The Dead Hand Collection ×8+The Gamma 2 Collection ×2
Restricted → Classified FN ST 10 items
Contract
Restricted → Classified Factory New StatTrak™
Inputs
Urban Sovereign
6x $5.17
Amberline
1x $6.11
Galigator
1x $7.79
Triarch
1x $3.12
Petroglyph
1x $4.14
↓
Possible Outputs
Crane Flight
26.7% $290.04
Fuel Injector
6.7% $122.75
Kintsugi
26.7% $60.46
Airlock
6.7% $59.18
Deathgaze
26.7% $58.67
Syd Mead
6.7% $41.63
Max Win
$290.04 (+205.4%)
EV (ROI %)
$124.02 (+30.6%)
Win %
33.3%
Volatility
+106.9%
Cost
$94.97
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $94.97
Ask Price EV $124.02 (+30.6%)
Bid Price EV $100.14 (+5.4%)
Ask Profit $29.05 (+30.6%)
Bid Profit $5.17 (+5.4%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $23.88 (+25.1%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$29.05
Bid Slippage Buffer +$5.17
Risk
Win Probability 33.3%
Loss Probability 66.7%
Best Case $290.04 (+205.4%)
Worst Case $41.63 (-56.2%)
Volatility +106.9%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 66.7%
Avg Win +$161.62
Avg Loss -$37.24
Bottom 5% Outcome $41.63 (-56.2%)
Std Dev $101.49
Avg Norm Float 0.0699
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 12m
Oldest Output Price 153h 52m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear
$5.17 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Minimal Wear
$6.11 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear
$6.76 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Galigator
—
Minimal Wear
$7.79 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Factory New
$13.42 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Factory New
$15.30 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Factory New
$15.50 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Factory New
$17.66 Float: HIDDEN
SG 553 | Triarch
—
Minimal Wear
$3.12 Float: HIDDEN
MAG-7 | Petroglyph
—
Factory New
$4.14 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 31M 41S //TOTAL COST $94.97 //ASK PRICE EV $124.02 //BID PRICE EV $100.14 //ASK PROFIT $29.05 (+30.6%) //BID PROFIT $5.17 (+5.4%) //WIN PROBABILITY 33.3% //BEST CASE $290.04 //VOLATILITY +106.9% //
Possible Outputs · 6
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
26.7%
$290.04
+$195.07
+205.4%
$229.11
+$134.14
+141.2%
$60.93
21.0%
—
PAPER WIN THIN BID EDGE FLOAT
6.7%
$122.75
+$27.78
+29.2%
$90.65
-$4.32
-4.5%
$32.10
26.1%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
26.7%
$60.46
-$34.51
-36.3%
$53.43
-$41.54
-43.7%
$7.03
11.6%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
6.7%
$59.18
-$35.79
-37.7%
$52.18
-$42.79
-45.1%
$7.00
11.8%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
26.7%
$58.67
-$36.30
-38.2%
$48.84
-$46.13
-48.6%
$9.83
16.8%
—
NUKE
6.7%
$41.63
-$53.34
-56.2%
$33.72
-$61.25
-64.5%
$7.91
19.0%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 8,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-gamma-2|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 2,
"collection_id": "collection-set-gamma-2"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.06992,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f64cdaac0b90",
"realistic_value": 290.0445,
"optimistic_value": 279.45,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Crane Flight",
"conservative_value": 229.11,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:40.031809Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f64cdaac0b90.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.06992,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
"realistic_value": 60.455999999999996,
"optimistic_value": 60.05,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
"conservative_value": 53.43,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:10:34.557840Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.06992,
"output_skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
"realistic_value": 58.669,
"optimistic_value": 56.03,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
"conservative_value": 48.84,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:17:28.300626Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06666666666666667,
"output_float": 0.055936,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ba00fd57f9ef",
"realistic_value": 41.6315,
"optimistic_value": 40.48,
"output_full_name": "AUG | Syd Mead",
"conservative_value": 33.72,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-gamma-2",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Gamma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AUG | Syd Mead (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:13:51.218861Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ba00fd57f9ef.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06666666666666667,
"output_float": 0.06992,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f07fb63926b7",
"realistic_value": 59.18,
"optimistic_value": 58.2,
"output_full_name": "MP9 | Airlock",
"conservative_value": 52.18,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-gamma-2",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Gamma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Airlock (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:04:48.173058Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f07fb63926b7.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06666666666666667,
"output_float": 0.06992,
"output_skin_id": "skin-23a0601d3273",
"realistic_value": 122.7485,
"optimistic_value": 108.99,
"output_full_name": "Tec-9 | Fuel Injector",
"conservative_value": 90.65,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-gamma-2",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Gamma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fuel Injector (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:30:43.349122Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-23a0601d3273.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_bdfb26fbf9fb1a2d76783cae",
"input_rarity": "Restricted",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 5.17,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "512990789044601843",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:13:44.278142Z"
},
{
"price": 6.11,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "507361342334664385",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:21:02.918903Z"
},
{
"price": 6.76,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "501731842661825609",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:13:44.278142Z"
},
{
"price": 7.79,
"skin_id": "skin-8571b4f29f98",
"listing_id": "496102237883502647",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Galil AR | Galigator",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8571b4f29f98.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:11:08.240271Z"
},
{
"price": 13.42,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "494976443342864562",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:10:37.968447Z"
},
{
"price": 15.3,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "518619491430346084",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:10:37.968447Z"
},
{
"price": 15.5,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "496101493270757831",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:10:37.968447Z"
},
{
"price": 17.66,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "506234592361187964",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:10:37.968447Z"
},
{
"price": 3.12,
"skin_id": "skin-1dad3beb1452",
"listing_id": "526500790835589485",
"collection_id": "collection-set-gamma-2",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SG 553 | Triarch (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SG 553 | Triarch",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1dad3beb1452.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:13:51.377015Z"
},
{
"price": 4.14,
"skin_id": "skin-18a6943d8cc2",
"listing_id": "526501640650961141",
"collection_id": "collection-set-gamma-2",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Petroglyph (Factory New)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Petroglyph",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-18a6943d8cc2.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:20:38.270585Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Classified",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Restricted|Classified|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-37:8+collection-set-gamma-2:2"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Dead Hand Collection ×8+The Gamma 2 Collection ×2 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Crane Flight 26.7% $126.41 Fuel Injector 6.7% $41.92 Airlock 6.7% $23.50 Kintsugi 26.7% $22.72 Deathgaze 26.7% $21.31 Syd Mead 6.7% $17.12 | $126.41 +205.3% | $50.95 +23.1% | 33.3% | +110.6% | $41.40 | — |
The Dead Hand Collection ×8+The Gamma 2 Collection ×2 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Crane Flight 26.7% $63.86 Fuel Injector 6.7% $21.48 Syd Mead 6.7% $14.63 Airlock 6.7% $13.31 Kintsugi 26.7% $12.65 Deathgaze 26.7% $11.20 | $63.86 +185.2% | $26.68 +19.2% | 26.7% | +100.7% | $22.39 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Dead Hand Collection ×9+The Gamma 2 Collection ×1 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 30.0% $290.04 Fuel Injector 3.3% $122.75 Kintsugi 30.0% $60.46 Airlock 3.3% $59.18 Deathgaze 30.0% $58.59 Syd Mead 3.3% $41.63 | $290.04 +195.6% | $130.18 +32.7% | 33.3% | +107.4% | $98.11 | — |
The Dead Hand Collection ×7+The Gamma 2 Collection ×3 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 23.3% $290.04 Fuel Injector 10.0% $122.75 Kintsugi 23.3% $60.46 Airlock 10.0% $59.18 Deathgaze 23.3% $58.59 Syd Mead 10.0% $41.63 | $290.04 +212.5% | $117.81 +26.9% | 33.3% | +104.6% | $92.82 | — |
The Dead Hand Collection ×6+The Gamma 2 Collection ×4 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 20.0% $290.04 Fuel Injector 13.3% $122.75 Kintsugi 20.0% $60.46 Airlock 13.3% $59.18 Deathgaze 20.0% $58.59 Syd Mead 13.3% $41.63 | $290.04 +220.5% | $111.63 +23.3% | 33.3% | +101.8% | $90.50 | — |
The Dead Hand Collection ×5+The Gamma 2 Collection ×5 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Crane Flight 16.7% $126.41 Fuel Injector 16.7% $41.92 Airlock 16.7% $23.50 Kintsugi 16.7% $22.45 Deathgaze 16.7% $21.31 Syd Mead 16.7% $17.12 | $126.41 +261.0% | $42.12 +20.3% | 33.3% | +110.0% | $35.02 | — |
The Dead Hand Collection ×4+The Gamma 2 Collection ×6 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Crane Flight 13.3% $126.41 Fuel Injector 20.0% $41.92 Airlock 20.0% $23.50 Kintsugi 13.3% $22.72 Deathgaze 13.3% $21.31 Syd Mead 20.0% $17.12 | $126.41 +280.2% | $39.23 +18.0% | 33.3% | +106.0% | $33.25 | — |
The Dead Hand Collection ×3+The Gamma 2 Collection ×7 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Crane Flight 10.0% $126.41 Fuel Injector 23.3% $41.92 Airlock 23.3% $23.50 Kintsugi 10.0% $22.72 Deathgaze 10.0% $21.28 Syd Mead 23.3% $17.12 | $126.41 +296.4% | $36.30 +13.8% | 33.3% | +98.4% | $31.89 | — |
The Dead Hand Collection ×2+The Gamma 2 Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Crane Flight 6.7% $126.41 Fuel Injector 26.7% $41.92 Airlock 26.7% $23.50 Kintsugi 6.7% $22.72 Deathgaze 6.7% $21.31 Syd Mead 26.7% $17.12 | $126.41 +320.0% | $33.37 +10.9% | 33.3% | +88.5% | $30.10 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Dead Hand Collection ×8+The Gamma 2 Collection ×2 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum  16.0% $51.27 Firebreathing  16.0% $31.66 Weasel  4.0% $23.57 Amberline 16.0% $18.87 Powercore  4.0% $15.63 Galigator 16.0% $14.51 | $51.27 +183.3% | $23.50 +29.8% | 52.0% | +68.3% | $18.10 | — |
The Dead Hand Collection ×6+The Gamma 2 Collection ×4 Classified → Covert Field-Tested ST | Roll Cage  20.0% $163.94 Neon Revolution  20.0% $151.09 Queen's Gambit  30.0% $141.08 Fully Tuned  30.0% $105.54 | $163.94 +48.9% | $136.99 +24.4% | 70.0% | +20.0% | $110.09 | — |