The Safehouse Collection ×5+The Ascent Collection ×5
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade FT 10 items
Contract
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested
Inputs
Gator Mesh
1x $0.07
Orange Peel
1x $0.07
Condemned
1x $0.09
Forest Leaves
2x $0.10
Naval Shred Camo
1x $0.07
Gum Wall Camo
1x $0.08
↓
Possible Outputs
Yeti Camo
10.0% $1.91
Acid Fade
16.7% $1.38
Cobalt Paisley
10.0% $1.14
Royal Baroque
10.0% $1.07
Mint Fan
10.0% $1.06
Reef Grief
10.0% $1.01
Max Win
$1.91 (+122.5%)
EV (ROI %)
$0.98 (+13.4%)
Win %
66.7%
Volatility
+57.2%
Cost
$0.86
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $0.86
Ask Price EV $0.98 (+13.4%)
Bid Price EV $0.89 (+3.3%)
Ask Profit $0.11 (+13.4%)
Bid Profit $0.03 (+3.3%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.09 (+10.1%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.11
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.03
Risk
Win Probability 66.7%
Loss Probability 33.3%
Best Case $1.91 (+122.5%)
Worst Case $0.30 (-65.1%)
Volatility +57.2%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 33.3%
Avg Win +$0.41
Avg Loss -$0.48
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.30 (-65.1%)
Std Dev $0.49
Avg Norm Float 0.2124
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 23m
Oldest Output Price 2h 21m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Tight
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Big-Win Hunter · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
M249 | Gator Mesh
—
Field-Tested
$0.07 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Orange Peel
—
Field-Tested
$0.07 Float: HIDDEN
AUG | Condemned
—
Field-Tested
$0.09 Float: HIDDEN
USP-S | Forest Leaves
—
Field-Tested
$0.10 Float: HIDDEN
USP-S | Forest Leaves
—
Field-Tested
$0.12 Float: HIDDEN
M4A4 | Naval Shred Camo
—
Field-Tested
$0.07 Float: HIDDEN
XM1014 | Gum Wall Camo
—
Field-Tested
$0.08 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Turquoise Pour
—
Field-Tested
$0.08 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | Rose Nacre
—
Field-Tested
$0.09 Float: HIDDEN
Negev | Sour Grapes
—
Field-Tested
$0.09 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 21M 55S //TOTAL COST $0.86 //ASK PRICE EV $0.98 //BID PRICE EV $0.89 //ASK PROFIT $0.11 (+13.4%) //BID PROFIT $0.03 (+3.3%) //WIN PROBABILITY 66.7% //BEST CASE $1.91 //VOLATILITY +57.2% //
Possible Outputs · 8
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
10.0%
$1.91
+$1.05
+122.5%
$1.62
+$0.76
+88.4%
$0.29
15.3%
—
BIG WIN
16.7%
$1.38
+$0.52
+60.9%
$1.31
+$0.45
+52.3%
$0.07
5.3%
—
WIN
10.0%
$1.14
+$0.28
+32.7%
$1.04
+$0.18
+20.9%
$0.10
8.9%
—
WIN
10.0%
$1.07
+$0.21
+24.4%
$1.01
+$0.15
+17.4%
$0.06
5.6%
—
WIN
10.0%
$1.06
+$0.20
+22.9%
$0.93
+$0.07
+8.1%
$0.13
12.0%
—
WIN
10.0%
$1.01
+$0.15
+17.6%
$0.95
+$0.09
+10.5%
$0.06
6.0%
—
NUKE
16.7%
$0.45
-$0.41
-47.6%
$0.41
-$0.45
-52.3%
$0.04
9.1%
—
NUKE
16.7%
$0.30
-$0.56
-65.1%
$0.28
-$0.58
-67.4%
$0.02
6.7%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-safehouse|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-safehouse"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.16666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.12744599999999998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-466d0513f5e8",
"realistic_value": 0.451,
"optimistic_value": 0.43,
"output_full_name": "FAMAS | Teardown",
"conservative_value": 0.41,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-safehouse",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Safehouse Collection",
"market_hash_name": "FAMAS | Teardown (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:00:39.223179Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-466d0513f5e8.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.084964,
"output_skin_id": "skin-45614ab4f605",
"realistic_value": 0.3,
"optimistic_value": 0.3,
"output_full_name": "Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz",
"conservative_value": 0.28,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-safehouse",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Safehouse Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:10:49.535583Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-45614ab4f605.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.006372299999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8d85f69ac3c8",
"realistic_value": 1.3835,
"optimistic_value": 1.38,
"output_full_name": "SSG 08 | Acid Fade",
"conservative_value": 1.31,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-safehouse",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Safehouse Collection",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Acid Fade (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:20:36.411062Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d85f69ac3c8.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.12744599999999998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-96bbc2859318",
"realistic_value": 1.057,
"optimistic_value": 1.05,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Mint Fan",
"conservative_value": 0.93,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | Mint Fan (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:05:55.756507Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-96bbc2859318.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.14868699999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-97defdf0ce4c",
"realistic_value": 1.9135,
"optimistic_value": 1.91,
"output_full_name": "FAMAS | Yeti Camo",
"conservative_value": 1.62,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "FAMAS | Yeti Camo (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:05:08.898556Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-97defdf0ce4c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.1380665,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e400418cedad",
"realistic_value": 1.141,
"optimistic_value": 1.12,
"output_full_name": "MP9 | Cobalt Paisley",
"conservative_value": 1.04,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Cobalt Paisley (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:02:53.037696Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e400418cedad.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.12744599999999998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e010a1443ce8",
"realistic_value": 1.07,
"optimistic_value": 1.07,
"output_full_name": "P2000 | Royal Baroque",
"conservative_value": 1.01,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Royal Baroque (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:05:08.568377Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e010a1443ce8.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.12744599999999998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d58c4622251a",
"realistic_value": 1.0110000000000001,
"optimistic_value": 0.99,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Reef Grief",
"conservative_value": 0.95,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Ascent Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Reef Grief (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:02:46.915856Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d58c4622251a.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_b636279386ffadae92ef8c16",
"input_rarity": "Industrial Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.07,
"skin_id": "skin-3b11b1a4314b",
"listing_id": "499479989895735277",
"collection_id": "collection-set-safehouse",
"market_hash_name": "M249 | Gator Mesh (Field-Tested)",
"name": "M249 | Gator Mesh",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3b11b1a4314b.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:03:02.590762Z"
},
{
"price": 0.07,
"skin_id": "skin-2ed9e1f9de26",
"listing_id": "515242588554214801",
"collection_id": "collection-set-safehouse",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Orange Peel (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP9 | Orange Peel",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2ed9e1f9de26.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:00:44.631528Z"
},
{
"price": 0.09,
"skin_id": "skin-64d604ccd5cf",
"listing_id": "517493591318861578",
"collection_id": "collection-set-safehouse",
"market_hash_name": "AUG | Condemned (Field-Tested)",
"name": "AUG | Condemned",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-64d604ccd5cf.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:22:57.127112Z"
},
{
"price": 0.1,
"skin_id": "skin-ffe1b0513490",
"listing_id": "526501587738165425",
"collection_id": "collection-set-safehouse",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Forest Leaves (Field-Tested)",
"name": "USP-S | Forest Leaves",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ffe1b0513490.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:03:04.322667Z"
},
{
"price": 0.12,
"skin_id": "skin-ffe1b0513490",
"listing_id": "606438509290341941",
"collection_id": "collection-set-safehouse",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Forest Leaves (Field-Tested)",
"name": "USP-S | Forest Leaves",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ffe1b0513490.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:03:04.322667Z"
},
{
"price": 0.07,
"skin_id": "skin-c096d50b4039",
"listing_id": "508487136896176706",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Naval Shred Camo (Field-Tested)",
"name": "M4A4 | Naval Shred Camo",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c096d50b4039.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:08:57.314357Z"
},
{
"price": 0.08,
"skin_id": "skin-8f8277af6b54",
"listing_id": "512989991916998255",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Gum Wall Camo (Field-Tested)",
"name": "XM1014 | Gum Wall Camo",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8f8277af6b54.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:05:50.641273Z"
},
{
"price": 0.08,
"skin_id": "skin-d219c8f3fe3b",
"listing_id": "519746188259096108",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Turquoise Pour (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Nova | Turquoise Pour",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d219c8f3fe3b.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:06:29.788399Z"
},
{
"price": 0.09,
"skin_id": "skin-b6116401828b",
"listing_id": "510738823413281230",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Rose Nacre (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | Rose Nacre",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-b6116401828b.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:08:45.397170Z"
},
{
"price": 0.09,
"skin_id": "skin-2891a487ea6c",
"listing_id": "506235389470223292",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-cool",
"market_hash_name": "Negev | Sour Grapes (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Negev | Sour Grapes",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2891a487ea6c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:03:24.391380Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Industrial Grade|Mil-Spec Grade|normal|10|collection-set-safehouse:5+collection-set-timed-drops-cool:5"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Safehouse Collection ×5+The Ascent Collection ×5 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Minimal Wear | Mint Fan 10.0% $3.36 Teardown 16.7% $2.82 Royal Baroque 10.0% $2.64 Reef Grief 10.0% $2.25 Yeti Camo 10.0% $1.91 Acid Fade 16.7% $1.38 | $3.36 +103.7% | $2.06 +24.7% | 56.7% | +37.4% | $1.65 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Safehouse Collection ×4+The Ascent Collection ×6 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Minimal Wear | Mint Fan 12.0% $3.36 Teardown 13.3% $2.82 Royal Baroque 12.0% $2.64 Reef Grief 12.0% $2.25 Yeti Camo 12.0% $1.91 Acid Fade 13.3% $1.38 | $3.36 +102.4% | $2.10 +26.4% | 61.3% | +36.7% | $1.66 | — |
The Safehouse Collection ×6+The Ascent Collection ×4 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Minimal Wear | Mint Fan 8.0% $3.37 Teardown 20.0% $2.82 Royal Baroque 8.0% $2.64 Reef Grief 8.0% $2.25 Yeti Camo 8.0% $1.90 Acid Fade 20.0% $1.38 | $3.37 +98.4% | $2.02 +18.6% | 52.0% | +36.9% | $1.70 | — |
The Safehouse Collection ×7+The Ascent Collection ×3 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Minimal Wear | Mint Fan 6.0% $3.36 Teardown 23.3% $2.82 Royal Baroque 6.0% $2.64 Reef Grief 6.0% $2.25 Yeti Camo 6.0% $1.91 Acid Fade 23.3% $1.38 | $3.36 +80.7% | $1.98 +6.2% | 47.3% | +33.7% | $1.86 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Safehouse Collection ×1+The Ascent Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear | Midnight Laminate  45.0% $38.92 Royal Guard  45.0% $13.76 Nitro  10.0% $1.89 | $38.92 +85.2% | $23.89 +13.7% | 45.0% | +66.7% | $21.02 | — |