The Gallery Collection ×5+The Dust 2 Collection ×5
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted MW 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear
Inputs
27
1x $0.36
Luxe Trim
2x $0.37
Calligraffiti
1x $0.42
Trail Blazer
1x $0.59
Damascus Steel
2x $0.26
Brass
3x $0.69
↓
Possible Outputs
Amber Fade
50.0% $6.32
Turbine
10.0% $5.79
Rapid Transit
10.0% $5.23
Saibā Oni
10.0% $4.30
Hydro Strike
10.0% $3.68
Randy Rush
10.0% $2.54
Max Win
$6.32 (+18.2%)
EV (ROI %)
$5.32 (-0.6%)
Win %
60.0%
Volatility
+24.2%
Cost
$5.35
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $5.35
Ask Price EV $5.32 (-0.6%)
Bid Price EV $4.32 (-19.3%)
Ask Profit $-0.03 (-0.6%)
Bid Profit $-1.03 (-19.3%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $1.00 (+18.7%)
Ask Slippage Buffer -$0.03
Bid Slippage Buffer -$1.03
Risk
Win Probability 60.0%
Loss Probability 40.0%
Best Case $6.32 (+18.2%)
Worst Case $2.54 (-52.6%)
Volatility +24.2%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 20.0%
Avg Win +$0.89
Avg Loss -$1.42
Bottom 5% Outcome $2.54 (-52.6%)
Std Dev $1.29
Avg Norm Float 0.1499
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 18m
Oldest Output Price 142h 59m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Safe
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
USP-S | 27
—
Field-Tested
$0.36 Float: HIDDEN
AUG | Luxe Trim
—
Field-Tested
$0.37 Float: HIDDEN
AUG | Luxe Trim
—
Field-Tested
$0.39 Float: HIDDEN
Desert Eagle | Calligraffiti
—
Field-Tested
$0.42 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer
—
Minimal Wear
$0.59 Float: HIDDEN
SG 553 | Damascus Steel
—
Field-Tested
$0.26 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | Brass
—
Minimal Wear
$0.69 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | Brass
—
Minimal Wear
$0.70 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | Brass
—
Minimal Wear
$0.71 Float: HIDDEN
SG 553 | Damascus Steel
—
Minimal Wear
$0.86 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 02M 56S //TOTAL COST $5.35 //ASK PRICE EV $5.32 //BID PRICE EV $4.32 //ASK PROFIT $-0.03 (-0.6%) //BID PROFIT $-1.03 (-19.3%) //WIN PROBABILITY 60.0% //BEST CASE $6.32 //VOLATILITY +24.2% //
Possible Outputs · 6
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
PAPER WIN
50.0%
$6.32
+$0.97
+18.2%
$4.79
-$0.56
-10.5%
$1.53
24.3%
—
PAPER WIN
10.0%
$5.79
+$0.44
+8.3%
$5.03
-$0.32
-6.0%
$0.76
13.2%
—
LOSS
10.0%
$5.23
-$0.12
-2.3%
$4.80
-$0.55
-10.3%
$0.43
8.2%
—
LOSS
10.0%
$4.30
-$1.05
-19.7%
$3.77
-$1.58
-29.5%
$0.53
12.3%
—
LOSS
10.0%
$3.68
-$1.67
-31.3%
$3.46
-$1.89
-35.3%
$0.22
5.9%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$2.54
-$2.81
-52.6%
$2.15
-$3.20
-59.8%
$0.39
15.3%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-34|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-34"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-dust-2|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-dust-2"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.5,
"output_float": 0.059948,
"output_skin_id": "skin-1faf71e7b6fe",
"realistic_value": 6.3245000000000005,
"optimistic_value": 6.23,
"output_full_name": "P2000 | Amber Fade",
"conservative_value": 4.79,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-dust-2",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dust 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Amber Fade (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:42:33.930252Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1faf71e7b6fe.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.12010851566,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8300a7de7ac6",
"realistic_value": 3.6755,
"optimistic_value": 3.63,
"output_full_name": "Dual Berettas | Hydro Strike",
"conservative_value": 3.46,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Hydro Strike (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-04T07:59:35.047001Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8300a7de7ac6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.1273895,
"output_skin_id": "skin-6bdcfb1366c6",
"realistic_value": 5.792,
"optimistic_value": 5.75,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Turbine",
"conservative_value": 5.03,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Turbine (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:10:24.702368Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6bdcfb1366c6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.09891420000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-1328a63c72b5",
"realistic_value": 4.298,
"optimistic_value": 4.2,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Saibā Oni",
"conservative_value": 3.77,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Saibā Oni (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-04T03:48:58.343848Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1328a63c72b5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.1124025,
"output_skin_id": "skin-39f40ce9d13d",
"realistic_value": 2.5385,
"optimistic_value": 2.5,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Randy Rush",
"conservative_value": 2.15,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Randy Rush (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:10:12.001140Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-39f40ce9d13d.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.1124025,
"output_skin_id": "skin-05b22d280618",
"realistic_value": 5.2275,
"optimistic_value": 5,
"output_full_name": "SSG 08 | Rapid Transit",
"conservative_value": 4.8,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Rapid Transit (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:20:39.207780Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05b22d280618.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_a8b926b6b7176d9e2fd81686",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.36,
"skin_id": "skin-5b2502fc6ca2",
"listing_id": "507361237007854645",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | 27 (Field-Tested)",
"name": "USP-S | 27",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5b2502fc6ca2.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:07:54.798923Z"
},
{
"price": 0.37,
"skin_id": "skin-f0c2d895b50d",
"listing_id": "505108692501547748",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"market_hash_name": "AUG | Luxe Trim (Field-Tested)",
"name": "AUG | Luxe Trim",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f0c2d895b50d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:10:38.781652Z"
},
{
"price": 0.39,
"skin_id": "skin-f0c2d895b50d",
"listing_id": "490472625089327607",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"market_hash_name": "AUG | Luxe Trim (Field-Tested)",
"name": "AUG | Luxe Trim",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f0c2d895b50d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:10:38.781652Z"
},
{
"price": 0.42,
"skin_id": "skin-48039a85c871",
"listing_id": "515242588553946025",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | Calligraffiti (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Desert Eagle | Calligraffiti",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-48039a85c871.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:16:15.290562Z"
},
{
"price": 0.59,
"skin_id": "skin-03f6e200c8b6",
"listing_id": "657104615536026324",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"market_hash_name": "SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-03f6e200c8b6.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:02:17.497449Z"
},
{
"price": 0.26,
"skin_id": "skin-473110a625aa",
"listing_id": "520872088106434668",
"collection_id": "collection-set-dust-2",
"market_hash_name": "SG 553 | Damascus Steel (Field-Tested)",
"name": "SG 553 | Damascus Steel",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-473110a625aa.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:02:52.074557Z"
},
{
"price": 0.69,
"skin_id": "skin-891034135d58",
"listing_id": "508487189340440162",
"collection_id": "collection-set-dust-2",
"market_hash_name": "PP-Bizon | Brass (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | Brass",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-891034135d58.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:04:59.757427Z"
},
{
"price": 0.7,
"skin_id": "skin-891034135d58",
"listing_id": "519746135814869804",
"collection_id": "collection-set-dust-2",
"market_hash_name": "PP-Bizon | Brass (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | Brass",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-891034135d58.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:04:59.757427Z"
},
{
"price": 0.71,
"skin_id": "skin-891034135d58",
"listing_id": "496102290328432643",
"collection_id": "collection-set-dust-2",
"market_hash_name": "PP-Bizon | Brass (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | Brass",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-891034135d58.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:04:59.757427Z"
},
{
"price": 0.86,
"skin_id": "skin-473110a625aa",
"listing_id": "649221975285796405",
"collection_id": "collection-set-dust-2",
"market_hash_name": "SG 553 | Damascus Steel (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SG 553 | Damascus Steel",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-473110a625aa.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:04:46.317023Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|normal|10|collection-set-community-34:5+collection-set-dust-2:5"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Gallery Collection ×5+The Dust 2 Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Amber Fade 50.0% $6.32 Turbine 10.0% $5.79 Rapid Transit 10.0% $5.23 Saibā Oni 10.0% $4.30 Hydro Strike 10.0% $3.68 Randy Rush 10.0% $2.54 | $6.32 +45.4% | $5.32 +22.2% | 70.0% | +29.8% | $4.35 | — |