The 2018 Nuke Collection ×5+The Sport & Field Collection ×5
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade MW 10 items
Contract
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Minimal Wear
Inputs
Cold Fusion
2x $0.06
Mainframe
2x $0.10
Bulkhead
1x $0.11
Tiger Stencil
1x $0.14
Wildwood
4x $0.15
↓
Possible Outputs
Exchanger
12.5% $2.42
Acheron
12.5% $2.36
Co-Processor
12.5% $2.23
Facility Negative
12.5% $2.22
Yorkshire
12.5% $1.54
Alpine Camo
12.5% $1.48
Max Win
$2.42 (+58.9%)
EV (ROI %)
$1.82 (+19.8%)
Win %
62.5%
Volatility
+33.3%
Cost
$1.52
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $1.52
Ask Price EV $1.82 (+19.8%)
Bid Price EV $1.75 (+14.9%)
Ask Profit $0.30 (+19.8%)
Bid Profit $0.23 (+14.9%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.07 (+4.9%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.30
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.23
Risk
Win Probability 62.5%
Loss Probability 37.5%
Best Case $2.42 (+58.9%)
Worst Case $1.12 (-26.3%)
Volatility +33.3%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 12.5%
Avg Win +$0.63
Avg Loss -$0.26
Bottom 5% Outcome $1.12 (-26.3%)
Std Dev $0.51
Avg Norm Float 0.1400
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 20m
Oldest Output Price 44m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // High-EV Grinder · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
Galil AR | Cold Fusion
—
Field-Tested
$0.06 Float: HIDDEN
M4A4 | Mainframe
—
Minimal Wear
$0.10 Float: HIDDEN
Negev | Bulkhead
—
Minimal Wear
$0.11 Float: HIDDEN
M4A4 | Mainframe
—
Minimal Wear
$0.14 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Cold Fusion
—
Minimal Wear
$0.21 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Tiger Stencil
—
Minimal Wear
$0.14 Float: HIDDEN
MAG-7 | Wildwood
—
Minimal Wear
$0.15 Float: HIDDEN
MAG-7 | Wildwood
—
Minimal Wear
$0.16 Float: HIDDEN
MAG-7 | Wildwood
—
Minimal Wear
$0.17 Float: HIDDEN
MAG-7 | Wildwood
—
Minimal Wear
$0.28 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 59M 36S //TOTAL COST $1.52 //ASK PRICE EV $1.82 //BID PRICE EV $1.75 //ASK PROFIT $0.30 (+19.8%) //BID PROFIT $0.23 (+14.9%) //WIN PROBABILITY 62.5% //BEST CASE $2.42 //VOLATILITY +33.3% //
Possible Outputs · 8
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
12.5%
$2.42
+$0.90
+58.9%
$2.36
+$0.84
+55.3%
$0.06
2.3%
—
BIG WIN
12.5%
$2.36
+$0.84
+55.5%
$2.20
+$0.68
+44.7%
$0.16
6.9%
—
WIN EDGE FLOAT
12.5%
$2.23
+$0.71
+47.0%
$2.04
+$0.52
+34.2%
$0.19
8.7%
—
WIN EDGE FLOAT
12.5%
$2.22
+$0.70
+46.1%
$2.16
+$0.64
+42.1%
$0.06
2.7%
—
SMALL WIN
12.5%
$1.54
+$0.02
+1.3%
$1.52
+$0.00
+0.0%
$0.02
1.3%
—
LOSS
12.5%
$1.48
-$0.04
-2.8%
$1.41
-$0.11
-7.2%
$0.07
4.5%
—
LOSS
12.5%
$1.20
-$0.32
-21.2%
$1.17
-$0.35
-23.0%
$0.03
2.3%
—
LOSS
12.5%
$1.12
-$0.40
-26.3%
$1.11
-$0.41
-27.0%
$0.01
0.9%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-nuke-2|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-realism-camo|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.125,
"output_float": 0.1161668,
"output_skin_id": "skin-9e9b9cd050d5",
"realistic_value": 2.364,
"optimistic_value": 2.35,
"output_full_name": "AWP | Acheron",
"conservative_value": 2.2,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The 2018 Nuke Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AWP | Acheron (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:10:22.422125Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9e9b9cd050d5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.125,
"output_float": 0.06998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-1a3115020d99",
"realistic_value": 2.234,
"optimistic_value": 2.22,
"output_full_name": "MP5-SD | Co-Processor",
"conservative_value": 2.04,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The 2018 Nuke Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:49:23.320627Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1a3115020d99.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.125,
"output_float": 0.13996,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ad8878d8dfca",
"realistic_value": 1.54,
"optimistic_value": 1.54,
"output_full_name": "Nova | Yorkshire",
"conservative_value": 1.52,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Sport & Field Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Yorkshire (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:21:07.556504Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ad8878d8dfca.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.125,
"output_float": 0.06998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-4609f8421163",
"realistic_value": 2.4155,
"optimistic_value": 2.37,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Exchanger",
"conservative_value": 2.36,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The 2018 Nuke Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Exchanger (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:10:08.386699Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4609f8421163.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.125,
"output_float": 0.09797199999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-c97106696572",
"realistic_value": 1.12,
"optimistic_value": 1.12,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Small Game",
"conservative_value": 1.11,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Sport & Field Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Small Game (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:31:55.171049Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c97106696572.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.125,
"output_float": 0.06998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ddc69b0796bd",
"realistic_value": 2.22,
"optimistic_value": 2.22,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Facility Negative",
"conservative_value": 2.16,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The 2018 Nuke Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:12:26.930593Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ddc69b0796bd.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.125,
"output_float": 0.09797199999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-6aaf237dc6ae",
"realistic_value": 1.1975,
"optimistic_value": 1.18,
"output_full_name": "SSG 08 | Zeno",
"conservative_value": 1.17,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Sport & Field Collection",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Zeno (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:58:15.716623Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6aaf237dc6ae.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.125,
"output_float": 0.0951728,
"output_skin_id": "skin-7d2a2ccef9f1",
"realistic_value": 1.4769999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 1.47,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Alpine Camo",
"conservative_value": 1.41,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Sport & Field Collection",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Alpine Camo (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:10:19.706437Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7d2a2ccef9f1.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_affa8f92330bde04c2534124",
"input_rarity": "Industrial Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.06,
"skin_id": "skin-373e7e49f479",
"listing_id": "511864941881706801",
"collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Cold Fusion (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Galil AR | Cold Fusion",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-373e7e49f479.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:18:34.671138Z"
},
{
"price": 0.1,
"skin_id": "skin-810cb4b6d950",
"listing_id": "515242588554384757",
"collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Mainframe (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M4A4 | Mainframe",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-810cb4b6d950.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:21:54.069638Z"
},
{
"price": 0.11,
"skin_id": "skin-09caec0af065",
"listing_id": "508487189340873710",
"collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"market_hash_name": "Negev | Bulkhead (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Negev | Bulkhead",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-09caec0af065.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:24:06.826276Z"
},
{
"price": 0.14,
"skin_id": "skin-810cb4b6d950",
"listing_id": "497227393161145157",
"collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Mainframe (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M4A4 | Mainframe",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-810cb4b6d950.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:21:54.069638Z"
},
{
"price": 0.21,
"skin_id": "skin-373e7e49f479",
"listing_id": "497228243055059597",
"collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Cold Fusion (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Galil AR | Cold Fusion",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-373e7e49f479.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:31:37.777391Z"
},
{
"price": 0.14,
"skin_id": "skin-f4f7b9b303a2",
"listing_id": "519746241188458340",
"collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Tiger Stencil (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Tiger Stencil",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f4f7b9b303a2.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:13:42.884828Z"
},
{
"price": 0.15,
"skin_id": "skin-3c001e4d2e36",
"listing_id": "505109489449642124",
"collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | Wildwood (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Wildwood",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3c001e4d2e36.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:18:32.367188Z"
},
{
"price": 0.16,
"skin_id": "skin-3c001e4d2e36",
"listing_id": "500605889842045379",
"collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | Wildwood (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Wildwood",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3c001e4d2e36.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:18:32.367188Z"
},
{
"price": 0.17,
"skin_id": "skin-3c001e4d2e36",
"listing_id": "502857742726654696",
"collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | Wildwood (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Wildwood",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3c001e4d2e36.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:18:32.367188Z"
},
{
"price": 0.28,
"skin_id": "skin-3c001e4d2e36",
"listing_id": "516368322945843962",
"collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | Wildwood (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Wildwood",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3c001e4d2e36.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:18:32.367188Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Industrial Grade|Mil-Spec Grade|normal|10|collection-set-nuke-2:5+collection-set-realism-camo:5"
}Related
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