The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×8+The Overpass Collection ×2
Restricted → Classified MW 10 items
Contract
Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear
Inputs
Space Cat
4x $1.44
Night Terror
1x $1.65
Ticket to Hell
1x $2.23
Zombie Offensive
2x $2.68
Pink DDPAT
2x $52.00
↓
Possible Outputs
Master Piece
20.0% $462.92
Abyssal Apparition
26.7% $11.38
Melondrama
26.7% $11.37
Rapid Eye Movement
26.7% $11.33
Max Win
$462.92 (+251.8%)
EV (ROI %)
$101.67 (-22.7%)
Win %
20.0%
Volatility
+137.3%
Cost
$131.57
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $131.57
Ask Price EV $101.67 (-22.7%)
Bid Price EV $79.98 (-39.2%)
Ask Profit $-29.90 (-22.7%)
Bid Profit $-51.59 (-39.2%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $21.69 (+16.5%)
Ask Slippage Buffer -$29.90
Bid Slippage Buffer -$51.59
Risk
Win Probability 20.0%
Loss Probability 80.0%
Best Case $462.92 (+251.8%)
Worst Case $11.33 (-91.4%)
Volatility +137.3%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 80.0%
Avg Win +$331.35
Avg Loss -$120.21
Bottom 5% Outcome $11.33 (-91.4%)
Std Dev $180.62
Avg Norm Float 0.1500
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 149h 34m
Oldest Output Price 149h 23m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
PP-Bizon | Space Cat
—
Minimal Wear
$1.44 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | Space Cat
—
Minimal Wear
$1.61 Float: HIDDEN
M4A1-S | Night Terror
—
Minimal Wear
$1.65 Float: HIDDEN
USP-S | Ticket to Hell
—
Minimal Wear
$2.23 Float: HIDDEN
XM1014 | Zombie Offensive
—
Factory New
$2.68 Float: HIDDEN
XM1014 | Zombie Offensive
—
Factory New
$2.88 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | Space Cat
—
Factory New
$3.50 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | Space Cat
—
Factory New
$3.53 Float: HIDDEN
AWP | Pink DDPAT
—
Well-Worn
$52.00 Float: HIDDEN
AWP | Pink DDPAT
—
Field-Tested
$60.05 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 27M 12S //TOTAL COST $131.57 //ASK PRICE EV $101.67 //BID PRICE EV $79.98 //ASK PROFIT $-29.90 (-22.7%) //BID PROFIT $-51.59 (-39.2%) //WIN PROBABILITY 20.0% //BEST CASE $462.92 //VOLATILITY +137.3% //
Possible Outputs · 4
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
20.0%
$462.92
+$331.35
+251.8%
$356.00
+$224.43
+170.6%
$106.92
23.1%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
26.7%
$11.38
-$120.19
-91.3%
$11.01
-$120.56
-91.6%
$0.37
3.3%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
26.7%
$11.37
-$120.20
-91.4%
$10.94
-$120.63
-91.7%
$0.43
3.8%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
26.7%
$11.33
-$120.24
-91.4%
$10.99
-$120.58
-91.6%
$0.34
3.0%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-30|Restricted|normal",
"item_count": 8,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-overpass|Restricted|normal",
"item_count": 2,
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.14999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-53e4dc76b3e5",
"realistic_value": 11.370000000000001,
"optimistic_value": 11.3,
"output_full_name": "Dual Berettas | Melondrama",
"conservative_value": 10.94,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:56:03.050335Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-53e4dc76b3e5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.14999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-c1ded03e3025",
"realistic_value": 11.328,
"optimistic_value": 11.23,
"output_full_name": "FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement",
"conservative_value": 10.99,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:04:31.539224Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c1ded03e3025.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.14999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-335f1a313262",
"realistic_value": 11.383500000000002,
"optimistic_value": 11.38,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Abyssal Apparition",
"conservative_value": 11.01,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:55:50.279076Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-335f1a313262.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.2,
"output_float": 0.14999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-5e983b2fc436",
"realistic_value": 462.91949999999997,
"optimistic_value": 400,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Master Piece",
"conservative_value": 356,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Overpass Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Master Piece (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:53:47.336482Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5e983b2fc436.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_ae45bbf6964df08a560d8861",
"input_rarity": "Restricted",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 1.44,
"skin_id": "skin-10f8a820b8dc",
"listing_id": "496102290328391207",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "PP-Bizon | Space Cat (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | Space Cat",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-10f8a820b8dc.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:14:44.431830Z"
},
{
"price": 1.61,
"skin_id": "skin-10f8a820b8dc",
"listing_id": "501731624157815477",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "PP-Bizon | Space Cat (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | Space Cat",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-10f8a820b8dc.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:14:44.431830Z"
},
{
"price": 1.65,
"skin_id": "skin-ec2dd0814c74",
"listing_id": "526501587738271445",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Night Terror (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M4A1-S | Night Terror",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ec2dd0814c74.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:13:08.238029Z"
},
{
"price": 2.23,
"skin_id": "skin-f3392bb443bc",
"listing_id": "523123091078926198",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "USP-S | Ticket to Hell",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f3392bb443bc.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:08:11.279023Z"
},
{
"price": 2.68,
"skin_id": "skin-5f6eb8a4271e",
"listing_id": "511864888985925369",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Factory New)",
"name": "XM1014 | Zombie Offensive",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5f6eb8a4271e.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:54:32.013028Z"
},
{
"price": 2.88,
"skin_id": "skin-5f6eb8a4271e",
"listing_id": "492724590627017637",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Factory New)",
"name": "XM1014 | Zombie Offensive",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5f6eb8a4271e.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:54:32.013028Z"
},
{
"price": 3.5,
"skin_id": "skin-10f8a820b8dc",
"listing_id": "497227393157435393",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "PP-Bizon | Space Cat (Factory New)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | Space Cat",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-10f8a820b8dc.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:58:29.520999Z"
},
{
"price": 3.53,
"skin_id": "skin-10f8a820b8dc",
"listing_id": "636838417172784964",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "PP-Bizon | Space Cat (Factory New)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | Space Cat",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-10f8a820b8dc.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:58:29.520999Z"
},
{
"price": 52,
"skin_id": "skin-665b5d16532c",
"listing_id": "520871291119744800",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass",
"market_hash_name": "AWP | Pink DDPAT (Well-Worn)",
"name": "AWP | Pink DDPAT",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-665b5d16532c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:43:38.878100Z"
},
{
"price": 60.05,
"skin_id": "skin-665b5d16532c",
"listing_id": "508486392209393786",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass",
"market_hash_name": "AWP | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested)",
"name": "AWP | Pink DDPAT",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-665b5d16532c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:11:43.567124Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Classified",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Restricted|Classified|normal|10|collection-set-community-30:8+collection-set-overpass:2"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×8+The Overpass Collection ×2 Restricted → Classified Factory New | Master Piece 20.0% $1,330.91 Rapid Eye Movement 26.7% $39.43 Abyssal Apparition 26.7% $34.92 Melondrama 26.7% $33.53 | $1,330.91 +490.5% | $294.95 +30.9% | 20.0% | +229.8% | $225.40 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×9+The Overpass Collection ×1 Restricted → Classified Factory New | Master Piece 10.0% $1,330.91 Rapid Eye Movement 30.0% $39.43 Abyssal Apparition 30.0% $34.92 Melondrama 30.0% $33.53 | $1,330.91 +904.5% | $165.45 +24.9% | 10.0% | +293.2% | $132.49 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×7+The Overpass Collection ×3 Restricted → Classified Factory New | Master Piece 30.0% $1,330.91 Rapid Eye Movement 23.3% $39.43 Abyssal Apparition 23.3% $34.92 Melondrama 23.3% $33.53 | $1,330.91 +284.5% | $424.44 +22.6% | 30.0% | +171.4% | $346.14 | — |