The Revolution Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4
Restricted → Classified MW ST 10 items
Contract
Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear StatTrak™
Inputs
Neoqueen
4x $1.41
Banana Cannon
2x $1.79
Amberline
1x $3.18
Urban Sovereign
3x $3.19
↓
Possible Outputs
Crane Flight
13.3% $126.41
Kintsugi
13.3% $23.12
Deathgaze
13.3% $21.23
Duality
20.0% $18.23
Wild Child
20.0% $10.25
Wicked Sick
20.0% $9.44
Max Win
$126.41 (+422.1%)
EV (ROI %)
$30.35 (+25.4%)
Win %
13.3%
Volatility
+157.1%
Cost
$24.21
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $24.21
Ask Price EV $30.35 (+25.4%)
Bid Price EV $27.02 (+11.6%)
Ask Profit $6.14 (+25.4%)
Bid Profit $2.81 (+11.6%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $3.34 (+13.8%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$6.14
Bid Slippage Buffer +$2.81
Risk
Win Probability 13.3%
Loss Probability 86.7%
Best Case $126.41 (+422.1%)
Worst Case $9.44 (-61.0%)
Volatility +157.1%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 40.0%
Avg Win +$102.20
Avg Loss -$8.64
Bottom 5% Outcome $9.44 (-61.0%)
Std Dev $38.03
Avg Norm Float 0.1495
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 11m
Oldest Output Price 143h 10m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
P90 | Neoqueen
—
Minimal Wear
$1.41 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Neoqueen
—
Minimal Wear
$1.42 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Neoqueen
—
Minimal Wear
$1.43 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Neoqueen
—
Minimal Wear
$1.53 Float: HIDDEN
R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon
—
Minimal Wear
$1.79 Float: HIDDEN
R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon
—
Minimal Wear
$1.90 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Field-Tested
$3.18 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Field-Tested
$3.19 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Field-Tested
$3.64 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear
$4.72 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 53M 54S //TOTAL COST $24.21 //ASK PRICE EV $30.35 //BID PRICE EV $27.02 //ASK PROFIT $6.14 (+25.4%) //BID PROFIT $2.81 (+11.6%) //WIN PROBABILITY 13.3% //BEST CASE $126.41 //VOLATILITY +157.1% //
Possible Outputs · 6
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
13.3%
$126.41
+$102.20
+422.1%
$112.39
+$88.18
+364.2%
$14.02
11.1%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
13.3%
$23.12
-$1.09
-4.5%
$20.66
-$3.55
-14.7%
$2.46
10.7%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
13.3%
$21.23
-$2.98
-12.3%
$19.38
-$4.83
-20.0%
$1.85
8.7%
—
LOSS
20.0%
$18.23
-$5.98
-24.7%
$15.22
-$8.99
-37.1%
$3.01
16.5%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
20.0%
$10.25
-$13.96
-57.7%
$9.11
-$15.10
-62.4%
$1.14
11.1%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
20.0%
$9.44
-$14.77
-61.0%
$9.13
-$15.08
-62.3%
$0.31
3.2%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-32|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 6,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 4,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.19999999999999998,
"output_float": 0.11958400000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d42f9ca97ef6",
"realistic_value": 18.232,
"optimistic_value": 18.05,
"output_full_name": "AWP | Duality",
"conservative_value": 15.22,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AWP | Duality (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:48:00.390173Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d42f9ca97ef6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.19999999999999998,
"output_float": 0.14948,
"output_skin_id": "skin-c36fdc469906",
"realistic_value": 9.436499999999999,
"optimistic_value": 9.37,
"output_full_name": "P2000 | Wicked Sick",
"conservative_value": 9.13,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:49:17.255785Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c36fdc469906.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.19999999999999998,
"output_float": 0.14948,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f04de3b20f62",
"realistic_value": 10.2465,
"optimistic_value": 10.04,
"output_full_name": "UMP-45 | Wild Child",
"conservative_value": 9.11,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:49:35.169353Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f04de3b20f62.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.14948,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f64cdaac0b90",
"realistic_value": 126.41149999999999,
"optimistic_value": 124,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Crane Flight",
"conservative_value": 112.39,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:44.452841Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f64cdaac0b90.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.14948,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
"realistic_value": 23.1245,
"optimistic_value": 22.96,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
"conservative_value": 20.66,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:31:38.635309Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.14948,
"output_skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
"realistic_value": 21.23,
"optimistic_value": 20.6,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
"conservative_value": 19.38,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:31:41.267853Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_c217d55e01a5cf143e4d7a6d",
"input_rarity": "Restricted",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 1.41,
"skin_id": "skin-2e0afbc14204",
"listing_id": "528753221920184025",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Neoqueen (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P90 | Neoqueen",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2e0afbc14204.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:58:16.761966Z"
},
{
"price": 1.42,
"skin_id": "skin-2e0afbc14204",
"listing_id": "508487136896638334",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Neoqueen (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P90 | Neoqueen",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2e0afbc14204.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:58:16.761966Z"
},
{
"price": 1.43,
"skin_id": "skin-2e0afbc14204",
"listing_id": "508486392208685954",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Neoqueen (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P90 | Neoqueen",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2e0afbc14204.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:58:16.761966Z"
},
{
"price": 1.53,
"skin_id": "skin-2e0afbc14204",
"listing_id": "520871291139996204",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Neoqueen (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P90 | Neoqueen",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2e0afbc14204.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:58:16.761966Z"
},
{
"price": 1.79,
"skin_id": "skin-f1184959b60b",
"listing_id": "514116523133820066",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f1184959b60b.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:47:18.896678Z"
},
{
"price": 1.9,
"skin_id": "skin-f1184959b60b",
"listing_id": "500605724249124743",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f1184959b60b.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:47:18.896678Z"
},
{
"price": 3.18,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "502857689861474128",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:56:05.967617Z"
},
{
"price": 3.19,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "493850490550002916",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:55:27.092707Z"
},
{
"price": 3.64,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "498354037510570279",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:55:27.092707Z"
},
{
"price": 4.72,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "500605889840023871",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:55:31.788881Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Classified",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Restricted|Classified|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-32:6+collection-set-community-37:4"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 13.3% $290.04 Kintsugi 13.3% $65.51 Deathgaze 13.3% $61.47 Wicked Sick 20.0% $41.95 Duality 20.0% $37.34 Wild Child 20.0% $31.50 | $290.04 +394.8% | $77.76 +32.6% | 40.0% | +143.5% | $58.62 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Crane Flight 13.3% $63.86 Kintsugi 13.3% $12.65 Deathgaze 13.3% $11.91 Duality 20.0% $9.41 Wild Child 20.0% $5.57 Wicked Sick 20.0% $5.18 | $63.86 +357.8% | $15.82 +13.4% | 13.3% | +136.6% | $13.95 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×7+The Dead Hand Collection ×3 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 10.0% $290.04 Kintsugi 10.0% $65.51 Deathgaze 10.0% $61.47 Wicked Sick 23.3% $41.95 Duality 23.3% $37.34 Wild Child 23.3% $31.50 | $290.04 +446.3% | $67.55 +27.2% | 30.0% | +141.3% | $53.09 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×8+The Dead Hand Collection ×2 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 6.7% $290.04 Kintsugi 6.7% $65.51 Deathgaze 6.7% $61.47 Wicked Sick 26.7% $41.95 Duality 26.7% $37.34 Wild Child 26.7% $31.50 | $290.04 +498.2% | $57.34 +18.3% | 20.0% | +129.8% | $48.49 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×9+The Dead Hand Collection ×1 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Crane Flight 3.3% $126.41 Kintsugi 3.3% $23.12 Deathgaze 3.3% $21.23 Duality 30.0% $18.23 Wild Child 30.0% $10.25 Wicked Sick 30.0% $9.44 | $126.41 +711.9% | $17.07 +9.6% | 40.0% | +133.5% | $15.57 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Electrum  8.0% $16.94 Firebreathing  8.0% $10.78 Amberline 8.0% $6.48 Galigator  8.0% $5.68 Urban Sovereign 8.0% $4.73 Emphorosaur-S  12.0% $4.12 | $16.94 +315.1% | $5.11 +25.2% | 52.0% | +91.9% | $4.08 | — |