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The Revolution Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4

Restricted → Classified FN ST 10 items
Factory New +33.2%Field-Tested +12.4%Minimal Wear +25.0%
Contract
Restricted → Classified Factory New StatTrak™
Inputs
Banana Cannon
R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon
1x $1.79
Neoqueen
P90 | Neoqueen
4x $3.72
Umbral Rabbit
Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit
1x $10.49
Urban Sovereign
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
2x $4.75
Galigator
Galil AR | Galigator
2x $7.29
↓
Possible Outputs
Crane Flight
AK-47 | Crane Flight
13.3% $290.04
Kintsugi
P250 | Kintsugi
13.3% $65.51
Deathgaze
P90 | Deathgaze
13.3% $61.47
Wicked Sick
P2000 | Wicked Sick
20.0% $43.58
Duality
AWP | Duality
20.0% $37.27
Wild Child
UMP-45 | Wild Child
20.0% $31.50
Max Win
$290.04 (+394.8%)
EV (ROI %)
$78.07 (+33.2%)
Win %
40.0%
Volatility
+143.3%
Cost
$58.62
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $58.62
Ask Price EV $78.07 (+33.2%)
Bid Price EV $63.69 (+8.6%)
Ask Profit $19.45 (+33.2%)
Bid Profit $5.07 (+8.6%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $14.39 (+24.5%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$19.45
Bid Slippage Buffer +$5.07
Risk
Win Probability 40.0%
Loss Probability 60.0%
Best Case $290.04 (+394.8%)
Worst Case $31.50 (-46.3%)
Volatility +143.3%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 60.0%
Avg Win +$80.39
Avg Loss -$21.17
Bottom 5% Outcome $31.50 (-46.3%)
Std Dev $83.99
Avg Norm Float 0.0699
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 17m
Oldest Output Price 7h 11m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Sign in to Validate
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon
—
Minimal Wear
StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Minimal Wear)
$1.79 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Neoqueen
—
Factory New
StatTrak™ P90 | Neoqueen (Factory New)
$3.72 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Neoqueen
—
Factory New
StatTrak™ P90 | Neoqueen (Factory New)
$4.19 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Neoqueen
—
Factory New
StatTrak™ P90 | Neoqueen (Factory New)
$4.22 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Neoqueen
—
Factory New
StatTrak™ P90 | Neoqueen (Factory New)
$7.77 Float: HIDDEN
Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit
—
Factory New
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit (Factory New)
$10.49 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear
StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)
$4.75 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear
StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)
$5.40 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Galigator
—
Minimal Wear
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator (Minimal Wear)
$7.29 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Galigator
—
Minimal Wear
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator (Minimal Wear)
$9.00 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 49M 06S //TOTAL COST $58.62 //ASK PRICE EV $78.07 //BID PRICE EV $63.69 //ASK PROFIT $19.45 (+33.2%) //BID PROFIT $5.07 (+8.6%) //WIN PROBABILITY 40.0% //BEST CASE $290.04 //VOLATILITY +143.3% //
Possible Outputs · 6
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Click Spin to start.
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative P&L.
Raw payload (JSON) 
{
  "parts": [
    {
      "bucket_id": "collection-set-community-32|Restricted|stattrak",
      "item_count": 6,
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-32"
    },
    {
      "bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Restricted|stattrak",
      "item_count": 4,
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
    }
  ],
  "outcomes": [
    {
      "probability": 0.19999999999999998,
      "output_float": 0.055904,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-d42f9ca97ef6",
      "realistic_value": 37.27,
      "optimistic_value": 36.99,
      "output_full_name": "AWP | Duality",
      "conservative_value": 34.42,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
      "wear_name": "Factory New",
      "collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AWP | Duality (Factory New)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:38:57.600127Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d42f9ca97ef6.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.19999999999999998,
      "output_float": 0.06988,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-c36fdc469906",
      "realistic_value": 43.582499999999996,
      "optimistic_value": 42.9,
      "output_full_name": "P2000 | Wicked Sick",
      "conservative_value": 30.08,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
      "wear_name": "Factory New",
      "collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Factory New)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:36:27.290758Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c36fdc469906.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.19999999999999998,
      "output_float": 0.06988,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-f04de3b20f62",
      "realistic_value": 31.495,
      "optimistic_value": 30.76,
      "output_full_name": "UMP-45 | Wild Child",
      "conservative_value": 27.53,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
      "wear_name": "Factory New",
      "collection_name": "The Revolution Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child (Factory New)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:36:24.790585Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f04de3b20f62.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.13333333333333333,
      "output_float": 0.06988,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-f64cdaac0b90",
      "realistic_value": 290.0445,
      "optimistic_value": 279.45,
      "output_full_name": "AK-47 | Crane Flight",
      "conservative_value": 229.11,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "wear_name": "Factory New",
      "collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Factory New)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:40.031809Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f64cdaac0b90.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.13333333333333333,
      "output_float": 0.06988,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
      "realistic_value": 65.5065,
      "optimistic_value": 64.74,
      "output_full_name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
      "conservative_value": 55.11,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "wear_name": "Factory New",
      "collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Factory New)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:57.081354Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.13333333333333333,
      "output_float": 0.06988,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
      "realistic_value": 61.465999999999994,
      "optimistic_value": 59.66,
      "output_full_name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
      "conservative_value": 55.38,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "wear_name": "Factory New",
      "collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Factory New)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:47:09.820512Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png"
    }
  ],
  "family_id": "fam_c217d55e01a5cf143e4d7a6d",
  "input_rarity": "Restricted",
  "chosen_inputs": [
    {
      "price": 1.79,
      "skin_id": "skin-f1184959b60b",
      "listing_id": "514116523133820066",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f1184959b60b.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:39:05.489201Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 3.72,
      "skin_id": "skin-2e0afbc14204",
      "listing_id": "502857637417198936",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Neoqueen (Factory New)",
      "name": "P90 | Neoqueen",
      "wear_name": "Factory New",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2e0afbc14204.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:39:07.059854Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 4.19,
      "skin_id": "skin-2e0afbc14204",
      "listing_id": "528752590509304353",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Neoqueen (Factory New)",
      "name": "P90 | Neoqueen",
      "wear_name": "Factory New",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2e0afbc14204.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:39:07.059854Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 4.22,
      "skin_id": "skin-2e0afbc14204",
      "listing_id": "649223316113975620",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Neoqueen (Factory New)",
      "name": "P90 | Neoqueen",
      "wear_name": "Factory New",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2e0afbc14204.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:39:07.059854Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 7.77,
      "skin_id": "skin-2e0afbc14204",
      "listing_id": "506234592360116892",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Neoqueen (Factory New)",
      "name": "P90 | Neoqueen",
      "wear_name": "Factory New",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2e0afbc14204.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:39:07.059854Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 10.49,
      "skin_id": "skin-99526dbb85e6",
      "listing_id": "506235223782024480",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-32",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit (Factory New)",
      "name": "Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit",
      "wear_name": "Factory New",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-99526dbb85e6.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:51:32.827753Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 4.75,
      "skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
      "listing_id": "521997988014719718",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:59.257802Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 5.4,
      "skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
      "listing_id": "506235337025176368",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:59.257802Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 7.29,
      "skin_id": "skin-8571b4f29f98",
      "listing_id": "524249787960966687",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "Galil AR | Galigator",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8571b4f29f98.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:56.622316Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 9,
      "skin_id": "skin-8571b4f29f98",
      "listing_id": "496102237883506139",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "Galil AR | Galigator",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8571b4f29f98.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:56.622316Z"
    }
  ],
  "contract_size": 10,
  "output_rarity": "Classified",
  "stattrak_mode": true,
  "composition_key": "Restricted|Classified|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-32:6+collection-set-community-37:4"
}
Related

Related contracts

Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
ContractOutputsMax WinEV (ROI)Win %VolatilityCostAge
The Revolution Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4
Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST
Crane Flight
AK-47 | Crane Flight
13.3% $126.41
Kintsugi
P250 | Kintsugi
13.3% $22.62
Deathgaze
P90 | Deathgaze
13.3% $21.23
Duality
AWP | Duality
20.0% $18.23
Wild Child
UMP-45 | Wild Child
20.0% $10.19
Wicked Sick
P2000 | Wicked Sick
20.0% $9.44
$126.41
+422.1%
$30.27
+25.0%
13.3%+157.2%$24.21—
The Revolution Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4
Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST
Crane Flight
AK-47 | Crane Flight
13.3% $63.86
Kintsugi
P250 | Kintsugi
13.3% $12.65
Deathgaze
P90 | Deathgaze
13.3% $10.67
Duality
AWP | Duality
20.0% $9.41
Wild Child
UMP-45 | Wild Child
20.0% $5.57
Wicked Sick
P2000 | Wicked Sick
20.0% $5.49
$63.86
+356.8%
$15.72
+12.4%
13.3%+136.3%$13.98—
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
ContractOutputsMax WinEV (ROI)Win %VolatilityCostAge
The Revolution Collection ×7+The Dead Hand Collection ×3
Restricted → Classified Factory New ST
Crane Flight
AK-47 | Crane Flight
10.0% $290.04
Kintsugi
P250 | Kintsugi
10.0% $65.51
Deathgaze
P90 | Deathgaze
10.0% $61.47
Wicked Sick
P2000 | Wicked Sick
23.3% $41.95
Duality
AWP | Duality
23.3% $37.34
Wild Child
UMP-45 | Wild Child
23.3% $31.50
$290.04
+446.3%
$67.55
+27.2%
30.0%+141.3%$53.09—
The Revolution Collection ×8+The Dead Hand Collection ×2
Restricted → Classified Factory New ST
Crane Flight
AK-47 | Crane Flight
6.7% $290.04
Kintsugi
P250 | Kintsugi
6.7% $65.51
Deathgaze
P90 | Deathgaze
6.7% $61.47
Wicked Sick
P2000 | Wicked Sick
26.7% $41.95
Duality
AWP | Duality
26.7% $37.34
Wild Child
UMP-45 | Wild Child
26.7% $31.50
$290.04
+494.8%
$57.34
+17.6%
20.0%+129.1%$48.76—
The Revolution Collection ×9+The Dead Hand Collection ×1
Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST
Crane Flight
AK-47 | Crane Flight
3.3% $126.41
Kintsugi
P250 | Kintsugi
3.3% $23.12
Deathgaze
P90 | Deathgaze
3.3% $21.23
Duality
AWP | Duality
30.0% $18.23
Wild Child
UMP-45 | Wild Child
30.0% $10.25
Wicked Sick
P2000 | Wicked Sick
30.0% $9.44
$126.41
+711.9%
$17.07
+9.6%
40.0%+133.5%$15.57—
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
ContractOutputsMax WinEV (ROI)Win %VolatilityCostAge
The Revolution Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST
Electrum
M4A1-S | Electrum
14.0% $10.69
Firebreathing
Desert Eagle | Firebreathing
14.0% $6.12
Galigator
Galil AR | Galigator
14.0% $3.26
Amberline
MP7 | Amberline
14.0% $3.22
Urban Sovereign
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
14.0% $3.19
Emphorosaur-S
M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S
6.0% $1.82
$10.69
+242.7%
$4.07
+30.4%
70.0%+86.8%$3.12—
FS

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