The Revolver Case Collection ×2+The Kilowatt Collection ×8
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FN ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New StatTrak™
Inputs
Yorick
1x $1.39
Ricochet
1x $1.80
Slag
2x $0.38
Irezumi
1x $0.59
Dezastre
3x $0.61
Dark Sigil
1x $0.85
↓
Possible Outputs
Power Loader
3.3% $61.03
Avalanche
3.3% $39.24
Retrobution
3.3% $21.13
Teclu Burner
3.3% $18.33
Tiger Moth
3.3% $14.34
Fuel Rod
3.3% $13.46
Max Win
$61.03 (+416.3%)
EV (ROI %)
$12.54 (+6.1%)
Win %
36.0%
Volatility
+94.3%
Cost
$11.82
Age —
Financials
ASK-ONLY EDGETotal Cost $11.82
Ask Price EV $12.54 (+6.1%)
Bid Price EV $10.66 (-9.8%)
Ask Profit $0.72 (+6.1%)
Bid Profit $-1.16 (-9.8%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $1.88 (+15.9%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.72
Bid Slippage Buffer -$1.16
Risk
Win Probability 36.0%
Loss Probability 64.0%
Best Case $61.03 (+416.3%)
Worst Case $4.21 (-64.4%)
Volatility +94.3%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 32.0%
Avg Win +$9.49
Avg Loss -$4.22
Bottom 5% Outcome $4.21 (-64.4%)
Std Dev $11.14
Avg Norm Float 0.0700
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 21m
Oldest Output Price 148h 19m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
Sawed-Off | Yorick
—
Minimal Wear
$1.39 Float: HIDDEN
AUG | Ricochet
—
Minimal Wear
$1.80 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Slag
—
Minimal Wear
$0.38 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Slag
—
Minimal Wear
$0.50 Float: HIDDEN
XM1014 | Irezumi
—
Minimal Wear
$0.59 Float: HIDDEN
SSG 08 | Dezastre
—
Minimal Wear
$0.61 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Dark Sigil
—
Factory New
$0.85 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | Hideout
—
Factory New
$1.51 Float: HIDDEN
SSG 08 | Dezastre
—
Factory New
$2.04 Float: HIDDEN
SSG 08 | Dezastre
—
Factory New
$2.15 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 32M 28S //TOTAL COST $11.82 //ASK PRICE EV $12.54 //BID PRICE EV $10.66 //ASK PROFIT $0.72 (+6.1%) //BID PROFIT $-1.16 (-9.8%) //WIN PROBABILITY 36.0% //BEST CASE $61.03 //VOLATILITY +94.3% //
Possible Outputs · 11
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN THIN BID EDGE FLOAT
3.3%
$61.03
+$49.21
+416.3%
$42.86
+$31.04
+262.6%
$18.17
29.8%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
3.3%
$39.24
+$27.42
+232.0%
$31.77
+$19.95
+168.8%
$7.47
19.0%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
3.3%
$21.13
+$9.31
+78.8%
$18.68
+$6.86
+58.0%
$2.45
11.6%
—
BIG WIN
3.3%
$18.33
+$6.51
+55.1%
$16.07
+$4.25
+36.0%
$2.26
12.3%
—
WIN EDGE FLOAT
3.3%
$14.34
+$2.52
+21.3%
$11.82
+$0.00
+0.0%
$2.52
17.6%
—
SMALL WIN EDGE FLOAT
3.3%
$13.46
+$1.63
+13.8%
$12.21
+$0.39
+3.3%
$1.24
9.3%
—
SMALL WIN EDGE FLOAT
16.0%
$13.06
+$1.24
+10.5%
$12.03
+$0.21
+1.8%
$1.03
7.9%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
16.0%
$9.41
-$2.42
-20.4%
$7.84
-$3.98
-33.7%
$1.56
16.6%
—
LOSS
16.0%
$8.90
-$2.92
-24.7%
$7.77
-$4.05
-34.3%
$1.13
12.7%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
16.0%
$7.89
-$3.93
-33.3%
$7.43
-$4.39
-37.1%
$0.46
5.8%
—
NUKE
16.0%
$4.21
-$7.61
-64.4%
$3.74
-$8.08
-68.4%
$0.47
11.2%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-10|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 2,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-10"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-33|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 8,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.06999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-204c9ef36369",
"realistic_value": 7.8895,
"optimistic_value": 7.83,
"output_full_name": "Five-SeveN | Hybrid",
"conservative_value": 7.43,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:28:53.294795Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-204c9ef36369.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.04702453125,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2c04c0201892",
"realistic_value": 8.897,
"optimistic_value": 8.89,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Block-18",
"conservative_value": 7.77,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Block-18 (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:53.653469Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2c04c0201892.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.06999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0e160542d6d4",
"realistic_value": 13.056999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 12.35,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Etch Lord",
"conservative_value": 12.03,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A4 | Etch Lord (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:41.589744Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0e160542d6d4.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.06999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-48f9126df040",
"realistic_value": 9.405,
"optimistic_value": 9.37,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Just Smile",
"conservative_value": 7.84,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Just Smile (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:28:57.083073Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-48f9126df040.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.0433140114,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d0653c0aaf2f",
"realistic_value": 4.211,
"optimistic_value": 4.19,
"output_full_name": "Sawed-Off | Analog Input",
"conservative_value": 3.74,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:29:03.422016Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d0653c0aaf2f.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.03333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.06999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ef297140e6ea",
"realistic_value": 21.131,
"optimistic_value": 20.9,
"output_full_name": "Five-SeveN | Retrobution",
"conservative_value": 18.68,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Revolver Case Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Retrobution (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:19:11.179039Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ef297140e6ea.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.03333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.06999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-69c57b0e17a5",
"realistic_value": 61.026500000000006,
"optimistic_value": 59.7,
"output_full_name": "Negev | Power Loader",
"conservative_value": 42.86,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Revolver Case Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Negev | Power Loader (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:25:56.071598Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-69c57b0e17a5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.03333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.06999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-13af73ca7ca5",
"realistic_value": 13.455,
"optimistic_value": 12.65,
"output_full_name": "PP-Bizon | Fuel Rod",
"conservative_value": 12.21,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Revolver Case Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Fuel Rod (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:11:24.695323Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-13af73ca7ca5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.03333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.06999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-460926660df2",
"realistic_value": 14.337,
"optimistic_value": 14.12,
"output_full_name": "SG 553 | Tiger Moth",
"conservative_value": 11.82,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Revolver Case Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SG 553 | Tiger Moth (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:13:55.026114Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-460926660df2.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.03333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.06999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-4a49656a91ca",
"realistic_value": 39.2415,
"optimistic_value": 37.46,
"output_full_name": "Tec-9 | Avalanche",
"conservative_value": 31.77,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Revolver Case Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Avalanche (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:30:30.885275Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4a49656a91ca.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.03333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.0454935,
"output_skin_id": "skin-3932487f357b",
"realistic_value": 18.334,
"optimistic_value": 18.25,
"output_full_name": "XM1014 | Teclu Burner",
"conservative_value": 16.07,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Revolver Case Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ XM1014 | Teclu Burner (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:33:10.999745Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3932487f357b.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_c1268870e9ff18c45c940b72",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 1.39,
"skin_id": "skin-e62659639aba",
"listing_id": "636837710518236276",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Yorick (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Yorick",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e62659639aba.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:17:09.707665Z"
},
{
"price": 1.8,
"skin_id": "skin-ea3ddb4cfeb4",
"listing_id": "714524901207943011",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AUG | Ricochet (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "AUG | Ricochet",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ea3ddb4cfeb4.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:19:54.290719Z"
},
{
"price": 0.38,
"skin_id": "skin-80f2ee4e940f",
"listing_id": "508486392212133206",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Slag (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Slag",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-80f2ee4e940f.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:34:21.660047Z"
},
{
"price": 0.5,
"skin_id": "skin-80f2ee4e940f",
"listing_id": "493850324808131632",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Slag (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Slag",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-80f2ee4e940f.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:34:21.660047Z"
},
{
"price": 0.59,
"skin_id": "skin-8c2ae17ac090",
"listing_id": "625577443252700102",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ XM1014 | Irezumi (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "XM1014 | Irezumi",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8c2ae17ac090.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:34:04.006438Z"
},
{
"price": 0.61,
"skin_id": "skin-c176fd51f6b9",
"listing_id": "515241791654317225",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Dezastre (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SSG 08 | Dezastre",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c176fd51f6b9.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:20:14.404922Z"
},
{
"price": 0.85,
"skin_id": "skin-baa1adba3189",
"listing_id": "514115891832272466",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Dark Sigil (Factory New)",
"name": "Nova | Dark Sigil",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-baa1adba3189.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:37:44.470046Z"
},
{
"price": 1.51,
"skin_id": "skin-8d6879f0a2bc",
"listing_id": "519746022669746780",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout (Factory New)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | Hideout",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d6879f0a2bc.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:17:18.517430Z"
},
{
"price": 2.04,
"skin_id": "skin-c176fd51f6b9",
"listing_id": "508487242221635114",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Dezastre (Factory New)",
"name": "SSG 08 | Dezastre",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c176fd51f6b9.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:22:55.349251Z"
},
{
"price": 2.15,
"skin_id": "skin-c176fd51f6b9",
"listing_id": "528753335311947405",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Dezastre (Factory New)",
"name": "SSG 08 | Dezastre",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c176fd51f6b9.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:22:55.349251Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-10:2+collection-set-community-33:8"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolver Case Collection ×2+The Kilowatt Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Power Loader 3.3% $20.64 Avalanche 3.3% $17.49 Retrobution 3.3% $9.43 Teclu Burner 3.3% $8.17 Fuel Rod 3.3% $6.48 Tiger Moth 3.3% $5.82 | $20.64 +422.4% | $4.93 +24.7% | 52.0% | +96.8% | $3.95 | — |
The Revolver Case Collection ×2+The Kilowatt Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Teclu Burner 3.3% $8.17 Avalanche 3.3% $7.97 Power Loader 3.3% $7.64 Block-18 16.0% $4.19 Retrobution 3.3% $3.97 Tiger Moth 3.3% $2.93 | $8.17 +195.1% | $2.96 +6.9% | 36.0% | +59.9% | $2.77 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolver Case Collection ×3+The Kilowatt Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Power Loader 5.0% $20.64 Avalanche 5.0% $17.49 Retrobution 5.0% $9.43 Teclu Burner 5.0% $8.17 Fuel Rod 5.0% $6.48 Tiger Moth 5.0% $5.82 | $20.64 +335.3% | $5.70 +20.2% | 30.0% | +92.3% | $4.74 | — |
The Revolver Case Collection ×1+The Kilowatt Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Power Loader 1.7% $20.64 Avalanche 1.7% $17.49 Retrobution 1.7% $9.43 Teclu Burner 1.7% $8.17 Fuel Rod 1.7% $6.48 Tiger Moth 1.7% $5.82 | $20.64 +498.1% | $4.09 +18.7% | 46.0% | +84.3% | $3.45 | — |
The Revolver Case Collection ×4+The Kilowatt Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Power Loader 6.7% $20.64 Avalanche 6.7% $17.49 Retrobution 6.7% $9.43 Teclu Burner 6.7% $8.17 Fuel Rod 6.7% $6.48 Tiger Moth 6.7% $5.82 | $20.64 +265.9% | $6.51 +15.4% | 40.0% | +83.4% | $5.64 | — |
The Revolver Case Collection ×5+The Kilowatt Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Power Loader 8.3% $61.03 Avalanche 8.3% $39.24 Retrobution 8.3% $21.13 Teclu Burner 8.3% $18.33 Tiger Moth 8.3% $14.34 Fuel Rod 8.3% $13.46 | $61.03 +272.3% | $18.31 +11.7% | 33.3% | +84.7% | $16.39 | — |
The Revolver Case Collection ×6+The Kilowatt Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Power Loader 10.0% $61.03 Avalanche 10.0% $39.24 Retrobution 10.0% $21.13 Teclu Burner 10.0% $18.33 Tiger Moth 10.0% $14.34 Fuel Rod 10.0% $13.46 | $61.03 +227.9% | $20.23 +8.7% | 30.0% | +78.1% | $18.61 | — |
The Revolver Case Collection ×7+The Kilowatt Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Power Loader 11.7% $61.03 Avalanche 11.7% $39.24 Retrobution 11.7% $21.13 Teclu Burner 11.7% $18.33 Tiger Moth 11.7% $14.34 Fuel Rod 11.7% $13.46 | $61.03 +189.9% | $22.14 +5.2% | 35.0% | +71.8% | $21.05 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolver Case Collection ×1+The Kilowatt Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Point Disarray  3.3% $79.05 Black Lotus  30.0% $37.06 Jawbreaker  30.0% $14.90 Olympus  30.0% $14.55 Shapewood  3.3% $11.71 The Executioner  3.3% $11.38 | $79.05 +273.2% | $23.36 +10.3% | 33.3% | +69.0% | $21.18 | — |