The Revolver Case Collection ×2+The Kilowatt Collection ×8
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FT ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested StatTrak™
Inputs
Ricochet
2x $0.48
Motorized
4x $0.16
Slag
2x $0.17
Hideout
1x $0.20
Light Box
1x $0.21
↓
Possible Outputs
Teclu Burner
3.3% $8.17
Avalanche
3.3% $7.97
Power Loader
3.3% $7.64
Block-18
16.0% $4.19
Retrobution
3.3% $3.97
Tiger Moth
3.3% $2.93
Max Win
$8.17 (+195.1%)
EV (ROI %)
$2.96 (+6.9%)
Win %
36.0%
Volatility
+69.0%
Cost
$2.77
Age —
Financials
ASK-ONLY EDGETotal Cost $2.77
Ask Price EV $2.96 (+6.9%)
Bid Price EV $2.66 (-4.1%)
Ask Profit $0.19 (+6.9%)
Bid Profit $-0.11 (-4.1%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.30 (+11.0%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.19
Bid Slippage Buffer -$0.11
Risk
Win Probability 36.0%
Loss Probability 64.0%
Best Case $8.17 (+195.1%)
Worst Case $1.44 (-47.9%)
Volatility +69.0%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 48.0%
Avg Win +$2.20
Avg Loss -$0.94
Bottom 5% Outcome $1.44 (-47.9%)
Std Dev $1.91
Avg Norm Float 0.2224
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 12m
Oldest Output Price 149h 6m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
AUG | Ricochet
—
Field-Tested
$0.48 Float: HIDDEN
AUG | Ricochet
—
Field-Tested
$0.49 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Motorized
—
Field-Tested
$0.16 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Slag
—
Field-Tested
$0.17 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Motorized
—
Field-Tested
$0.18 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Slag
—
Field-Tested
$0.19 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | Hideout
—
Field-Tested
$0.20 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Light Box
—
Field-Tested
$0.21 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Motorized
—
Minimal Wear
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Motorized
—
Minimal Wear
$0.35 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 32M 57S //TOTAL COST $2.77 //ASK PRICE EV $2.96 //BID PRICE EV $2.66 //ASK PROFIT $0.19 (+6.9%) //BID PROFIT $-0.11 (-4.1%) //WIN PROBABILITY 36.0% //BEST CASE $8.17 //VOLATILITY +69.0% //
Possible Outputs · 11
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
3.3%
$8.17
+$5.40
+195.1%
$6.90
+$4.13
+149.1%
$1.27
15.6%
—
BIG WIN
3.3%
$7.97
+$5.20
+187.9%
$6.95
+$4.18
+150.9%
$1.02
12.8%
—
BIG WIN
3.3%
$7.64
+$4.87
+175.8%
$6.00
+$3.23
+116.6%
$1.64
21.5%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
16.0%
$4.19
+$1.42
+51.3%
$3.88
+$1.11
+40.1%
$0.31
7.4%
—
WIN
3.3%
$3.97
+$1.20
+43.5%
$3.37
+$0.60
+21.7%
$0.60
15.2%
—
PAPER WIN
3.3%
$2.93
+$0.16
+5.6%
$2.71
-$0.06
-2.2%
$0.22
7.4%
—
PAPER WIN
3.3%
$2.92
+$0.15
+5.4%
$2.72
-$0.05
-1.8%
$0.20
6.8%
—
LOSS
16.0%
$2.32
-$0.45
-16.1%
$2.08
-$0.69
-24.9%
$0.24
10.5%
—
LOSS
16.0%
$1.98
-$0.79
-28.5%
$1.85
-$0.92
-33.2%
$0.13
6.6%
—
NUKE
16.0%
$1.56
-$1.21
-43.7%
$1.43
-$1.34
-48.4%
$0.13
8.3%
—
NUKE
16.0%
$1.44
-$1.33
-47.9%
$1.39
-$1.38
-49.8%
$0.05
3.7%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-10|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 2,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-10"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-33|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 8,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.22237,
"output_skin_id": "skin-204c9ef36369",
"realistic_value": 1.444,
"optimistic_value": 1.43,
"output_full_name": "Five-SeveN | Hybrid",
"conservative_value": 1.39,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:17:53.729273Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-204c9ef36369.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.14940484375000002,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2c04c0201892",
"realistic_value": 4.1905,
"optimistic_value": 4.11,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Block-18",
"conservative_value": 3.88,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Block-18 (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:50.971922Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2c04c0201892.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.22237,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0e160542d6d4",
"realistic_value": 2.324,
"optimistic_value": 2.31,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Etch Lord",
"conservative_value": 2.08,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A4 | Etch Lord (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:15:03.044007Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0e160542d6d4.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.22237,
"output_skin_id": "skin-48f9126df040",
"realistic_value": 1.56,
"optimistic_value": 1.56,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Just Smile",
"conservative_value": 1.43,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Just Smile (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:04:39.434678Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-48f9126df040.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.1376158982,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d0653c0aaf2f",
"realistic_value": 1.9815,
"optimistic_value": 1.95,
"output_full_name": "Sawed-Off | Analog Input",
"conservative_value": 1.85,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:31:31.595572Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d0653c0aaf2f.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.03333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.22237,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ef297140e6ea",
"realistic_value": 3.9739999999999998,
"optimistic_value": 3.96,
"output_full_name": "Five-SeveN | Retrobution",
"conservative_value": 3.37,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolver Case Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Retrobution (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-06T21:20:06.188170Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ef297140e6ea.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.03333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.22237,
"output_skin_id": "skin-69c57b0e17a5",
"realistic_value": 7.6405,
"optimistic_value": 7.42,
"output_full_name": "Negev | Power Loader",
"conservative_value": 6,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolver Case Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Negev | Power Loader (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:32:03.456716Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-69c57b0e17a5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.03333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.22237,
"output_skin_id": "skin-13af73ca7ca5",
"realistic_value": 2.92,
"optimistic_value": 2.92,
"output_full_name": "PP-Bizon | Fuel Rod",
"conservative_value": 2.72,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolver Case Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Fuel Rod (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:57:06.687182Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-13af73ca7ca5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.03333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.22237,
"output_skin_id": "skin-460926660df2",
"realistic_value": 2.9250000000000003,
"optimistic_value": 2.89,
"output_full_name": "SG 553 | Tiger Moth",
"conservative_value": 2.71,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolver Case Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SG 553 | Tiger Moth (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:50:16.528299Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-460926660df2.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.03333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.22237,
"output_skin_id": "skin-4a49656a91ca",
"realistic_value": 7.974,
"optimistic_value": 7.96,
"output_full_name": "Tec-9 | Avalanche",
"conservative_value": 6.95,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Revolver Case Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Avalanche (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:33:31.292529Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4a49656a91ca.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.03333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.14454050000000002,
"output_skin_id": "skin-3932487f357b",
"realistic_value": 8.1745,
"optimistic_value": 8.01,
"output_full_name": "XM1014 | Teclu Burner",
"conservative_value": 6.9,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Revolver Case Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ XM1014 | Teclu Burner (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:32:17.345353Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3932487f357b.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_c1268870e9ff18c45c940b72",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.48,
"skin_id": "skin-ea3ddb4cfeb4",
"listing_id": "523123091049200890",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AUG | Ricochet (Field-Tested)",
"name": "AUG | Ricochet",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ea3ddb4cfeb4.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:37:38.263957Z"
},
{
"price": 0.49,
"skin_id": "skin-ea3ddb4cfeb4",
"listing_id": "528752590489107597",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-10",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AUG | Ricochet (Field-Tested)",
"name": "AUG | Ricochet",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ea3ddb4cfeb4.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:37:38.263957Z"
},
{
"price": 0.16,
"skin_id": "skin-806137e84f73",
"listing_id": "503983642532388475",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Motorized (Field-Tested)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Motorized",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-806137e84f73.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:38:20.733875Z"
},
{
"price": 0.17,
"skin_id": "skin-80f2ee4e940f",
"listing_id": "500605942755366047",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Slag (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Slag",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-80f2ee4e940f.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:31:46.274458Z"
},
{
"price": 0.18,
"skin_id": "skin-806137e84f73",
"listing_id": "525375740885225203",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Motorized (Field-Tested)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Motorized",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-806137e84f73.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:38:20.733875Z"
},
{
"price": 0.19,
"skin_id": "skin-80f2ee4e940f",
"listing_id": "496101493247435159",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Slag (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Slag",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-80f2ee4e940f.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:31:46.274458Z"
},
{
"price": 0.2,
"skin_id": "skin-8d6879f0a2bc",
"listing_id": "514116523129581066",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | Hideout",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d6879f0a2bc.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:31:45.290420Z"
},
{
"price": 0.21,
"skin_id": "skin-543d85d8ca60",
"listing_id": "518620288314777880",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Light Box (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Light Box",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-543d85d8ca60.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:26:32.223322Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-806137e84f73",
"listing_id": "503983642532458279",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Motorized (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Motorized",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-806137e84f73.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:26:04.876770Z"
},
{
"price": 0.35,
"skin_id": "skin-806137e84f73",
"listing_id": "528753335314258353",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Motorized (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Motorized",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-806137e84f73.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:26:04.876770Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-10:2+collection-set-community-33:8"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolver Case Collection ×2+The Kilowatt Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Power Loader 3.3% $20.64 Avalanche 3.3% $17.49 Retrobution 3.3% $9.43 Teclu Burner 3.3% $8.17 Fuel Rod 3.3% $6.48 Tiger Moth 3.3% $5.82 | $20.64 +422.4% | $4.93 +24.7% | 52.0% | +96.8% | $3.95 | — |
The Revolver Case Collection ×2+The Kilowatt Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Power Loader 3.3% $61.03 Avalanche 3.3% $39.24 Retrobution 3.3% $21.13 Teclu Burner 3.3% $18.33 Tiger Moth 3.3% $14.34 Fuel Rod 3.3% $13.46 | $61.03 +416.3% | $12.54 +6.1% | 36.0% | +87.0% | $11.82 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolver Case Collection ×3+The Kilowatt Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Power Loader 5.0% $20.64 Avalanche 5.0% $17.49 Retrobution 5.0% $9.43 Teclu Burner 5.0% $8.17 Fuel Rod 5.0% $6.48 Tiger Moth 5.0% $5.82 | $20.64 +335.3% | $5.70 +20.2% | 30.0% | +92.3% | $4.74 | — |
The Revolver Case Collection ×1+The Kilowatt Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Power Loader 1.7% $20.64 Avalanche 1.7% $17.49 Retrobution 1.7% $9.43 Teclu Burner 1.7% $8.17 Fuel Rod 1.7% $6.48 Tiger Moth 1.7% $5.82 | $20.64 +498.1% | $4.09 +18.7% | 46.0% | +84.3% | $3.45 | — |
The Revolver Case Collection ×4+The Kilowatt Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Power Loader 6.7% $20.64 Avalanche 6.7% $17.49 Retrobution 6.7% $9.43 Teclu Burner 6.7% $8.17 Fuel Rod 6.7% $6.48 Tiger Moth 6.7% $5.82 | $20.64 +265.9% | $6.51 +15.4% | 40.0% | +83.4% | $5.64 | — |
The Revolver Case Collection ×5+The Kilowatt Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Power Loader 8.3% $61.03 Avalanche 8.3% $39.24 Retrobution 8.3% $21.13 Teclu Burner 8.3% $18.33 Tiger Moth 8.3% $14.34 Fuel Rod 8.3% $13.46 | $61.03 +272.3% | $18.31 +11.7% | 33.3% | +84.7% | $16.39 | — |
The Revolver Case Collection ×6+The Kilowatt Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Power Loader 10.0% $61.03 Avalanche 10.0% $39.24 Retrobution 10.0% $21.13 Teclu Burner 10.0% $18.33 Tiger Moth 10.0% $14.34 Fuel Rod 10.0% $13.46 | $61.03 +227.9% | $20.23 +8.7% | 30.0% | +78.1% | $18.61 | — |
The Revolver Case Collection ×7+The Kilowatt Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Power Loader 11.7% $61.03 Avalanche 11.7% $39.24 Retrobution 11.7% $21.13 Teclu Burner 11.7% $18.33 Tiger Moth 11.7% $14.34 Fuel Rod 11.7% $13.46 | $61.03 +189.9% | $22.14 +5.2% | 35.0% | +71.8% | $21.05 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Revolver Case Collection ×1+The Kilowatt Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Point Disarray  3.3% $79.05 Black Lotus  30.0% $37.06 Jawbreaker  30.0% $14.90 Olympus  30.0% $14.55 Shapewood  3.3% $11.71 The Executioner  3.3% $11.38 | $79.05 +273.2% | $23.36 +10.3% | 33.3% | +69.0% | $21.18 | — |