The Revolver Case Collection ×2+The Kilowatt Collection ×8
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted MW ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear StatTrak™
Inputs
Ricochet
1x $0.49
Outbreak
1x $0.88
Motorized
2x $0.19
Light Box
1x $0.21
Dark Sigil
3x $0.32
Hideout
1x $0.34
↓
Possible Outputs
Power Loader
3.3% $20.64
Avalanche
3.3% $17.49
Retrobution
3.3% $9.43
Teclu Burner
3.3% $8.17
Fuel Rod
3.3% $6.48
Tiger Moth
3.3% $5.82
Max Win
$20.64 (+417.2%)
EV (ROI %)
$4.93 (+23.5%)
Win %
52.0%
Volatility
+104.4%
Cost
$3.99
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $3.99
Ask Price EV $4.93 (+23.5%)
Bid Price EV $4.20 (+5.2%)
Ask Profit $0.94 (+23.5%)
Bid Profit $0.21 (+5.2%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.73 (+18.2%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.94
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.21
Risk
Win Probability 52.0%
Loss Probability 48.0%
Best Case $20.64 (+417.2%)
Worst Case $1.98 (-50.3%)
Volatility +104.4%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 32.0%
Avg Win +$3.03
Avg Loss -$1.33
Bottom 5% Outcome $1.98 (-50.3%)
Std Dev $4.17
Avg Norm Float 0.1492
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 20m
Oldest Output Price 147h 57m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
AUG | Ricochet
—
Field-Tested
$0.49 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Outbreak
—
Minimal Wear
$0.88 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Motorized
—
Field-Tested
$0.19 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Light Box
—
Field-Tested
$0.21 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Dark Sigil
—
Minimal Wear
$0.32 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | Hideout
—
Minimal Wear
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Motorized
—
Minimal Wear
$0.35 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Dark Sigil
—
Minimal Wear
$0.36 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Slag
—
Minimal Wear
$0.38 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Dark Sigil
—
Minimal Wear
$0.47 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 34M 07S //TOTAL COST $3.99 //ASK PRICE EV $4.93 //BID PRICE EV $4.20 //ASK PROFIT $0.94 (+23.5%) //BID PROFIT $0.21 (+5.2%) //WIN PROBABILITY 52.0% //BEST CASE $20.64 //VOLATILITY +104.4% //
Possible Outputs · 11
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN THIN BID EDGE FLOAT
3.3%
$20.64
+$16.65
+417.2%
$15.30
+$11.31
+283.5%
$5.34
25.9%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
3.3%
$17.49
+$13.50
+338.5%
$13.52
+$9.53
+238.8%
$3.97
22.7%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
3.3%
$9.43
+$5.44
+136.2%
$7.64
+$3.65
+91.5%
$1.79
18.9%
—
BIG WIN
3.3%
$8.17
+$4.18
+104.9%
$6.90
+$2.91
+72.9%
$1.27
15.6%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
3.3%
$6.48
+$2.49
+62.5%
$5.49
+$1.50
+37.6%
$0.99
15.3%
—
WIN EDGE FLOAT
3.3%
$5.82
+$1.83
+45.9%
$4.91
+$0.92
+23.1%
$0.91
15.6%
—
PAPER WIN EDGE FLOAT
16.0%
$4.45
+$0.46
+11.5%
$3.86
-$0.13
-3.3%
$0.59
13.2%
—
PAPER WIN
16.0%
$4.19
+$0.20
+5.0%
$3.88
-$0.11
-2.8%
$0.31
7.4%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
16.0%
$3.32
-$0.67
-16.7%
$2.85
-$1.14
-28.6%
$0.47
14.3%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
16.0%
$2.67
-$1.32
-33.0%
$2.60
-$1.39
-34.8%
$0.07
2.7%
—
NUKE
16.0%
$1.98
-$2.01
-50.3%
$1.85
-$2.14
-53.6%
$0.13
6.6%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-10|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 2,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-10"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-33|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 8,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.14923,
"output_skin_id": "skin-204c9ef36369",
"realistic_value": 2.6725,
"optimistic_value": 2.62,
"output_full_name": "Five-SeveN | Hybrid",
"conservative_value": 2.6,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:22:58.284740Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-204c9ef36369.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.10026390625,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2c04c0201892",
"realistic_value": 4.1905,
"optimistic_value": 4.11,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Block-18",
"conservative_value": 3.88,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Block-18 (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:50.971922Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2c04c0201892.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.14923,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0e160542d6d4",
"realistic_value": 4.4475,
"optimistic_value": 4.43,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Etch Lord",
"conservative_value": 3.86,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A4 | Etch Lord (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:47.747830Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0e160542d6d4.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.14923,
"output_skin_id": "skin-48f9126df040",
"realistic_value": 3.324,
"optimistic_value": 3.31,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Just Smile",
"conservative_value": 2.85,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Just Smile (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:20:28.298376Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-48f9126df040.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.0923524778,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d0653c0aaf2f",
"realistic_value": 1.9815,
"optimistic_value": 1.95,
"output_full_name": "Sawed-Off | Analog Input",
"conservative_value": 1.85,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:20:35.007632Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d0653c0aaf2f.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.03333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.14923,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ef297140e6ea",
"realistic_value": 9.426,
"optimistic_value": 9.16,
"output_full_name": "Five-SeveN | Retrobution",
"conservative_value": 7.64,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolver Case Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Retrobution (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T13:35:53.616108Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ef297140e6ea.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.03333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.14923,
"output_skin_id": "skin-69c57b0e17a5",
"realistic_value": 20.6355,
"optimistic_value": 20.38,
"output_full_name": "Negev | Power Loader",
"conservative_value": 15.3,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolver Case Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Negev | Power Loader (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:27:52.573953Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-69c57b0e17a5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.03333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.14923,
"output_skin_id": "skin-13af73ca7ca5",
"realistic_value": 6.482,
"optimistic_value": 6.3,
"output_full_name": "PP-Bizon | Fuel Rod",
"conservative_value": 5.49,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolver Case Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Fuel Rod (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:30:13.799132Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-13af73ca7ca5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.03333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.14923,
"output_skin_id": "skin-460926660df2",
"realistic_value": 5.8205,
"optimistic_value": 5.81,
"output_full_name": "SG 553 | Tiger Moth",
"conservative_value": 4.91,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolver Case Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SG 553 | Tiger Moth (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:08:35.548560Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-460926660df2.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.03333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.14923,
"output_skin_id": "skin-4a49656a91ca",
"realistic_value": 17.494500000000002,
"optimistic_value": 17.19,
"output_full_name": "Tec-9 | Avalanche",
"conservative_value": 13.52,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolver Case Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Avalanche (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:37:11.276306Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4a49656a91ca.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.03333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.0969995,
"output_skin_id": "skin-3932487f357b",
"realistic_value": 8.1745,
"optimistic_value": 8.01,
"output_full_name": "XM1014 | Teclu Burner",
"conservative_value": 6.9,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolver Case Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ XM1014 | Teclu Burner (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:32:17.345353Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3932487f357b.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_c1268870e9ff18c45c940b72",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.49,
"skin_id": "skin-ea3ddb4cfeb4",
"listing_id": "528752590489107597",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AUG | Ricochet (Field-Tested)",
"name": "AUG | Ricochet",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ea3ddb4cfeb4.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:25:35.820194Z"
},
{
"price": 0.88,
"skin_id": "skin-c367da09c5bb",
"listing_id": "519746022668106692",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Outbreak",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c367da09c5bb.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:27:45.750088Z"
},
{
"price": 0.19,
"skin_id": "skin-806137e84f73",
"listing_id": "506235389470549452",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Motorized (Field-Tested)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Motorized",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-806137e84f73.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:26:14.375579Z"
},
{
"price": 0.21,
"skin_id": "skin-543d85d8ca60",
"listing_id": "518620288314777880",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Light Box (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Light Box",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-543d85d8ca60.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:14:38.013133Z"
},
{
"price": 0.32,
"skin_id": "skin-baa1adba3189",
"listing_id": "525375522204066055",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Dark Sigil (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Nova | Dark Sigil",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-baa1adba3189.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:28:14.177566Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-8d6879f0a2bc",
"listing_id": "520872088106698692",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | Hideout",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d6879f0a2bc.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:33:28.458270Z"
},
{
"price": 0.35,
"skin_id": "skin-806137e84f73",
"listing_id": "528753335314258353",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Motorized (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Motorized",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-806137e84f73.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:14:00.907125Z"
},
{
"price": 0.36,
"skin_id": "skin-baa1adba3189",
"listing_id": "505108692508590428",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Dark Sigil (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Nova | Dark Sigil",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-baa1adba3189.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:28:14.177566Z"
},
{
"price": 0.38,
"skin_id": "skin-80f2ee4e940f",
"listing_id": "508486392212133206",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Slag (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Slag",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-80f2ee4e940f.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:23:06.772802Z"
},
{
"price": 0.47,
"skin_id": "skin-baa1adba3189",
"listing_id": "662733504184360474",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Dark Sigil (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Nova | Dark Sigil",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-baa1adba3189.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:28:14.177566Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-10:2+collection-set-community-33:8"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolver Case Collection ×2+The Kilowatt Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Teclu Burner 3.3% $8.17 Avalanche 3.3% $7.97 Power Loader 3.3% $7.64 Block-18 16.0% $4.19 Retrobution 3.3% $3.97 Tiger Moth 3.3% $2.93 | $8.17 +194.0% | $2.96 +6.4% | 36.0% | +59.7% | $2.78 | — |
The Revolver Case Collection ×2+The Kilowatt Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Power Loader 3.3% $61.03 Avalanche 3.3% $39.24 Retrobution 3.3% $21.13 Teclu Burner 3.3% $18.33 Tiger Moth 3.3% $14.34 Fuel Rod 3.3% $13.46 | $61.03 +407.7% | $12.52 +4.2% | 36.0% | +85.6% | $12.02 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolver Case Collection ×1+The Kilowatt Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Power Loader 1.7% $20.64 Avalanche 1.7% $17.49 Retrobution 1.7% $9.43 Teclu Burner 1.7% $8.17 Fuel Rod 1.7% $6.48 Tiger Moth 1.7% $5.82 | $20.64 +523.4% | $4.12 +24.6% | 64.0% | +87.6% | $3.31 | — |
The Revolver Case Collection ×3+The Kilowatt Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Power Loader 5.0% $20.64 Avalanche 5.0% $17.49 Retrobution 5.0% $9.43 Teclu Burner 5.0% $8.17 Fuel Rod 5.0% $6.48 Tiger Moth 5.0% $5.82 | $20.64 +345.7% | $5.73 +23.8% | 30.0% | +94.2% | $4.63 | — |
The Revolver Case Collection ×4+The Kilowatt Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Power Loader 6.7% $20.64 Avalanche 6.7% $17.49 Retrobution 6.7% $9.43 Teclu Burner 6.7% $8.17 Fuel Rod 6.7% $6.48 Tiger Moth 6.7% $5.82 | $20.64 +275.9% | $6.53 +18.9% | 40.0% | +85.5% | $5.49 | — |
The Revolver Case Collection ×5+The Kilowatt Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Power Loader 8.3% $20.64 Avalanche 8.3% $17.49 Retrobution 8.3% $9.43 Teclu Burner 8.3% $8.17 Fuel Rod 8.3% $6.48 Tiger Moth 8.3% $5.82 | $20.64 +228.1% | $7.33 +16.6% | 41.7% | +77.9% | $6.29 | — |
The Revolver Case Collection ×6+The Kilowatt Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Power Loader 10.0% $20.64 Avalanche 10.0% $17.49 Retrobution 10.0% $9.43 Teclu Burner 10.0% $8.17 Fuel Rod 10.0% $6.48 Tiger Moth 10.0% $5.82 | $20.64 +187.0% | $8.13 +13.1% | 40.0% | +70.1% | $7.19 | — |
The Revolver Case Collection ×7+The Kilowatt Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Power Loader 11.7% $20.64 Avalanche 11.7% $17.49 Retrobution 11.7% $9.43 Teclu Burner 11.7% $8.17 Fuel Rod 11.7% $6.48 Tiger Moth 11.7% $5.82 | $20.64 +152.0% | $8.94 +9.1% | 35.0% | +62.8% | $8.19 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolver Case Collection ×1+The Kilowatt Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Point Disarray  3.3% $79.05 Black Lotus  30.0% $37.06 Jawbreaker  30.0% $14.90 Olympus  30.0% $14.69 Shapewood  3.3% $11.71 The Executioner  3.3% $11.38 | $79.05 +286.3% | $23.40 +14.4% | 33.3% | +71.3% | $20.46 | — |