The CS20 Collection ×1+The Kilowatt Collection ×9
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FT ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested StatTrak™
Inputs
Popdog
1x $0.27
Hideout
3x $0.16
Slag
1x $0.17
Motorized
2x $0.18
Light Box
2x $0.23
Dark Sigil
1x $0.29
↓
Possible Outputs
Buddy
2.0% $5.28
Block-18
18.0% $4.19
Inferno
2.0% $3.76
Agent
2.0% $2.67
Etch Lord
18.0% $2.34
Analog Input
18.0% $1.94
Max Win
$5.28 (+121.1%)
EV (ROI %)
$2.36 (-1.2%)
Win %
24.0%
Volatility
+44.7%
Cost
$2.39
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $2.39
Ask Price EV $2.36 (-1.2%)
Bid Price EV $2.21 (-7.7%)
Ask Profit $-0.03 (-1.2%)
Bid Profit $-0.18 (-7.7%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.15 (+6.5%)
Ask Slippage Buffer -$0.03
Bid Slippage Buffer -$0.18
Risk
Win Probability 24.0%
Loss Probability 76.0%
Best Case $5.28 (+121.1%)
Worst Case $1.37 (-42.8%)
Volatility +44.7%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 40.0%
Avg Win +$1.73
Avg Loss -$0.58
Bottom 5% Outcome $1.47 (-38.5%)
Std Dev $1.07
Avg Norm Float 0.2186
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 19m
Oldest Output Price 153h 24m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Tight
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
MAG-7 | Popdog
—
Field-Tested
$0.27 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | Hideout
—
Field-Tested
$0.16 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | Hideout
—
Field-Tested
$0.17 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Slag
—
Field-Tested
$0.17 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Motorized
—
Field-Tested
$0.18 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Light Box
—
Field-Tested
$0.23 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Light Box
—
Field-Tested
$0.24 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Dark Sigil
—
Minimal Wear
$0.29 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | Hideout
—
Minimal Wear
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Motorized
—
Minimal Wear
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 54M 25S //TOTAL COST $2.39 //ASK PRICE EV $2.36 //BID PRICE EV $2.21 //ASK PROFIT $-0.03 (-1.2%) //BID PROFIT $-0.18 (-7.7%) //WIN PROBABILITY 24.0% //BEST CASE $5.28 //VOLATILITY +44.7% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
2.0%
$5.28
+$2.89
+121.1%
$4.14
+$1.75
+73.2%
$1.14
21.6%
—
BIG WIN
18.0%
$4.19
+$1.80
+75.3%
$3.88
+$1.49
+62.3%
$0.31
7.4%
—
BIG WIN
2.0%
$3.76
+$1.37
+57.3%
$3.65
+$1.26
+52.7%
$0.11
2.9%
—
PAPER WIN THIN BID
2.0%
$2.67
+$0.28
+11.9%
$2.00
-$0.39
-16.3%
$0.67
25.2%
—
LOSS
18.0%
$2.34
-$0.05
-2.1%
$2.34
-$0.05
-2.1%
$0.00
0.0%
—
LOSS
18.0%
$1.94
-$0.45
-18.8%
$1.85
-$0.54
-22.6%
$0.09
4.7%
—
LOSS
18.0%
$1.56
-$0.83
-34.7%
$1.43
-$0.96
-40.2%
$0.13
8.3%
—
LOSS
18.0%
$1.47
-$0.92
-38.5%
$1.39
-$1.00
-41.8%
$0.08
5.4%
—
NUKE
2.0%
$1.42
-$0.97
-40.4%
$1.24
-$1.15
-48.1%
$0.18
13.0%
—
NUKE
2.0%
$1.37
-$1.02
-42.8%
$1.27
-$1.12
-46.9%
$0.10
7.1%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-24|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 1,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-24"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-33|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 9,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.21862,
"output_skin_id": "skin-204c9ef36369",
"realistic_value": 1.47,
"optimistic_value": 1.47,
"output_full_name": "Five-SeveN | Hybrid",
"conservative_value": 1.39,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:16:04.785973Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-204c9ef36369.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.1468853125,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2c04c0201892",
"realistic_value": 4.1905,
"optimistic_value": 4.11,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Block-18",
"conservative_value": 3.88,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Block-18 (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:50.971922Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2c04c0201892.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.21862,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0e160542d6d4",
"realistic_value": 2.34,
"optimistic_value": 2.34,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Etch Lord",
"conservative_value": 2.34,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A4 | Etch Lord (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:37:02.469385Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0e160542d6d4.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.21862,
"output_skin_id": "skin-48f9126df040",
"realistic_value": 1.56,
"optimistic_value": 1.56,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Just Smile",
"conservative_value": 1.43,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Just Smile (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:04:39.434678Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-48f9126df040.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.1352951732,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d0653c0aaf2f",
"realistic_value": 1.9409999999999998,
"optimistic_value": 1.92,
"output_full_name": "Sawed-Off | Analog Input",
"conservative_value": 1.85,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:28:32.054019Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d0653c0aaf2f.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.02,
"output_float": 0.12024100000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-31de22ad9746",
"realistic_value": 5.2835,
"optimistic_value": 5.21,
"output_full_name": "Five-SeveN | Buddy",
"conservative_value": 4.14,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-24",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The CS20 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Buddy (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:19:45.339680Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-31de22ad9746.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.02,
"output_float": 0.163965,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0ca39d6a9fe2",
"realistic_value": 1.4244999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 1.4,
"output_full_name": "M249 | Aztec",
"conservative_value": 1.24,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-24",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The CS20 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Aztec (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:39:21.978036Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0ca39d6a9fe2.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.02,
"output_float": 0.21862,
"output_skin_id": "skin-4ef86547d990",
"realistic_value": 2.674,
"optimistic_value": 2.66,
"output_full_name": "MP5-SD | Agent",
"conservative_value": 2,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-24",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The CS20 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Agent (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:26:01.420258Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4ef86547d990.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.02,
"output_float": 0.1486616,
"output_skin_id": "skin-5bcef416d83b",
"realistic_value": 3.7595,
"optimistic_value": 3.7,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Inferno",
"conservative_value": 3.65,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-24",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The CS20 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Inferno (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:29:23.836740Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5bcef416d83b.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.02,
"output_float": 0.17489600000000002,
"output_skin_id": "skin-520d7a1ce647",
"realistic_value": 1.3675,
"optimistic_value": 1.35,
"output_full_name": "UMP-45 | Plastique",
"conservative_value": 1.27,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-24",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The CS20 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Plastique (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:36:51.279635Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-520d7a1ce647.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_b8c0af8de5c25096d4ff7753",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.27,
"skin_id": "skin-25cbd4e0e058",
"listing_id": "518620288314699652",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-24",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Popdog (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Popdog",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-25cbd4e0e058.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:33:50.884116Z"
},
{
"price": 0.16,
"skin_id": "skin-8d6879f0a2bc",
"listing_id": "503983642533474127",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | Hideout",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d6879f0a2bc.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:28:59.620511Z"
},
{
"price": 0.17,
"skin_id": "skin-8d6879f0a2bc",
"listing_id": "527627540537571656",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | Hideout",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d6879f0a2bc.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:28:59.620511Z"
},
{
"price": 0.17,
"skin_id": "skin-80f2ee4e940f",
"listing_id": "500605942755365723",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Slag (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Slag",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-80f2ee4e940f.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:28:43.895274Z"
},
{
"price": 0.18,
"skin_id": "skin-806137e84f73",
"listing_id": "512990841908688587",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Motorized (Field-Tested)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Motorized",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-806137e84f73.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:34:22.970937Z"
},
{
"price": 0.23,
"skin_id": "skin-543d85d8ca60",
"listing_id": "527626690807043180",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Light Box (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Light Box",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-543d85d8ca60.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:23:53.878953Z"
},
{
"price": 0.24,
"skin_id": "skin-543d85d8ca60",
"listing_id": "523123091065987798",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Light Box (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Light Box",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-543d85d8ca60.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:23:53.878953Z"
},
{
"price": 0.29,
"skin_id": "skin-baa1adba3189",
"listing_id": "490472843633424351",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Dark Sigil (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Nova | Dark Sigil",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-baa1adba3189.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:36:47.550108Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-8d6879f0a2bc",
"listing_id": "520872088106698692",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | Hideout",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d6879f0a2bc.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:42:16.674978Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-806137e84f73",
"listing_id": "527627540538064388",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Motorized (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Motorized",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-806137e84f73.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:24:50.901899Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-24:1+collection-set-community-33:9"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The CS20 Collection ×1+The Kilowatt Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Agent 2.0% $5.44 Buddy 2.0% $5.28 Etch Lord 18.0% $4.45 Block-18 18.0% $4.19 Inferno 2.0% $3.76 Aztec 2.0% $3.57 | $5.44 +82.7% | $3.41 +14.4% | 64.0% | +22.8% | $2.98 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The CS20 Collection ×3+The Kilowatt Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Agent 6.0% $5.44 Buddy 6.0% $5.28 Etch Lord 14.0% $4.46 Block-18 14.0% $4.19 Inferno 6.0% $3.76 Aztec 6.0% $3.50 | $5.44 +81.4% | $3.59 +19.7% | 72.0% | +24.4% | $3.00 | — |
The CS20 Collection ×2+The Kilowatt Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Agent 4.0% $5.44 Buddy 4.0% $5.28 Etch Lord 16.0% $4.45 Block-18 16.0% $4.19 Inferno 4.0% $3.76 Aztec 4.0% $3.57 | $5.44 +85.1% | $3.50 +19.2% | 68.0% | +24.0% | $2.94 | — |
The CS20 Collection ×5+The Kilowatt Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Agent 10.0% $5.44 Buddy 10.0% $5.28 Etch Lord 10.0% $4.45 Block-18 10.0% $4.19 Inferno 10.0% $3.76 Aztec 10.0% $3.57 | $5.44 +60.1% | $3.79 +11.4% | 60.0% | +22.1% | $3.40 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The CS20 Collection ×1+The Kilowatt Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Black Lotus  30.0% $37.06 Hydra  3.3% $19.93 Nostalgia  3.3% $18.09 Jawbreaker  30.0% $14.90 Olympus  30.0% $14.32 Death by Puppy  3.3% $12.66 | $37.06 +90.9% | $21.57 +11.1% | 33.3% | +52.6% | $19.41 | — |