The Prisma 2 Collection ×8+The Dead Hand Collection ×2
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FN ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New StatTrak™
Inputs
Distressed
4x $0.51
Tom Cat
3x $1.10
Bone Forged
1x $1.70
Fusion
1x $2.46
Bock Blocks
1x $2.55
↓
Possible Outputs
Electrum
4.0% $51.27
Firebreathing
4.0% $31.66
Fever Dream
16.0% $18.94
Amberline
4.0% $18.87
Acid Etched
16.0% $17.96
Galigator
4.0% $14.51
Max Win
$51.27 (+226.8%)
EV (ROI %)
$16.92 (+7.8%)
Win %
44.0%
Volatility
+53.0%
Cost
$15.69
Age —
Financials
ASK-ONLY EDGETotal Cost $15.69
Ask Price EV $16.92 (+7.8%)
Bid Price EV $13.79 (-12.1%)
Ask Profit $1.23 (+7.8%)
Bid Profit $-1.90 (-12.1%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $3.13 (+19.9%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$1.23
Bid Slippage Buffer -$1.90
Risk
Win Probability 44.0%
Loss Probability 56.0%
Best Case $51.27 (+226.8%)
Worst Case $11.21 (-28.6%)
Volatility +53.0%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 32.0%
Avg Win +$6.98
Avg Loss -$3.29
Bottom 5% Outcome $11.21 (-28.6%)
Std Dev $8.32
Avg Norm Float 0.0695
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 18m
Oldest Output Price 150h 8m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
CZ75-Auto | Distressed
—
Minimal Wear
$0.51 Float: HIDDEN
CZ75-Auto | Distressed
—
Minimal Wear
$0.52 Float: HIDDEN
CZ75-Auto | Distressed
—
Minimal Wear
$0.55 Float: HIDDEN
CZ75-Auto | Distressed
—
Minimal Wear
$0.63 Float: HIDDEN
AUG | Tom Cat
—
Minimal Wear
$1.10 Float: HIDDEN
R8 Revolver | Bone Forged
—
Factory New
$1.70 Float: HIDDEN
AUG | Tom Cat
—
Factory New
$2.44 Float: HIDDEN
AUG | Tom Cat
—
Factory New
$3.23 Float: HIDDEN
Sawed-Off | Fusion
—
Factory New
$2.46 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Bock Blocks
—
Factory New
$2.55 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 26M 27S //TOTAL COST $15.69 //ASK PRICE EV $16.92 //BID PRICE EV $13.79 //ASK PROFIT $1.23 (+7.8%) //BID PROFIT $-1.90 (-12.1%) //WIN PROBABILITY 44.0% //BEST CASE $51.27 //VOLATILITY +53.0% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
4.0%
$51.27
+$35.58
+226.8%
$43.51
+$27.82
+177.3%
$7.76
15.1%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
4.0%
$31.66
+$15.97
+101.8%
$29.45
+$13.76
+87.7%
$2.21
7.0%
—
PAPER WIN
16.0%
$18.94
+$3.25
+20.7%
$15.04
-$0.65
-4.1%
$3.90
20.6%
—
PAPER WIN THIN BID EDGE FLOAT
4.0%
$18.87
+$3.18
+20.3%
$12.97
-$2.72
-17.3%
$5.90
31.3%
—
PAPER WIN EDGE FLOAT
16.0%
$17.96
+$2.27
+14.4%
$14.21
-$1.48
-9.4%
$3.75
20.9%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
4.0%
$14.51
-$1.18
-7.5%
$13.05
-$2.64
-16.8%
$1.46
10.1%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
4.0%
$13.85
-$1.84
-11.7%
$11.82
-$3.87
-24.7%
$2.03
14.6%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
16.0%
$13.75
-$1.94
-12.4%
$11.40
-$4.29
-27.3%
$2.35
17.1%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
16.0%
$11.36
-$4.33
-27.6%
$8.88
-$6.81
-43.4%
$2.48
21.8%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
16.0%
$11.21
-$4.48
-28.6%
$8.97
-$6.72
-42.8%
$2.24
20.0%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-25|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 8,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 2,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.06948,
"output_skin_id": "skin-dd7837484577",
"realistic_value": 17.957,
"optimistic_value": 17.04,
"output_full_name": "P2000 | Acid Etched",
"conservative_value": 14.21,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P2000 | Acid Etched (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:25:44.737410Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-dd7837484577.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.06948,
"output_skin_id": "skin-803029f01b68",
"realistic_value": 11.2055,
"optimistic_value": 11.09,
"output_full_name": "SCAR-20 | Enforcer",
"conservative_value": 8.97,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Enforcer (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:28:42.205832Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-803029f01b68.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.06948,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d00c49e52bd9",
"realistic_value": 13.746,
"optimistic_value": 13.34,
"output_full_name": "SG 553 | Darkwing",
"conservative_value": 11.4,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SG 553 | Darkwing (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T12:00:17.131456Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d00c49e52bd9.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.050025599999999996,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e5f08d307bdd",
"realistic_value": 18.937,
"optimistic_value": 18.44,
"output_full_name": "SSG 08 | Fever Dream",
"conservative_value": 15.04,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Fever Dream (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:30:39.589633Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e5f08d307bdd.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.06948,
"output_skin_id": "skin-db4ae843fbd7",
"realistic_value": 11.3575,
"optimistic_value": 10.5,
"output_full_name": "Sawed-Off | Apocalypto",
"conservative_value": 8.88,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:25:53.172383Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-db4ae843fbd7.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.06948,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2bcac1c42296",
"realistic_value": 31.657,
"optimistic_value": 31.02,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Firebreathing",
"conservative_value": 29.45,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Firebreathing (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:39.490012Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2bcac1c42296.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.06948,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8571b4f29f98",
"realistic_value": 14.512,
"optimistic_value": 14.33,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Galigator",
"conservative_value": 13.05,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:43.833807Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8571b4f29f98.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.06948,
"output_skin_id": "skin-62ecfa87b86d",
"realistic_value": 51.274,
"optimistic_value": 50.91,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Electrum",
"conservative_value": 43.51,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Electrum (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:44.200704Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-62ecfa87b86d.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.06948,
"output_skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"realistic_value": 18.869,
"optimistic_value": 17.56,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"conservative_value": 12.97,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:36:10.284461Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.06948,
"output_skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"realistic_value": 13.847,
"optimistic_value": 13.84,
"output_full_name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"conservative_value": 11.82,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:28:43.509356Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_b98852f015d4c380b9241422",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.51,
"skin_id": "skin-9a5ab653ba62",
"listing_id": "518620122757916680",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Distressed",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a5ab653ba62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:18:04.640665Z"
},
{
"price": 0.52,
"skin_id": "skin-9a5ab653ba62",
"listing_id": "490472625092404815",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Distressed",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a5ab653ba62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:18:04.640665Z"
},
{
"price": 0.55,
"skin_id": "skin-9a5ab653ba62",
"listing_id": "507360492284530429",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Distressed",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a5ab653ba62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:18:04.640665Z"
},
{
"price": 0.63,
"skin_id": "skin-9a5ab653ba62",
"listing_id": "510738192173824270",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Distressed",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a5ab653ba62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:18:04.640665Z"
},
{
"price": 1.1,
"skin_id": "skin-42cc631beb8c",
"listing_id": "648097416170940020",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AUG | Tom Cat (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "AUG | Tom Cat",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-42cc631beb8c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:15:18.311294Z"
},
{
"price": 1.7,
"skin_id": "skin-3c54e05cbb62",
"listing_id": "527627487624036392",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Bone Forged",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3c54e05cbb62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:31:02.420828Z"
},
{
"price": 2.44,
"skin_id": "skin-42cc631beb8c",
"listing_id": "510738192176872066",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AUG | Tom Cat (Factory New)",
"name": "AUG | Tom Cat",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-42cc631beb8c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:31:06.699910Z"
},
{
"price": 3.23,
"skin_id": "skin-42cc631beb8c",
"listing_id": "515241791644858189",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AUG | Tom Cat (Factory New)",
"name": "AUG | Tom Cat",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-42cc631beb8c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:31:06.699910Z"
},
{
"price": 2.46,
"skin_id": "skin-39ceb900b437",
"listing_id": "506235389470490196",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Factory New)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Fusion",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-39ceb900b437.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:17:56.588337Z"
},
{
"price": 2.55,
"skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
"listing_id": "509613089304746343",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Factory New)",
"name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:25:55.938461Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-25:8+collection-set-community-37:2"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Prisma 2 Collection ×8+The Dead Hand Collection ×2 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Electrum 4.0% $16.94 Firebreathing 4.0% $10.78 Fever Dream 16.0% $8.04 Amberline 4.0% $6.26 Galigator 4.0% $5.81 Acid Etched 16.0% $5.54 | $16.94 +260.3% | $5.79 +23.2% | 52.0% | +55.4% | $4.70 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Prisma 2 Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 18.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 18.0% $31.66 Fever Dream 2.0% $18.94 Amberline 18.0% $18.87 Acid Etched 2.0% $17.96 Galigator 18.0% $14.51 | $51.27 +169.2% | $24.89 +30.7% | 36.0% | +66.6% | $19.05 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 16.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 16.0% $31.66 Fever Dream 4.0% $18.94 Amberline 16.0% $18.87 Acid Etched 4.0% $17.96 Galigator 16.0% $14.51 | $51.27 +181.1% | $23.75 +30.2% | 52.0% | +67.4% | $18.24 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 14.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 14.0% $31.66 Fever Dream 6.0% $18.94 Amberline 14.0% $18.87 Acid Etched 6.0% $17.96 Galigator 14.0% $14.51 | $51.27 +190.8% | $22.61 +28.3% | 54.0% | +67.0% | $17.63 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 12.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 12.0% $31.66 Fever Dream 8.0% $18.94 Amberline 12.0% $18.87 Acid Etched 8.0% $17.96 Galigator 12.0% $14.51 | $51.27 +205.6% | $21.48 +28.0% | 52.0% | +67.2% | $16.78 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 10.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 10.0% $31.66 Fever Dream 10.0% $18.94 Amberline 10.0% $18.87 Acid Etched 10.0% $17.96 Galigator 10.0% $14.51 | $51.27 +216.3% | $20.32 +25.4% | 50.0% | +65.6% | $16.21 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Electrum 8.0% $16.94 Firebreathing 8.0% $10.78 Fever Dream 12.0% $8.04 Amberline 8.0% $6.18 Galigator 8.0% $5.73 Acid Etched 12.0% $5.54 | $16.94 +220.2% | $6.57 +24.2% | 56.0% | +61.2% | $5.29 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Prisma 2 Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight  30.0% $290.04 Disco Tech  3.3% $95.25 Justice  3.3% $72.97 Kintsugi  30.0% $61.06 Deathgaze  30.0% $59.23 Phantom Disruptor  3.3% $57.67 | $290.04 +190.5% | $130.63 +30.8% | 30.0% | +104.7% | $99.86 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Classified → Covert Factory New ST | Queen's Gambit  45.0% $843.46 Fully Tuned  45.0% $484.90 Player Two  5.0% $351.22 Bullet Queen  5.0% $208.09 | $843.46 +64.8% | $625.73 +22.2% | 45.0% | +40.4% | $511.96 | — |