The Dead Hand Collection ×8+The Gamma 2 Collection ×2
Restricted → Classified MW ST 10 items
Contract
Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear StatTrak™
Inputs
Amberline
1x $3.27
Urban Sovereign
7x $3.64
Petroglyph
1x $2.22
Triarch
1x $3.12
↓
Possible Outputs
Crane Flight
26.7% $126.41
Fuel Injector
6.7% $41.92
Airlock
6.7% $23.50
Kintsugi
26.7% $22.90
Deathgaze
26.7% $20.61
Syd Mead
6.7% $17.12
Max Win
$126.41 (+203.6%)
EV (ROI %)
$50.82 (+22.0%)
Win %
33.3%
Volatility
+110.2%
Cost
$41.64
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $41.64
Ask Price EV $50.82 (+22.0%)
Bid Price EV $45.14 (+8.4%)
Ask Profit $9.18 (+22.0%)
Bid Profit $3.50 (+8.4%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $5.67 (+13.6%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$9.18
Bid Slippage Buffer +$3.50
Risk
Win Probability 33.3%
Loss Probability 66.7%
Best Case $126.41 (+203.6%)
Worst Case $17.12 (-58.9%)
Volatility +110.2%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 66.7%
Avg Win +$67.87
Avg Loss -$20.17
Bottom 5% Outcome $17.12 (-58.9%)
Std Dev $45.89
Avg Norm Float 0.1497
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 18m
Oldest Output Price 154h 58m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
MP7 | Amberline
—
Field-Tested
$3.27 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Field-Tested
$3.64 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear
$4.65 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear
$4.72 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear
$4.85 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear
$4.98 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear
$5.02 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear
$5.17 Float: HIDDEN
MAG-7 | Petroglyph
—
Minimal Wear
$2.22 Float: HIDDEN
SG 553 | Triarch
—
Minimal Wear
$3.12 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 36M 44S //TOTAL COST $41.64 //ASK PRICE EV $50.82 //BID PRICE EV $45.14 //ASK PROFIT $9.18 (+22.0%) //BID PROFIT $3.50 (+8.4%) //WIN PROBABILITY 33.3% //BEST CASE $126.41 //VOLATILITY +110.2% //
Possible Outputs · 6
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
26.7%
$126.41
+$84.77
+203.6%
$112.39
+$70.75
+169.9%
$14.02
11.1%
—
PAPER WIN THIN BID EDGE FLOAT
6.7%
$41.92
+$0.28
+0.7%
$31.25
-$10.39
-25.0%
$10.67
25.5%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
6.7%
$23.50
-$18.14
-43.6%
$20.25
-$21.39
-51.4%
$3.25
13.8%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
26.7%
$22.90
-$18.74
-45.0%
$20.78
-$20.86
-50.1%
$2.12
9.3%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
26.7%
$20.61
-$21.03
-50.5%
$19.49
-$22.15
-53.2%
$1.12
5.4%
—
NUKE
6.7%
$17.12
-$24.52
-58.9%
$14.99
-$26.65
-64.0%
$2.13
12.5%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 8,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-gamma-2|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 2,
"collection_id": "collection-set-gamma-2"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.14968,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f64cdaac0b90",
"realistic_value": 126.41149999999999,
"optimistic_value": 124,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Crane Flight",
"conservative_value": 112.39,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:44.452841Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f64cdaac0b90.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.14968,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
"realistic_value": 22.903499999999998,
"optimistic_value": 22.9,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
"conservative_value": 20.78,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:01:29.751270Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.14968,
"output_skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
"realistic_value": 20.6095,
"optimistic_value": 20.55,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
"conservative_value": 19.49,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:39:14.768970Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06666666666666667,
"output_float": 0.11974400000000002,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ba00fd57f9ef",
"realistic_value": 17.1245,
"optimistic_value": 16.05,
"output_full_name": "AUG | Syd Mead",
"conservative_value": 14.99,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-gamma-2",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Gamma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AUG | Syd Mead (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:17:35.185458Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ba00fd57f9ef.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06666666666666667,
"output_float": 0.14968,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f07fb63926b7",
"realistic_value": 23.4965,
"optimistic_value": 23.01,
"output_full_name": "MP9 | Airlock",
"conservative_value": 20.25,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-gamma-2",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Gamma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Airlock (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:24:23.108942Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f07fb63926b7.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06666666666666667,
"output_float": 0.14968,
"output_skin_id": "skin-23a0601d3273",
"realistic_value": 41.922,
"optimistic_value": 40.83,
"output_full_name": "Tec-9 | Fuel Injector",
"conservative_value": 31.25,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-gamma-2",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Gamma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fuel Injector (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:31:35.889051Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-23a0601d3273.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_bdfb26fbf9fb1a2d76783cae",
"input_rarity": "Restricted",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 3.27,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "492724643508044325",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:04:21.126722Z"
},
{
"price": 3.64,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "502857637416656416",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:04:07.305052Z"
},
{
"price": 4.65,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "514116741798120126",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:04:13.401858Z"
},
{
"price": 4.72,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "518620341243921772",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:04:13.401858Z"
},
{
"price": 4.85,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "502857742727188396",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:04:13.401858Z"
},
{
"price": 4.98,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "527627540538119900",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:04:13.401858Z"
},
{
"price": 5.02,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "528753387757645605",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:04:13.401858Z"
},
{
"price": 5.17,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "512990789044601843",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:04:13.401858Z"
},
{
"price": 2.22,
"skin_id": "skin-18a6943d8cc2",
"listing_id": "652601015918651988",
"collection_id": "collection-set-gamma-2",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Petroglyph (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Petroglyph",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-18a6943d8cc2.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:10:24.933797Z"
},
{
"price": 3.12,
"skin_id": "skin-1dad3beb1452",
"listing_id": "526500790835589485",
"collection_id": "collection-set-gamma-2",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SG 553 | Triarch (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SG 553 | Triarch",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1dad3beb1452.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:04:13.624272Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Classified",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Restricted|Classified|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-37:8+collection-set-gamma-2:2"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Dead Hand Collection ×8+The Gamma 2 Collection ×2 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 26.7% $290.04 Fuel Injector 6.7% $122.75 Kintsugi 26.7% $60.46 Airlock 6.7% $59.18 Deathgaze 26.7% $58.67 Syd Mead 6.7% $41.63 | $290.04 +205.4% | $124.02 +30.6% | 33.3% | +106.9% | $94.97 | — |
The Dead Hand Collection ×8+The Gamma 2 Collection ×2 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Crane Flight 26.7% $63.86 Fuel Injector 6.7% $21.48 Syd Mead 6.7% $14.63 Airlock 6.7% $13.36 Kintsugi 26.7% $12.65 Deathgaze 26.7% $11.20 | $63.86 +168.8% | $26.69 +12.3% | 26.7% | +94.9% | $23.76 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Dead Hand Collection ×9+The Gamma 2 Collection ×1 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 30.0% $290.04 Fuel Injector 3.3% $122.75 Kintsugi 30.0% $60.46 Airlock 3.3% $59.18 Deathgaze 30.0% $58.67 Syd Mead 3.3% $41.63 | $290.04 +195.6% | $130.20 +32.7% | 33.3% | +107.3% | $98.11 | — |
The Dead Hand Collection ×7+The Gamma 2 Collection ×3 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 23.3% $290.04 Fuel Injector 10.0% $122.75 Kintsugi 23.3% $60.46 Airlock 10.0% $59.18 Deathgaze 23.3% $58.67 Syd Mead 10.0% $41.63 | $290.04 +213.8% | $117.83 +27.5% | 33.3% | +105.1% | $92.44 | — |
The Dead Hand Collection ×6+The Gamma 2 Collection ×4 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 20.0% $290.04 Fuel Injector 13.3% $122.75 Kintsugi 20.0% $60.46 Airlock 13.3% $59.18 Deathgaze 20.0% $58.67 Syd Mead 13.3% $41.63 | $290.04 +220.5% | $111.64 +23.4% | 33.3% | +101.8% | $90.50 | — |
The Dead Hand Collection ×5+The Gamma 2 Collection ×5 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Crane Flight 16.7% $126.41 Fuel Injector 16.7% $41.92 Airlock 16.7% $23.50 Kintsugi 16.7% $22.90 Deathgaze 16.7% $20.61 Syd Mead 16.7% $17.12 | $126.41 +254.8% | $42.08 +18.1% | 33.3% | +108.1% | $35.63 | — |
The Dead Hand Collection ×4+The Gamma 2 Collection ×6 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Crane Flight 13.3% $126.41 Fuel Injector 20.0% $41.92 Airlock 20.0% $23.50 Kintsugi 13.3% $22.90 Deathgaze 13.3% $20.61 Syd Mead 20.0% $17.12 | $126.41 +273.8% | $39.17 +15.8% | 33.3% | +104.3% | $33.82 | — |
The Dead Hand Collection ×3+The Gamma 2 Collection ×7 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Crane Flight 10.0% $126.41 Fuel Injector 23.3% $41.92 Airlock 23.3% $23.50 Kintsugi 10.0% $22.45 Deathgaze 10.0% $21.31 Syd Mead 23.3% $17.12 | $126.41 +295.3% | $36.28 +13.4% | 33.3% | +98.1% | $31.98 | — |
The Dead Hand Collection ×2+The Gamma 2 Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Crane Flight 6.7% $126.41 Fuel Injector 26.7% $41.92 Airlock 26.7% $23.50 Kintsugi 6.7% $22.90 Deathgaze 6.7% $20.61 Syd Mead 26.7% $17.12 | $126.41 +310.4% | $33.34 +8.2% | 33.3% | +86.6% | $30.80 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Dead Hand Collection ×7+The Gamma 2 Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum  14.0% $51.27 Firebreathing  14.0% $31.66 Weasel  6.0% $23.57 Amberline 14.0% $18.87 Powercore  6.0% $15.63 Galigator  14.0% $14.51 | $51.27 +197.8% | $22.26 +29.3% | 48.0% | +69.4% | $17.22 | — |