The Revolution Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4
Restricted → Classified FT ST 10 items
Contract
Restricted → Classified Field-Tested StatTrak™
Inputs
Neoqueen
2x $0.87
Banana Cannon
4x $0.89
Amberline
4x $2.00
↓
Possible Outputs
Crane Flight
13.3% $63.86
Kintsugi
13.3% $12.65
Deathgaze
13.3% $11.91
Duality
20.0% $9.41
Wild Child
20.0% $5.57
Wicked Sick
20.0% $5.18
Max Win
$63.86 (+357.8%)
EV (ROI %)
$15.82 (+13.4%)
Win %
13.3%
Volatility
+136.6%
Cost
$13.95
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $13.95
Ask Price EV $15.82 (+13.4%)
Bid Price EV $14.18 (+1.7%)
Ask Profit $1.87 (+13.4%)
Bid Profit $0.23 (+1.7%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $1.64 (+11.7%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$1.87
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.23
Risk
Win Probability 13.3%
Loss Probability 86.7%
Best Case $63.86 (+357.8%)
Worst Case $5.18 (-62.9%)
Volatility +136.6%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 60.0%
Avg Win +$49.91
Avg Loss -$5.52
Bottom 5% Outcome $5.18 (-62.9%)
Std Dev $19.05
Avg Norm Float 0.3799
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 14m
Oldest Output Price 101h 27m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
P90 | Neoqueen
—
Field-Tested
$0.87 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Neoqueen
—
Field-Tested
$0.88 Float: HIDDEN
R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon
—
Field-Tested
$0.89 Float: HIDDEN
R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon
—
Field-Tested
$0.93 Float: HIDDEN
R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon
—
Field-Tested
$0.94 Float: HIDDEN
R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon
—
Field-Tested
$0.96 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Battle-Scarred
$2.00 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Battle-Scarred
$2.08 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Battle-Scarred
$2.09 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
$2.31 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 53M 55S //TOTAL COST $13.95 //ASK PRICE EV $15.82 //BID PRICE EV $14.18 //ASK PROFIT $1.87 (+13.4%) //BID PROFIT $0.23 (+1.7%) //WIN PROBABILITY 13.3% //BEST CASE $63.86 //VOLATILITY +136.6% //
Possible Outputs · 6
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
13.3%
$63.86
+$49.91
+357.8%
$60.32
+$46.37
+332.4%
$3.54
5.5%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
13.3%
$12.65
-$1.30
-9.3%
$9.57
-$4.38
-31.4%
$3.08
24.4%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
13.3%
$11.91
-$2.04
-14.6%
$9.52
-$4.43
-31.8%
$2.39
20.1%
—
LOSS
20.0%
$9.41
-$4.54
-32.5%
$8.22
-$5.73
-41.1%
$1.19
12.6%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
20.0%
$5.57
-$8.38
-60.1%
$4.91
-$9.04
-64.8%
$0.66
11.9%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
20.0%
$5.18
-$8.77
-62.9%
$4.85
-$9.10
-65.2%
$0.33
6.4%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-32|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 6,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 4,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.19999999999999998,
"output_float": 0.303912,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d42f9ca97ef6",
"realistic_value": 9.4095,
"optimistic_value": 9.35,
"output_full_name": "AWP | Duality",
"conservative_value": 8.22,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AWP | Duality (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T22:30:47.088085Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d42f9ca97ef6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.19999999999999998,
"output_float": 0.37989,
"output_skin_id": "skin-c36fdc469906",
"realistic_value": 5.179,
"optimistic_value": 4.92,
"output_full_name": "P2000 | Wicked Sick",
"conservative_value": 4.85,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:55:26.360631Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c36fdc469906.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.19999999999999998,
"output_float": 0.37989,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f04de3b20f62",
"realistic_value": 5.571,
"optimistic_value": 5.41,
"output_full_name": "UMP-45 | Wild Child",
"conservative_value": 4.91,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:49:36.498585Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f04de3b20f62.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.37989,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f64cdaac0b90",
"realistic_value": 63.8595,
"optimistic_value": 63.52,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Crane Flight",
"conservative_value": 60.32,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:44.600521Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f64cdaac0b90.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.37989,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
"realistic_value": 12.650500000000001,
"optimistic_value": 12.57,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
"conservative_value": 9.57,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:11:01.279472Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.37989,
"output_skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
"realistic_value": 11.913,
"optimistic_value": 11.78,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
"conservative_value": 9.52,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:55:28.566049Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_c217d55e01a5cf143e4d7a6d",
"input_rarity": "Restricted",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.87,
"skin_id": "skin-2e0afbc14204",
"listing_id": "509613036859248591",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Neoqueen (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P90 | Neoqueen",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2e0afbc14204.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:49:58.153652Z"
},
{
"price": 0.88,
"skin_id": "skin-2e0afbc14204",
"listing_id": "628957117777256209",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Neoqueen (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P90 | Neoqueen",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2e0afbc14204.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:49:58.153652Z"
},
{
"price": 0.89,
"skin_id": "skin-f1184959b60b",
"listing_id": "510738936595095670",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Field-Tested)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f1184959b60b.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:44:39.268446Z"
},
{
"price": 0.93,
"skin_id": "skin-f1184959b60b",
"listing_id": "515242423032561241",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Field-Tested)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f1184959b60b.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:44:39.268446Z"
},
{
"price": 0.94,
"skin_id": "skin-f1184959b60b",
"listing_id": "515241791654374429",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Field-Tested)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f1184959b60b.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:44:39.268446Z"
},
{
"price": 0.96,
"skin_id": "skin-f1184959b60b",
"listing_id": "527627435180204936",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Field-Tested)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f1184959b60b.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:44:39.268446Z"
},
{
"price": 2,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "521997988015841622",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:57:44.357117Z"
},
{
"price": 2.08,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "507361289452694821",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:57:44.357117Z"
},
{
"price": 2.09,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "514116688949678190",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:57:44.357117Z"
},
{
"price": 2.31,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "505109489448722396",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:55:28.228501Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Classified",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Restricted|Classified|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-32:6+collection-set-community-37:4"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 13.3% $290.04 Kintsugi 13.3% $65.51 Deathgaze 13.3% $61.47 Wicked Sick 20.0% $41.95 Duality 20.0% $37.34 Wild Child 20.0% $31.50 | $290.04 +394.8% | $77.76 +32.6% | 40.0% | +143.5% | $58.62 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Crane Flight 13.3% $126.41 Kintsugi 13.3% $23.12 Deathgaze 13.3% $21.23 Duality 20.0% $18.23 Wild Child 20.0% $10.25 Wicked Sick 20.0% $9.44 | $126.41 +422.1% | $30.35 +25.4% | 13.3% | +157.1% | $24.21 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×7+The Dead Hand Collection ×3 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 10.0% $290.04 Kintsugi 10.0% $65.51 Deathgaze 10.0% $61.47 Wicked Sick 23.3% $41.95 Duality 23.3% $37.34 Wild Child 23.3% $31.50 | $290.04 +446.3% | $67.55 +27.2% | 30.0% | +141.3% | $53.09 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×8+The Dead Hand Collection ×2 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 6.7% $290.04 Kintsugi 6.7% $65.51 Deathgaze 6.7% $61.47 Wicked Sick 26.7% $41.95 Duality 26.7% $37.34 Wild Child 26.7% $31.50 | $290.04 +498.2% | $57.34 +18.3% | 20.0% | +129.8% | $48.49 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×9+The Dead Hand Collection ×1 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Crane Flight 3.3% $126.41 Kintsugi 3.3% $23.12 Deathgaze 3.3% $21.23 Duality 30.0% $18.23 Wild Child 30.0% $10.25 Wicked Sick 30.0% $9.44 | $126.41 +711.9% | $17.07 +9.6% | 40.0% | +133.5% | $15.57 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolution Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Electrum  8.0% $16.94 Firebreathing  8.0% $10.78 Amberline 8.0% $6.48 Galigator  8.0% $5.68 Urban Sovereign  8.0% $4.73 Emphorosaur-S  12.0% $4.12 | $16.94 +315.1% | $5.11 +25.2% | 52.0% | +91.9% | $4.08 | — |
The Revolution Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Classified → Covert Field-Tested ST | Queen's Gambit  30.0% $141.08 Fully Tuned  30.0% $105.54 Temukau  20.0% $52.74 Head Shot  20.0% $46.53 | $141.08 +90.0% | $93.84 +26.4% | 60.0% | +52.1% | $74.25 | — |