The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×8+The Overpass Collection ×2
Restricted → Classified FT 10 items
Contract
Restricted → Classified Field-Tested
Inputs
Dream Glade
2x $0.83
Ticket to Hell
3x $0.86
Space Cat
3x $0.88
Pink DDPAT
1x $52.00
Road Rash
1x $57.04
↓
Possible Outputs
Master Piece
20.0% $254.72
Abyssal Apparition
26.7% $9.30
Rapid Eye Movement
26.7% $9.11
Melondrama
26.7% $8.72
Max Win
$254.72 (+118.9%)
EV (ROI %)
$58.18 (-50.0%)
Win %
20.0%
Volatility
+84.5%
Cost
$116.34
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $116.34
Ask Price EV $58.18 (-50.0%)
Bid Price EV $46.21 (-60.3%)
Ask Profit $-58.16 (-50.0%)
Bid Profit $-70.13 (-60.3%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $11.97 (+10.3%)
Ask Slippage Buffer -$58.16
Bid Slippage Buffer -$70.13
Risk
Win Probability 20.0%
Loss Probability 80.0%
Best Case $254.72 (+118.9%)
Worst Case $8.72 (-92.5%)
Volatility +84.5%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 80.0%
Avg Win +$138.38
Avg Loss -$107.30
Bottom 5% Outcome $8.72 (-92.5%)
Std Dev $98.27
Avg Norm Float 0.3163
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 149h 34m
Oldest Output Price 149h 23m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Safe
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
G3SG1 | Dream Glade
—
Well-Worn
$0.83 Float: HIDDEN
USP-S | Ticket to Hell
—
Field-Tested
$0.86 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | Space Cat
—
Field-Tested
$0.88 Float: HIDDEN
G3SG1 | Dream Glade
—
Field-Tested
$0.88 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | Space Cat
—
Field-Tested
$0.94 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | Space Cat
—
Field-Tested
$0.96 Float: HIDDEN
USP-S | Ticket to Hell
—
Field-Tested
$0.97 Float: HIDDEN
USP-S | Ticket to Hell
—
Field-Tested
$0.98 Float: HIDDEN
AWP | Pink DDPAT
—
Well-Worn
$52.00 Float: HIDDEN
USP-S | Road Rash
—
Well-Worn
$57.04 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 27M 14S //TOTAL COST $116.34 //ASK PRICE EV $58.18 //BID PRICE EV $46.21 //ASK PROFIT $-58.16 (-50.0%) //BID PROFIT $-70.13 (-60.3%) //WIN PROBABILITY 20.0% //BEST CASE $254.72 //VOLATILITY +84.5% //
Possible Outputs · 4
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
20.0%
$254.72
+$138.38
+118.9%
$195.98
+$79.64
+68.5%
$58.74
23.1%
—
NUKE
26.7%
$9.30
-$107.04
-92.0%
$8.64
-$107.70
-92.6%
$0.66
7.1%
—
NUKE
26.7%
$9.11
-$107.23
-92.2%
$9.06
-$107.28
-92.2%
$0.05
0.6%
—
NUKE
26.7%
$8.72
-$107.62
-92.5%
$8.60
-$107.74
-92.6%
$0.12
1.4%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-30|Restricted|normal",
"item_count": 8,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-overpass|Restricted|normal",
"item_count": 2,
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.31633,
"output_skin_id": "skin-53e4dc76b3e5",
"realistic_value": 8.718,
"optimistic_value": 8.62,
"output_full_name": "Dual Berettas | Melondrama",
"conservative_value": 8.6,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:04:46.911110Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-53e4dc76b3e5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.31633,
"output_skin_id": "skin-c1ded03e3025",
"realistic_value": 9.1145,
"optimistic_value": 9.09,
"output_full_name": "FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement",
"conservative_value": 9.06,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:04:44.962634Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c1ded03e3025.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.31633,
"output_skin_id": "skin-335f1a313262",
"realistic_value": 9.296999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 9.29,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Abyssal Apparition",
"conservative_value": 8.64,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:58:27.595485Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-335f1a313262.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.2,
"output_float": 0.31633,
"output_skin_id": "skin-5e983b2fc436",
"realistic_value": 254.719,
"optimistic_value": 235.14,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Master Piece",
"conservative_value": 195.98,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Overpass Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Master Piece (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:53:48.183259Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5e983b2fc436.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_ae45bbf6964df08a560d8861",
"input_rarity": "Restricted",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.83,
"skin_id": "skin-a5efcaeb15ee",
"listing_id": "493850490549463780",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "G3SG1 | Dream Glade (Well-Worn)",
"name": "G3SG1 | Dream Glade",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a5efcaeb15ee.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:59:03.020695Z"
},
{
"price": 0.86,
"skin_id": "skin-f3392bb443bc",
"listing_id": "515242641501545425",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Field-Tested)",
"name": "USP-S | Ticket to Hell",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f3392bb443bc.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:56:35.003106Z"
},
{
"price": 0.88,
"skin_id": "skin-10f8a820b8dc",
"listing_id": "506235442367277360",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "PP-Bizon | Space Cat (Field-Tested)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | Space Cat",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-10f8a820b8dc.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:59:01.586107Z"
},
{
"price": 0.88,
"skin_id": "skin-a5efcaeb15ee",
"listing_id": "509613142167490323",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "G3SG1 | Dream Glade (Field-Tested)",
"name": "G3SG1 | Dream Glade",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a5efcaeb15ee.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:10:01.840516Z"
},
{
"price": 0.94,
"skin_id": "skin-10f8a820b8dc",
"listing_id": "498354089954042347",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "PP-Bizon | Space Cat (Field-Tested)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | Space Cat",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-10f8a820b8dc.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:59:01.586107Z"
},
{
"price": 0.96,
"skin_id": "skin-10f8a820b8dc",
"listing_id": "529879235106008676",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "PP-Bizon | Space Cat (Field-Tested)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | Space Cat",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-10f8a820b8dc.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:59:01.586107Z"
},
{
"price": 0.97,
"skin_id": "skin-f3392bb443bc",
"listing_id": "510739041953827618",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Field-Tested)",
"name": "USP-S | Ticket to Hell",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f3392bb443bc.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:56:35.003106Z"
},
{
"price": 0.98,
"skin_id": "skin-f3392bb443bc",
"listing_id": "498354037510673419",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Field-Tested)",
"name": "USP-S | Ticket to Hell",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f3392bb443bc.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:56:35.003106Z"
},
{
"price": 52,
"skin_id": "skin-665b5d16532c",
"listing_id": "520871291119744800",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass",
"market_hash_name": "AWP | Pink DDPAT (Well-Worn)",
"name": "AWP | Pink DDPAT",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-665b5d16532c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:43:38.878100Z"
},
{
"price": 57.04,
"skin_id": "skin-d7d145b204a5",
"listing_id": "652601015934869556",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Road Rash (Well-Worn)",
"name": "USP-S | Road Rash",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d7d145b204a5.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:44:22.137753Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Classified",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Restricted|Classified|normal|10|collection-set-community-30:8+collection-set-overpass:2"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×8+The Overpass Collection ×2 Restricted → Classified Factory New | Master Piece 20.0% $1,330.91 Rapid Eye Movement 26.7% $39.43 Abyssal Apparition 26.7% $34.92 Melondrama 26.7% $33.53 | $1,330.91 +490.5% | $294.95 +30.9% | 20.0% | +229.8% | $225.40 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×9+The Overpass Collection ×1 Restricted → Classified Factory New | Master Piece 10.0% $1,330.91 Rapid Eye Movement 30.0% $39.43 Abyssal Apparition 30.0% $34.92 Melondrama 30.0% $33.53 | $1,330.91 +904.5% | $165.45 +24.9% | 10.0% | +293.2% | $132.49 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×7+The Overpass Collection ×3 Restricted → Classified Factory New | Master Piece 30.0% $1,330.91 Rapid Eye Movement 23.3% $39.43 Abyssal Apparition 23.3% $34.92 Melondrama 23.3% $33.53 | $1,330.91 +284.5% | $424.44 +22.6% | 30.0% | +171.4% | $346.14 | — |