The Prisma 2 Collection ×8+The Dead Hand Collection ×2
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FT ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested StatTrak™
Inputs
Distressed
7x $0.26
Desert Strike
1x $0.27
Fusion
2x $0.42
↓
Possible Outputs
Electrum
4.0% $10.69
Fever Dream
16.0% $8.04
Firebreathing
4.0% $6.12
Galigator
4.0% $3.50
Urban Sovereign
4.0% $2.92
Amberline
4.0% $2.88
Max Win
$10.69 (+197.9%)
EV (ROI %)
$3.42 (-4.8%)
Win %
24.0%
Volatility
+77.5%
Cost
$3.59
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $3.59
Ask Price EV $3.42 (-4.8%)
Bid Price EV $3.01 (-16.1%)
Ask Profit $-0.17 (-4.8%)
Bid Profit $-0.58 (-16.1%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.41 (+11.3%)
Ask Slippage Buffer -$0.17
Bid Slippage Buffer -$0.58
Risk
Win Probability 24.0%
Loss Probability 76.0%
Best Case $10.69 (+197.9%)
Worst Case $1.54 (-57.1%)
Volatility +77.5%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 64.0%
Avg Win +$4.57
Avg Loss -$1.67
Bottom 5% Outcome $1.54 (-57.1%)
Std Dev $2.78
Avg Norm Float 0.2060
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 16m
Oldest Output Price 150h 1m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Tight
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
CZ75-Auto | Distressed
—
Field-Tested
$0.26 Float: HIDDEN
MP5-SD | Desert Strike
—
Field-Tested
$0.27 Float: HIDDEN
CZ75-Auto | Distressed
—
Field-Tested
$0.28 Float: HIDDEN
CZ75-Auto | Distressed
—
Field-Tested
$0.30 Float: HIDDEN
CZ75-Auto | Distressed
—
Field-Tested
$0.31 Float: HIDDEN
CZ75-Auto | Distressed
—
Field-Tested
$0.32 Float: HIDDEN
CZ75-Auto | Distressed
—
Minimal Wear
$0.49 Float: HIDDEN
CZ75-Auto | Distressed
—
Minimal Wear
$0.51 Float: HIDDEN
Sawed-Off | Fusion
—
Field-Tested
$0.42 Float: HIDDEN
Sawed-Off | Fusion
—
Field-Tested
$0.43 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 26M 27S //TOTAL COST $3.59 //ASK PRICE EV $3.42 //BID PRICE EV $3.01 //ASK PROFIT $-0.17 (-4.8%) //BID PROFIT $-0.58 (-16.1%) //WIN PROBABILITY 24.0% //BEST CASE $10.69 //VOLATILITY +77.5% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
4.0%
$10.69
+$7.10
+197.9%
$9.15
+$5.56
+154.9%
$1.54
14.4%
—
BIG WIN
16.0%
$8.04
+$4.45
+123.9%
$7.38
+$3.79
+105.6%
$0.66
8.2%
—
BIG WIN
4.0%
$6.12
+$2.53
+70.4%
$4.98
+$1.39
+38.7%
$1.14
18.6%
—
LOSS
4.0%
$3.50
-$0.09
-2.6%
$2.65
-$0.94
-26.2%
$0.85
24.2%
—
LOSS
4.0%
$2.92
-$0.67
-18.6%
$2.59
-$1.00
-27.9%
$0.33
11.4%
—
LOSS
4.0%
$2.88
-$0.71
-19.8%
$2.61
-$0.98
-27.3%
$0.27
9.4%
—
NUKE
16.0%
$1.97
-$1.62
-45.2%
$1.76
-$1.83
-51.0%
$0.21
10.5%
—
NUKE
16.0%
$1.66
-$1.93
-53.8%
$1.39
-$2.20
-61.3%
$0.27
16.1%
—
NUKE
16.0%
$1.64
-$1.95
-54.3%
$1.46
-$2.13
-59.3%
$0.18
11.1%
—
NUKE
16.0%
$1.54
-$2.05
-57.1%
$1.35
-$2.24
-62.4%
$0.19
12.3%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-25|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 8,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 2,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.20599,
"output_skin_id": "skin-dd7837484577",
"realistic_value": 1.9675,
"optimistic_value": 1.95,
"output_full_name": "P2000 | Acid Etched",
"conservative_value": 1.76,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P2000 | Acid Etched (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:18:11.961709Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-dd7837484577.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.20599,
"output_skin_id": "skin-803029f01b68",
"realistic_value": 1.5385,
"optimistic_value": 1.5,
"output_full_name": "SCAR-20 | Enforcer",
"conservative_value": 1.35,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Enforcer (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:23:04.563451Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-803029f01b68.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.20599,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d00c49e52bd9",
"realistic_value": 1.6415,
"optimistic_value": 1.61,
"output_full_name": "SG 553 | Darkwing",
"conservative_value": 1.46,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SG 553 | Darkwing (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:26:09.256628Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d00c49e52bd9.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.1483128,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e5f08d307bdd",
"realistic_value": 8.0375,
"optimistic_value": 7.53,
"output_full_name": "SSG 08 | Fever Dream",
"conservative_value": 7.38,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Fever Dream (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:32:39.583432Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e5f08d307bdd.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.20599,
"output_skin_id": "skin-db4ae843fbd7",
"realistic_value": 1.6575,
"optimistic_value": 1.64,
"output_full_name": "Sawed-Off | Apocalypto",
"conservative_value": 1.39,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-04T13:01:11.935890Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-db4ae843fbd7.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.20599,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2bcac1c42296",
"realistic_value": 6.117,
"optimistic_value": 6.11,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Firebreathing",
"conservative_value": 4.98,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Firebreathing (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:41.545500Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2bcac1c42296.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.20599,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8571b4f29f98",
"realistic_value": 3.4955000000000003,
"optimistic_value": 3.45,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Galigator",
"conservative_value": 2.65,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:10:14.133312Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8571b4f29f98.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.20599,
"output_skin_id": "skin-62ecfa87b86d",
"realistic_value": 10.693000000000001,
"optimistic_value": 10.63,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Electrum",
"conservative_value": 9.15,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Electrum (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:48.376233Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-62ecfa87b86d.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.20599,
"output_skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"realistic_value": 2.88,
"optimistic_value": 2.88,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"conservative_value": 2.61,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:31:03.761052Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.20599,
"output_skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"realistic_value": 2.9219999999999997,
"optimistic_value": 2.88,
"output_full_name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"conservative_value": 2.59,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:28:50.178767Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_b98852f015d4c380b9241422",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.26,
"skin_id": "skin-9a5ab653ba62",
"listing_id": "516368541588637910",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Field-Tested)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Distressed",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a5ab653ba62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:18:01.493259Z"
},
{
"price": 0.27,
"skin_id": "skin-d536309c3714",
"listing_id": "520872088107230916",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Desert Strike (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP5-SD | Desert Strike",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d536309c3714.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:20:46.239417Z"
},
{
"price": 0.28,
"skin_id": "skin-9a5ab653ba62",
"listing_id": "493850438107893880",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Field-Tested)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Distressed",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a5ab653ba62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:18:01.493259Z"
},
{
"price": 0.3,
"skin_id": "skin-9a5ab653ba62",
"listing_id": "496101493276070891",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Field-Tested)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Distressed",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a5ab653ba62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:18:01.493259Z"
},
{
"price": 0.31,
"skin_id": "skin-9a5ab653ba62",
"listing_id": "523123091047708294",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Field-Tested)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Distressed",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a5ab653ba62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:18:01.493259Z"
},
{
"price": 0.32,
"skin_id": "skin-9a5ab653ba62",
"listing_id": "501730992868715561",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Field-Tested)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Distressed",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a5ab653ba62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:18:01.493259Z"
},
{
"price": 0.49,
"skin_id": "skin-9a5ab653ba62",
"listing_id": "514116741796982058",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Distressed",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a5ab653ba62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:18:04.640665Z"
},
{
"price": 0.51,
"skin_id": "skin-9a5ab653ba62",
"listing_id": "518620122757916680",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Distressed",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a5ab653ba62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:18:04.640665Z"
},
{
"price": 0.42,
"skin_id": "skin-39ceb900b437",
"listing_id": "508487242222020818",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Fusion",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-39ceb900b437.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:20:37.666531Z"
},
{
"price": 0.43,
"skin_id": "skin-39ceb900b437",
"listing_id": "518620341243195184",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Fusion",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-39ceb900b437.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:20:37.666531Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-25:8+collection-set-community-37:2"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Prisma 2 Collection ×8+The Dead Hand Collection ×2 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Electrum 4.0% $16.94 Firebreathing 4.0% $10.78 Fever Dream 16.0% $8.04 Amberline 4.0% $6.26 Galigator 4.0% $5.81 Acid Etched 16.0% $5.54 | $16.94 +260.3% | $5.79 +23.2% | 52.0% | +55.4% | $4.70 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×8+The Dead Hand Collection ×2 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 4.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 4.0% $31.66 Fever Dream 16.0% $18.94 Amberline 4.0% $18.87 Acid Etched 16.0% $17.96 Galigator 4.0% $14.51 | $51.27 +226.8% | $16.92 +7.8% | 44.0% | +48.2% | $15.69 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Prisma 2 Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 18.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 18.0% $31.66 Fever Dream 2.0% $18.94 Amberline 18.0% $18.87 Acid Etched 2.0% $17.96 Galigator 18.0% $14.51 | $51.27 +169.2% | $24.89 +30.7% | 36.0% | +66.6% | $19.05 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 16.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 16.0% $31.66 Fever Dream 4.0% $18.94 Amberline 16.0% $18.87 Acid Etched 4.0% $17.96 Galigator 16.0% $14.51 | $51.27 +181.1% | $23.75 +30.2% | 52.0% | +67.4% | $18.24 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 14.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 14.0% $31.66 Fever Dream 6.0% $18.94 Amberline 14.0% $18.87 Acid Etched 6.0% $17.96 Galigator 14.0% $14.51 | $51.27 +190.8% | $22.61 +28.3% | 54.0% | +67.0% | $17.63 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 12.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 12.0% $31.66 Fever Dream 8.0% $18.94 Amberline 12.0% $18.87 Acid Etched 8.0% $17.96 Galigator 12.0% $14.51 | $51.27 +205.6% | $21.48 +28.0% | 52.0% | +67.2% | $16.78 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 10.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 10.0% $31.66 Fever Dream 10.0% $18.94 Amberline 10.0% $18.87 Acid Etched 10.0% $17.96 Galigator 10.0% $14.51 | $51.27 +216.3% | $20.32 +25.4% | 50.0% | +65.6% | $16.21 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Electrum 8.0% $16.94 Firebreathing 8.0% $10.78 Fever Dream 12.0% $8.04 Amberline 8.0% $6.18 Galigator 8.0% $5.73 Acid Etched 12.0% $5.54 | $16.94 +220.2% | $6.57 +24.2% | 56.0% | +61.2% | $5.29 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Prisma 2 Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight  30.0% $290.04 Disco Tech  3.3% $95.25 Justice  3.3% $72.97 Kintsugi  30.0% $61.06 Deathgaze  30.0% $59.23 Phantom Disruptor  3.3% $57.67 | $290.04 +190.5% | $130.63 +30.8% | 30.0% | +104.7% | $99.86 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Classified → Covert Factory New ST | Queen's Gambit  45.0% $843.46 Fully Tuned  45.0% $484.90 Player Two  5.0% $351.22 Bullet Queen  5.0% $208.09 | $843.46 +64.8% | $625.73 +22.2% | 45.0% | +40.4% | $511.96 | — |