The Dead Hand Collection ×8+The Gamma 2 Collection ×2

Restricted → Classified WW ST 10 items

Battle-Scarred -10.7%Factory New +30.6%Field-Tested +12.3%Minimal Wear +22.0%Well-Worn -10.9%

Contract

Restricted → Classified Well-Worn StatTrak™

Inputs

Amberline

8x $2.11

Petroglyph

2x $1.62

↓

Possible Outputs

Crane Flight

26.7% $45.29

Fuel Injector

6.7% $16.35

Syd Mead

6.7% $14.63

Airlock

6.7% $12.71

Deathgaze

26.7% $9.90

Kintsugi

26.7% $9.40

Max Win

$45.29 (+100.4%)

EV (ROI %)

$20.14 (-10.9%)

Win %

26.7%

Volatility

+67.7%

Cost

$22.60

Age —

Financials

Total Cost $22.60

Ask Price EV $20.14 (-10.9%)

Bid Price EV $18.03 (-20.2%)

Ask Profit $-2.46 (-10.9%)

Bid Profit $-4.57 (-20.2%)

Liquidity Gap $2.11 (+9.3%)

Ask Slippage Buffer -$2.46

Bid Slippage Buffer -$4.57

Risk

Win Probability 26.7%

Loss Probability 73.3%

Best Case $45.29 (+100.4%)

Worst Case $9.40 (-58.4%)

Volatility +67.7%

Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 73.3%

Avg Win +$22.68

Avg Loss -$11.61

Bottom 5% Outcome $9.40 (-58.4%)

Std Dev $15.30

Avg Norm Float 0.4450

P(output) Sum 1.0000

Execution ▸ ▾

Price Freshness Old

Oldest Input Price 23m

Oldest Output Price 154h 51m

Fill Confidence Low

Input Availability 10 / 10

Float Safety Tight

Price History

ROI & Win Rate

TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended

SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...

Chosen Inputs · 10 items

MP7 | Amberline

—

Battle-Scarred

$2.11 Float: HIDDEN

MP7 | Amberline

—

Battle-Scarred

$2.12 Float: HIDDEN

MP7 | Amberline

—

Battle-Scarred

$2.15 Float: HIDDEN

MP7 | Amberline

—

Well-Worn

$2.24 Float: HIDDEN

MP7 | Amberline

—

Well-Worn

$2.25 Float: HIDDEN

MP7 | Amberline

—

Well-Worn

$2.34 Float: HIDDEN

MP7 | Amberline

—

Field-Tested

$2.80 Float: HIDDEN

MP7 | Amberline

—

Field-Tested

$3.12 Float: HIDDEN

MAG-7 | Petroglyph

—

Field-Tested

$1.62 Float: HIDDEN

MAG-7 | Petroglyph

—

Minimal Wear

$1.85 Float: HIDDEN

OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 36M 44S //TOTAL COST $22.60 //ASK PRICE EV $20.14 //BID PRICE EV $18.03 //ASK PROFIT $-2.46 (-10.9%) //BID PROFIT $-4.57 (-20.2%) //WIN PROBABILITY 26.7% //BEST CASE $45.29 //VOLATILITY +67.7% //

Possible Outputs · 6

Skin

Latest Result

No spins recorded yet.

Cumulative P&L

Ask Bid

Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative P&L.

Raw payload (JSON)

{
  "parts": [
    {
      "bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Restricted|stattrak",
      "item_count": 8,
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
    },
    {
      "bucket_id": "collection-set-gamma-2|Restricted|stattrak",
      "item_count": 2,
      "collection_id": "collection-set-gamma-2"
    }
  ],
  "outcomes": [
    {
      "probability": 0.26666666666666666,
      "output_float": 0.44504,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-f64cdaac0b90",
      "realistic_value": 45.285,
      "optimistic_value": 44.9,
      "output_full_name": "AK-47 | Crane Flight",
      "conservative_value": 41.72,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Well-Worn)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:39.425805Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f64cdaac0b90.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.26666666666666666,
      "output_float": 0.44504,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
      "realistic_value": 9.402999999999999,
      "optimistic_value": 9.2,
      "output_full_name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
      "conservative_value": 7.68,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Well-Worn)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:39:17.094321Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.26666666666666666,
      "output_float": 0.44504,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
      "realistic_value": 9.895999999999999,
      "optimistic_value": 9.84,
      "output_full_name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
      "conservative_value": 8.44,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Well-Worn)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:39:34.862236Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.06666666666666667,
      "output_float": 0.356032,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-ba00fd57f9ef",
      "realistic_value": 14.6335,
      "optimistic_value": 14.28,
      "output_full_name": "AUG | Syd Mead",
      "conservative_value": 12.74,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-gamma-2",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "collection_name": "The Gamma 2 Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AUG | Syd Mead (Field-Tested)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-05T12:58:55.172867Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ba00fd57f9ef.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.06666666666666667,
      "output_float": 0.44504,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-f07fb63926b7",
      "realistic_value": 12.7135,
      "optimistic_value": 12.5,
      "output_full_name": "MP9 | Airlock",
      "conservative_value": 12.34,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-gamma-2",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "collection_name": "The Gamma 2 Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Airlock (Well-Worn)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:12:47.934643Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f07fb63926b7.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.06666666666666667,
      "output_float": 0.44504,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-23a0601d3273",
      "realistic_value": 16.3485,
      "optimistic_value": 16.1,
      "output_full_name": "Tec-9 | Fuel Injector",
      "conservative_value": 14,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-gamma-2",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "collection_name": "The Gamma 2 Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fuel Injector (Well-Worn)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:31:29.412045Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-23a0601d3273.png"
    }
  ],
  "family_id": "fam_bdfb26fbf9fb1a2d76783cae",
  "input_rarity": "Restricted",
  "chosen_inputs": [
    {
      "price": 2.11,
      "skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "listing_id": "521998040963695218",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
      "name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:07:11.795393Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 2.12,
      "skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "listing_id": "507361237010261641",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
      "name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:07:11.795393Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 2.15,
      "skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "listing_id": "490472738292168531",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
      "name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:07:11.795393Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 2.24,
      "skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "listing_id": "492724643508420561",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
      "name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:04:07.650147Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 2.25,
      "skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "listing_id": "521998040962768254",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
      "name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:04:07.650147Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 2.34,
      "skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "listing_id": "492724538182385829",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
      "name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:04:07.650147Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 2.8,
      "skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "listing_id": "526501640651871977",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Field-Tested)",
      "name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:04:21.126722Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 3.12,
      "skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "listing_id": "505109542380569456",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Field-Tested)",
      "name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:04:21.126722Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 1.62,
      "skin_id": "skin-18a6943d8cc2",
      "listing_id": "634586007404989193",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-gamma-2",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Petroglyph (Field-Tested)",
      "name": "MAG-7 | Petroglyph",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-18a6943d8cc2.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:58:37.878425Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 1.85,
      "skin_id": "skin-18a6943d8cc2",
      "listing_id": "507361342334205457",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-gamma-2",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Petroglyph (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "MAG-7 | Petroglyph",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-18a6943d8cc2.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:10:24.933797Z"
    }
  ],
  "contract_size": 10,
  "output_rarity": "Classified",
  "stattrak_mode": true,
  "composition_key": "Restricted|Classified|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-37:8+collection-set-gamma-2:2"
}

Related contracts

Positive EV only

Different wear buckets

Same contract family, other output wear ratings.

Contract	Outputs	Max Win	EV (ROI)	Win %	Volatility	Cost	Age
The Dead Hand Collection ×8+The Gamma 2 Collection ×2 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST	Crane Flight 26.7% $290.04 Fuel Injector 6.7% $122.75 Kintsugi 26.7% $60.46 Airlock 6.7% $59.18 Deathgaze 26.7% $58.67 Syd Mead 6.7% $41.63	$290.04 +205.4%	$124.02 +30.6%	33.3%	+106.9%	$94.97	—
The Dead Hand Collection ×8+The Gamma 2 Collection ×2 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST	Crane Flight 26.7% $126.41 Fuel Injector 6.7% $41.92 Airlock 6.7% $23.50 Kintsugi 26.7% $22.90 Deathgaze 26.7% $20.61 Syd Mead 6.7% $17.12	$126.41 +203.6%	$50.82 +22.0%	33.3%	+110.2%	$41.64	—
The Dead Hand Collection ×8+The Gamma 2 Collection ×2 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST	Crane Flight 26.7% $63.86 Fuel Injector 6.7% $21.48 Syd Mead 6.7% $14.63 Airlock 6.7% $13.36 Kintsugi 26.7% $12.65 Deathgaze 26.7% $11.20	$63.86 +168.8%	$26.69 +12.3%	26.7%	+94.9%	$23.76	—

Different splits

Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.

Contract	Outputs	Max Win	EV (ROI)	Win %	Volatility	Cost	Age
The Dead Hand Collection ×9+The Gamma 2 Collection ×1 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST	Crane Flight 30.0% $290.04 Fuel Injector 3.3% $122.75 Kintsugi 30.0% $60.46 Airlock 3.3% $59.18 Deathgaze 30.0% $58.67 Syd Mead 3.3% $41.63	$290.04 +195.6%	$130.20 +32.7%	33.3%	+107.3%	$98.11	—
The Dead Hand Collection ×7+The Gamma 2 Collection ×3 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST	Crane Flight 23.3% $290.04 Fuel Injector 10.0% $122.75 Kintsugi 23.3% $60.46 Airlock 10.0% $59.18 Deathgaze 23.3% $58.67 Syd Mead 10.0% $41.63	$290.04 +213.8%	$117.83 +27.5%	33.3%	+105.1%	$92.44	—
The Dead Hand Collection ×6+The Gamma 2 Collection ×4 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST	Crane Flight 20.0% $290.04 Fuel Injector 13.3% $122.75 Kintsugi 20.0% $60.46 Airlock 13.3% $59.18 Deathgaze 20.0% $58.67 Syd Mead 13.3% $41.63	$290.04 +220.5%	$111.64 +23.4%	33.3%	+101.8%	$90.50	—
The Dead Hand Collection ×5+The Gamma 2 Collection ×5 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST	Crane Flight 16.7% $126.41 Fuel Injector 16.7% $41.92 Airlock 16.7% $23.50 Kintsugi 16.7% $22.90 Deathgaze 16.7% $20.61 Syd Mead 16.7% $17.12	$126.41 +254.8%	$42.08 +18.1%	33.3%	+108.1%	$35.63	—
The Dead Hand Collection ×4+The Gamma 2 Collection ×6 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST	Crane Flight 13.3% $126.41 Fuel Injector 20.0% $41.92 Airlock 20.0% $23.50 Kintsugi 13.3% $22.90 Deathgaze 13.3% $20.61 Syd Mead 20.0% $17.12	$126.41 +273.8%	$39.17 +15.8%	33.3%	+104.3%	$33.82	—
The Dead Hand Collection ×3+The Gamma 2 Collection ×7 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST	Crane Flight 10.0% $126.41 Fuel Injector 23.3% $41.92 Airlock 23.3% $23.50 Kintsugi 10.0% $22.45 Deathgaze 10.0% $21.31 Syd Mead 23.3% $17.12	$126.41 +295.3%	$36.28 +13.4%	33.3%	+98.1%	$31.98	—
The Dead Hand Collection ×2+The Gamma 2 Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST	Crane Flight 6.7% $126.41 Fuel Injector 26.7% $41.92 Airlock 26.7% $23.50 Kintsugi 6.7% $22.90 Deathgaze 6.7% $20.61 Syd Mead 26.7% $17.12	$126.41 +310.4%	$33.34 +8.2%	33.3%	+86.6%	$30.80	—

Same combination, different rarity

Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.

Contract	Outputs	Max Win	EV (ROI)	Win %	Volatility	Cost	Age
The Dead Hand Collection ×7+The Gamma 2 Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST	Electrum 14.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 14.0% $31.66 Weasel 6.0% $23.57 Amberline 14.0% $18.87 Powercore 6.0% $15.63 Galigator 14.0% $14.51	$51.27 +197.8%	$22.26 +29.3%	48.0%	+69.4%	$17.22	—