The Inferno Collection ×2+The Radiant Collection ×8
Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade FT 10 items
Contract
Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade Field-Tested
Inputs
Sand Dune
2x $2.81
Multi-Terrain
1x $0.03
Pink Pearl
2x $0.03
Short Ochre
1x $0.03
Short Ochre
1x $0.04
BorDeux
2x $0.04
↓
Possible Outputs
Tornado
10.0% $16.17
Gunsmoke
10.0% $3.31
O-Ranger
13.3% $0.14
Steel Work
13.3% $0.12
Citric Acid
13.3% $0.12
Grey Ghost
13.3% $0.11
Max Win
$16.17 (+166.8%)
EV (ROI %)
$2.04 (-66.3%)
Win %
10.0%
Volatility
+79.3%
Cost
$6.06
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $6.06
Ask Price EV $2.04 (-66.3%)
Bid Price EV $1.87 (-69.1%)
Ask Profit $-4.02 (-66.3%)
Bid Profit $-4.19 (-69.1%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.17 (+2.8%)
Ask Slippage Buffer -$4.02
Bid Slippage Buffer -$4.19
Risk
Win Probability 10.0%
Loss Probability 90.0%
Best Case $16.17 (+166.8%)
Worst Case $0.10 (-98.4%)
Volatility +79.3%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 90.0%
Avg Win +$10.11
Avg Loss -$5.59
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.10 (-98.4%)
Std Dev $4.80
Avg Norm Float 0.1714
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 20m
Oldest Output Price 141h 57m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Safe
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
MAG-7 | Sand Dune
—
Well-Worn
$2.81 Float: HIDDEN
MAG-7 | Sand Dune
—
Well-Worn
$2.92 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Multi-Terrain
—
Minimal Wear
$0.03 Float: HIDDEN
CZ75-Auto | Pink Pearl
—
Minimal Wear
$0.03 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Short Ochre
—
Minimal Wear
$0.03 Float: HIDDEN
CZ75-Auto | Pink Pearl
—
Minimal Wear
$0.04 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Short Ochre
—
Minimal Wear
$0.04 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | BorDeux
—
Minimal Wear
$0.04 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | BorDeux
—
Minimal Wear
$0.05 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Desert Halftone
—
Factory New
$0.07 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 49M 05S //TOTAL COST $6.06 //ASK PRICE EV $2.04 //BID PRICE EV $1.87 //ASK PROFIT $-4.02 (-66.3%) //BID PROFIT $-4.19 (-69.1%) //WIN PROBABILITY 10.0% //BEST CASE $16.17 //VOLATILITY +79.3% //
Possible Outputs · 8
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
10.0%
$16.17
+$10.11
+166.8%
$14.75
+$8.69
+143.4%
$1.42
8.8%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$3.31
-$2.75
-45.3%
$3.18
-$2.88
-47.5%
$0.13
4.1%
—
NUKE
13.3%
$0.14
-$5.92
-97.6%
$0.12
-$5.94
-98.0%
$0.02
16.4%
—
NUKE
13.3%
$0.12
-$5.94
-98.0%
$0.10
-$5.96
-98.3%
$0.02
16.7%
—
NUKE
13.3%
$0.12
-$5.94
-98.0%
$0.10
-$5.96
-98.3%
$0.02
16.7%
—
NUKE
13.3%
$0.11
-$5.95
-98.2%
$0.10
-$5.96
-98.3%
$0.01
9.1%
—
NUKE
13.3%
$0.11
-$5.95
-98.2%
$0.09
-$5.97
-98.5%
$0.02
18.2%
—
NUKE
13.3%
$0.10
-$5.96
-98.4%
$0.08
-$5.98
-98.7%
$0.02
17.5%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-inferno|Consumer Grade|normal",
"item_count": 2,
"collection_id": "collection-set-inferno"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm|Consumer Grade|normal",
"item_count": 8,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.13333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.10921204455999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-1a08f20b0116",
"realistic_value": 0.11,
"optimistic_value": 0.11,
"output_full_name": "FAMAS | Grey Ghost",
"conservative_value": 0.1,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Radiant Collection",
"market_hash_name": "FAMAS | Grey Ghost (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:39:57.617000Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1a08f20b0116.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.1285275,
"output_skin_id": "skin-41452c191f44",
"realistic_value": 0.14350000000000002,
"optimistic_value": 0.14,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | O-Ranger",
"conservative_value": 0.12,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Radiant Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | O-Ranger (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-04T18:38:19.777621Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-41452c191f44.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.11995899999999998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-07d3aad223e4",
"realistic_value": 0.12,
"optimistic_value": 0.12,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Steel Work",
"conservative_value": 0.1,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Radiant Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Steel Work (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:37:04.122212Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-07d3aad223e4.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.1165316,
"output_skin_id": "skin-7efe4d3e7779",
"realistic_value": 0.11,
"optimistic_value": 0.11,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Sedimentary",
"conservative_value": 0.09,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Radiant Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Sedimentary (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T15:20:49.883639Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7efe4d3e7779.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.102822,
"output_skin_id": "skin-cee47ac22903",
"realistic_value": 0.097,
"optimistic_value": 0.09,
"output_full_name": "SG 553 | Basket Halftone",
"conservative_value": 0.08,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Radiant Collection",
"market_hash_name": "SG 553 | Basket Halftone (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:52:40.207380Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-cee47ac22903.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.102822,
"output_skin_id": "skin-91e671371a10",
"realistic_value": 0.12,
"optimistic_value": 0.12,
"output_full_name": "Tec-9 | Citric Acid",
"conservative_value": 0.1,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Radiant Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Citric Acid (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T16:59:38.246897Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-91e671371a10.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.1868138,
"output_skin_id": "skin-7f6fd04e5efe",
"realistic_value": 16.1675,
"optimistic_value": 15.87,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Tornado",
"conservative_value": 14.75,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-inferno",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Inferno Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Tornado (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:59:18.085334Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7f6fd04e5efe.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.1868138,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8d4e3d97f75d",
"realistic_value": 3.3145000000000002,
"optimistic_value": 3.22,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Gunsmoke",
"conservative_value": 3.18,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-inferno",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Inferno Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Gunsmoke (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:44:27.007710Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d4e3d97f75d.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_c317a07491804cf834469b05",
"input_rarity": "Consumer Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 2.81,
"skin_id": "skin-02ab67711447",
"listing_id": "524249735517341655",
"collection_id": "collection-set-inferno",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Sand Dune",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-02ab67711447.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:44:19.423977Z"
},
{
"price": 2.92,
"skin_id": "skin-02ab67711447",
"listing_id": "517493591335111942",
"collection_id": "collection-set-inferno",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Sand Dune",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-02ab67711447.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:44:19.423977Z"
},
{
"price": 0.03,
"skin_id": "skin-8d8dc6609ae2",
"listing_id": "518620288314144712",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Multi-Terrain (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Multi-Terrain",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d8dc6609ae2.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:39:50.418029Z"
},
{
"price": 0.03,
"skin_id": "skin-35313981918b",
"listing_id": "516368488725810158",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "CZ75-Auto | Pink Pearl (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Pink Pearl",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-35313981918b.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:50:11.306834Z"
},
{
"price": 0.03,
"skin_id": "skin-2da4350cc477",
"listing_id": "496102290328730795",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "SCAR-20 | Short Ochre (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Short Ochre",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2da4350cc477.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:58.055059Z"
},
{
"price": 0.04,
"skin_id": "skin-35313981918b",
"listing_id": "507361237008337117",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "CZ75-Auto | Pink Pearl (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Pink Pearl",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-35313981918b.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:50:11.306834Z"
},
{
"price": 0.04,
"skin_id": "skin-f64e51a70f37",
"listing_id": "527627322004905092",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "MP7 | Short Ochre (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP7 | Short Ochre",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f64e51a70f37.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:52:51.877041Z"
},
{
"price": 0.04,
"skin_id": "skin-9abf6c56653a",
"listing_id": "507361289453369893",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | BorDeux (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | BorDeux",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9abf6c56653a.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:45:18.768408Z"
},
{
"price": 0.05,
"skin_id": "skin-9abf6c56653a",
"listing_id": "497228137697265665",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | BorDeux (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | BorDeux",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9abf6c56653a.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:45:18.768408Z"
},
{
"price": 0.07,
"skin_id": "skin-948dbf5d933b",
"listing_id": "494976390476778306",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Desert Halftone (Factory New)",
"name": "P90 | Desert Halftone",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-948dbf5d933b.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:36:40.071127Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Industrial Grade",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Consumer Grade|Industrial Grade|normal|10|collection-set-inferno:2+collection-set-timed-drops-warm:8"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Inferno Collection ×2+The Radiant Collection ×8 Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade Minimal Wear | Tornado 10.0% $92.65 Gunsmoke 10.0% $7.46 O-Ranger 13.3% $0.14 Steel Work 13.3% $0.12 Citric Acid 13.3% $0.12 Grey Ghost 13.3% $0.11 | $92.65 +1136.9% | $10.10 +34.9% | 10.0% | +362.0% | $7.49 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Inferno Collection ×3+The Radiant Collection ×7 Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade Minimal Wear | Tornado 15.0% $92.65 Gunsmoke 15.0% $7.46 O-Ranger 11.7% $0.14 Steel Work 11.7% $0.12 Citric Acid 11.7% $0.12 Grey Ghost 11.7% $0.11 | $92.65 +658.2% | $15.10 +23.5% | 15.0% | +260.8% | $12.22 | — |