The 2018 Nuke Collection ×5+The Sport & Field Collection ×5
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade FT 10 items
Contract
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested
Inputs
Cold Fusion
3x $0.06
Mainframe
1x $0.10
Bulkhead
1x $0.11
Wildwood
3x $0.09
Cold Cell
1x $0.13
Tiger Stencil
1x $0.14
↓
Possible Outputs
Acheron
12.5% $2.39
Alpine Camo
12.5% $1.48
Zeno
12.5% $1.18
Small Game
12.5% $1.12
Yorkshire
12.5% $0.69
Facility Negative
12.5% $0.48
Max Win
$2.39 (+119.0%)
EV (ROI %)
$1.02 (-6.4%)
Win %
50.0%
Volatility
+58.5%
Cost
$1.09
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $1.09
Ask Price EV $1.02 (-6.4%)
Bid Price EV $0.96 (-11.8%)
Ask Profit $-0.07 (-6.4%)
Bid Profit $-0.13 (-11.8%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.06 (+5.4%)
Ask Slippage Buffer -$0.07
Bid Slippage Buffer -$0.13
Risk
Win Probability 50.0%
Loss Probability 50.0%
Best Case $2.39 (+119.0%)
Worst Case $0.40 (-63.3%)
Volatility +58.5%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 50.0%
Avg Win +$0.45
Avg Loss -$0.59
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.40 (-63.3%)
Std Dev $0.64
Avg Norm Float 0.1777
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 17m
Oldest Output Price 9h 8m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Tight
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
Galil AR | Cold Fusion
—
Field-Tested
$0.06 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Cold Fusion
—
Field-Tested
$0.07 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Cold Fusion
—
Field-Tested
$0.08 Float: HIDDEN
M4A4 | Mainframe
—
Minimal Wear
$0.10 Float: HIDDEN
Negev | Bulkhead
—
Minimal Wear
$0.11 Float: HIDDEN
MAG-7 | Wildwood
—
Field-Tested
$0.09 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | Cold Cell
—
Minimal Wear
$0.13 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Tiger Stencil
—
Minimal Wear
$0.14 Float: HIDDEN
MAG-7 | Wildwood
—
Minimal Wear
$0.15 Float: HIDDEN
MAG-7 | Wildwood
—
Minimal Wear
$0.16 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 01H 04M 00S //TOTAL COST $1.09 //ASK PRICE EV $1.02 //BID PRICE EV $0.96 //ASK PROFIT $-0.07 (-6.4%) //BID PROFIT $-0.13 (-11.8%) //WIN PROBABILITY 50.0% //BEST CASE $2.39 //VOLATILITY +58.5% //
Possible Outputs · 8
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
12.5%
$2.39
+$1.30
+119.0%
$2.19
+$1.10
+100.9%
$0.20
8.3%
—
WIN
12.5%
$1.48
+$0.39
+35.5%
$1.41
+$0.32
+29.4%
$0.07
4.5%
—
SMALL WIN
12.5%
$1.18
+$0.09
+8.6%
$1.17
+$0.08
+7.3%
$0.01
1.1%
—
SMALL WIN
12.5%
$1.12
+$0.03
+2.8%
$1.11
+$0.02
+1.8%
$0.01
0.9%
—
LOSS
12.5%
$0.69
-$0.40
-36.7%
$0.66
-$0.43
-39.4%
$0.03
4.3%
—
NUKE
12.5%
$0.48
-$0.61
-55.6%
$0.38
-$0.71
-65.1%
$0.10
21.4%
—
NUKE
12.5%
$0.42
-$0.67
-61.5%
$0.39
-$0.70
-64.2%
$0.03
7.1%
—
NUKE
12.5%
$0.40
-$0.69
-63.3%
$0.38
-$0.71
-65.1%
$0.02
5.0%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-nuke-2|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-realism-camo|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.125,
"output_float": 0.1475159,
"output_skin_id": "skin-9e9b9cd050d5",
"realistic_value": 2.3874999999999997,
"optimistic_value": 2.3,
"output_full_name": "AWP | Acheron",
"conservative_value": 2.19,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The 2018 Nuke Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AWP | Acheron (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:22:17.134695Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9e9b9cd050d5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.125,
"output_float": 0.088865,
"output_skin_id": "skin-1a3115020d99",
"realistic_value": 0.42,
"optimistic_value": 0.42,
"output_full_name": "MP5-SD | Co-Processor",
"conservative_value": 0.39,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The 2018 Nuke Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MP5-SD | Co-Processor (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:29:50.772609Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1a3115020d99.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.125,
"output_float": 0.17773,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ad8878d8dfca",
"realistic_value": 0.69,
"optimistic_value": 0.69,
"output_full_name": "Nova | Yorkshire",
"conservative_value": 0.66,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Sport & Field Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Yorkshire (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:40:46.816376Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ad8878d8dfca.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.125,
"output_float": 0.088865,
"output_skin_id": "skin-4609f8421163",
"realistic_value": 0.4,
"optimistic_value": 0.4,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Exchanger",
"conservative_value": 0.38,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The 2018 Nuke Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Exchanger (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:32:22.718986Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4609f8421163.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.125,
"output_float": 0.124411,
"output_skin_id": "skin-c97106696572",
"realistic_value": 1.12,
"optimistic_value": 1.12,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Small Game",
"conservative_value": 1.11,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Sport & Field Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Small Game (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:31:55.171049Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c97106696572.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.125,
"output_float": 0.088865,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ddc69b0796bd",
"realistic_value": 0.4835,
"optimistic_value": 0.48,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Facility Negative",
"conservative_value": 0.38,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The 2018 Nuke Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:34:12.043704Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ddc69b0796bd.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.125,
"output_float": 0.124411,
"output_skin_id": "skin-6aaf237dc6ae",
"realistic_value": 1.1835,
"optimistic_value": 1.18,
"output_full_name": "SSG 08 | Zeno",
"conservative_value": 1.17,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Sport & Field Collection",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Zeno (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:58:15.716623Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6aaf237dc6ae.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.125,
"output_float": 0.1208564,
"output_skin_id": "skin-7d2a2ccef9f1",
"realistic_value": 1.4769999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 1.47,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Alpine Camo",
"conservative_value": 1.41,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Sport & Field Collection",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Alpine Camo (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:23:47.397951Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7d2a2ccef9f1.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_affa8f92330bde04c2534124",
"input_rarity": "Industrial Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.06,
"skin_id": "skin-373e7e49f479",
"listing_id": "511864941881706801",
"collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Cold Fusion (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Galil AR | Cold Fusion",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-373e7e49f479.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:30:42.717744Z"
},
{
"price": 0.07,
"skin_id": "skin-373e7e49f479",
"listing_id": "496102290328404239",
"collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Cold Fusion (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Galil AR | Cold Fusion",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-373e7e49f479.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:30:42.717744Z"
},
{
"price": 0.08,
"skin_id": "skin-373e7e49f479",
"listing_id": "502856892583739272",
"collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Cold Fusion (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Galil AR | Cold Fusion",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-373e7e49f479.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:30:42.717744Z"
},
{
"price": 0.1,
"skin_id": "skin-810cb4b6d950",
"listing_id": "493850490550572148",
"collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Mainframe (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M4A4 | Mainframe",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-810cb4b6d950.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:33:59.290674Z"
},
{
"price": 0.11,
"skin_id": "skin-09caec0af065",
"listing_id": "528753387757253097",
"collection_id": "collection-set-nuke-2",
"market_hash_name": "Negev | Bulkhead (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Negev | Bulkhead",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-09caec0af065.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:36:25.547119Z"
},
{
"price": 0.09,
"skin_id": "skin-3c001e4d2e36",
"listing_id": "494976443341611546",
"collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | Wildwood (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Wildwood",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3c001e4d2e36.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:27:40.040997Z"
},
{
"price": 0.13,
"skin_id": "skin-578fd8494dd0",
"listing_id": "508487189340691550",
"collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo",
"market_hash_name": "PP-Bizon | Cold Cell (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | Cold Cell",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-578fd8494dd0.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:27:55.757166Z"
},
{
"price": 0.14,
"skin_id": "skin-f4f7b9b303a2",
"listing_id": "528753440605031157",
"collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Tiger Stencil (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Tiger Stencil",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f4f7b9b303a2.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:25:36.193288Z"
},
{
"price": 0.15,
"skin_id": "skin-3c001e4d2e36",
"listing_id": "505109489449642124",
"collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | Wildwood (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Wildwood",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3c001e4d2e36.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:30:26.821867Z"
},
{
"price": 0.16,
"skin_id": "skin-3c001e4d2e36",
"listing_id": "500605889842045379",
"collection_id": "collection-set-realism-camo",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | Wildwood (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Wildwood",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3c001e4d2e36.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:30:26.821867Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Industrial Grade|Mil-Spec Grade|normal|10|collection-set-nuke-2:5+collection-set-realism-camo:5"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The 2018 Nuke Collection ×5+The Sport & Field Collection ×5 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Minimal Wear | Exchanger 12.5% $2.42 Acheron 12.5% $2.39 Co-Processor 12.5% $2.23 Facility Negative 12.5% $2.20 Yorkshire 12.5% $1.54 Alpine Camo 12.5% $1.48 | $2.42 +54.8% | $1.82 +16.7% | 50.0% | +24.7% | $1.56 | — |