The Danger Zone Collection ×3+The Kilowatt Collection ×7
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FT ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested StatTrak™
Inputs
Danger Close
3x $0.24
Dark Sigil
1x $0.17
Hideout
2x $0.19
Slag
1x $0.19
Light Box
3x $0.21
↓
Possible Outputs
Block-18
14.0% $4.19
Nevermore
6.0% $4.07
Signal
6.0% $3.49
Flashback
6.0% $3.00
Etch Lord
14.0% $2.35
Scavenger
6.0% $1.95
Max Win
$4.19 (+90.5%)
EV (ROI %)
$2.44 (+10.7%)
Win %
46.0%
Volatility
+46.6%
Cost
$2.20
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $2.20
Ask Price EV $2.44 (+10.7%)
Bid Price EV $2.22 (+1.0%)
Ask Profit $0.24 (+10.7%)
Bid Profit $0.02 (+1.0%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.21 (+9.7%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.24
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.02
Risk
Win Probability 46.0%
Loss Probability 54.0%
Best Case $4.19 (+90.5%)
Worst Case $1.29 (-41.3%)
Volatility +46.6%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 34.0%
Avg Win +$1.17
Avg Loss -$0.56
Bottom 5% Outcome $1.29 (-41.3%)
Std Dev $1.02
Avg Norm Float 0.2212
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 20m
Oldest Output Price 155h 10m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Tight
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Big-Win Hunter · Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
SG 553 | Danger Close
—
Field-Tested
$0.24 Float: HIDDEN
SG 553 | Danger Close
—
Field-Tested
$0.26 Float: HIDDEN
SG 553 | Danger Close
—
Field-Tested
$0.27 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Dark Sigil
—
Field-Tested
$0.17 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | Hideout
—
Field-Tested
$0.19 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Slag
—
Field-Tested
$0.19 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | Hideout
—
Field-Tested
$0.20 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Light Box
—
Field-Tested
$0.21 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Light Box
—
Field-Tested
$0.23 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Light Box
—
Field-Tested
$0.24 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 07M 19S //TOTAL COST $2.20 //ASK PRICE EV $2.44 //BID PRICE EV $2.22 //ASK PROFIT $0.24 (+10.7%) //BID PROFIT $0.02 (+1.0%) //WIN PROBABILITY 46.0% //BEST CASE $4.19 //VOLATILITY +46.6% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
14.0%
$4.19
+$1.99
+90.5%
$3.88
+$1.68
+76.4%
$0.31
7.4%
—
BIG WIN
6.0%
$4.07
+$1.87
+85.2%
$3.42
+$1.22
+55.5%
$0.65
16.0%
—
BIG WIN
6.0%
$3.49
+$1.29
+58.8%
$3.13
+$0.93
+42.3%
$0.36
10.4%
—
WIN
6.0%
$3.00
+$0.80
+36.5%
$2.79
+$0.59
+26.8%
$0.21
7.1%
—
PAPER WIN
14.0%
$2.35
+$0.15
+6.7%
$2.07
-$0.13
-5.9%
$0.28
11.8%
—
LOSS
6.0%
$1.95
-$0.25
-11.2%
$1.70
-$0.50
-22.7%
$0.25
13.0%
—
LOSS
14.0%
$1.90
-$0.30
-13.4%
$1.85
-$0.35
-15.9%
$0.05
2.9%
—
LOSS
14.0%
$1.56
-$0.64
-29.1%
$1.43
-$0.77
-35.0%
$0.13
8.3%
—
LOSS
14.0%
$1.47
-$0.73
-33.2%
$1.39
-$0.81
-36.8%
$0.08
5.4%
—
NUKE
6.0%
$1.29
-$0.91
-41.3%
$1.20
-$1.00
-45.5%
$0.09
7.0%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-21|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 3,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-21"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-33|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 7,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.22124,
"output_skin_id": "skin-204c9ef36369",
"realistic_value": 1.47,
"optimistic_value": 1.47,
"output_full_name": "Five-SeveN | Hybrid",
"conservative_value": 1.39,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:31:39.969537Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-204c9ef36369.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.148645625,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2c04c0201892",
"realistic_value": 4.1905,
"optimistic_value": 4.11,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Block-18",
"conservative_value": 3.88,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Block-18 (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:50.971922Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2c04c0201892.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.22124,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0e160542d6d4",
"realistic_value": 2.347,
"optimistic_value": 2.27,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Etch Lord",
"conservative_value": 2.07,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A4 | Etch Lord (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:28:53.160842Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0e160542d6d4.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.22124,
"output_skin_id": "skin-48f9126df040",
"realistic_value": 1.56,
"optimistic_value": 1.56,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Just Smile",
"conservative_value": 1.43,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Just Smile (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:04:39.434678Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-48f9126df040.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.13691658639999998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d0653c0aaf2f",
"realistic_value": 1.9044999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 1.88,
"output_full_name": "Sawed-Off | Analog Input",
"conservative_value": 1.85,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:20:34.770098Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d0653c0aaf2f.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.143806,
"output_skin_id": "skin-aa544d78f97f",
"realistic_value": 1.9545,
"optimistic_value": 1.93,
"output_full_name": "G3SG1 | Scavenger",
"conservative_value": 1.7,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-21",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Danger Zone Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Scavenger (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:17:38.562472Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-aa544d78f97f.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.11062,
"output_skin_id": "skin-21f65eaf09eb",
"realistic_value": 3.4935,
"optimistic_value": 3.42,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Signal",
"conservative_value": 3.13,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-21",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Danger Zone Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Galil AR | Signal (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:30:19.682181Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-21f65eaf09eb.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.199116,
"output_skin_id": "skin-5bd6cfc7249e",
"realistic_value": 1.291,
"optimistic_value": 1.27,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Pipe Down",
"conservative_value": 1.2,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-21",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Danger Zone Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Pipe Down (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:30:56.269325Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5bd6cfc7249e.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.088496,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f0ba15d1b486",
"realistic_value": 4.0735,
"optimistic_value": 4.07,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Nevermore",
"conservative_value": 3.42,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-21",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Danger Zone Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Nevermore (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:30:34.566282Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f0ba15d1b486.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06,
"output_float": 0.11062,
"output_skin_id": "skin-9e44f13c59da",
"realistic_value": 3.003,
"optimistic_value": 2.87,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Flashback",
"conservative_value": 2.79,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-21",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Danger Zone Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ USP-S | Flashback (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:06:50.700773Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9e44f13c59da.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_b35b9da5a75172478f69b3ef",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.24,
"skin_id": "skin-dd5985c30bd8",
"listing_id": "527627540538524468",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-21",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SG 553 | Danger Close (Field-Tested)",
"name": "SG 553 | Danger Close",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-dd5985c30bd8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:28:43.558947Z"
},
{
"price": 0.26,
"skin_id": "skin-dd5985c30bd8",
"listing_id": "527626690814383256",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-21",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SG 553 | Danger Close (Field-Tested)",
"name": "SG 553 | Danger Close",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-dd5985c30bd8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:28:43.558947Z"
},
{
"price": 0.27,
"skin_id": "skin-dd5985c30bd8",
"listing_id": "523123091077461898",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-21",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SG 553 | Danger Close (Field-Tested)",
"name": "SG 553 | Danger Close",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-dd5985c30bd8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:28:43.558947Z"
},
{
"price": 0.17,
"skin_id": "skin-baa1adba3189",
"listing_id": "519746241189696524",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Dark Sigil (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Nova | Dark Sigil",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-baa1adba3189.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:31:01.076812Z"
},
{
"price": 0.19,
"skin_id": "skin-8d6879f0a2bc",
"listing_id": "507360492276906205",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | Hideout",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d6879f0a2bc.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:20:59.006228Z"
},
{
"price": 0.19,
"skin_id": "skin-80f2ee4e940f",
"listing_id": "496101493247435159",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Slag (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Slag",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-80f2ee4e940f.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:20:48.281236Z"
},
{
"price": 0.2,
"skin_id": "skin-8d6879f0a2bc",
"listing_id": "514116523129581066",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | Hideout",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d6879f0a2bc.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:20:59.006228Z"
},
{
"price": 0.21,
"skin_id": "skin-543d85d8ca60",
"listing_id": "514116741798137334",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Light Box (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Light Box",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-543d85d8ca60.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:40:00.371922Z"
},
{
"price": 0.23,
"skin_id": "skin-543d85d8ca60",
"listing_id": "527626690807043180",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Light Box (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Light Box",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-543d85d8ca60.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:40:00.371922Z"
},
{
"price": 0.24,
"skin_id": "skin-543d85d8ca60",
"listing_id": "523123091065987798",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Light Box (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Light Box",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-543d85d8ca60.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:40:00.371922Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-21:3+collection-set-community-33:7"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Danger Zone Collection ×3+The Kilowatt Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Signal 6.0% $7.55 Nevermore 6.0% $7.11 Flashback 6.0% $6.12 Etch Lord 14.0% $4.43 Block-18 14.0% $4.19 Pipe Down 6.0% $3.40 | $7.55 +133.6% | $3.88 +20.1% | 66.0% | +41.6% | $3.23 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Danger Zone Collection ×4+The Kilowatt Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Signal 8.0% $7.55 Nevermore 8.0% $7.11 Flashback 8.0% $6.12 Etch Lord 12.0% $4.43 Block-18 12.0% $4.19 Pipe Down 8.0% $3.40 | $7.55 +122.6% | $4.07 +20.1% | 56.0% | +42.7% | $3.39 | — |
The Danger Zone Collection ×6+The Kilowatt Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Signal 12.0% $7.55 Nevermore 12.0% $7.11 Flashback 12.0% $6.12 Etch Lord 8.0% $4.43 Block-18 8.0% $4.19 Pipe Down 12.0% $3.40 | $7.55 +102.8% | $4.46 +19.8% | 52.0% | +42.2% | $3.72 | — |
The Danger Zone Collection ×5+The Kilowatt Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Signal 10.0% $7.55 Nevermore 10.0% $7.11 Flashback 10.0% $6.12 Etch Lord 10.0% $4.43 Block-18 10.0% $4.19 Pipe Down 10.0% $3.40 | $7.55 +112.0% | $4.26 +19.8% | 50.0% | +42.7% | $3.56 | — |
The Danger Zone Collection ×1+The Kilowatt Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Nevermore 2.0% $7.11 Etch Lord 18.0% $4.43 Block-18 18.0% $4.19 Signal 2.0% $3.49 Pipe Down 2.0% $3.40 Just Smile 18.0% $3.32 | $7.11 +151.4% | $3.35 +18.3% | 62.0% | +27.9% | $2.83 | — |
The Danger Zone Collection ×7+The Kilowatt Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Signal 14.0% $7.55 Nevermore 14.0% $7.11 Flashback 14.0% $6.12 Etch Lord 6.0% $4.43 Block-18 6.0% $4.19 Pipe Down 14.0% $3.40 | $7.55 +91.0% | $4.65 +17.7% | 54.0% | +40.5% | $3.95 | — |
The Danger Zone Collection ×2+The Kilowatt Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Signal 4.0% $7.55 Nevermore 4.0% $7.11 Flashback 4.0% $6.12 Etch Lord 16.0% $4.43 Block-18 16.0% $4.19 Pipe Down 4.0% $3.40 | $7.55 +138.0% | $3.69 +16.3% | 64.0% | +37.8% | $3.17 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Danger Zone Collection ×3+The Kilowatt Collection ×7 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Black Lotus  23.3% $37.06 Mecha Industries  10.0% $27.53 Jawbreaker  23.3% $14.90 Olympus  23.3% $14.32 Momentum  10.0% $9.89 Phosphor  10.0% $9.63 | $37.06 +103.4% | $20.17 +10.7% | 33.3% | +57.1% | $18.22 | — |
The Danger Zone Collection ×3+The Kilowatt Collection ×7 Classified → Covert Well-Worn ST | Inheritance  35.0% $135.61 Asiimov  15.0% $98.82 Neo-Noir  15.0% $78.19 Chrome Cannon  35.0% $50.99 | $135.61 +60.1% | $91.86 +8.5% | 50.0% | +42.4% | $84.68 | — |