The CS20 Collection ×1+The Kilowatt Collection ×9
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted MW ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear StatTrak™
Inputs
Classic Crate
1x $0.30
Slag
2x $0.17
Light Box
3x $0.21
Motorized
3x $0.32
Dark Sigil
1x $0.36
↓
Possible Outputs
Agent
2.0% $5.44
Buddy
2.0% $5.28
Etch Lord
18.0% $4.45
Block-18
18.0% $4.19
Inferno
2.0% $3.76
Aztec
2.0% $3.57
Max Win
$5.44 (+87.7%)
EV (ROI %)
$3.41 (+17.6%)
Win %
64.0%
Volatility
+33.6%
Cost
$2.90
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $2.90
Ask Price EV $3.41 (+17.6%)
Bid Price EV $3.04 (+4.9%)
Ask Profit $0.51 (+17.6%)
Bid Profit $0.14 (+4.9%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.37 (+12.7%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.51
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.14
Risk
Win Probability 64.0%
Loss Probability 36.0%
Best Case $5.44 (+87.7%)
Worst Case $1.95 (-32.7%)
Volatility +33.6%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 18.0%
Avg Win +$1.14
Avg Loss -$0.60
Bottom 5% Outcome $1.95 (-32.7%)
Std Dev $0.97
Avg Norm Float 0.1492
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 23m
Oldest Output Price 152h 20m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Big-Win Hunter · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
MAC-10 | Classic Crate
—
Field-Tested
$0.30 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Slag
—
Field-Tested
$0.17 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Light Box
—
Field-Tested
$0.21 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Light Box
—
Field-Tested
$0.23 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Light Box
—
Field-Tested
$0.24 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Motorized
—
Minimal Wear
$0.32 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Motorized
—
Minimal Wear
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Motorized
—
Minimal Wear
$0.35 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Dark Sigil
—
Minimal Wear
$0.36 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Slag
—
Minimal Wear
$0.38 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 49M 55S //TOTAL COST $2.90 //ASK PRICE EV $3.41 //BID PRICE EV $3.04 //ASK PROFIT $0.51 (+17.6%) //BID PROFIT $0.14 (+4.9%) //WIN PROBABILITY 64.0% //BEST CASE $5.44 //VOLATILITY +33.6% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
2.0%
$5.44
+$2.54
+87.7%
$4.57
+$1.67
+57.6%
$0.87
16.0%
—
BIG WIN
2.0%
$5.28
+$2.38
+82.2%
$4.14
+$1.24
+42.8%
$1.14
21.6%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
18.0%
$4.45
+$1.55
+53.6%
$3.76
+$0.86
+29.7%
$0.69
15.6%
—
WIN
18.0%
$4.19
+$1.29
+44.5%
$3.88
+$0.98
+33.8%
$0.31
7.4%
—
WIN
2.0%
$3.76
+$0.86
+29.6%
$3.65
+$0.75
+25.9%
$0.11
2.9%
—
PAPER WIN THIN BID
2.0%
$3.57
+$0.67
+23.1%
$2.41
-$0.49
-16.9%
$1.16
32.5%
—
PAPER WIN EDGE FLOAT
18.0%
$3.34
+$0.44
+15.1%
$2.85
-$0.05
-1.7%
$0.49
14.6%
—
PAPER WIN
2.0%
$3.25
+$0.35
+12.0%
$2.85
-$0.05
-1.7%
$0.40
12.3%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
18.0%
$2.65
-$0.25
-8.6%
$2.60
-$0.30
-10.3%
$0.05
1.9%
—
LOSS
18.0%
$1.95
-$0.95
-32.7%
$1.85
-$1.05
-36.2%
$0.10
5.2%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-24|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 1,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-24"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-33|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 9,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.14919,
"output_skin_id": "skin-204c9ef36369",
"realistic_value": 2.65,
"optimistic_value": 2.65,
"output_full_name": "Five-SeveN | Hybrid",
"conservative_value": 2.6,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:16:49.189182Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-204c9ef36369.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.10023703125,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2c04c0201892",
"realistic_value": 4.1905,
"optimistic_value": 4.11,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Block-18",
"conservative_value": 3.88,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Block-18 (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:50.971922Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2c04c0201892.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.14919,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0e160542d6d4",
"realistic_value": 4.4535,
"optimistic_value": 4.45,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Etch Lord",
"conservative_value": 3.76,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A4 | Etch Lord (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:47:20.049749Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0e160542d6d4.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.14919,
"output_skin_id": "skin-48f9126df040",
"realistic_value": 3.337,
"optimistic_value": 3.33,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Just Smile",
"conservative_value": 2.85,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Just Smile (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:13:12.428118Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-48f9126df040.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.09232772339999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d0653c0aaf2f",
"realistic_value": 1.951,
"optimistic_value": 1.93,
"output_full_name": "Sawed-Off | Analog Input",
"conservative_value": 1.85,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:13:13.362550Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d0653c0aaf2f.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.02,
"output_float": 0.0820545,
"output_skin_id": "skin-31de22ad9746",
"realistic_value": 5.2835,
"optimistic_value": 5.21,
"output_full_name": "Five-SeveN | Buddy",
"conservative_value": 4.14,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-24",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The CS20 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Buddy (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:19:45.339680Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-31de22ad9746.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.02,
"output_float": 0.11189249999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0ca39d6a9fe2",
"realistic_value": 3.5700000000000003,
"optimistic_value": 3.5,
"output_full_name": "M249 | Aztec",
"conservative_value": 2.41,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-24",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The CS20 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Aztec (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:44:57.065639Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0ca39d6a9fe2.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.02,
"output_float": 0.14919,
"output_skin_id": "skin-4ef86547d990",
"realistic_value": 5.443,
"optimistic_value": 5.17,
"output_full_name": "MP5-SD | Agent",
"conservative_value": 4.57,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-24",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The CS20 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Agent (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:19:37.263843Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4ef86547d990.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.02,
"output_float": 0.1014492,
"output_skin_id": "skin-5bcef416d83b",
"realistic_value": 3.7595,
"optimistic_value": 3.7,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Inferno",
"conservative_value": 3.65,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-24",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The CS20 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Inferno (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:29:23.836740Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5bcef416d83b.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.02,
"output_float": 0.119352,
"output_skin_id": "skin-520d7a1ce647",
"realistic_value": 3.2485,
"optimistic_value": 3.07,
"output_full_name": "UMP-45 | Plastique",
"conservative_value": 2.85,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-24",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The CS20 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Plastique (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:17:04.429562Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-520d7a1ce647.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_b8c0af8de5c25096d4ff7753",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.3,
"skin_id": "skin-d136bb4f23cb",
"listing_id": "517494388633386382",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-24",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Classic Crate (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Classic Crate",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d136bb4f23cb.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:32:07.432703Z"
},
{
"price": 0.17,
"skin_id": "skin-80f2ee4e940f",
"listing_id": "500605942755366047",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Slag (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Slag",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-80f2ee4e940f.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:40:17.702517Z"
},
{
"price": 0.21,
"skin_id": "skin-543d85d8ca60",
"listing_id": "518620288314777196",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Light Box (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Light Box",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-543d85d8ca60.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:35:25.820785Z"
},
{
"price": 0.23,
"skin_id": "skin-543d85d8ca60",
"listing_id": "527626690807043180",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Light Box (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Light Box",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-543d85d8ca60.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:35:25.820785Z"
},
{
"price": 0.24,
"skin_id": "skin-543d85d8ca60",
"listing_id": "523123091065987798",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Light Box (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Light Box",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-543d85d8ca60.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:35:25.820785Z"
},
{
"price": 0.32,
"skin_id": "skin-806137e84f73",
"listing_id": "492724643507594721",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Motorized (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Motorized",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-806137e84f73.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:34:58.857536Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-806137e84f73",
"listing_id": "527627540538064388",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Motorized (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Motorized",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-806137e84f73.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:34:58.857536Z"
},
{
"price": 0.35,
"skin_id": "skin-806137e84f73",
"listing_id": "528753335314258353",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Motorized (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Motorized",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-806137e84f73.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:34:58.857536Z"
},
{
"price": 0.36,
"skin_id": "skin-baa1adba3189",
"listing_id": "505108692508590428",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Dark Sigil (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Nova | Dark Sigil",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-baa1adba3189.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:22:15.180598Z"
},
{
"price": 0.38,
"skin_id": "skin-80f2ee4e940f",
"listing_id": "508486392212133206",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Slag (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Slag",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-80f2ee4e940f.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:16:47.959029Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-24:1+collection-set-community-33:9"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The CS20 Collection ×1+The Kilowatt Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Buddy 2.0% $5.28 Block-18 18.0% $4.19 Inferno 2.0% $3.76 Agent 2.0% $2.67 Etch Lord 18.0% $2.34 Analog Input 18.0% $1.95 | $5.28 +156.5% | $2.36 +14.7% | 42.0% | +44.6% | $2.06 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The CS20 Collection ×2+The Kilowatt Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Agent 4.0% $5.44 Buddy 4.0% $5.28 Etch Lord 16.0% $4.45 Block-18 16.0% $4.19 Inferno 4.0% $3.76 Aztec 4.0% $3.57 | $5.44 +84.5% | $3.51 +18.8% | 68.0% | +23.9% | $2.95 | — |
The CS20 Collection ×3+The Kilowatt Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Agent 6.0% $5.44 Buddy 6.0% $5.28 Etch Lord 14.0% $4.45 Block-18 14.0% $4.19 Inferno 6.0% $3.76 Aztec 6.0% $3.57 | $5.44 +79.6% | $3.60 +18.8% | 72.0% | +23.9% | $3.03 | — |
The CS20 Collection ×5+The Kilowatt Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Agent 10.0% $5.44 Buddy 10.0% $5.28 Etch Lord 10.0% $4.45 Block-18 10.0% $4.19 Inferno 10.0% $3.76 Aztec 10.0% $3.57 | $5.44 +57.3% | $3.79 +9.4% | 60.0% | +21.7% | $3.46 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The CS20 Collection ×1+The Kilowatt Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Black Lotus  30.0% $37.06 Hydra  3.3% $19.93 Nostalgia  3.3% $18.14 Jawbreaker  30.0% $14.90 Olympus  30.0% $14.33 Death by Puppy  3.3% $12.66 | $37.06 +88.7% | $21.58 +9.9% | 33.3% | +52.0% | $19.64 | — |