4350cc477.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:48:11.226779Z"
},
{
"price": 0.18,
"skin_id": "skin-d33e14057f12",
"listing_id": "490472790737174343",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Bronzer (Factory New)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Bronzer",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d33e14057f12.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:36:29.096269Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Industrial Grade",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Consumer Grade|Industrial Grade|normal|10|collection-set-inferno:2+collection-set-timed-drops-warm:8"
}Related
Related contracts
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Inferno Collection ×3+The Radiant Collection ×7 Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade Minimal Wear | Tornado 15.0% $92.65 Gunsmoke 15.0% $7.46 O-Ranger 11.7% $0.14 Steel Work 11.7% $0.12 Citric Acid 11.7% $0.12 Sedimentary 11.7% $0.11 | $92.65 +634.7% | $15.10 +19.7% | 15.0% | +252.7% | $12.61 | — |