The Clutch Collection ×5+The Ascent Collection ×5
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FT 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested
Inputs
Urban Hazard
1x $0.29
Black Sand
1x $0.30
Flame Test
1x $0.32
Oxide Blaze
1x $0.34
Grip
1x $0.39
Mint Fan
2x $0.39
↓
Possible Outputs
Midnight Laminate
25.0% $18.08
Royal Guard
25.0% $5.73
Moonrise
10.0% $2.25
Lionfish
10.0% $1.29
SWAG-7
10.0% $0.80
Arctic Wolf
10.0% $0.72
Max Win
$18.08 (+256.5%)
EV (ROI %)
$6.53 (+28.7%)
Win %
50.0%
Volatility
+136.8%
Cost
$5.07
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $5.07
Ask Price EV $6.53 (+28.7%)
Bid Price EV $5.59 (+10.3%)
Ask Profit $1.46 (+28.7%)
Bid Profit $0.52 (+10.3%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.93 (+18.4%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$1.46
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.52
Risk
Win Probability 50.0%
Loss Probability 50.0%
Best Case $18.08 (+256.5%)
Worst Case $0.71 (-85.9%)
Volatility +136.8%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 50.0%
Avg Win +$6.83
Avg Loss -$3.92
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.71 (-85.9%)
Std Dev $6.94
Avg Norm Float 0.1994
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 22m
Oldest Output Price 142h 36m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Premium Signal · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
P2000 | Urban Hazard
—
Minimal Wear
$0.29 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Black Sand
—
Minimal Wear
$0.30 Float: HIDDEN
Five-SeveN | Flame Test
—
Minimal Wear
$0.32 Float: HIDDEN
XM1014 | Oxide Blaze
—
Minimal Wear
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
R8 Revolver | Grip
—
Minimal Wear
$0.39 Float: HIDDEN
Desert Eagle | Mint Fan
—
Field-Tested
$0.39 Float: HIDDEN
Desert Eagle | Mint Fan
—
Field-Tested
$0.41 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Cobalt Paisley
—
Field-Tested
$0.42 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Reef Grief
—
Minimal Wear
$1.05 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Royal Baroque
—
Minimal Wear
$1.16 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 15M 45S //TOTAL COST $5.07 //ASK PRICE EV $6.53 //BID PRICE EV $5.59 //ASK PROFIT $1.46 (+28.7%) //BID PROFIT $0.52 (+10.3%) //WIN PROBABILITY 50.0% //BEST CASE $18.08 //VOLATILITY +136.8% //
Possible Outputs · 7
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
25.0%
$18.08
+$13.01
+256.5%
$15.21
+$10.14
+200.0%
$2.87
15.9%
—
SMALL WIN
25.0%
$5.73
+$0.66
+13.0%
$5.11
+$0.04
+0.8%
$0.62
10.8%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$2.25
-$2.82
-55.7%
$2.09
-$2.98
-58.8%
$0.16
7.0%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$1.29
-$3.78
-74.6%
$1.04
-$4.03
-79.5%
$0.25
19.2%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$0.80
-$4.27
-84.3%
$0.72
-$4.35
-85.8%
$0.08
9.7%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$0.72
-$4.35
-85.9%
$0.64
-$4.43
-87.4%
$0.08
10.7%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$0.71
-$4.36
-85.9%
$0.64
-$4.43
-87.4%
$0.07
10.3%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-19|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.25,
"output_float": 0.14954250000000002,
"output_skin_id": "skin-dba8faaa2d7e",
"realistic_value": 18.0765,
"optimistic_value": 17.94,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Midnight Laminate",
"conservative_value": 15.21,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AK-47 | Midnight Laminate (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:04:20.243302Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-dba8faaa2d7e.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.25,
"output_float": 0.119634,
"output_skin_id": "skin-b88bf24d8569",
"realistic_value": 5.7275,
"optimistic_value": 5.64,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Royal Guard",
"conservative_value": 5.11,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Royal Guard (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:10:14.842875Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-b88bf24d8569.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.1296035,
"output_skin_id": "skin-52971a3886a2",
"realistic_value": 2.247,
"optimistic_value": 2.24,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Moonrise",
"conservative_value": 2.09,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Moonrise (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:43:45.069175Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-52971a3886a2.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.1834388,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f0063cb51e43",
"realistic_value": 0.7975,
"optimistic_value": 0.78,
"output_full_name": "MAG-7 | SWAG-7",
"conservative_value": 0.72,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | SWAG-7 (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:13:37.682897Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f0063cb51e43.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.10966450000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-58651a482529",
"realistic_value": 1.287,
"optimistic_value": 1.28,
"output_full_name": "Negev | Lionfish",
"conservative_value": 1.04,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Negev | Lionfish (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T10:40:25.221598Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-58651a482529.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.15951200000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-85bee1ae1898",
"realistic_value": 0.7134999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 0.71,
"output_full_name": "Nova | Wild Six",
"conservative_value": 0.64,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Wild Six (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:16:59.174336Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-85bee1ae1898.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.15951200000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a4ca18460f2c",
"realistic_value": 0.717,
"optimistic_value": 0.71,
"output_full_name": "UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf",
"conservative_value": 0.64,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:58:57.228060Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a4ca18460f2c.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_bc152df1605551665069da05",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.29,
"skin_id": "skin-87386812a8f9",
"listing_id": "509613036859202871",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Urban Hazard (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P2000 | Urban Hazard",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-87386812a8f9.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:58:39.537832Z"
},
{
"price": 0.3,
"skin_id": "skin-cbffebebb7f3",
"listing_id": "502857689862544408",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Black Sand (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Black Sand",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-cbffebebb7f3.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:16:28.524680Z"
},
{
"price": 0.32,
"skin_id": "skin-42a677e4f00a",
"listing_id": "496102290328233347",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "Five-SeveN | Flame Test (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Five-SeveN | Flame Test",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-42a677e4f00a.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:19:11.595817Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-ae8080ca847c",
"listing_id": "494975593208146122",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "XM1014 | Oxide Blaze",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ae8080ca847c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:03:35.671103Z"
},
{
"price": 0.39,
"skin_id": "skin-a70d55eb979d",
"listing_id": "498354037510657507",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Grip (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Grip",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a70d55eb979d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:11:06.518314Z"
},
{
"price": 0.39,
"skin_id": "skin-96bbc2859318",
"listing_id": "510738989040763342",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | Mint Fan (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Desert Eagle | Mint Fan",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-96bbc2859318.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:19:46.600415Z"
},
{
"price": 0.41,
"skin_id": "skin-96bbc2859318",
"listing_id": "503983589619410563",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | Mint Fan (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Desert Eagle | Mint Fan",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-96bbc2859318.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:19:46.600415Z"
},
{
"price": 0.42,
"skin_id": "skin-e400418cedad",
"listing_id": "503983589619355411",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Cobalt Paisley (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP9 | Cobalt Paisley",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e400418cedad.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:56:53.970833Z"
},
{
"price": 1.05,
"skin_id": "skin-d58c4622251a",
"listing_id": "519746188258766096",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Reef Grief (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P90 | Reef Grief",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d58c4622251a.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:11:25.893899Z"
},
{
"price": 1.16,
"skin_id": "skin-e010a1443ce8",
"listing_id": "505109489448936848",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Royal Baroque (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P2000 | Royal Baroque",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e010a1443ce8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:11:28.331703Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|normal|10|collection-set-community-19:5+collection-set-timed-drops-cool:5"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Clutch Collection ×5+The Ascent Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear | Midnight Laminate 25.0% $38.92 Royal Guard 25.0% $13.46 Moonrise 10.0% $5.40 Lionfish 10.0% $3.74 SWAG-7 10.0% $1.74 Arctic Wolf 10.0% $1.50 | $38.92 +182.9% | $14.48 +5.3% | 25.0% | +103.4% | $13.76 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Clutch Collection ×6+The Ascent Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Midnight Laminate 20.0% $18.08 Royal Guard 20.0% $5.73 Moonrise 12.0% $2.25 Lionfish 12.0% $1.29 SWAG-7 12.0% $0.80 Arctic Wolf 12.0% $0.72 | $18.08 +345.2% | $5.45 +34.3% | 40.0% | +156.7% | $4.06 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×7+The Ascent Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Midnight Laminate 15.0% $18.08 Royal Guard 15.0% $5.73 Moonrise 14.0% $2.25 Lionfish 14.0% $1.29 SWAG-7 14.0% $0.80 Arctic Wolf 14.0% $0.72 | $18.08 +434.8% | $4.38 +29.5% | 30.0% | +172.7% | $3.38 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×4+The Ascent Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Midnight Laminate 30.0% $18.08 Royal Guard 30.0% $5.73 Moonrise 8.0% $2.25 Lionfish 8.0% $1.29 SWAG-7 8.0% $0.80 Arctic Wolf 8.0% $0.72 | $18.08 +200.8% | $7.60 +26.5% | 30.0% | +114.0% | $6.01 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×3+The Ascent Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Midnight Laminate 35.0% $18.08 Royal Guard 35.0% $5.73 Moonrise 6.0% $2.25 Lionfish 6.0% $1.29 SWAG-7 6.0% $0.80 Wild Six 6.0% $0.71 | $18.08 +157.5% | $8.68 +23.6% | 35.0% | +97.9% | $7.02 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×1+The Ascent Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear | Midnight Laminate 45.0% $38.92 Royal Guard 45.0% $13.46 Moonrise 2.0% $5.40 Lionfish 2.0% $3.74 SWAG-7 2.0% $1.74 Arctic Wolf 2.0% $1.50 | $38.92 +97.8% | $23.85 +21.2% | 45.0% | +69.2% | $19.68 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×2+The Ascent Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Midnight Laminate 40.0% $18.08 Royal Guard 40.0% $5.73 Moonrise 4.0% $2.25 Lionfish 4.0% $1.29 SWAG-7 4.0% $0.80 Wild Six 4.0% $0.71 | $18.08 +122.6% | $9.75 +20.1% | 40.0% | +83.3% | $8.12 | — |