The Prisma 2 Collection ×8+The Dead Hand Collection ×2
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted MW ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear StatTrak™
Inputs
Distressed
8x $0.26
Fusion
2x $0.43
↓
Possible Outputs
Electrum
4.0% $16.94
Firebreathing
4.0% $10.78
Fever Dream
16.0% $8.04
Amberline
4.0% $6.25
Galigator
4.0% $5.67
Acid Etched
16.0% $5.54
Max Win
$16.94 (+259.6%)
EV (ROI %)
$5.78 (+22.8%)
Win %
52.0%
Volatility
+63.0%
Cost
$4.71
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $4.71
Ask Price EV $5.78 (+22.8%)
Bid Price EV $4.89 (+3.9%)
Ask Profit $1.07 (+22.8%)
Bid Profit $0.18 (+3.9%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.89 (+18.9%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$1.07
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.18
Risk
Win Probability 52.0%
Loss Probability 48.0%
Best Case $16.94 (+259.6%)
Worst Case $3.26 (-30.7%)
Volatility +63.0%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 16.0%
Avg Win +$2.90
Avg Loss -$0.91
Bottom 5% Outcome $3.26 (-30.7%)
Std Dev $2.97
Avg Norm Float 0.1499
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 21m
Oldest Output Price 149h 5m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
CZ75-Auto | Distressed
—
Field-Tested
$0.26 Float: HIDDEN
CZ75-Auto | Distressed
—
Field-Tested
$0.28 Float: HIDDEN
CZ75-Auto | Distressed
—
Field-Tested
$0.32 Float: HIDDEN
CZ75-Auto | Distressed
—
Minimal Wear
$0.49 Float: HIDDEN
CZ75-Auto | Distressed
—
Minimal Wear
$0.51 Float: HIDDEN
CZ75-Auto | Distressed
—
Minimal Wear
$0.52 Float: HIDDEN
CZ75-Auto | Distressed
—
Minimal Wear
$0.55 Float: HIDDEN
CZ75-Auto | Distressed
—
Minimal Wear
$0.63 Float: HIDDEN
Sawed-Off | Fusion
—
Field-Tested
$0.43 Float: HIDDEN
Sawed-Off | Fusion
—
Minimal Wear
$0.72 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 36M 26S //TOTAL COST $4.71 //ASK PRICE EV $5.78 //BID PRICE EV $4.89 //ASK PROFIT $1.07 (+22.8%) //BID PROFIT $0.18 (+3.9%) //WIN PROBABILITY 52.0% //BEST CASE $16.94 //VOLATILITY +63.0% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
4.0%
$16.94
+$12.23
+259.6%
$14.31
+$9.60
+203.8%
$2.63
15.5%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
4.0%
$10.78
+$6.07
+128.8%
$9.15
+$4.44
+94.3%
$1.63
15.1%
—
BIG WIN
16.0%
$8.04
+$3.33
+70.6%
$7.38
+$2.67
+56.7%
$0.66
8.2%
—
WIN EDGE FLOAT
4.0%
$6.25
+$1.54
+32.6%
$4.92
+$0.21
+4.5%
$1.33
21.2%
—
WIN EDGE FLOAT
4.0%
$5.67
+$0.96
+20.3%
$4.89
+$0.18
+3.8%
$0.78
13.7%
—
PAPER WIN EDGE FLOAT
16.0%
$5.54
+$0.83
+17.6%
$4.68
-$0.03
-0.6%
$0.86
15.5%
—
PAPER WIN EDGE FLOAT
4.0%
$5.01
+$0.30
+6.3%
$4.23
-$0.48
-10.2%
$0.78
15.5%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
16.0%
$4.36
-$0.35
-7.5%
$3.34
-$1.37
-29.1%
$1.02
23.3%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
16.0%
$3.78
-$0.93
-19.7%
$3.19
-$1.52
-32.3%
$0.59
15.7%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
16.0%
$3.26
-$1.45
-30.7%
$2.62
-$2.09
-44.4%
$0.64
19.7%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-25|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 8,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 2,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.14995,
"output_skin_id": "skin-dd7837484577",
"realistic_value": 5.541,
"optimistic_value": 5.45,
"output_full_name": "P2000 | Acid Etched",
"conservative_value": 4.68,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P2000 | Acid Etched (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T20:21:10.414344Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-dd7837484577.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.14995,
"output_skin_id": "skin-803029f01b68",
"realistic_value": 3.2635,
"optimistic_value": 3.26,
"output_full_name": "SCAR-20 | Enforcer",
"conservative_value": 2.62,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Enforcer (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:25:41.770353Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-803029f01b68.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.14995,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d00c49e52bd9",
"realistic_value": 3.784,
"optimistic_value": 3.77,
"output_full_name": "SG 553 | Darkwing",
"conservative_value": 3.19,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SG 553 | Darkwing (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:32:26.949833Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d00c49e52bd9.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.10796399999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e5f08d307bdd",
"realistic_value": 8.0375,
"optimistic_value": 7.53,
"output_full_name": "SSG 08 | Fever Dream",
"conservative_value": 7.38,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Fever Dream (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:32:39.583432Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e5f08d307bdd.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.14995,
"output_skin_id": "skin-db4ae843fbd7",
"realistic_value": 4.357,
"optimistic_value": 3.79,
"output_full_name": "Sawed-Off | Apocalypto",
"conservative_value": 3.34,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T19:14:02.736841Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-db4ae843fbd7.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.14995,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2bcac1c42296",
"realistic_value": 10.7765,
"optimistic_value": 10.71,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Firebreathing",
"conservative_value": 9.15,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Firebreathing (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:39.430728Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2bcac1c42296.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.14995,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8571b4f29f98",
"realistic_value": 5.667,
"optimistic_value": 5.66,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Galigator",
"conservative_value": 4.89,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:28:53.224872Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8571b4f29f98.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.14995,
"output_skin_id": "skin-62ecfa87b86d",
"realistic_value": 16.936,
"optimistic_value": 16.88,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Electrum",
"conservative_value": 14.31,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Electrum (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:44.044782Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-62ecfa87b86d.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.14995,
"output_skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"realistic_value": 6.2465,
"optimistic_value": 6.18,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"conservative_value": 4.92,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:21:50.743814Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.14995,
"output_skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"realistic_value": 5.006,
"optimistic_value": 4.95,
"output_full_name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"conservative_value": 4.23,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:16:42.168401Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_b98852f015d4c380b9241422",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.26,
"skin_id": "skin-9a5ab653ba62",
"listing_id": "516368541588637910",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Field-Tested)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Distressed",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a5ab653ba62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:27:40.868544Z"
},
{
"price": 0.28,
"skin_id": "skin-9a5ab653ba62",
"listing_id": "493850438107893880",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Field-Tested)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Distressed",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a5ab653ba62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:27:40.868544Z"
},
{
"price": 0.32,
"skin_id": "skin-9a5ab653ba62",
"listing_id": "501730992868715561",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Field-Tested)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Distressed",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a5ab653ba62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:27:40.868544Z"
},
{
"price": 0.49,
"skin_id": "skin-9a5ab653ba62",
"listing_id": "514116741796982058",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Distressed",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a5ab653ba62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:27:41.966903Z"
},
{
"price": 0.51,
"skin_id": "skin-9a5ab653ba62",
"listing_id": "518620122757916680",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Distressed",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a5ab653ba62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:27:41.966903Z"
},
{
"price": 0.52,
"skin_id": "skin-9a5ab653ba62",
"listing_id": "490472625092404815",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Distressed",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a5ab653ba62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:27:41.966903Z"
},
{
"price": 0.55,
"skin_id": "skin-9a5ab653ba62",
"listing_id": "507360492284530429",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Distressed",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a5ab653ba62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:27:41.966903Z"
},
{
"price": 0.63,
"skin_id": "skin-9a5ab653ba62",
"listing_id": "510738192173824270",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Distressed",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a5ab653ba62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:27:41.966903Z"
},
{
"price": 0.43,
"skin_id": "skin-39ceb900b437",
"listing_id": "493850543431774300",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Fusion",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-39ceb900b437.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:30:01.955245Z"
},
{
"price": 0.72,
"skin_id": "skin-39ceb900b437",
"listing_id": "511864941881717925",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Fusion",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-39ceb900b437.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:17:02.647189Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-25:8+collection-set-community-37:2"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Prisma 2 Collection ×8+The Dead Hand Collection ×2 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 4.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 4.0% $31.66 Fever Dream 16.0% $18.94 Amberline 4.0% $18.87 Acid Etched 16.0% $17.96 Galigator 4.0% $14.51 | $51.27 +235.6% | $16.91 +10.7% | 44.0% | +49.5% | $15.28 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Prisma 2 Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 18.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 18.0% $31.66 Fever Dream 2.0% $18.94 Amberline 18.0% $18.87 Acid Etched 2.0% $17.96 Galigator 18.0% $14.51 | $51.27 +173.9% | $24.87 +32.8% | 56.0% | +67.8% | $18.72 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 16.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 16.0% $31.66 Fever Dream 4.0% $18.94 Amberline 16.0% $18.87 Acid Etched 4.0% $17.96 Galigator 16.0% $14.51 | $51.27 +186.0% | $23.73 +32.4% | 56.0% | +68.5% | $17.93 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 10.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 10.0% $31.66 Fever Dream 10.0% $18.94 Amberline 10.0% $18.87 Acid Etched 10.0% $17.96 Galigator 10.0% $14.51 | $51.27 +226.8% | $20.32 +29.5% | 50.0% | +67.7% | $15.69 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 12.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 12.0% $31.66 Fever Dream 8.0% $18.94 Amberline 12.0% $18.87 Acid Etched 8.0% $17.96 Galigator 12.0% $14.51 | $51.27 +205.6% | $21.46 +27.9% | 52.0% | +67.2% | $16.78 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 14.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 14.0% $31.66 Fever Dream 6.0% $18.94 Amberline 14.0% $18.87 Acid Etched 6.0% $17.96 Galigator 14.0% $14.51 | $51.27 +189.2% | $22.60 +27.4% | 54.0% | +66.7% | $17.73 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 8.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 8.0% $31.66 Fever Dream 12.0% $18.94 Amberline 8.0% $18.87 Acid Etched 12.0% $17.96 Galigator 8.0% $14.51 | $51.27 +236.7% | $19.19 +26.0% | 48.0% | +64.6% | $15.23 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Prisma 2 Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight  30.0% $290.04 Disco Tech  3.3% $95.25 Justice  3.3% $72.97 Kintsugi  30.0% $61.35 Deathgaze  30.0% $58.19 Phantom Disruptor  3.3% $57.67 | $290.04 +192.6% | $130.41 +31.6% | 30.0% | +105.7% | $99.12 | — |