The Inferno Collection ×2+The Radiant Collection ×8
Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade FN 10 items
Contract
Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade Factory New
Inputs
Sand Dune
1x $2.92
Walnut
1x $4.00
Multi-Terrain
2x $0.12
Wood Block Camo
1x $0.38
Bronzer
2x $0.43
Desert Halftone
2x $0.73
↓
Possible Outputs
Tornado
10.0% $92.65
Gunsmoke
10.0% $7.46
Steel Work
13.3% $0.65
O-Ranger
13.3% $0.49
Sedimentary
13.3% $0.36
Grey Ghost
13.3% $0.32
Max Win
$92.65 (+726.5%)
EV (ROI %)
$10.34 (-7.8%)
Win %
10.0%
Volatility
+245.5%
Cost
$11.21
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $11.21
Ask Price EV $10.34 (-7.8%)
Bid Price EV $8.67 (-22.7%)
Ask Profit $-0.87 (-7.8%)
Bid Profit $-2.54 (-22.7%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $1.67 (+14.9%)
Ask Slippage Buffer -$0.87
Bid Slippage Buffer -$2.54
Risk
Win Probability 10.0%
Loss Probability 90.0%
Best Case $92.65 (+726.5%)
Worst Case $0.29 (-97.4%)
Volatility +245.5%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 90.0%
Avg Win +$81.44
Avg Loss -$10.02
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.29 (-97.4%)
Std Dev $27.52
Avg Norm Float 0.0691
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 20m
Oldest Output Price 141h 55m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Safe
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
MAG-7 | Sand Dune
—
Well-Worn
$2.92 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Walnut
—
Field-Tested
$4.00 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Multi-Terrain
—
Factory New
$0.12 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Multi-Terrain
—
Factory New
$0.25 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | Wood Block Camo
—
Factory New
$0.38 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Bronzer
—
Factory New
$0.43 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Desert Halftone
—
Factory New
$0.73 Float: HIDDEN
Five-SeveN | Autumn Thicket
—
Factory New
$0.77 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Bronzer
—
Factory New
$0.78 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Desert Halftone
—
Factory New
$0.83 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 49M 06S //TOTAL COST $11.21 //ASK PRICE EV $10.34 //BID PRICE EV $8.67 //ASK PROFIT $-0.87 (-7.8%) //BID PROFIT $-2.54 (-22.7%) //WIN PROBABILITY 10.0% //BEST CASE $92.65 //VOLATILITY +245.5% //
Possible Outputs · 8
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
10.0%
$92.65
+$81.44
+726.5%
$76.76
+$65.55
+584.7%
$15.89
17.1%
—
LOSS
10.0%
$7.46
-$3.75
-33.4%
$6.78
-$4.43
-39.5%
$0.68
9.1%
—
NUKE
13.3%
$0.65
-$10.56
-94.2%
$0.64
-$10.57
-94.3%
$0.01
2.1%
—
NUKE
13.3%
$0.49
-$10.72
-95.6%
$0.48
-$10.73
-95.7%
$0.01
2.0%
—
NUKE
13.3%
$0.36
-$10.85
-96.8%
$0.32
-$10.89
-97.1%
$0.04
11.1%
—
NUKE
13.3%
$0.32
-$10.89
-97.1%
$0.31
-$10.90
-97.2%
$0.01
3.1%
—
NUKE
13.3%
$0.32
-$10.89
-97.1%
$0.31
-$10.90
-97.2%
$0.01
3.1%
—
NUKE
13.3%
$0.29
-$10.92
-97.4%
$0.28
-$10.93
-97.5%
$0.01
3.4%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-inferno|Consumer Grade|normal",
"item_count": 2,
"collection_id": "collection-set-inferno"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm|Consumer Grade|normal",
"item_count": 8,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.13333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.0440047364,
"output_skin_id": "skin-1a08f20b0116",
"realistic_value": 0.32,
"optimistic_value": 0.32,
"output_full_name": "FAMAS | Grey Ghost",
"conservative_value": 0.31,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Radiant Collection",
"market_hash_name": "FAMAS | Grey Ghost (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:54:40.272194Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1a08f20b0116.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.0517875,
"output_skin_id": "skin-41452c191f44",
"realistic_value": 0.49,
"optimistic_value": 0.49,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | O-Ranger",
"conservative_value": 0.48,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Radiant Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | O-Ranger (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-06T22:27:08.252704Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-41452c191f44.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.048334999999999996,
"output_skin_id": "skin-07d3aad223e4",
"realistic_value": 0.6535,
"optimistic_value": 0.65,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Steel Work",
"conservative_value": 0.64,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Radiant Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Steel Work (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:45:04.356760Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-07d3aad223e4.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.046954,
"output_skin_id": "skin-7efe4d3e7779",
"realistic_value": 0.36,
"optimistic_value": 0.36,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Sedimentary",
"conservative_value": 0.32,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Radiant Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Sedimentary (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:39:14.363612Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7efe4d3e7779.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.04143,
"output_skin_id": "skin-cee47ac22903",
"realistic_value": 0.29,
"optimistic_value": 0.29,
"output_full_name": "SG 553 | Basket Halftone",
"conservative_value": 0.28,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Radiant Collection",
"market_hash_name": "SG 553 | Basket Halftone (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:21:45.342035Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-cee47ac22903.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.04143,
"output_skin_id": "skin-91e671371a10",
"realistic_value": 0.32,
"optimistic_value": 0.32,
"output_full_name": "Tec-9 | Citric Acid",
"conservative_value": 0.31,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Radiant Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Citric Acid (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:50:15.092866Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-91e671371a10.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.111097,
"output_skin_id": "skin-7f6fd04e5efe",
"realistic_value": 92.646,
"optimistic_value": 90,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Tornado",
"conservative_value": 76.76,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-inferno",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Inferno Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Tornado (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:00:56.764908Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7f6fd04e5efe.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.111097,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8d4e3d97f75d",
"realistic_value": 7.461,
"optimistic_value": 7.37,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Gunsmoke",
"conservative_value": 6.78,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-inferno",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Inferno Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Gunsmoke (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:41.260682Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d4e3d97f75d.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_c317a07491804cf834469b05",
"input_rarity": "Consumer Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 2.92,
"skin_id": "skin-02ab67711447",
"listing_id": "517493591335111942",
"collection_id": "collection-set-inferno",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Sand Dune",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-02ab67711447.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:44:19.423977Z"
},
{
"price": 4,
"skin_id": "skin-bfce85fc2e15",
"listing_id": "529879235107811232",
"collection_id": "collection-set-inferno",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Walnut (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Nova | Walnut",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-bfce85fc2e15.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:54:02.226729Z"
},
{
"price": 0.12,
"skin_id": "skin-8d8dc6609ae2",
"listing_id": "511864888985007801",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Multi-Terrain (Factory New)",
"name": "MP9 | Multi-Terrain",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d8dc6609ae2.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:41:12.876808Z"
},
{
"price": 0.25,
"skin_id": "skin-8d8dc6609ae2",
"listing_id": "509612292233345379",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Multi-Terrain (Factory New)",
"name": "MP9 | Multi-Terrain",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d8dc6609ae2.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:41:12.876808Z"
},
{
"price": 0.38,
"skin_id": "skin-968b010d42f7",
"listing_id": "528752590516909533",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "PP-Bizon | Wood Block Camo (Factory New)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | Wood Block Camo",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-968b010d42f7.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:54:27.219902Z"
},
{
"price": 0.43,
"skin_id": "skin-d33e14057f12",
"listing_id": "511864888984156365",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Bronzer (Factory New)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Bronzer",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d33e14057f12.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:49:35.881954Z"
},
{
"price": 0.73,
"skin_id": "skin-948dbf5d933b",
"listing_id": "648092908590976393",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Desert Halftone (Factory New)",
"name": "P90 | Desert Halftone",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-948dbf5d933b.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:36:40.071127Z"
},
{
"price": 0.77,
"skin_id": "skin-f0c6c7583a15",
"listing_id": "524249529996804747",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "Five-SeveN | Autumn Thicket (Factory New)",
"name": "Five-SeveN | Autumn Thicket",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f0c6c7583a15.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:50:32.340439Z"
},
{
"price": 0.78,
"skin_id": "skin-d33e14057f12",
"listing_id": "507360492258306157",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Bronzer (Factory New)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Bronzer",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d33e14057f12.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:49:35.881954Z"
},
{
"price": 0.83,
"skin_id": "skin-948dbf5d933b",
"listing_id": "807967801901288773",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Desert Halftone (Factory New)",
"name": "P90 | Desert Halftone",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-948dbf5d933b.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:36:40.071127Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Industrial Grade",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Consumer Grade|Industrial Grade|normal|10|collection-set-inferno:2+collection-set-timed-drops-warm:8"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Inferno Collection ×2+The Radiant Collection ×8 Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade Minimal Wear | Tornado 10.0% $92.65 Gunsmoke 10.0% $7.46 O-Ranger 13.3% $0.14 Steel Work 13.3% $0.12 Citric Acid 13.3% $0.12 Grey Ghost 13.3% $0.11 | $92.65 +1136.9% | $10.10 +34.9% | 10.0% | +362.0% | $7.49 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Inferno Collection ×3+The Radiant Collection ×7 Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade Minimal Wear | Tornado 15.0% $92.65 Gunsmoke 15.0% $7.46 O-Ranger 11.7% $0.14 Steel Work 11.7% $0.12 Citric Acid 11.7% $0.12 Grey Ghost 11.7% $0.11 | $92.65 +658.2% | $15.10 +23.5% | 15.0% | +260.8% | $12.22 | — |