The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×8+The Overpass Collection ×2
Restricted → Classified FN 10 items
Contract
Restricted → Classified Factory New
Inputs
Zombie Offensive
5x $2.88
Dream Glade
2x $11.39
Ticket to Hell
1x $13.53
Pink DDPAT
2x $60.05
↓
Possible Outputs
Master Piece
20.0% $1,330.91
Rapid Eye Movement
26.7% $39.62
Abyssal Apparition
26.7% $34.92
Melondrama
26.7% $33.53
Max Win
$1,330.91 (+490.5%)
EV (ROI %)
$295.00 (+30.9%)
Win %
20.0%
Volatility
+229.8%
Cost
$225.40
Age —
Financials
ASK-ONLY EDGETotal Cost $225.40
Ask Price EV $295.00 (+30.9%)
Bid Price EV $221.71 (-1.6%)
Ask Profit $69.60 (+30.9%)
Bid Profit $-3.69 (-1.6%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $73.29 (+32.5%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$69.60
Bid Slippage Buffer -$3.69
Risk
Win Probability 20.0%
Loss Probability 80.0%
Best Case $1,330.91 (+490.5%)
Worst Case $33.53 (-85.1%)
Volatility +229.8%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 80.0%
Avg Win +$1,105.51
Avg Loss -$189.38
Bottom 5% Outcome $33.53 (-85.1%)
Std Dev $517.96
Avg Norm Float 0.0699
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 19m
Oldest Output Price 148h 19m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
XM1014 | Zombie Offensive
—
Factory New
$2.88 Float: HIDDEN
XM1014 | Zombie Offensive
—
Factory New
$5.89 Float: HIDDEN
G3SG1 | Dream Glade
—
Factory New
$11.39 Float: HIDDEN
G3SG1 | Dream Glade
—
Factory New
$12.05 Float: HIDDEN
USP-S | Ticket to Hell
—
Factory New
$13.53 Float: HIDDEN
XM1014 | Zombie Offensive
—
Factory New
$15.31 Float: HIDDEN
XM1014 | Zombie Offensive
—
Factory New
$16.49 Float: HIDDEN
XM1014 | Zombie Offensive
—
Factory New
$17.16 Float: HIDDEN
AWP | Pink DDPAT
—
Field-Tested
$60.05 Float: HIDDEN
AWP | Pink DDPAT
—
Field-Tested
$70.65 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 17M 50S //TOTAL COST $225.40 //ASK PRICE EV $295.00 //BID PRICE EV $221.71 //ASK PROFIT $69.60 (+30.9%) //BID PROFIT $-3.69 (-1.6%) //WIN PROBABILITY 20.0% //BEST CASE $1,330.91 //VOLATILITY +229.8% //
Possible Outputs · 4
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN THIN BID EDGE FLOAT
20.0%
$1,330.91
+$1,105.51
+490.5%
$965.28
+$739.88
+328.3%
$365.63
27.5%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
26.7%
$39.62
-$185.78
-82.4%
$39.19
-$186.21
-82.6%
$0.43
1.1%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
26.7%
$34.92
-$190.48
-84.5%
$34.84
-$190.56
-84.5%
$0.08
0.2%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
26.7%
$33.53
-$191.87
-85.1%
$33.44
-$191.96
-85.2%
$0.09
0.3%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-30|Restricted|normal",
"item_count": 8,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-overpass|Restricted|normal",
"item_count": 2,
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.06991,
"output_skin_id": "skin-53e4dc76b3e5",
"realistic_value": 33.53,
"optimistic_value": 33.53,
"output_full_name": "Dual Berettas | Melondrama",
"conservative_value": 33.44,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:47:36.101764Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-53e4dc76b3e5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.06991,
"output_skin_id": "skin-c1ded03e3025",
"realistic_value": 39.623999999999995,
"optimistic_value": 39.47,
"output_full_name": "FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement",
"conservative_value": 39.19,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:47:30.832548Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c1ded03e3025.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.06991,
"output_skin_id": "skin-335f1a313262",
"realistic_value": 34.9155,
"optimistic_value": 34.87,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Abyssal Apparition",
"conservative_value": 34.84,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:42:46.966879Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-335f1a313262.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.2,
"output_float": 0.06991,
"output_skin_id": "skin-5e983b2fc436",
"realistic_value": 1330.9089999999999,
"optimistic_value": 1319.87,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Master Piece",
"conservative_value": 965.28,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Overpass Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Master Piece (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:52:46.538546Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5e983b2fc436.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_ae45bbf6964df08a560d8861",
"input_rarity": "Restricted",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 2.88,
"skin_id": "skin-5f6eb8a4271e",
"listing_id": "492724590627017241",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Factory New)",
"name": "XM1014 | Zombie Offensive",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5f6eb8a4271e.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:03:49.942226Z"
},
{
"price": 5.89,
"skin_id": "skin-5f6eb8a4271e",
"listing_id": "492724590627018501",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Factory New)",
"name": "XM1014 | Zombie Offensive",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5f6eb8a4271e.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:03:49.942226Z"
},
{
"price": 11.39,
"skin_id": "skin-a5efcaeb15ee",
"listing_id": "507361123688865805",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "G3SG1 | Dream Glade (Factory New)",
"name": "G3SG1 | Dream Glade",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a5efcaeb15ee.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:11:27.057055Z"
},
{
"price": 12.05,
"skin_id": "skin-a5efcaeb15ee",
"listing_id": "507361237008361345",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "G3SG1 | Dream Glade (Factory New)",
"name": "G3SG1 | Dream Glade",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a5efcaeb15ee.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:11:27.057055Z"
},
{
"price": 13.53,
"skin_id": "skin-f3392bb443bc",
"listing_id": "518620122759273664",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Factory New)",
"name": "USP-S | Ticket to Hell",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f3392bb443bc.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:53:06.117442Z"
},
{
"price": 15.31,
"skin_id": "skin-5f6eb8a4271e",
"listing_id": "492724590627019077",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Factory New)",
"name": "XM1014 | Zombie Offensive",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5f6eb8a4271e.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:03:49.942226Z"
},
{
"price": 16.49,
"skin_id": "skin-5f6eb8a4271e",
"listing_id": "492724590627019329",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Factory New)",
"name": "XM1014 | Zombie Offensive",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5f6eb8a4271e.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:03:49.942226Z"
},
{
"price": 17.16,
"skin_id": "skin-5f6eb8a4271e",
"listing_id": "502857524062903348",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Factory New)",
"name": "XM1014 | Zombie Offensive",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5f6eb8a4271e.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:03:49.942226Z"
},
{
"price": 60.05,
"skin_id": "skin-665b5d16532c",
"listing_id": "508486392209393786",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass",
"market_hash_name": "AWP | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested)",
"name": "AWP | Pink DDPAT",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-665b5d16532c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:57:16.095119Z"
},
{
"price": 70.65,
"skin_id": "skin-665b5d16532c",
"listing_id": "492724590625904877",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass",
"market_hash_name": "AWP | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested)",
"name": "AWP | Pink DDPAT",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-665b5d16532c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:57:16.095119Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Classified",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Restricted|Classified|normal|10|collection-set-community-30:8+collection-set-overpass:2"
}Related
Related contracts
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×9+The Overpass Collection ×1 Restricted → Classified Factory New | Master Piece 10.0% $1,330.91 Rapid Eye Movement 30.0% $38.53 Abyssal Apparition 30.0% $34.92 Melondrama 30.0% $33.53 | $1,330.91 +896.6% | $165.18 +23.7% | 10.0% | +291.0% | $133.54 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×7+The Overpass Collection ×3 Restricted → Classified Factory New | Master Piece 30.0% $1,330.91 Rapid Eye Movement 23.3% $38.53 Abyssal Apparition 23.3% $34.92 Melondrama 23.3% $33.53 | $1,330.91 +284.5% | $424.23 +22.6% | 30.0% | +171.5% | $346.14 | — |